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Stock Ratings / Technology / GCTS / news
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Why GCTS Stock dropped -8.93% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

$1.02 -8.93% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.00

GCT Semiconductor Holding Inc. (GCTS) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 25/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE E • RED ALERT Cap $93.8M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is GCTS stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
▼

As of 2026-11-03, GCT Semiconductor Holding Inc. (NYSE: GCTS) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 25/100 at a spot price of $1.02 (-8.93% 1D, market cap $93.8M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 6/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 3/20. Across 715 tracked Technology issuers, GCTS ranks #661 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does GCTS compare to MX and ATOM in the Technology sector?
▼

Within the Technology sector (Semiconductors), GCTS carries a Roarable E (25/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of -30.0%, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, MX (Magnachip Semiconductor Corporation) holds a E grade (28/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -15.0%, cap $94.0M) and ATOM (Atomera Incorporated) posts a E grade (28/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $126.0M). Among the 5-stock peer group, GCTS leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while MX leads on capital efficiency (-15.0% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for GCTS?
▼

Per GCTS's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001851961), GCT Semiconductor Holding Inc. generated $2.9M in revenue (-68.6% YoY), -$43.4M in net income, and -$33.1M in free cash flow against $15.6M in total assets and $6.0M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.00 (-1.80%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+1.28% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 8/20 (D-) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (25/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-10.7% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • E
025507510025
3-of-3 Quant Analysts Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR RQD RADARRw E · Rk E
Cash (8)Whales (3)SEC (5)Macro (6)CEO (3)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-14.7% Base Target
$4 Bull$1 Base$1 Bear
📬 FREE GCTS RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for GCTS)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (25/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY GCTS SCORES 25/100 (E) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+8/20 pts (32% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0% FCF Margin ($0 FCF) & 0% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+6/20 pts (24% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 2% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 17.8 (OVERSOLD (<32))

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+1.28% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
33
Grade E$1.90-19.5% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
30
Grade E$1.53-17% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
28
Grade E$1.27-19.7% Next Q
Current
25
Grade E$1.02-10.7% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: E (33) → E (25)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a GCTS Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While GCTS currently carries a cautious 25/100 (E) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($1.80) and Max Pain ($1.07) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $4.13.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+1.28% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $GCTS• $4.8M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “GCTS Beats Next Quarterly Revenue & EPS Consensus + Hyperscaler AI CapEx Holds Record Pace”
YES 25%NO 75%Trade / Inspect Odds →
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →

Why GCTS Stock dropped -8.93% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

GCT Semiconductor Holding Inc. (GCTS) dropped -8.93% to $1.02, trading at 2% of its 52-week range ($0.95 – $3.93). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-35% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

  • ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 2% of its 52-week range ($0.95 – $3.93) with RSI-14 at 17.8 (OVERSOLD (<32)).
  • ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±12.5% around $1.02 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
  • ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable E (Strong Sell) backed by 0% gross margin and $0 annual free cash flow.
Live GCTS Headlines & Catalysts
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring GCTS)

  • ✓Walkthrough of GCTS's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
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GCTS // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -32.89%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL
2026-11-04O $1.12H $1.12L $1.02C $1.02VOL 2.59M
RES: $2.03SUP: $0.35SMA50: $1.80SMA200: $1.82
$4.13$3.29$2.45$1.60$0.76RES $2.03SUP $0.35$1.022026-05-052026-06-182026-08-052026-09-182026-11-04
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

GCTS Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 GCTS Butterfly Map → + Track GCTS →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -68.6% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on GCTS today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for GCTS. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for GCTS today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (GCTS)

Technology Rank #661 of 715 ⚔️ MX vs GCTS Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (GCTS vs. MX, ATOM, TYGO, ALMU)

Industry: Semiconductors (95 Tracked Issuers)

Across 715 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, GCT Semiconductor Holding Inc. (GCTS) ranks #661 by composite RQD confidence (25/100, grade E) and #521 by equity capitalization ($93.8M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, GCTS leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while MX leads on capital efficiency and profitability with -15.0% ROIC and 17.6% gross margin. TYGO currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 56/100 (D+) compared with GCTS at 25/100 (E).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
GCTS ACTIVE
GCT Semiconductor Holding Inc.
E 25/100 — -30.0% -35.0% -8.93% $93.8M Benchmark Subject
MX
Magnachip Semiconductor Corporation
E 28/100 — 17.6% -15.0% +2.49% $94.0M /mx-vs-gcts →
ATOM
Atomera Incorporated
E 28/100 — -30.0% -35.0% -3.73% $126.0M /atom-vs-gcts →
TYGO
Tigo Energy Inc.
D+ 56/100 — 0.0% -17.8% -0.71% $67.3M /tygo-vs-gcts →
ALMU
Aeluma Inc.
E 30/100 — 59.6% -21.8% -0.26% $145.2M /almu-vs-gcts →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001851961 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), GCT Semiconductor Holding Inc. (GCTS) reported GAAP revenue of $2.9M (-68.6% vs. FY2024 revenue of $9.1M , and -82.1% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$43.4M, operating cash flow of -$30.7M, and free cash flow of -$33.1M (-5.0% YoY). On the balance sheet, GCTS closed FY2025 with $15.6M in total assets against $6.0M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 1/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $2.9M -$43.4M -$30.7M -$33.1M $15.6M $6.0M
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $9.1M -$12.4M -$31.0M -$31.5M $19.9M $4.9M
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $16.0M -$22.5M -$8.8M -$8.8M — —

3. GCTS Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is GCTS stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, GCT Semiconductor Holding Inc. (NYSE: GCTS) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 25/100 at a spot price of $1.02 (-8.93% 1D, market cap $93.8M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 6/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 3/20. Across 715 tracked Technology issuers, GCTS ranks #661 in composite RQD confidence.

How does GCTS compare to MX and ATOM in the Technology sector?

Within the Technology sector (Semiconductors), GCTS carries a Roarable E (25/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of -30.0%, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, MX (Magnachip Semiconductor Corporation) holds a E grade (28/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -15.0%, cap $94.0M) and ATOM (Atomera Incorporated) posts a E grade (28/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $126.0M). Among the 5-stock peer group, GCTS leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while MX leads on capital efficiency (-15.0% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for GCTS?

Per GCTS's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001851961), GCT Semiconductor Holding Inc. generated $2.9M in revenue (-68.6% YoY), -$43.4M in net income, and -$33.1M in free cash flow against $15.6M in total assets and $6.0M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is GCTS trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

GCTS last traded at $1.02 (-8.93% on volume of 2,591,827 shares), positioning the stock -43.33% below its 50-day simple moving average ($1.80) and -43.96% below its 200-day simple moving average ($1.82). Across its 52-week range of $0.95 to $3.93, GCTS sits at the 2.3% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 17.8 (OVERSOLD (<32)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($1.00 to $1.15).

Direct Sub-Reports: GCTS RQD Cockpit GCTS 12M Forecast GCTS Earnings & Move GCTS Dividends & DRIP GCTS Insiders & 13F GCTS Whale Options GCTS Profit Sankey GCTS News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 25/100 (E) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

GCTS — GCT Semiconductor Holding Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

GCT Semiconductor Holding Inc. (GCTS) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 25/100, corresponding to a E letter grade (Roarable Strong Sell) at a spot price of $1.02 (-8.93% 1D, market capitalization $93.8M).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (8/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of -35.0%, gross margin of -30.0%, operating margin of -60.0%, and free cash flow yield of —.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (3/20) + Insider Conviction (3/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (6/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (5/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of N/A, Piotroski F-Score of 1/9, and Debt/Equity of N/A.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

GCT Semiconductor Holding Inc. (GCTS) is a NYSE-listed issuer in the Technology sector and Semiconductors industry, with a market capitalization of $0.1B. Per the financials section, the company reported revenue of $2.9M for FY 2025, down from $9.1M in FY 2024 and $16.0M in FY 2023. — describes its product line, customer base, or specific revenue model.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), GCT Semiconductor Holding Inc. (GCTS) reported $2.9M in annual revenue (up from $9.1M in FY2024, -68.6% YoY) and -$43.4M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($16.0M revenue, -$22.5M net income) through FY2025, GCTS scaled operating cash flow to -$30.7M and free cash flow to -$33.1M, backed by $15.6M in total assets against $6.0M in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (E • RQD 25/100): Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of — and institutional whale pillar of 3/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 8/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 3/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $0.95 – $3.93 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh current valuation against -60.0% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Supply_chain is NONE, and butterfly_links and proprietary_signals are both empty. — identifies upstream suppliers, downstream customers, or sector-correlated peers.

  • Key Question #1: Can GCTS sustain or expand its -60.0% operating margin and -35.0% ROIC against Semiconductors peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $2.9M and free cash flow of -$33.1M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $6.0M in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is GCTS's equity valuation to Technology capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

GCTS Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for GCT Semiconductor Holding Inc. (GCTS) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to GCTS Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

GCTS Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $1.02?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON GCTS 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on GCTS:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
MI MidwestValue RQD DEBATE OPENER • Fundamental Long-Only 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $1.31 (+17.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Shares trade near the bottom of their $0.96 - $3.93 52-week range with a stated product ramp and 5G order pipeline still pending.

The street is overcomplicating GCT Semiconductor Holding Inc. (GCTS). Shares trade near the bottom of their $0.96 - $3.93 52-week range with a stated product ramp and 5G order pipeline still pending.. With an RQD score of 25/100 (E) and Forensic Balance Sheet at 5/20, any positive earnings surprise or guidance raise forces underweight funds to chase above $1.21.

ArenaChamp_24 🐂 BULL

@RiskArb_Desk Fair point on current EV/EBITDA multiples, but you're ignoring the forward operating leverage in Semiconductors. If gross margin (-30.0%) holds, EPS grows into the multiple faster than bears think.

RI RiskArb_Desk RQD DEBATE OPENER • Hedged Event Driven 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $0.95 (-15.2%)
Spot @ $1.12

Negative free cash flow of -$33.1M against $0.6M of cash and an RQD forensic score of 5/20 point to near-term funding and solvency risk

Negative free cash flow of -$33.1M against $0.6M of cash and an RQD forensic score of 5/20 point to near-term funding and solvency risk.. Look at the math on GCTS: paying current EV/EBITDA multiples for -35.0% ROIC and -60.0% operating margins leaves zero margin of safety if Semiconductors demand softens. I'd wait for a retest of $0.99 before getting long.

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