Why GPGI Stock dropped -3.62% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

$11.18 -3.62% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $11.09

GPGI Inc. (Class A) (GPGI) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 22/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE E • RED ALERT Cap $3.36B
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is GPGI stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-02, GPGI Inc. (Class A) (NYSE: GPGI) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 22/100 at a spot price of $11.18 (-3.62% 1D, market cap $3.36B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 3/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 5/20, Executive Insider Alignment 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 3/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, GPGI ranks #1087 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does GPGI compare to PFSI and SLM in the Financials sector?
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Within the Financials sector (Finance: Consumer Services), GPGI carries a Roarable E (22/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -6.5%. By comparison, PFSI (PennyMac Financial Services Inc.) holds a D- grade (41/100 RQD, P/E 6.7x, ROIC 11.6%, cap $3.35B) and SLM (SLM Corporation) posts a D- grade (38/100 RQD, P/E 4.5x, ROIC 7.4%, cap $3.34B). Among the 5-stock peer group, SLM leads on earnings multiple (4.5x) while PURR leads on capital efficiency (33.0% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for GPGI?
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Per GPGI's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001823144), GPGI Inc. (Class A) generated $59.8M in revenue (-85.8% YoY), -$136.0M in net income, and -$22.9M in free cash flow against $517.3M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

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INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $11.09 (-0.84%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 3/20 (E) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (22/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-11.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • E
025507510022
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk E
Cash (3)Whales (5)SEC (8)Macro (3)CEO (3)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-16.2% Base Target
$28 Bull$9 Base$7 Bear
📬 FREE GPGI RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for GPGI)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±11.6%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (22/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY GPGI SCORES 22/100 (E) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+8/20 pts (36% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 2/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+5/20 pts (23% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±11.6% realized swing band)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
30
Grade E$12.68-2% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
27
Grade E$12.43-14% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
25
Grade E$10.69+4.6% Next Q
Current
22
Grade E$11.18-11.4% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: E (30) → E (22)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a GPGI Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While GPGI currently carries a cautious 22/100 (E) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($12.53) and Max Pain ($11.74) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $28.12.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $GPGI• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “GPGI Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →

Why GPGI Stock dropped -3.62% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

GPGI Inc. (Class A) (GPGI) dropped -3.62% to $11.18, trading at 5% of its 52-week range ($10.43 – $26.78). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-7% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

  • ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 5% of its 52-week range ($10.43 – $26.78) with RSI-14 at 45.1 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
  • ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±11.6% around $11.18 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
  • ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable E (Strong Sell) backed by 52% gross margin and $0 annual free cash flow.
Live GPGI Headlines & Catalysts
MARKET WIREInvesting.com • 11h ago
GPGI stock hits 52-week low at 11.16 USD

Investing.com report covering GPGI Inc. (Class A) (GPGI) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

MARKET WIRESimply Wall St • 20h ago
Why Did GPGI (GPGI) Move Today?

Simply Wall St report covering GPGI Inc. (Class A) (GPGI) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

MARKET WIREYahoo • 5d ago
Carlisle (CSL) Lags Q3 Earnings Estimates

Carlisle (CSL) delivered earnings and revenue surprises of -0.50% and +2.54%, respectively, for the quarter ended September 2026. Do the numbers hold clues to what lies ahead for the stock?

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Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring GPGI)

  • ✓Walkthrough of GPGI's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
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GPGI // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -29.82%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL
2026-11-02O $11.14H $11.60L $11.14C $11.18VOL 1.28M
RES: $12.75SUP: $9.98SMA50: $12.53SMA200: $15.78
$20.19$17.54$14.90$12.25$9.61RES $12.75SUP $9.98$11.182026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-172026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

GPGI Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -65.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on GPGI today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for GPGI. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for GPGI today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (GPGI)

Financials Rank #1087 of 1096 ⚔️ PFSI vs GPGI Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (GPGI vs. PFSI, SLM, GBDC, PURR)

Industry: Finance: Consumer Services (156 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, GPGI Inc. (Class A) (GPGI) ranks #1087 by composite RQD confidence (22/100, grade E) and #339 by equity capitalization ($3.36B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, SLM leads on earnings valuation at 4.5x trailing P/E, while PURR leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 33.0% ROIC and — gross margin. PURR currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 71/100 (B-) compared with GPGI at 22/100 (E).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
GPGI ACTIVE
GPGI Inc. (Class A)
E 22/100 — — -6.5% -3.62% $3.36B Benchmark Subject
PFSI
PennyMac Financial Services Inc.
D- 41/100 6.7x — 11.6% -2.31% $3.35B /pfsi-vs-gpgi →
SLM
SLM Corporation
D- 38/100 4.5x — 7.4% -2.47% $3.34B /slm-vs-gpgi →
GBDC
Golub Capital BDC Inc.
D- 40/100 8.8x — 9.6% -0.47% $3.32B /gbdc-vs-gpgi →
PURR
Hyperliquid Strategies Inc
B- 71/100 32.8x — 33.0% -10.41% $3.42B /purr-vs-gpgi →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001823144

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), GPGI Inc. (Class A) (GPGI) reported GAAP revenue of $59.8M (-85.8% vs. FY2024 revenue of $420.6M , and -84.7% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$136.0M, operating cash flow of -$22.9M, and free cash flow of -$22.9M (-118.7% YoY). On the balance sheet, GPGI closed FY2025 with $517.3M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 2/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $59.8M -$136.0M -$22.9M -$22.9M $517.3M —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $420.6M -$83.2M $129.6M $122.1M $473.9M $184.4M
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $390.6M $112.5M $104.3M $104.3M — —

3. GPGI Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is GPGI stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, GPGI Inc. (Class A) (NYSE: GPGI) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 22/100 at a spot price of $11.18 (-3.62% 1D, market cap $3.36B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 3/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 5/20, Executive Insider Alignment 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 3/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, GPGI ranks #1087 in composite RQD confidence.

How does GPGI compare to PFSI and SLM in the Financials sector?

Within the Financials sector (Finance: Consumer Services), GPGI carries a Roarable E (22/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -6.5%. By comparison, PFSI (PennyMac Financial Services Inc.) holds a D- grade (41/100 RQD, P/E 6.7x, ROIC 11.6%, cap $3.35B) and SLM (SLM Corporation) posts a D- grade (38/100 RQD, P/E 4.5x, ROIC 7.4%, cap $3.34B). Among the 5-stock peer group, SLM leads on earnings multiple (4.5x) while PURR leads on capital efficiency (33.0% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for GPGI?

Per GPGI's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001823144), GPGI Inc. (Class A) generated $59.8M in revenue (-85.8% YoY), -$136.0M in net income, and -$22.9M in free cash flow against $517.3M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is GPGI trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

GPGI last traded at $11.18 (-3.62% on volume of 2,523,442 shares), positioning the stock -10.77% below its 50-day simple moving average ($12.53) and -29.15% below its 200-day simple moving average ($15.78). Across its 52-week range of $10.43 to $26.78, GPGI sits at the 4.6% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 45.1 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±11.6% ($9.88 to $12.48).

GPGI Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Why is GPGI stock moving today?

Why GPGI Stock dropped -3.62% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-7% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 22/100 (E) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

GPGI — GPGI Inc. (Class A): What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:23:34Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, GPGI scores 22 out of 100 with a letter grade of E, labeled "Roarable Strong Sell — Forensic Risk / Avoid." The five pillars are:

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (3/20): Return on invested capital is -6.5% and free cash flow yield is -0.68%. For a prospective investor, this means the business is not currently generating returns above its cost of capital or positive cash to shareholders, which weakens any valuation case built on cash generation.
  • Whale 13F Flow (5/20): The rating reflects institutional accumulation and options positioning, but the source provides no further detail on holder activity (see the Analyst View section).
  • Insider Conviction (3/20): The rating reflects SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow scored as weak. For a prospective investor, the absence of insider conviction is a negative signal rather than a neutral one.
  • Macro Regime Fit (3/20): Beta is 1.0 and the rating reflects sector sensitivity. The stock's moves are therefore tied to broad market swings without a clear macro tailwind identified in the source data.
  • Forensic Balance Sheet (8/20): Altman Z-Score is 2.5, Piotroski F-Score is 2/9, and Debt/Equity is 0.5. A weak Piotroski score and modest Altman reading point to limited financial-quality strength.

Upside drivers: The only near-term upside lever visible in the source is a potential reversal in cash generation or institutional accumulation, neither of which the data shows as established.

Valuation tradeoff: With negative ROIC and negative FCF yield, traditional earnings-based valuation is not supported by the reported figures. Price action alone (shares near the low end of the 52-week range) does not indicate value.

Overall implication: The composite rating signals elevated forensic and fundamental risk. This is an educational reading of the data, not personalized financial advice.

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025$59.8M$-13.7M$-136.0MN/A$-22.9M$114.6MN/A
FY 2024$420.6M$107.6M$-83.2MN/A$122.1M$77.5M$184.4M
FY 2023$390.6M$119.1M$112.5MN/A$104.3MN/AN/A

Per the SEC financials, revenue fell from $420.6M in FY 2024 to $59.8M in FY 2025, and operating income moved from $107.6M to $-13.7M. The market data reports a gross margin of 0%, an operating margin of -23%, and a net margin of -60%, with ROIC at -6.5%. The Altman Z-Score of 2.5 and Piotroski F-Score of 2/9 are cited in the Roarable RQD rating. Per the same rating, Debt/Equity is 0.5; the balance sheet posture is therefore moderate on leverage but weak on quality signals.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

  • Multiple news items dated within the last 15 hours reference GPGI's market action and institutional positioning, with a 52-week low at 11.16 USD reported by Investing.com.
  • Stock Titan reports that third-quarter results will be published before GPGI's Nov. 5 call.
  • Benzinga lists a Q2 2026 earnings call transcript as available.
  • All news items are tagged with YELLOW signal lights and MARKET WIRE impact labels, with no further proprietary signal detail provided.
  • Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, there are no proprietary signals and no supply-chain links.

Risk watch: The scheduled Q3 results and the Nov. 5 call are the nearest identifiable catalysts in the source data.

Open Questions

  • What specific products, services, and customers generate GPGI's revenue, and why did FY 2025 revenue fall to $59.8M from $420.6M?
  • What drove the FY 2025 net loss of $-136.0M, and is it operating, impairment, or non-recurring in nature?
  • What are the reported EPS, P/E, and EV/EBITDA figures, which the source data lists as unavailable?
  • Who are the institutional and insider holders, and what is the direction of their recent activity?
  • What do the scheduled Q3 results disclose about cash generation, debt levels, and the drivers of the FY 2025 decline?

GPGI Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for GPGI Inc. (Class A) (GPGI) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to GPGI Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

GPGI Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $11.18?

🐂 33% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON GPGI 🐻 67% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on GPGI:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $10.21 (-12.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is GPGI (E • RQD 22/100) a Buy at $11.60?

Welcome to the GPGI (GPGI Inc. (Class A)) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 22/100 (Roarable Strong Sell — Forensic Risk / Avoid) in Finance: Consumer Services. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

FO ForensicBear Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $9.16 (-21.0%)
Spot @ $11.60

Pump the brakes on GPGI — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on GPGI, but look at what you are paying: current EV/EBITDA multiples with tightening sector spreads. Unless GPGI Inc. (Class A) expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

CA CashFlowKing Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $14.38 (+24.0%)
Spot @ $11.60

GPGI cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on GPGI, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Finance: Consumer Services and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $11.60 (52-wk range $10.43 - $26.78), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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