Geospace's downgrade to Underperform reflects weak demand, shrinking margins, heavy cash outflows and mounting liquidity pressures.
Why GEOS Stock dropped -6.80% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Geospace Technologies Corporation (Texas) (GEOS) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 22/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
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Is GEOS stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Geospace Technologies Corporation (Texas) (NASDAQ: GEOS) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 22/100 at a spot price of $4.11 (-6.80% 1D, market cap $57.0M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 3/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 7/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 6/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 3/20. Across 486 tracked Industrials issuers, GEOS ranks #460 in composite RQD confidence.
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How does GEOS compare to BLNK and TGEN in the Industrials sector?
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Within the Industrials sector (Industrial Machinery/Components), GEOS carries a Roarable E (22/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 29.7%, and ROIC of -8.5%. By comparison, BLNK (Blink Charging Co.) holds a E grade (31/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $58.0M) and TGEN (Tecogen Inc.) posts a E grade (16/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $60.1M). Among the 5-stock peer group, GEOS leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while GEOS leads on capital efficiency (-8.5% ROIC).
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief)
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for GEOS?
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Per GEOS's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-09-30, CIK 0001001115), Geospace Technologies Corporation (Texas) generated $110.8M in revenue (-18.3% YoY), -$9.7M in net income, and -$30.2M in free cash flow against $144.6M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
Altman Z-Score 2.53 (WATCH ZONE (1.8–3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 2/9
FRED Regime × Technicals: 2% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 42.2 (NEUTRAL RANGE)
Dilution Drag (+1.28% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a GEOS Turnaround Squeeze
While GEOS currently carries a cautious 22/100 (E) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.
Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.
Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($4.86) and Max Pain ($4.32) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $30.21.
Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+1.28% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.
Why GEOS Stock dropped -6.80% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Geospace Technologies Corporation (Texas) (GEOS) dropped -6.80% to $4.11, trading at 2% of its 52-week range ($4.11 – $28.77). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-9% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 2% of its 52-week range ($4.11 – $28.77) with RSI-14 at 42.2 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±9.2% around $4.11 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable E (Strong Sell) backed by 29.7% gross margin and $0 annual free cash flow.
GEOS is facing weak demand, PRM timing uncertainty and cash flow pressure, but security programs, cost cuts and seismic opportunities offer growth potential.
Despite a 36% revenue decline, Geospace Technologies Corp (GEOS) secures a $10.8 million US Navy contract and advances its PRM production, positioning for future growth.
Revenue fell 36% to $15.8 million amid geopolitical headwinds and weak seismic demand.
GEOS faces broad revenue pressure and wider losses in third-quarter fiscal 2026 as weak demand hits all three businesses, while cost cuts and security contracts offer support.
Yahoo Finance coverage on GEOS stock catalysts, institutional flow, and earnings outlook.
HOUSTON, July 30, 2026--Geospace subsidiary Quantum Technology Sciences secured a $10.8M U.S. Navy contract for a Seismic Acoustic Detection and Ranging Underwater System.
HOUSTON, July 24, 2026--Geospace Technologies (NASDAQ: GEOS) today announced that it will release third quarter 2026 financial results on Thursday, August 6, 2026 after the market closes. In conjunction with the release,
Yahoo Finance coverage on GEOS stock catalysts, institutional flow, and earnings outlook.
GEOS faces losses in second-quarter fiscal 2026 despite strong growth in energy solutions and a strategic focus on tech diversification.
Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring GEOS)
- ✓Walkthrough of GEOS's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
- ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
- ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
GEOS Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
vs. -18.3% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on GEOS today. View full Setup Ledger →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for GEOS. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (GEOS)
1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (GEOS vs. BLNK, TGEN, LASE, NVX)
Industry: Industrial Machinery/Components (208 Tracked Issuers)Across 486 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Geospace Technologies Corporation (Texas) (GEOS) ranks #460 by composite RQD confidence (22/100, grade E) and #398 by equity capitalization ($57.0M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, GEOS leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while GEOS leads on capital efficiency and profitability with -8.5% ROIC and 29.7% gross margin. NVX currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 44/100 (D) compared with GEOS at 22/100 (E).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GEOS
ACTIVE
Geospace Technologies Corporation (Texas) | E | 22/100 | — | 29.7% | -8.5% | -6.80% | $57.0M | Benchmark Subject |
| BLNK Blink Charging Co. | E | 31/100 | — | 24.6% | -35.0% | +6.42% | $58.0M | /blnk-vs-geos → |
| TGEN Tecogen Inc. | E | 16/100 | — | 36.3% | -35.0% | -9.55% | $60.1M | /tgen-vs-geos → |
| LASE Laser Photonics Corporation | E | 30/100 | — | 14.4% | -35.0% | -4.35% | $48.6M | /lase-vs-geos → |
| NVX NOVONIX Limited American Depository Shares | D | 44/100 | — | — | — | -4.44% | $48.4M | /nvx-vs-geos → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-09-30 • CIK 0001001115 ↗In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-09-30), Geospace Technologies Corporation (Texas) (GEOS) reported GAAP revenue of $110.8M (-18.3% vs. FY2024 revenue of $135.6M , and -11.0% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$9.7M, operating cash flow of -$22.2M, and free cash flow of -$30.2M (-133.4% YoY). On the balance sheet, GEOS closed FY2025 with $144.6M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 2.53, Piotroski F-Score: 2/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-09-30 | $110.8M | -$9.7M | -$22.2M | -$30.2M | $144.6M | — |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-09-30 | $135.6M | -$6.6M | -$9.1M | -$12.9M | $159.9M | — |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-09-30 | $124.5M | $12.2M | $15.6M | $15.6M | — | — |
3. GEOS Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs GEOS stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-03, Geospace Technologies Corporation (Texas) (NASDAQ: GEOS) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 22/100 at a spot price of $4.11 (-6.80% 1D, market cap $57.0M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 3/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 7/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 6/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 3/20. Across 486 tracked Industrials issuers, GEOS ranks #460 in composite RQD confidence.
How does GEOS compare to BLNK and TGEN in the Industrials sector?
Within the Industrials sector (Industrial Machinery/Components), GEOS carries a Roarable E (22/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 29.7%, and ROIC of -8.5%. By comparison, BLNK (Blink Charging Co.) holds a E grade (31/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $58.0M) and TGEN (Tecogen Inc.) posts a E grade (16/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $60.1M). Among the 5-stock peer group, GEOS leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while GEOS leads on capital efficiency (-8.5% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for GEOS?
Per GEOS's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-09-30, CIK 0001001115), Geospace Technologies Corporation (Texas) generated $110.8M in revenue (-18.3% YoY), -$9.7M in net income, and -$30.2M in free cash flow against $144.6M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is GEOS trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
GEOS last traded at $4.11 (-6.80% on volume of 131,739 shares), positioning the stock -15.43% below its 50-day simple moving average ($4.86) and -50.12% below its 200-day simple moving average ($8.24). Across its 52-week range of $4.11 to $28.77, GEOS sits at the 0.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 42.2 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±9.2% ($3.73 to $4.49).
GEOS — Geospace Technologies Corporation (Texas): What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor
1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor
Geospace Technologies Corporation (Texas) (GEOS) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 22/100, corresponding to a E letter grade (Roarable Strong Sell) at a spot price of $4.11 (-6.80% 1D, market capitalization $57.0M).
- Fundamental Cash Engine (3/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of -8.5%, gross margin of 29.7%, operating margin of -10.2%, and free cash flow yield of —.
- Whale 13F & Options Flow (3/20) + Insider Conviction (3/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
- Macro Regime Fit (6/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (7/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 2.53, Piotroski F-Score of 2/9, and Debt/Equity of N/A.
2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory
Geospace Technologies Corporation (Texas) is a NASDAQ-listed issuer classified in the Industrials sector and the Industrial Machinery/Components industry. The company reports a gross margin of 29.7%.
In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-09-30), Geospace Technologies Corporation (Texas) (GEOS) reported $110.8M in annual revenue (up from $135.6M in FY2024, -18.3% YoY) and -$9.7M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($124.5M revenue, $12.2M net income) through FY2025, GEOS scaled operating cash flow to -$22.2M and free cash flow to -$30.2M, backed by $144.6M in total assets against $0 in total debt.
3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff
- 🐂 Primary Bull Case (E • RQD 22/100): Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of — and institutional whale pillar of 3/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 3/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 3/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $4.11 – $28.77 52-week range.
- 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh current valuation against -10.2% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.
4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch
Upstream and downstream dependencies cannot be mapped from the source data. Sector correlation is limited to the Industrials classification and the Beta of 1.0. Second-order bottlenecks are not identified in the source data.
- Key Question #1: Can GEOS sustain or expand its -10.2% operating margin and -8.5% ROIC against Industrial Machinery/Components peers over the next 4 quarters?
- Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $110.8M and free cash flow of -$30.2M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $0 in total debt?
- Key Question #3: How sensitive is GEOS's equity valuation to Industrials capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?
GEOS Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire
Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Geospace Technologies Corporation (Texas) (GEOS) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below
Geospace's downgrade to Underperform reflects weak demand, shrinking margins, heavy cash outflows and mounting liquidity pressures.
GEOS is facing weak demand, PRM timing uncertainty and cash flow pressure, but security programs, cost cuts and seismic opportunities offer growth potential.
Despite a 36% revenue decline, Geospace Technologies Corp (GEOS) secures a $10.8 million US Navy contract and advances its PRM production, positioning for future growth.
Revenue fell 36% to $15.8 million amid geopolitical headwinds and weak seismic demand.
GEOS faces broad revenue pressure and wider losses in third-quarter fiscal 2026 as weak demand hits all three businesses, while cost cuts and security contracts offer support.
Yahoo Finance coverage on GEOS stock catalysts, institutional flow, and earnings outlook.
HOUSTON, July 30, 2026--Geospace subsidiary Quantum Technology Sciences secured a $10.8M U.S. Navy contract for a Seismic Acoustic Detection and Ranging Underwater System.
HOUSTON, July 24, 2026--Geospace Technologies (NASDAQ: GEOS) today announced that it will release third quarter 2026 financial results on Thursday, August 6, 2026 after the market closes. In conjunction with the release,
GEOS Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $4.11?
Shares trade at $4.6 with a $59.5M market cap after a 52-week range of $4.11 to $28.77, leaving room for recovery if cash generation re
Don't sleep on GEOS's setup in Industrials. Shares trade at $4.6 with a $59.5M market cap after a 52-week range of $4.11 to $28.77, leaving room for recovery if cash generation returns.. Beta of 1.0 means it moves fast when momentum turns, and the 5-pillar RQD gauge (22/100) backs up the fundamental quality.
@RedlineAuditor Fair point on current EV/EBITDA multiples, but you're ignoring the forward operating leverage in Industrial Machinery/Components. If gross margin (29.7%) holds, EPS grows into the multiple faster than bears think.
ROIC of -8.5%, FCF yield of 0%, and an RQD score of 24 (grade E) show weak returns, negative free cash flow, and a Strong Sell verdict.
Fading this rally in GEOS at $4.41. ROIC of -8.5%, FCF yield of 0%, and an RQD score of 24 (grade E) show weak returns, negative free cash flow, and a Strong Sell verdict.. With a beta of 1.0 and the stock sitting at $4.41 (52-wk range $4.11–$28.77), the easy multiple expansion is already priced in.