Stocktwits report covering New Concept Energy Inc (GBR) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Why GBR Stock dropped -3.18% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
New Concept Energy Inc (GBR) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 44/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief)
Is GBR stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, New Concept Energy Inc (NYSE: GBR) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 44/100 at a spot price of $0.62 (-3.18% 1D, market cap $4.6M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 10/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 11/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 5/20. Across 211 tracked Energy issuers, GBR ranks #165 in composite RQD confidence.
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief)
How does GBR compare to MTR and TPET in the Energy sector?
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Within the Energy sector (Oil & Gas Production), GBR carries a Roarable D (44/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -5.1%. By comparison, MTR (Mesa Royalty Trust) holds a D grade (47/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $3.5M) and TPET (Trio Petroleum Corp.) posts a D- grade (36/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -34.2%, cap $9.0M). Among the 5-stock peer group, GBR leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while BRN leads on capital efficiency (0.5% ROIC).
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief)
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for GBR?
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Per GBR's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000105744), New Concept Energy Inc generated $155.0K in revenue (+6.2% YoY), -$46.0K in net income, and $20.0K in free cash flow against $4.6M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Energy with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where to Enter $GBR, Where to Set Your Hard Stop-Loss & Today's Top 3 High-Conviction Trades
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 5/9
SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 2% FCF Margin ($20.0K FCF) & 52% Gross Margin
Dilution Drag (+1.92% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 15 pts from alignment
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a GBR Turnaround Squeeze
While GBR currently carries a cautious 44/100 (D) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (5/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.
Established market leader in Energy with deep daily trading liquidity.
Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($0.72) and Max Pain ($0.65) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $1.38.
Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+1.92% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.
Why GBR Stock dropped -3.18% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
New Concept Energy Inc (GBR) dropped -3.18% to $0.62, trading at 2% of its 52-week range ($0.62 – $1.31). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-5% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 2% of its 52-week range ($0.62 – $1.31) with RSI-14 at 39.2 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±11.8% around $0.62 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable D (Sell) backed by 52% gross margin and $20000 annual free cash flow.
Investing.com Australia report covering New Concept Energy Inc (GBR) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
https://www.dars.gov.et/ report covering New Concept Energy Inc (GBR) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
https://www.siam.in/ report covering New Concept Energy Inc (GBR) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
https://www.dars.gov.et/ report covering New Concept Energy Inc (GBR) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
https://www.dars.gov.et/ report covering New Concept Energy Inc (GBR) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring GBR)
- ✓Walkthrough of GBR's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
- ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
- ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
GBR Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
vs. +6.2% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on GBR today. View full Setup Ledger →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for GBR. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (GBR)
1. Head-to-Head Energy Peer Comparison (GBR vs. MTR, TPET, BRN, EONR)
Industry: Oil & Gas Production (106 Tracked Issuers)Across 211 tracked Energy securities in the Roarable RQD universe, New Concept Energy Inc (GBR) ranks #165 by composite RQD confidence (44/100, grade D) and #210 by equity capitalization ($4.6M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, GBR leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while BRN leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 0.5% ROIC and — gross margin. MTR currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 47/100 (D) compared with GBR at 44/100 (D).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GBR
ACTIVE
New Concept Energy Inc | D | 44/100 | — | — | -5.1% | -3.18% | $4.6M | Benchmark Subject |
| MTR Mesa Royalty Trust | D | 47/100 | — | — | — | +6.84% | $3.5M | /mtr-vs-gbr → |
| TPET Trio Petroleum Corp. | D- | 36/100 | — | 55.9% | -34.2% | +0.59% | $9.0M | /tpet-vs-gbr → |
| BRN Barnwell Industries Inc. | E | 25/100 | — | — | 0.5% | -1.24% | $12.9M | /brn-vs-gbr → |
| EONR EON Resources Inc. (Class A) | E | 27/100 | — | — | -14.8% | -12.40% | $16.9M | /eonr-vs-gbr → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000105744 ↗In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), New Concept Energy Inc (GBR) reported GAAP revenue of $155.0K (+6.2% vs. FY2024 revenue of $146.0K , and +2.0% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$46.0K, operating cash flow of $20.0K, and free cash flow of $20.0K (+131.3% YoY). On the balance sheet, GBR closed FY2025 with $4.6M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $155.0K | -$46.0K | $20.0K | $20.0K | $4.6M | — |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $146.0K | -$18.0K | -$64.0K | -$64.0K | $4.6M | — |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $152.0K | -$21.0K | $22.0K | $22.0K | — | — |
3. GBR Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs GBR stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-03, New Concept Energy Inc (NYSE: GBR) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 44/100 at a spot price of $0.62 (-3.18% 1D, market cap $4.6M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 10/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 11/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 5/20. Across 211 tracked Energy issuers, GBR ranks #165 in composite RQD confidence.
How does GBR compare to MTR and TPET in the Energy sector?
Within the Energy sector (Oil & Gas Production), GBR carries a Roarable D (44/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -5.1%. By comparison, MTR (Mesa Royalty Trust) holds a D grade (47/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $3.5M) and TPET (Trio Petroleum Corp.) posts a D- grade (36/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -34.2%, cap $9.0M). Among the 5-stock peer group, GBR leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while BRN leads on capital efficiency (0.5% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for GBR?
Per GBR's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000105744), New Concept Energy Inc generated $155.0K in revenue (+6.2% YoY), -$46.0K in net income, and $20.0K in free cash flow against $4.6M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Energy with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is GBR trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
GBR last traded at $0.62 (-3.18% on volume of 39,642 shares), positioning the stock -13.89% below its 50-day simple moving average ($0.72) and -19.48% below its 200-day simple moving average ($0.77). Across its 52-week range of $0.62 to $1.31, GBR sits at the 0.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 39.2 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±11.8% ($1.00 to $0.69).
GBR — New Concept Energy Inc: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor
1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor
New Concept Energy Inc (GBR) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 44/100, corresponding to a D letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $0.62 (-3.18% 1D, market capitalization $4.6M).
- Fundamental Cash Engine (10/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of -5.1%, gross margin of —, operating margin of -60.0%, and free cash flow yield of 0.42%.
- Whale 13F & Options Flow (10/20) + Insider Conviction (5/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
- Macro Regime Fit (8/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (11/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of N/A, Piotroski F-Score of 5/9, and Debt/Equity of N/A.
2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory
Is a NYSE-listed issuer in the Energy sector, specifically Oil & Gas Production..0B. Reported revenue across the three listed fiscal years is $0.2M, $0.1M, and $0.2M, which indicates a very small operating base.
In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), New Concept Energy Inc (GBR) reported $155.0K in annual revenue (up from $146.0K in FY2024, +6.2% YoY) and -$46.0K in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($152.0K revenue, -$21.0K net income) through FY2025, GBR scaled operating cash flow to $20.0K and free cash flow to $20.0K, backed by $4.6M in total assets against $0 in total debt.
3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff
- 🐂 Primary Bull Case (D • RQD 44/100): Established market leader in Energy with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of 0.42% and institutional whale pillar of 10/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 10/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 10/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $0.62 – $1.31 52-week range.
- 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh current valuation against -60.0% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.
4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch
Upstream and downstream dependencies are therefore — Sector correlations beyond the Energy / Oil & Gas Production classification and a Beta of 1.0 are — Second-order bottlenecks are — A prospective investor should note that the absence of mapped links means the source offers no basis for tracing ripple effects through suppliers, customers, or peers.
- Key Question #1: Can GBR sustain or expand its -60.0% operating margin and -5.1% ROIC against Oil & Gas Production peers over the next 4 quarters?
- Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $155.0K and free cash flow of $20.0K, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $0 in total debt?
- Key Question #3: How sensitive is GBR's equity valuation to Energy capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?
GBR Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire
Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for New Concept Energy Inc (GBR) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below
Stocktwits report covering New Concept Energy Inc (GBR) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Investing.com Australia report covering New Concept Energy Inc (GBR) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
https://www.dars.gov.et/ report covering New Concept Energy Inc (GBR) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
https://www.siam.in/ report covering New Concept Energy Inc (GBR) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
https://www.dars.gov.et/ report covering New Concept Energy Inc (GBR) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
https://www.dars.gov.et/ report covering New Concept Energy Inc (GBR) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
GBR Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $0.62?
Forensic Balance Sheet scores 11/20 with Altman Z of 2.5 and Piotroski F of 5/9, the strongest pillar in the rating.
The street is overcomplicating New Concept Energy Inc (GBR). Forensic Balance Sheet scores 11/20 with Altman Z of 2.5 and Piotroski F of 5/9, the strongest pillar in the rating.. With an RQD score of 44/100 (D) and Forensic Balance Sheet at 11/20, any positive earnings surprise or guidance raise forces underweight funds to chase above $0.69.
@FadeTheHype Shorting a 10/20 institutional whale-flow stock at $0.64 is dangerous when funds are rotating into Energy.
Insider Conviction scores only 5/20 and ROIC is -5.1% with FCF yield at 0.42%, while the RQD verdict flags distribution risk.
I respect the product at New Concept Energy Inc, but the stock at $0.64 is a different story. Insider Conviction scores only 5/20 and ROIC is -5.1% with FCF yield at 0.42%, while the RQD verdict flags distribution risk.. FCF yield is 0.42% and RQD sits at 44/100 (D) — why pay up here when you can wait for next quarter's numbers?