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Why GHM Stock advanced +1.10% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

$70.72 +1.10% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $70.73

Graham Corporation (GHM) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 37/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D- • RED ALERT Cap $821.0M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on GHM Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is GHM stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
▼

As of 2026-11-03, Graham Corporation (NYSE: GHM) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 37/100 at a spot price of $70.72 (+1.10% 1D, market cap $821.0M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 4/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 4/20. Across 486 tracked Industrials issuers, GHM ranks #356 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does GHM compare to CYD and KRNT in the Industrials sector?
▼

Within the Industrials sector (Industrial Machinery/Components), GHM carries a Roarable D- (37/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 67.3x, gross margin of 23.5%, and ROIC of 10.9%. By comparison, CYD (China Yuchai International Limited) holds a D grade (45/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $842.3M) and KRNT (Kornit Digital Ltd.) posts a D grade (49/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -4.0%, cap $752.8M). Among the 5-stock peer group, GHM leads on earnings multiple (67.3x) while GHM leads on capital efficiency (10.9% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for GHM?
▼

Per GHM's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-03-31, CIK 0000716314), Graham Corporation generated $245.3M in revenue (+16.9% YoY), $12.5M in net income, and -$121.0K in free cash flow against $292.9M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $70.73 (+0.01%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+2.20% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 10/20 (D) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (37/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-8.1% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • D-
025507510037
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk D
Cash (10)Whales (3)SEC (16)Macro (4)CEO (4)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-9.4% Base Target
$132 Bull$64 Base$50 Bear
📬 FREE GHM RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for GHM)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±10%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (37/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY GHM SCORES 37/100 (D-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+16/20 pts (43% of score)

Altman Z-Score 4.67 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 6/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+10/20 pts (27% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0% FCF Margin ($0 FCF) & 23.5% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+2.20% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
45
Grade D$77.58-11.5% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
42
Grade D$68.65+3.5% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
40
Grade D$71.02-0.4% Next Q
Current
37
Grade D-$70.72-8.1% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: D (45) → D- (37)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a GHM Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While GHM currently carries a cautious 37/100 (D-) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($81.30) and Max Pain ($74.26) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $132.11.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.20% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $GHM• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “GHM Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 29, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 37%NO 63%Trade / Inspect Odds →
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →

Why GHM Stock advanced +1.10% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

Graham Corporation (GHM) advanced +1.10% to $70.72, trading at 25% of its 52-week range ($52.57 – $125.82). Stretched risk/reward at 67x P/E (11% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

  • ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 25% of its 52-week range ($52.57 – $125.82) with RSI-14 at 38.4 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
  • ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±10% around $70.72 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
  • ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable D- (Sell) backed by 23.5% gross margin and $0 annual free cash flow.
Live GHM Headlines & Catalysts
MARKET WIREYahoo • 4d ago
Graham Corp.’s (GHM) Shares Pull Back on Margin Compression

Conestoga Capital Advisors, an asset management company, released its third-quarter 2026 investor letter. The letter can be downloaded here. Conestoga Capital Advisors released its third-quarter 2026 investor letter, out

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring GHM)

  • ✓Walkthrough of GHM's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
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GHM // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -24.51%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL
2026-11-03O $71.69H $71.69L $69.95C $70.72VOL 136.9K
RES: $101.3SUP: $58.34SMA50: $81.30SMA200: $91.29
$130.2$111.9$93.60$75.28$56.95RES $101.3SUP $58.34$70.722026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

GHM Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 GHM Butterfly Map → + Track GHM →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
44.7%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +16.9% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on GHM today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for GHM. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for GHM today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (GHM)

Industrials Rank #356 of 486 ⚔️ CYD vs GHM Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (GHM vs. CYD, KRNT, MLAB, ENVX)

Industry: Industrial Machinery/Components (208 Tracked Issuers)

Across 486 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Graham Corporation (GHM) ranks #356 by composite RQD confidence (37/100, grade D-) and #267 by equity capitalization ($821.0M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, GHM leads on earnings valuation at 67.3x trailing P/E, while GHM leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 10.9% ROIC and 23.5% gross margin. MLAB currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 59/100 (C-) compared with GHM at 37/100 (D-).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
GHM ACTIVE
Graham Corporation
D- 37/100 67.3x 23.5% 10.9% +1.10% $821.0M Benchmark Subject
CYD
China Yuchai International Limited
D 45/100 — — — -1.87% $842.3M /cyd-vs-ghm →
KRNT
Kornit Digital Ltd.
D 49/100 — 44.3% -4.0% -0.46% $752.8M /krnt-vs-ghm →
MLAB
Mesa Laboratories Inc.
C- 59/100 110.9x 63.5% 9.3% -4.57% $715.2M /mlab-vs-ghm →
ENVX
Enovix Corporation
E 22/100 — 19.2% -20.5% -5.71% $691.3M /envx-vs-ghm →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2026-03-31 • CIK 0000716314 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2026-03-31), Graham Corporation (GHM) reported GAAP revenue of $245.3M (+16.9% vs. FY2024 revenue of $209.9M , and +32.2% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $12.5M, operating cash flow of $15.9M, and free cash flow of -$121.0K (-102.3% YoY). On the balance sheet, GHM closed FY2025 with $292.9M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 4.67, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2026-03-31 $245.3M $12.5M $15.9M -$121.0K $292.9M —
FY2024 (FY) 2025-03-31 $209.9M $12.2M $24.3M $5.4M $264.3M —
FY2023 (FY) 2024-03-31 $185.5M $4.6M $28.1M $28.1M — —

3. GHM Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is GHM stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Graham Corporation (NYSE: GHM) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 37/100 at a spot price of $70.72 (+1.10% 1D, market cap $821.0M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 4/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 4/20. Across 486 tracked Industrials issuers, GHM ranks #356 in composite RQD confidence.

How does GHM compare to CYD and KRNT in the Industrials sector?

Within the Industrials sector (Industrial Machinery/Components), GHM carries a Roarable D- (37/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 67.3x, gross margin of 23.5%, and ROIC of 10.9%. By comparison, CYD (China Yuchai International Limited) holds a D grade (45/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $842.3M) and KRNT (Kornit Digital Ltd.) posts a D grade (49/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -4.0%, cap $752.8M). Among the 5-stock peer group, GHM leads on earnings multiple (67.3x) while GHM leads on capital efficiency (10.9% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for GHM?

Per GHM's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-03-31, CIK 0000716314), Graham Corporation generated $245.3M in revenue (+16.9% YoY), $12.5M in net income, and -$121.0K in free cash flow against $292.9M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is GHM trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

GHM last traded at $70.72 (+1.10% on volume of 124,762 shares), positioning the stock -13.01% below its 50-day simple moving average ($81.30) and -22.53% below its 200-day simple moving average ($91.29). Across its 52-week range of $52.57 to $125.82, GHM sits at the 24.8% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 38.4 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±10.0% ($63.65 to $77.79).

Direct Sub-Reports: GHM RQD Cockpit GHM 12M Forecast GHM Earnings & Move GHM Dividends & DRIP GHM Insiders & 13F GHM Whale Options GHM Profit Sankey GHM News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 37/100 (D-) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

GHM — Graham Corporation: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2026-03-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Graham Corporation (GHM) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 37/100, corresponding to a D- letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $70.72 (+1.10% 1D, market capitalization $821.0M).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (10/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 10.9%, gross margin of 23.5%, operating margin of 6.1%, and free cash flow yield of -0.01%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (3/20) + Insider Conviction (4/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (4/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (16/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 4.67, Piotroski F-Score of 6/9, and Debt/Equity of N/A.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Graham Corporation (GHM) is a NYSE-listed issuer in the Industrials sector, operating in Industrial Machinery/Components..8B. — for specific products, customer base, or revenue mix. Per the market data, gross margin is 23.5%, operating margin 6.1%, and net margin 5.1%.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2026-03-31), Graham Corporation (GHM) reported $245.3M in annual revenue (up from $209.9M in FY2024, +16.9% YoY) and $12.5M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($185.5M revenue, $4.6M net income) through FY2025, GHM scaled operating cash flow to $15.9M and free cash flow to -$121.0K, backed by $292.9M in total assets against $0 in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (D- • RQD 37/100): Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs. Free cash flow yield of -0.01% and institutional whale pillar of 3/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 10/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 3/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $52.57 – $125.82 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh 67.3x trailing P/E and 28.6x EV/EBITDA against 6.1% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

— The Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph lists no upstream or downstream dependencies, no sector correlations, and no bottleneck relationships. The only sector context is the Industrials / Industrial Machinery/Components classification from the profile, and the source does not describe customer or supplier linkages.

  • Key Question #1: Can GHM sustain or expand its 6.1% operating margin and 10.9% ROIC against Industrial Machinery/Components peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $245.3M and free cash flow of -$121.0K, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $0 in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is GHM's 56.5x forward P/E multiple to Industrials capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

GHM Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Graham Corporation (GHM) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to GHM Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

GHM Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $70.72?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON GHM 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on GHM:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
DE DeepValue_CFA RQD DEBATE OPENER • Institutional Buy-Side 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $91.63 (+31.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Forensic balance sheet scores 16/20 with Altman Z 4.67, Piotroski F 6/9, and Debt/Equity 0.5, and ROIC of 10.9% shows the business earn

Don't sleep on GHM's setup in Industrials. Forensic balance sheet scores 16/20 with Altman Z 4.67, Piotroski F 6/9, and Debt/Equity 0.5, and ROIC of 10.9% shows the business earns a solid return on invested capital.. Beta of 1.0 means it moves fast when momentum turns, and the 5-pillar RQD gauge (37/100) backs up the fundamental quality.

CapAlloc_Nerd 🐂 BULL

@DeepValue_CFA Agree on the RQD 37/100 quality, though with 1.0 beta I'm scaling in with half-size at $69.95 and keeping dry powder in case we test $65.05.

RE RedlineAuditor RQD DEBATE OPENER • Accounting Quality Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $53.16 (-24.0%)
Spot @ $69.95

Free cash flow fell from $28.1M in FY 2023 to -$0.1M in FY 2025, FCF yield is -0.01%, and the stock trades at 67.3x TTM earnings with i

Fading this rally in GHM at $69.95. Free cash flow fell from $28.1M in FY 2023 to -$0.1M in FY 2025, FCF yield is -0.01%, and the stock trades at 67.3x TTM earnings with institutional and insider pillars scoring 3/20 and 4/20.. With a beta of 1.0 and the stock sitting at $69.95 (52-wk range $52.57–$125.82), the easy multiple expansion is already priced in.

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