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VanEck Gold Miners ETF (GDX) Insider, 13F Hedge Fund & Politician Buy/Sell Thermometer

$79.15 -5.50% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $78.22

VanEck Gold Miners ETF (GDX) earns a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 36/100 RQD Confidence. As an exchange-traded fund, single-company GAAP gross margins, Altman-Z, and CEO Form 4 insider metrics are N/A for fund structure; its score reflects basket trend, institutional flow, and macro regime alignment.

ROARABLE D- • RED ALERT Cap $14.00B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is GDX stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, VanEck Gold Miners ETF (NYSE: GDX) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 36/100 at a spot price of $79.15 (-5.50% 1D, market cap $14.00B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 4/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 13/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 7/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 7/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 5/20. Across 40 tracked ETF / Index issuers, GDX ranks #35 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does GDX compare to SOXX and SLV in the ETF / Index sector?
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Within the ETF / Index sector (Senior Gold Mining Equities), GDX carries a Roarable D- (36/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of N/A (ETF), and ROIC of N/A (ETF). By comparison, SOXX (iShares Semiconductor ETF) holds a D- grade (41/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $15.00B) and SLV (iShares Silver Trust) posts a E grade (32/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $15.00B). Among the 5-stock peer group, GDX leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while GDX leads on capital efficiency (— ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for GDX?
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For VanEck Gold Miners ETF (GDX), key quantitative strengths include Diversified Senior Gold Mining Equities basket eliminates single-company earnings blowup risk and Deep intraday secondary-market liquidity with transparent underlying index holdings., while primary risk factors center on Corporate GAAP gross margin, Altman-Z, and Form 4 insider metrics are N/A for ETF fund structures and Underlying index basket remains sensitive to Federal Reserve liquidity and Treasury yield swings.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
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INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $78.22 (-1.18%)🧬 ETF Open-End Share Creation/Redemption⚙️ Cash Engine: 4/20 (E) • Liquid Basket
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (36/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-8.3% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • D-
025507510036
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk D-
Fund (4)Whales (13)Struct (7)Macro (7)Flow (5)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-9.9% Base Target
$123 Bull$71 Base$56 Bear
📬 FREE GDX RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for GDX)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±6.3%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (36/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY GDX SCORES 36/100 (D-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+13/20 pts (36% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±6.3% realized swing band)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+7/20 pts (19% of score)

Diversified basket structure mitigates single-issuer 10-K restatement risk

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Cash Engine Quality4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Composite fund yield trails top single-stock cash compounders

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
44
Grade D$83.40+4% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
41
Grade D$86.72-3.2% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
39
Grade E$83.95-5.7% Next Q
Current
36
Grade D-$79.15-8.3% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: D (44) → D- (36)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a GDX Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While GDX currently carries a cautious 36/100 (D-) rating due to Cash Engine Quality (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Diversified Senior Gold Mining Equities basket eliminates single-company earnings blowup risk.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Deep intraday secondary-market liquidity with transparent underlying index holdings.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (ETF Open-End Share Creation/Redemption) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $GDX• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “GDX Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Quarterly Rebalance / Distribution) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 36%NO 64%Trade / Inspect Odds →
SEC FORM 4 × 13F HEDGE FUNDS × CONGRESSIONAL STOCK ACT

GDX Smart-Money Thermometer: ETF / Index Composite — N/A for Fund Structure

Explore All 13F & Congress Whales →

Wide-Open SEC Form 4, 13F & Congressional Disclosure Ledger (GDX)

ETF / Index Composite — N/A for Fund Structure (single-company corporate executive Form 4 filings do not apply to index funds). Visit the Global 13F & Congressional Whale Ledger for cross-market smart-money filings.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring GDX)

  • ✓Walkthrough of GDX's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
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GDX // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -7.59%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-11-03O $83.39H $83.39L $79.15C $79.15VOL 35.52M
RES: $110.4SUP: $76.08SMA50: $90.06SMA200: $90.29
$108.2$97.77$87.35$76.93$66.51RES $110.4SUP $76.08$79.152026-05-042026-06-182026-08-052026-09-212026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

GDX Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 GDX Butterfly Map → + Track GDX →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
ETF / Index Composite — N/A for Fund Structure

Single-issuer corporate Reverse-DCF growth hurdles do not apply to index funds or ETFs.

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on GDX today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for GDX. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for GDX today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (GDX)

ETF / Index Rank #35 of 40 ⚔️ SOXX vs GDX Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head ETF / Index Peer Comparison (GDX vs. SOXX, SLV, HYG, XLP)

Industry: Senior Gold Mining Equities (1 Tracked Issuers)

Across 40 tracked ETF / Index securities in the Roarable RQD universe, VanEck Gold Miners ETF (GDX) ranks #35 by composite RQD confidence (36/100, grade D-) and #28 by equity capitalization ($14.00B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, GDX leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while GDX leads on capital efficiency and profitability with ETF composite structure and benchmark tracking. XLP currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 81/100 (A-) compared with GDX at 36/100 (D-).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
GDX ACTIVE
VanEck Gold Miners ETF
D- 36/100 — — — -5.50% $14.00B Benchmark Subject
SOXX
iShares Semiconductor ETF
D- 41/100 — — — -8.98% $15.00B /soxx-vs-gdx →
SLV
iShares Silver Trust
E 32/100 — — — -6.01% $15.00B /slv-vs-gdx →
HYG
iShares iBoxx $ High Yield Corporate Bond ETF
D 46/100 — — — -0.19% $16.00B /hyg-vs-gdx →
XLP
Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR
A- 81/100 — — — +1.39% $17.00B /xlp-vs-gdx →

2. GDX ETF Structure, Technical Regime & Benchmark Role Breakdown

EXCHANGE-TRADED FUND / COMPOSITE VEHICLE • NYSE

Because VanEck Gold Miners ETF (GDX) is structured as an exchange-traded fund / composite basket rather than a single operating corporation filing 10-K GAAP income statements, Roarable evaluates GDX on technical trend regime, moving-average dispersion, 52-week range positioning, relative strength (RSI-14), and secondary-market share volume liquidity. At $79.15, GDX trades vs. its 50-day SMA of $90.06 and 200-day SMA of $90.29 on daily liquidity of 35,517,339 shares.

50D SMA Level
$90.06
Medium-Term Trend Anchor
200D SMA Level
$90.29
Institutional Secular Line
52-Week Range Pos
22.0%
$68.20 – $117.18
RSI-14 Momentum
38.9
NEUTRAL RANGE
Volume Liquidity
35,517,339
AUM Cap $14.00B

3. GDX Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is GDX stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, VanEck Gold Miners ETF (NYSE: GDX) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 36/100 at a spot price of $79.15 (-5.50% 1D, market cap $14.00B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 4/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 13/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 7/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 7/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 5/20. Across 40 tracked ETF / Index issuers, GDX ranks #35 in composite RQD confidence.

How does GDX compare to SOXX and SLV in the ETF / Index sector?

Within the ETF / Index sector (Senior Gold Mining Equities), GDX carries a Roarable D- (36/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of N/A (ETF), and ROIC of N/A (ETF). By comparison, SOXX (iShares Semiconductor ETF) holds a D- grade (41/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $15.00B) and SLV (iShares Silver Trust) posts a E grade (32/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $15.00B). Among the 5-stock peer group, GDX leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while GDX leads on capital efficiency (— ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for GDX?

For VanEck Gold Miners ETF (GDX), key quantitative strengths include Diversified Senior Gold Mining Equities basket eliminates single-company earnings blowup risk and Deep intraday secondary-market liquidity with transparent underlying index holdings., while primary risk factors center on Corporate GAAP gross margin, Altman-Z, and Form 4 insider metrics are N/A for ETF fund structures and Underlying index basket remains sensitive to Federal Reserve liquidity and Treasury yield swings.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is GDX trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

GDX last traded at $79.15 (-5.50% on volume of 35,517,339 shares), positioning the stock -12.11% below its 50-day simple moving average ($90.06) and -12.34% below its 200-day simple moving average ($90.29). Across its 52-week range of $68.20 to $117.18, GDX sits at the 22.4% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 38.9 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±6.3% ($74.16 to $84.14).

Direct Sub-Reports: GDX RQD Cockpit GDX 12M Forecast GDX Earnings & Move GDX Dividends & DRIP GDX Insiders & 13F GDX Whale Options GDX Profit Sankey GDX News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 36/100 (D-) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

GDX — VanEck Gold Miners ETF: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2026-11-03

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

VanEck Gold Miners ETF (GDX) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 36/100, corresponding to a D- letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $79.15 (-5.50% 1D, market capitalization $14.00B).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (4/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of —, gross margin of —, operating margin of —, and free cash flow yield of —.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (13/20) + Insider Conviction (5/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (7/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (7/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of N/A, Piotroski F-Score of N/A, and Debt/Equity of N/A.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

VanEck Gold Miners ETF is an exchange-traded fund listed on the NYSE, classified under the ETF / Index sector and the Senior Gold Mining Equities industry..0B in assets under management. The fund's revenue model is not described in the source data beyond its role as an ETF offering exposure to the senior gold mining segment. Its customers are investors seeking that exposure through a listed fund structure.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (D- • RQD 36/100): Diversified Senior Gold Mining Equities basket eliminates single-company earnings blowup risk. Deep intraday secondary-market liquidity with transparent underlying index holdings. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 4/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 13/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $68.20 – $117.18 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Corporate GAAP gross margin, Altman-Z, and Form 4 insider metrics are N/A for ETF fund structures. Investors must weigh current valuation against — operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Operating in Senior Gold Mining Equities (ETF / Index), GDX carries a macro regime beta of 1.00 and gross margin of —.

  • Key Question #1: Can GDX sustain or expand its — operating margin and — ROIC against Senior Gold Mining Equities peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Will free cash flow conversion (— FCF yield) strengthen balance-sheet liquidity (Altman Z-Score N/A) toward the $117.18 52-week high?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is GDX's equity valuation to ETF / Index capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

GDX Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for VanEck Gold Miners ETF (GDX) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to GDX Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

GDX Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $79.15?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON GDX 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on GDX:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
DE DeltaGamma_99 RQD DEBATE OPENER • Options Flow Specialist 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $102.89 (+30.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Institutional whale 13F flow scores 13 of 20, the strongest pillar in the composite, with a beta of 1.0 tracking the market rather than

Here is why I am bullish on GDX here at $79.15: Institutional whale 13F flow scores 13 of 20, the strongest pillar in the composite, with a beta of 1.0 tracking the market rather than amplifying it.. Compare GDX's 0.0% operating margin and 0.0% ROIC against the rest of Senior Gold Mining Equities. As long as cash conversion holds up, dips toward $75.19 are getting bought.

EarningsSniper 🐂 BULL

@RiskArb_Desk Shorting a 13/20 institutional whale-flow stock at $79.15 is dangerous when funds are rotating into ETF / Index.

RI RiskArb_Desk RQD DEBATE OPENER • Hedged Event Driven 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $60.15 (-24.0%)
Spot @ $79.15

The composite rates GDX a Roarable Sell at 38, with zero ROIC and FCF yield, insider conviction at 4 of 20, and no earnings-based valua

The composite rates GDX a Roarable Sell at 38, with zero ROIC and FCF yield, insider conviction at 4 of 20, and no earnings-based valuation anchor available.. Look at the math on GDX: paying current EV/EBITDA multiples for 0.0% ROIC and 0.0% operating margins leaves zero margin of safety if Senior Gold Mining Equities demand softens. I'd wait for a retest of $69.65 before getting long.

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