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Gulfport Energy Corporation (GPOR) Options Positioning, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$166.56 -0.61% NYSE β€’ Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $166.06

Gulfport Energy Corporation (GPOR) carries a Roarable Rating of C+ (Hold) with 66/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

ROARABLE C+ β€’ HOLD / WATCH Cap $2.96B
πŸ“€ Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚑ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW β€’ $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on GPOR Below β€” or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
πŸ€– Mara Quenwick β€’ AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is GPOR stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
β–Ό

As of 2026-11-03, Gulfport Energy Corporation (NYSE: GPOR) is rated C+ (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 66/100 at a spot price of $166.56 (-0.61% 1D, market cap $2.96B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 17/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 11/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 14/20. Across 211 tracked Energy issuers, GPOR ranks #58 in composite RQD confidence.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Ellis Vennor β€’ AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does GPOR compare to SDRL and NOG in the Energy sector?
β–Ό

Within the Energy sector (Oil & Gas Production), GPOR carries a Roarable C+ (66/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 6.8x, gross margin of 74.8%, and ROIC of 18.1%. By comparison, SDRL (Seadrill Limited) holds a D grade (48/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 1.2%, cap $2.99B) and NOG (Northern Oil and Gas Inc.) posts a C grade (62/100 RQD, P/E 76.4x, ROIC 9.2%, cap $2.75B). Among the 5-stock peer group, GPOR leads on earnings multiple (6.8x) while GPOR leads on capital efficiency (18.1% ROIC).

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Gideon Ashmere β€’ AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for GPOR?
β–Ό

Per GPOR's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000874499), Gulfport Energy Corporation generated $1.42B in revenue (+48.5% YoY), $428.0M in net income, and $803.2M in free cash flow against $3.03B in total assets and $788.2M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (74.8% gross margin)β€”profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists β€” not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
πŸ›‘οΈ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $166.06 (-0.30%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.80% YoY Shares)βš™οΈ Cash Engine: 17/20 (A-) β€’ 56.5% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit β†’
πŸ“Š Historical Track Record: Scores of 66/100 (C+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY β€’ 56.0% hit rate β€” wait for RQD β‰₯ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record β†’
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH β€’ C+
025507510066
2-of-3 Quant Analysts Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) β€” not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR RQD RADARRw C Β· Rk C+
Cash (17)Whales (8)SEC (16)Macro (11)CEO (14)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+3.6% Base Target
$237 Bull$173 Base$135 Bear
πŸ“¬ FREE GPOR RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot on file for GPOR)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: Β±5.4%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (66/100 Composite)
πŸ” WHY GPOR SCORES 66/100 (C+) β€” TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
β–² #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+17/20 pts (26% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 56.5% FCF Margin ($803.2M FCF) & 74.8% Gross Margin

β–² #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+16/20 pts (24% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.39 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) β€’ Piotroski F-Score 8/9

β–Ό #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning8/20 pts (-12 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-12 pts vs max)

πŸ“ˆ PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 β†’ Q2 β†’ Q3 β†’ Current
Q1 (-3Q)
58
Grade C$165.59-4.6% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
61
Grade C$158.01+5% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
63
Grade C+$165.91+0.4% Next Q
Current
66
Grade C+$166.56+1.4% Hist 90D Ξ±
Trajectory: C (58) β†’ C+ (66)Full Audit β†’
βš”οΈ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

βš”οΈ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the GPOR Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk β†’

Even with a 66/100 (C+) score, GPOR faces multiple-compression risk if 6.8x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-1.80% YoY Shares) β€” any gross margin slip below 72.3% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($166.01) or 200D SMA ($178.76) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($172.56) toward Bear Floor ($134.60).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $GPORβ€’ $2.4M Crowd Pool β€’ Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: β€œGPOR Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 66%NO 34%Trade / Inspect Odds β†’
CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE
β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
Put/Call Ratio: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET
β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
No active options chain max-pain snapshot on file
HISTORICAL 20D VOLATILITY SWING
Β±5.4%
Derived from 20D OHLCV bars (No Active Options Snapshot)

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (GPOR)

β€” (No Active Options Snapshot) β€” No unusual CBOE strike concentration anomalies recorded in the current database snapshot for GPOR.

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Whale Flow & Momentum Playbook: Evaluating GPOR & AI Leaders Without Chasing Tops

  • βœ“Institutional whale strikes & implied earnings move audit on GPOR
  • βœ“How disciplined traders manage risk using pre-published trigger & invalidation levels
  • βœ“Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on tracked leaders
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GPOR // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -14.69%⚑ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-11-04O $166.5H $167.6L $166.5C $166.6VOL 384.5K
RES: $168.9SUP: $149.8SMA50: $166.0SMA200: $178.8
$204.0$189.1$174.3$159.4$144.6RES $168.9SUP $149.8$166.62026-05-052026-06-182026-08-052026-09-212026-11-04
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

GPOR Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

πŸ¦‹ GPOR Butterfly Map β†’ + Track GPOR β†’
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
-8.5%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +48.5% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on GPOR today. View full Setup Ledger β†’

πŸ¦‹ Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph β†’

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for GPOR. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for GPOR today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk β†’
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT β€’ SEC EDGAR XBRL Γ— RQD PEER BENCHMARK

πŸ“Š Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (GPOR)

Energy Rank #58 of 211 βš”οΈ SDRL vs GPOR Full Matrix β†’

1. Head-to-Head Energy Peer Comparison (GPOR vs. SDRL, NOG, TALO, CPK)

Industry: Oil & Gas Production (106 Tracked Issuers)

Across 211 tracked Energy securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Gulfport Energy Corporation (GPOR) ranks #58 by composite RQD confidence (66/100, grade C+) and #106 by equity capitalization ($2.96B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, GPOR leads on earnings valuation at 6.8x trailing P/E, while GPOR leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 18.1% ROIC and 74.8% gross margin. GPOR currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 66/100 (C+).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
GPOR ACTIVE
Gulfport Energy Corporation
C+ 66/100 6.8x 74.8% 18.1% -0.61% $2.96B Benchmark Subject
SDRL
Seadrill Limited
D 48/100 β€” β€” 1.2% -2.95% $2.99B /sdrl-vs-gpor β†’
NOG
Northern Oil and Gas Inc.
C 62/100 76.4x 80.9% 9.2% -3.18% $2.75B /nog-vs-gpor β†’
TALO
Talos Energy Inc.
C- 60/100 β€” β€” -14.6% -2.19% $2.75B /talo-vs-gpor β†’
CPK
Chesapeake Utilities Corporation
D+ 58/100 23.3x β€” 6.9% -0.89% $3.36B /cpk-vs-gpor β†’

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K β€’ FILED 2025-12-31 β€’ CIK 0000874499 β†—

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Gulfport Energy Corporation (GPOR) reported GAAP revenue of $1.42B (+48.5% vs. FY2024 revenue of $958.1M , and -20.6% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $428.0M, operating cash flow of $803.2M, and free cash flow of $803.2M (+23.6% YoY). On the balance sheet, GPOR closed FY2025 with $3.03B in total assets against $788.2M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 3.39, Piotroski F-Score: 8/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $1.42B $428.0M $803.2M $803.2M $3.03B $788.2M
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $958.1M -$261.0M $650.0M $650.0M $2.87B $702.9M
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $1.79B $1.47B $723.2M $723.2M β€” β€”

3. GPOR Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

βœ“ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is GPOR stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Gulfport Energy Corporation (NYSE: GPOR) is rated C+ (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 66/100 at a spot price of $166.56 (-0.61% 1D, market cap $2.96B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 17/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 11/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 14/20. Across 211 tracked Energy issuers, GPOR ranks #58 in composite RQD confidence.

How does GPOR compare to SDRL and NOG in the Energy sector?

Within the Energy sector (Oil & Gas Production), GPOR carries a Roarable C+ (66/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 6.8x, gross margin of 74.8%, and ROIC of 18.1%. By comparison, SDRL (Seadrill Limited) holds a D grade (48/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 1.2%, cap $2.99B) and NOG (Northern Oil and Gas Inc.) posts a C grade (62/100 RQD, P/E 76.4x, ROIC 9.2%, cap $2.75B). Among the 5-stock peer group, GPOR leads on earnings multiple (6.8x) while GPOR leads on capital efficiency (18.1% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for GPOR?

Per GPOR's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000874499), Gulfport Energy Corporation generated $1.42B in revenue (+48.5% YoY), $428.0M in net income, and $803.2M in free cash flow against $3.03B in total assets and $788.2M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (74.8% gross margin)β€”profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is GPOR trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

GPOR last traded at $166.56 (-0.61% on volume of 542,378 shares), positioning the stock +0.33% above its 50-day simple moving average ($166.01) and -6.82% below its 200-day simple moving average ($178.76). Across its 52-week range of $149.18 to $225.78, GPOR sits at the 22.7% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 55.3 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of Β±5.4% ($157.57 to $175.55).

Direct Sub-Reports: GPOR RQD Cockpit GPOR 12M Forecast GPOR Earnings & Move GPOR Dividends & DRIP GPOR Insiders & 13F GPOR Whale Options GPOR Profit Sankey GPOR News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF β€’ RQD 66/100 (C+) βœ“ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

GPOR β€” Gulfport Energy Corporation: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Gulfport Energy Corporation (GPOR) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 66/100, corresponding to a C+ letter grade (Roarable Hold) at a spot price of $166.56 (-0.61% 1D, market capitalization $2.96B).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (17/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 18.1%, gross margin of 74.8%, operating margin of 42.2%, and free cash flow yield of β€”.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (8/20) + Insider Conviction (14/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (11/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (16/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 3.39, Piotroski F-Score of 8/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.43x.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Gulfport Energy Corporation is a NYSE-listed issuer in the Energy sector, operating in the Oil & Gas Production industry. It has a market capitalization of $2.9B. Revenue trends are described in the Financial Trend section below.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Gulfport Energy Corporation (GPOR) reported $1.42B in annual revenue (up from $958.1M in FY2024, +48.5% YoY) and $428.0M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($1.79B revenue, $1.47B net income) through FY2025, GPOR scaled operating cash flow to $803.2M and free cash flow to $803.2M, backed by $3.03B in total assets against $788.2M in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • πŸ‚ Primary Bull Case (C+ β€’ RQD 66/100): Strong cash generator (74.8% gross margin)β€”profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks. Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 17/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 8/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $149.18 – $225.78 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run. Investors must weigh 6.8x trailing P/E and 6.2x EV/EBITDA against 42.2% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Investors should note that the absence of mapped links means ripple effects from commodity or peer moves cannot be quantified from this dossier.

  • Key Question #1: Can GPOR sustain or expand its 42.2% operating margin and 18.1% ROIC against Oil & Gas Production peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $1.42B and free cash flow of $803.2M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $788.2M in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is GPOR's 5.7x forward P/E multiple to Energy capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

GPOR Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Gulfport Energy Corporation (GPOR) β€’ Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

πŸ’¬ Jump to GPOR Debate Forum (3) ↓
πŸ”₯ THE ROAR PIT β€’ LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

GPOR Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board β€” What's Your Call at $166.56?

πŸ‚ 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON GPOR 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on GPOR:
πŸ’‘ Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
DE DeepValue_CFA RQD DEBATE OPENER β€’ Institutional Buy-Side πŸ‚ BULLISH 🎯 Target: $201.50 (+21.0%)
πŸ“Œ Pinned Debate

Forensic balance sheet and cash engine are strong, with Piotroski F 8/9 and ROIC 18.1% alongside P/E TTM of 6.8.

Forensic balance sheet and cash engine are strong, with Piotroski F 8/9 and ROIC 18.1% alongside P/E TTM of 6.8.. When you look under the hood at GPOR, Fundamental Cash Engine is 17/20 with 74.8% gross margins and 18.1% ROIC. Bears are staring in the rearview mirror while institutional 13F flow (8/20) has been quietly accumulating below $225.78. My 12M target is $201.50.

VolSurface_Trader πŸ‚ BULL

Both sides have a point here β€” GPOR's 16/20 balance sheet score keeps downside contained, so the real swing factor next earnings call is backlog and FCF conversion.

FO ForensicBear RQD DEBATE OPENER β€’ 10-K Footnote Auditor 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $136.55 (-18.0%)
Spot @ $166.53

Institutional flow scores only 7/20 and FY 2025 debt rose to $788.2M against cash of just $1.8M.

Institutional flow scores only 7/20 and FY 2025 debt rose to $788.2M against cash of just $1.8M.. Look at the math on GPOR: paying 6.8x trailing P/E for 18.1% ROIC and 42.2% operating margins leaves zero margin of safety if Oil & Gas Production demand softens. I'd wait for a retest of $146.55 before getting long.

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