Great Southern Bancorp Inc. (GSBC) Options Positioning, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$81.23 -0.96% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $81.28

Great Southern Bancorp Inc. (GSBC) earns a Roarable Rating of B (Buy) with 72/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (steady margins, 11% return on capital) with steady institutional support. The company’s underlying cash engine and institutional positioning keep the composite score in the Green Buy zone.

ROARABLE B • BUY Cap $881.9M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is GSBC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-02, Great Southern Bancorp Inc. (NASDAQ: GSBC) is rated B (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 72/100 at a spot price of $81.23 (-0.96% 1D, market cap $881.9M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 15/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 15/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, GSBC ranks #84 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does GSBC compare to CCBG and FCBC in the Financials sector?
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Within the Financials sector (Major Banks), GSBC carries a Roarable B (72/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 12.4x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 11.2%. By comparison, CCBG (Capital City Bank Group) holds a B- grade (70/100 RQD, P/E 14.2x, ROIC 11.1%, cap $875.9M) and FCBC (First Community Bankshares Inc. (VA)) posts a D+ grade (56/100 RQD, P/E 72.8x, ROIC 2.4%, cap $875.2M). Among the 5-stock peer group, ORRF leads on earnings multiple (10.8x) while ORRF leads on capital efficiency (13.7% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for GSBC?
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Per GSBC's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000854560), Great Southern Bancorp Inc. generated $0 in revenue, $71.0M in net income, and $70.1M in free cash flow against $5.60B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
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INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $81.29 (+0.07%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 15/20 (B) • 1.8% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 72/100 (B) historically ranked in the Top 13% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+7.0% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 68.7% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERBUY • B
025507510072
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw B+ · Rk C
Cash (15)Whales (15)SEC (13)Macro (13)CEO (16)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+6.3% Base Target
$102 Bull$86 Base$67 Bear
📬 FREE GSBC RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for GSBC)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±4.1%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (72/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY GSBC SCORES 72/100 (B) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+16/20 pts (22% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 80% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+15/20 pts (21% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 1.8% FCF Margin ($70.1M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit13/20 pts (-7 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (64.3) create a -7 pt regime headwind

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
64
Grade C+$77.50+0% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
67
Grade B-$77.51+5.1% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
69
Grade B-$81.48-0.3% Next Q
Current
72
Grade B$81.23+7% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C+ (64) → B (72)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the GSBC Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 72/100 (B) score, GSBC faces multiple-compression risk if 12.4x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($79.02) or 200D SMA ($72.25) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($86.35) toward Bear Floor ($66.61).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $GSBC• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “GSBC Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE
— (No Active Options Snapshot)
Put/Call Ratio: — (No Active Options Snapshot)
MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET
— (No Active Options Snapshot)
No active options chain max-pain snapshot on file
HISTORICAL 20D VOLATILITY SWING
±4.1%
Derived from 20D OHLCV bars (No Active Options Snapshot)

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (GSBC)

— (No Active Options Snapshot) — No unusual CBOE strike concentration anomalies recorded in the current database snapshot for GSBC.

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Whale Flow & Momentum Playbook: Evaluating GSBC & AI Leaders Without Chasing Tops

  • ✓Institutional whale strikes & implied earnings move audit on GSBC
  • ✓How disciplined traders manage risk using pre-published trigger & invalidation levels
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on tracked leaders
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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GSBC // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +18.24%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-11-02O $81.51H $82.02L $81.23C $81.23VOL 63.8K
RES: $83.00SUP: $74.93SMA50: $79.02SMA200: $72.25
$84.48$78.35$72.21$66.08$59.95RES $83.00SUP $74.93$81.232026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-172026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

GSBC Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
3.2%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on GSBC today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for GSBC. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for GSBC today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (GSBC)

Financials Rank #84 of 1096 ⚔️ CCBG vs GSBC Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (GSBC vs. CCBG, FCBC, ORRF, MPB)

Industry: Major Banks (248 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Great Southern Bancorp Inc. (GSBC) ranks #84 by composite RQD confidence (72/100, grade B) and #576 by equity capitalization ($881.9M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, ORRF leads on earnings valuation at 10.8x trailing P/E, while ORRF leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 13.7% ROIC and — gross margin. ORRF currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 73/100 (B) compared with GSBC at 72/100 (B).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
GSBC ACTIVE
Great Southern Bancorp Inc.
B 72/100 12.4x — 11.2% -0.96% $881.9M Benchmark Subject
CCBG
Capital City Bank Group
B- 70/100 14.2x — 11.1% -0.62% $875.9M /ccbg-vs-gsbc →
FCBC
First Community Bankshares Inc. (VA)
D+ 56/100 72.8x — 2.4% +1.43% $875.2M /fcbc-vs-gsbc →
ORRF
Orrstown Financial Services Inc.
B 73/100 10.8x — 13.7% -1.17% $874.1M /orrf-vs-gsbc →
MPB
Mid Penn Bancorp
D+ 58/100 15.4x — 6.9% -0.96% $868.7M /mpb-vs-gsbc →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000854560

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Great Southern Bancorp Inc. (GSBC) reported GAAP revenue of $0 (N/A vs. FY2024 revenue of $0 ) , GAAP net income of $71.0M, operating cash flow of $81.5M, and free cash flow of $70.1M (+79.0% YoY). On the balance sheet, GSBC closed FY2025 with $5.60B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $0 $71.0M $81.5M $70.1M $5.60B —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $0 $61.8M $44.1M $39.1M $5.98B —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $0 $67.8M $80.7M $80.7M — —

3. GSBC Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is GSBC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, Great Southern Bancorp Inc. (NASDAQ: GSBC) is rated B (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 72/100 at a spot price of $81.23 (-0.96% 1D, market cap $881.9M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 15/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 15/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, GSBC ranks #84 in composite RQD confidence.

How does GSBC compare to CCBG and FCBC in the Financials sector?

Within the Financials sector (Major Banks), GSBC carries a Roarable B (72/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 12.4x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 11.2%. By comparison, CCBG (Capital City Bank Group) holds a B- grade (70/100 RQD, P/E 14.2x, ROIC 11.1%, cap $875.9M) and FCBC (First Community Bankshares Inc. (VA)) posts a D+ grade (56/100 RQD, P/E 72.8x, ROIC 2.4%, cap $875.2M). Among the 5-stock peer group, ORRF leads on earnings multiple (10.8x) while ORRF leads on capital efficiency (13.7% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for GSBC?

Per GSBC's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000854560), Great Southern Bancorp Inc. generated $0 in revenue, $71.0M in net income, and $70.1M in free cash flow against $5.60B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is GSBC trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

GSBC last traded at $81.23 (-0.96% on volume of 69,238 shares), positioning the stock +2.80% above its 50-day simple moving average ($79.02) and +12.43% above its 200-day simple moving average ($72.25). Across its 52-week range of $53.76 to $83.00, GSBC sits at the 93.9% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 64.3 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±4.1% ($77.90 to $84.56).

GSBC Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is GSBC's options positioning and volatility profile?

Roarable tracks verified CBOE unusual options sweeps, put/call ratios, and OHLCV realized volatility bands for GSBC.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 72/100 (B) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

GSBC — Great Southern Bancorp Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:32:08Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, GSBC scores 72 out of 100, earning a B grade and the verdict label "Roarable Buy — Good Risk/Reward." The five pillars are:

  • Fundamental Cash Engine: 15 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, this pillar reflects ROIC of 11.2% and an FCF yield of 7.94%. These are the strongest reported cash-generation figures in the dataset and support the view that the business converts capital into returns efficiently. Revenue and margin lines are reported as $0.0M and 0%, so the cash-engine read relies on ROIC and FCF yield rather than margin structure.
  • Whale / 13F Flow: 15 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, this pillar reflects institutional accumulation and options positioning. The underlying 13F and options detail is not itemized in the supplied holders section, so the score cannot be traced to specific filers or positions.
  • Insider Conviction: 16 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, this is the highest pillar and reflects SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow. The individual transactions are not itemized in the supplied data, so the score cannot be traced to specific trades.
  • Macro Regime Fit: 13 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, this pillar reflects a beta of 1.0 and sector sensitivity. A beta of 1.0 implies the stock is expected to move in line with the broader market, neither amplifying nor dampening market swings.
  • Forensic Balance Sheet: 13 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, this pillar reflects an Altman Z-Score of 2.5, a Piotroski F-Score of 5/9, and a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.5. These are moderate readings rather than standout strength.

For a prospective investor evaluating the stock today, the rating points to a balanced profile: solid cash-return metrics and strong insider-flow signal, offset by moderate balance-sheet and macro-fit readings. Valuation is reported at a trailing P/E of 12.4 and forward P/E of 11.5, which is the kind of multiple that would be considered modest in a generic sense, though no sector benchmark is supplied to confirm that comparison. The rating is a summary of the supplied inputs and is not a recommendation to act.

Business

Great Southern Bancorp Inc. is a NASDAQ-listed issuer classified under the Financials sector and the Major Banks industry, per the profile section. The profile describes it as a publicly traded US company with a market capitalization of $0.9B. Specifics on its products, customer base, and revenue mix are not available in source data.

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025$0.0M$0.0M$71.0MN/A$70.1M$189.6MN/A
FY 2024$0.0M$0.0M$61.8MN/A$39.1M$195.8MN/A
FY 2023$0.0M$0.0M$67.8MN/A$80.7MN/AN/A

Per the SEC financials, net income moved from $67.8M in FY 2023 to $61.8M in FY 2024 and then to $71.0M in FY 2025. FCF followed a similar path, at $80.7M, $39.1M, and $70.1M across the same periods. Revenue, operating income, and EPS are reported as zero or N/A, so margin analysis is not supported by the data. Per the market data, ROIC is 11.2%, gross, operating, and net margins are each reported as 0%, and the Altman Z-Score of 2.5 and Piotroski F-Score of 5/9 come from the Roarable RQD rating's forensic balance sheet pillar. Debt/Equity is reported at 0.5. Cash is $189.6M at FY 2025 and $195.8M at FY 2024. Debt is not available in source data for any period.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Per the recent news and catalysts section, the feed contains six items, all tagged to GSBC:

  • Q3 earnings beat (GREEN, CATALYST): Yahoo Finance reports that GSBC beat Q3 earnings and revenue estimates. This is the only item flagged as a positive catalyst in the feed.
  • Q3 2026 earnings call presentation (YELLOW, MARKET WIRE): Seeking Alpha published the results presentation dated 2026-10-26. The content of the presentation is not included in the feed.
  • Earnings decline estimate (YELLOW, MARKET WIRE): Yahoo Finance reports that analysts estimated a decline in earnings, framed as something to watch.
  • Wall Street Zen downgrade (YELLOW, MARKET WIRE): MarketBeat reports that GSBC was "bumped down to sell" by Wall Street Zen. This is a risk watch item.
  • Q3 2026 earnings call transcript (YELLOW, MARKET WIRE): Benzinga published the transcript. Content is not included in the feed.
  • Q3 EPS reported at USD 1.27 (YELLOW, MARKET WIRE): kalkine.ca reports the EPS figure. This is the only specific EPS number in the news feed.

The Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph reports no supply chain links (supply_chain: NONE) and no proprietary signals, so there are no butterfly-driven catalysts to add. The positive earnings beat is offset in the feed by an analyst-estimate decline narrative and a Wall Street Zen sell-tier downgrade.

Analyst View & Smart Money Ownership

Analyst consensus, price targets, and holder detail are not available in source data. The analyst data and holders sections are both listed as NONE, so no SEC Form 4 insider, 13F whale, or Congressional trade records are itemized. The Roarable RQD rating references insider conviction and whale flow scores, but the underlying transactions are not provided here.

Open Questions

  • What are the reported revenue, operating income, and EPS figures for each period? The financials show zero or N/A for these lines, leaving margins and earnings quality unverifiable.
  • What is the composition of the debt and cash balances, and why is debt reported as N/A for all periods?
  • What specific transactions underlie the insider conviction and whale flow scores, and who are the principal filers?
  • What is the basis for the Wall Street Zen sell-tier rating, and how does it relate to the analyst-estimate decline narrative?
  • What sector benchmarks (peer P/E, peer ROIC) would allow the 12.4 trailing P/E and 11.2% ROIC to be judged in context?

GSBC Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Great Southern Bancorp Inc. (GSBC) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to GSBC Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

GSBC Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $81.23?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON GSBC 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on GSBC:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $96.78 (+18.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is GSBC (B • RQD 72/100) a Buy at $82.02?

Welcome to the GSBC (Great Southern Bancorp Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 72/100 (Roarable Buy — Good Risk/Reward) in Major Banks. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

VA ValDiscipline Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $68.08 (-17.0%)
Spot @ $82.02

Pump the brakes on GSBC — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on GSBC, but look at what you are paying: 12.4x trailing P/E with tightening sector spreads. Unless Great Southern Bancorp Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

QU QuantViper Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $102.53 (+25.0%)
Spot @ $82.02

GSBC cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on GSBC, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Major Banks and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $82.02 (52-wk range $53.76 - $83.00), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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