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Grindr Inc. (GRND) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±8.8% Move

$12.65 -1.94% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $12.58

Grindr Inc. (GRND) carries a Roarable Rating of C (Hold) with 64/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

ROARABLE C • HOLD / WATCH Cap $2.20B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is GRND stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Grindr Inc. (NYSE: GRND) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 64/100 at a spot price of $12.65 (-1.94% 1D, market cap $2.20B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 19/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 4/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 19/20. Across 715 tracked Technology issuers, GRND ranks #156 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does GRND compare to CSQR and DV in the Technology sector?
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Within the Technology sector (Computer Software: Programming Data Processing), GRND carries a Roarable C (64/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 23.7x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 29.7%. By comparison, CSQR (Csquare Inc.) holds a D- grade (42/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $2.21B) and DV (DoubleVerify Holdings Inc.) posts a B+ grade (78/100 RQD, P/E 41.5x, ROIC 7.2%, cap $2.10B). Among the 5-stock peer group, GRND leads on earnings multiple (23.7x) while GRND leads on capital efficiency (29.7% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for GRND?
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Per GRND's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001820144), Grindr Inc. generated $439.9M in revenue (+27.6% YoY), $94.8M in net income, and $140.8M in free cash flow against $531.0M in total assets and $375.9M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $12.58 (-0.54%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-3.20% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 19/20 (A+) • 32% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 64/100 (C) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.1% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 55.2% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C
025507510064
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw B- · Rk D+
Cash (19)Whales (4)SEC (14)Macro (8)CEO (19)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+2.7% Base Target
$19 Bull$13 Base$10 Bear
📬 FREE GRND RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for GRND)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±8.8%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (64/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY GRND SCORES 64/100 (C) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+19/20 pts (30% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 32% FCF Margin ($140.8M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+19/20 pts (30% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 86% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-3.20% YoY Shares)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-16 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
72
Grade B$15.47-9.1% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
69
Grade B-$14.06-8% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
67
Grade B-$12.94-2.2% Next Q
Current
64
Grade C$12.65+1.1% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: B (72) → C (64)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the GRND Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 64/100 (C) score, GRND faces multiple-compression risk if 23.7x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-3.20% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($14.77) or 200D SMA ($13.63) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($12.99) toward Bear Floor ($10.13).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $GRND• $4.8M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “GRND Beats Next Quarterly Revenue & EPS Consensus + Hyperscaler AI CapEx Holds Record Pace”
NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 30, 2026 (~56 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±8.8% Swing Band

±$1.11 Expected Swing
$11.54 (-8.8%)Spot $12.65$13.76 (+8.8%)
MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

GRND Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 64/100

Trailing EPS: $0.55 • YoY Revenue Growth: 27.6%

Model Bullish Setup (64/100)Model Risk Weight (36/100)
Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).
LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

PeriodFiledRevenueNet ProfitFree Cash FlowGross Margin
FY 20252025-12-31$439.9M$94.8M$140.8M52%
FY 20242024-12-31$344.6M-$131.0M$94.0M52%
FY 20232023-12-31$259.7M-$55.8M$36.1M52%
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher + Options & Swing Structure Desk

Whale Flow & Momentum Playbook: Evaluating GRND & AI Leaders Without Chasing Tops

  • ✓Institutional whale strikes & implied earnings move audit on GRND
  • ✓How disciplined traders manage risk using pre-published trigger & invalidation levels
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on tracked leaders
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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GRND // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -7.33%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-11-03O $12.90H $12.90L $12.65C $12.65VOL 1.31M
RES: $15.19SUP: $12.48SMA50: $14.77SMA200: $13.63
$19.07$16.70$14.32$11.94$9.56RES $15.19SUP $12.48$12.652026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

GRND Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
17.5%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +27.6% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on GRND today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for GRND. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for GRND today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (GRND)

Technology Rank #156 of 715 ⚔️ CSQR vs GRND Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (GRND vs. CSQR, DV, RUM, PPLI)

Industry: Computer Software: Programming Data Processing (72 Tracked Issuers)

Across 715 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Grindr Inc. (GRND) ranks #156 by composite RQD confidence (64/100, grade C) and #283 by equity capitalization ($2.20B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, GRND leads on earnings valuation at 23.7x trailing P/E, while GRND leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 29.7% ROIC and — gross margin. DV currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 78/100 (B+) compared with GRND at 64/100 (C).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
GRND ACTIVE
Grindr Inc.
C 64/100 23.7x — 29.7% -1.94% $2.20B Benchmark Subject
CSQR
Csquare Inc.
D- 42/100 — — — -11.10% $2.21B /csqr-vs-grnd →
DV
DoubleVerify Holdings Inc.
B+ 78/100 41.5x 82.2% 7.2% -0.07% $2.10B /dv-vs-grnd →
RUM
RUM Group Inc. (Class A)
E 27/100 — -6.7% -35.0% -5.00% $2.64B /rum-vs-grnd →
PPLI
People Incorporated
E 31/100 — 66.2% -1.5% -0.72% $2.65B /ppli-vs-grnd →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001820144 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Grindr Inc. (GRND) reported GAAP revenue of $439.9M (+27.6% vs. FY2024 revenue of $344.6M , and +69.4% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $94.8M, operating cash flow of $141.5M, and free cash flow of $140.8M (+49.7% YoY). On the balance sheet, GRND closed FY2025 with $531.0M in total assets against $375.9M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 4.32, Piotroski F-Score: 8/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $439.9M $94.8M $141.5M $140.8M $531.0M $375.9M
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $344.6M -$131.0M $95.0M $94.0M $479.1M $275.6M
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $259.7M -$55.8M $36.1M $36.1M — —

3. GRND Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is GRND stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Grindr Inc. (NYSE: GRND) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 64/100 at a spot price of $12.65 (-1.94% 1D, market cap $2.20B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 19/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 4/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 19/20. Across 715 tracked Technology issuers, GRND ranks #156 in composite RQD confidence.

How does GRND compare to CSQR and DV in the Technology sector?

Within the Technology sector (Computer Software: Programming Data Processing), GRND carries a Roarable C (64/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 23.7x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 29.7%. By comparison, CSQR (Csquare Inc.) holds a D- grade (42/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $2.21B) and DV (DoubleVerify Holdings Inc.) posts a B+ grade (78/100 RQD, P/E 41.5x, ROIC 7.2%, cap $2.10B). Among the 5-stock peer group, GRND leads on earnings multiple (23.7x) while GRND leads on capital efficiency (29.7% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for GRND?

Per GRND's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001820144), Grindr Inc. generated $439.9M in revenue (+27.6% YoY), $94.8M in net income, and $140.8M in free cash flow against $531.0M in total assets and $375.9M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is GRND trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

GRND last traded at $12.65 (-1.94% on volume of 1,308,613 shares), positioning the stock -14.35% below its 50-day simple moving average ($14.77) and -7.19% below its 200-day simple moving average ($13.63). Across its 52-week range of $9.73 to $18.50, GRND sits at the 33.3% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 33.0 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±8.8% ($11.54 to $13.76).

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 64/100 (C) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

GRND — Grindr Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Grindr Inc. (GRND) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 64/100, corresponding to a C letter grade (Roarable Hold) at a spot price of $12.65 (-1.94% 1D, market capitalization $2.20B).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (19/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 29.7%, gross margin of —, operating margin of 28.7%, and free cash flow yield of 6.28%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (4/20) + Insider Conviction (19/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (8/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (14/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 4.32, Piotroski F-Score of 8/9, and Debt/Equity of 8.00x.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Grindr Inc. Is a NYSE-listed issuer in the Technology sector, within the Computer Software: Programming Data Processing industry..2B.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Grindr Inc. (GRND) reported $439.9M in annual revenue (up from $344.6M in FY2024, +27.6% YoY) and $94.8M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($259.7M revenue, -$55.8M net income) through FY2025, GRND scaled operating cash flow to $141.5M and free cash flow to $140.8M, backed by $531.0M in total assets against $375.9M in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (C • RQD 64/100): Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks. Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 19/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 4/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $9.73 – $18.50 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Investors must weigh 23.7x trailing P/E and 19.9x EV/EBITDA against 28.7% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Operating in Computer Software: Programming Data Processing (Technology), GRND carries a macro regime beta of 1.00 and gross margin of —.

  • Key Question #1: Can GRND sustain or expand its 28.7% operating margin and 29.7% ROIC against Computer Software: Programming Data Processing peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $439.9M and free cash flow of $140.8M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $375.9M in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is GRND's 19.9x forward P/E multiple to Technology capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

GRND Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Grindr Inc. (GRND) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to GRND Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

GRND Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $12.65?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON GRND 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on GRND:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
BR BreakoutHunter RQD DEBATE OPENER • Swing & Catalyst Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $14.67 (+16.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Return on invested capital of 29.7% and an FCF yield of 6.28% place the cash engine at 19/20 in the RQD rating.

Picked up a starter position in GRND in my $100K Virtual Cash book at $12.65. Return on invested capital of 29.7% and an FCF yield of 6.28% place the cash engine at 19/20 in the RQD rating.. Trading inside a $9.73–$18.50 52-week range with 6.28% FCF yield gives solid downside support if Computer Software: Programming Data Processing multiples expand this quarter.

VolSurface_Trader 🐂 BULL

Both sides have a point here — GRND's 14/20 balance sheet score keeps downside contained, so the real swing factor next earnings call is backlog and FCF conversion.

FO ForensicBear RQD DEBATE OPENER • 10-K Footnote Auditor 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $10.37 (-18.0%)
Spot @ $12.65

Valuation & margin reality check on GRND at $12.65 before chasing here

Valuation & margin reality check on GRND at $12.65 before chasing here. Look at the math on GRND: paying 23.7x trailing P/E for 29.7% ROIC and 28.7% operating margins leaves zero margin of safety if Computer Software: Programming Data Processing demand softens. I'd wait for a retest of $11.13 before getting long.

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