Stock Ratings / Financials / GSBD / forecast

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Goldman Sachs BDC Inc. (GSBD) 12-Month Stock Forecast & Price Target Cone

$8.93 -1.43% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $8.89

Goldman Sachs BDC Inc. (GSBD) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 52/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 52/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-1.1% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID Cap $1.01B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on GSBD Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude

🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is GSBD stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

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As of 2026-11-03, Goldman Sachs BDC Inc. (NYSE: GSBD) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 52/100 at a spot price of $8.93 (-1.43% 1D, market cap $1.01B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 14/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 7/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 6/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, GSBD ranks #594 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does GSBD compare to RPC and ETW in the Financials sector?

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Within the Financials sector (Investment Managers), GSBD carries a Roarable D+ (52/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 8.6x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 8.4%. By comparison, RPC (Ridgepost Capital Inc. (Class A)) holds a D+ grade (57/100 RQD, P/E 52.5x, ROIC 13.8%, cap $1.02B) and ETW (Eaton Vance Corporation Eaton Vance Tax-Managed Global Buy-Write Opportunites Fund of) posts a D grade (44/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $1.02B). Among the 5-stock peer group, GSBD leads on earnings multiple (8.6x) while RPC leads on capital efficiency (13.8% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for GSBD?

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Per GSBD's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001572694), Goldman Sachs BDC Inc. generated $0 in revenue, $119.3M in net income, and $325.7M in free cash flow against $3.38B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $8.89 (-0.45%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 14/20 (B-) • 8.1% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 52/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-1.1% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 50.1% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk D

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-2.7% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for GSBD)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±5.2%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (52/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY GSBD SCORES 52/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+14/20 pts (27% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 8.1% FCF Margin ($325.7M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+13/20 pts (25% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 5/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit6/20 pts (-14 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (49.1) create a -14 pt regime headwind

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade D$8.74-2.3% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade D$8.54+2.7% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade D$8.77+1.8% Next Q

Current

Grade D+$8.93-1.1% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: D (44) → D+ (52)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a GSBD Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While GSBD currently carries a cautious 52/100 (D+) rating due to Macro Regime Fit (6/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($9.32) and Max Pain ($9.38) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $10.90.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $GSBD• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “GSBD Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 52%NO 48%Trade / Inspect Odds →

INTERACTIVE 12-MONTH POSITION SIMULATOR

Drag to Test Your GSBD Position Size: $10,000

Shares at $8.93: 1119.8 sh

$1,000$10,000$25,000$50,000$100,000

12M Bear Case FloorTarget $6.78

$7,592

$-2,408 (-24.1%)

12M Consensus BaseTarget $8.69

$9,731

$-269 (-2.7%)

12M Bull Case BreakoutTarget $10.90

$12,206

+$2,206 (+22.1%)

Wall Street Analyst Breakdown & Historical Accuracy Audit (32 Desks)

Street Historical Accuracy: 64/100

● Strong Buy / Buy: 17● Hold: 9● Sell: 6

Wall Street Firm	Stance	12M Target	1Y Accuracy	Track Grade
Morgan StanleyInstitutional Equity Desk	HOLD	$9	74%	A
Goldman SachsSector Coverage Lead	UNDERPERFORM	$10	69%	B
JP MorganUS Large-Cap Research	SELL	$8	58%	C

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring GSBD)

✓Walkthrough of GSBD's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?

Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

GSBD // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -11.06%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE

2026-11-03O $9.06H $9.06L $8.93C $8.93VOL 810.1K

RES: $11.03SUP: $8.46SMA50: $9.32SMA200: $9.26

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

GSBD Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 GSBD Butterfly Map → + Track GSBD →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

-4.1%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on GSBD today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for GSBD. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for GSBD today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (GSBD)

Financials Rank #594 of 1096 ⚔️ RPC vs GSBD Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (GSBD vs. RPC, ETW, FMN, OXLC)

Industry: Investment Managers (79 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Goldman Sachs BDC Inc. (GSBD) ranks #594 by composite RQD confidence (52/100, grade D+) and #551 by equity capitalization ($1.01B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, GSBD leads on earnings valuation at 8.6x trailing P/E, while RPC leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 13.8% ROIC and — gross margin. RPC currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 57/100 (D+) compared with GSBD at 52/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
GSBD ACTIVE Goldman Sachs BDC Inc.	D+	52/100	8.6x	—	8.4%	-1.43%	$1.01B	Benchmark Subject
RPC Ridgepost Capital Inc. (Class A)	D+	57/100	52.5x	—	13.8%	-0.75%	$1.02B	/rpc-vs-gsbd →
ETW Eaton Vance Corporation Eaton Vance Tax-Managed Global Buy-Write Opportunites Fund of	D	44/100	—	—	—	-2.41%	$1.02B	/etw-vs-gsbd →
FMN Federated Hermes Premier Municipal Income Fund	D	47/100	—	—	—	+0.29%	$905.7M	/fmn-vs-gsbd →
OXLC Oxford Lane Capital Corp.	D-	43/100	—	—	—	-2.58%	$1.12B	/oxlc-vs-gsbd →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001572694

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Goldman Sachs BDC Inc. (GSBD) reported GAAP revenue of $0 (N/A vs. FY2024 revenue of $0 ) , GAAP net income of $119.3M, operating cash flow of $325.7M, and free cash flow of $325.7M (+13155.3% YoY). On the balance sheet, GSBD closed FY2025 with $3.38B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$0	$119.3M	$325.7M	$325.7M	$3.38B	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$0	$62.9M	$2.5M	$2.5M	$3.60B	—
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$0	$195.9M	$300.7M	$300.7M	—	—

3. GSBD Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is GSBD stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does GSBD compare to RPC and ETW in the Financials sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for GSBD?

Where is GSBD trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

GSBD last traded at $8.93 (-1.43% on volume of 810,052 shares), positioning the stock -4.18% below its 50-day simple moving average ($9.32) and -3.56% below its 200-day simple moving average ($9.26). Across its 52-week range of $8.35 to $10.38, GSBD sits at the 28.6% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 49.1 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±5.2% ($8.47 to $9.39).

GSBD Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is GSBD's 12-month stock price target?

Goldman Sachs BDC Inc. (GSBD) carries a 12-month consensus base price target of $8.69 (-2.7% from $8.93), with a bull-case target of $10.9 and a bear-case floor of $6.78.

Is GSBD stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now?

Roarable's 5-Pillar RQD Quant Engine rates GSBD D+ (Sell — SELL) with an RQD Confidence score of 52/100.

Direct Sub-Reports: GSBD RQD Cockpit GSBD 12M Forecast GSBD Earnings & Move GSBD Dividends & DRIP GSBD Insiders & 13F GSBD Whale Options GSBD Profit Sankey GSBD News & Why

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 52/100 (D+) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

GSBD — Goldman Sachs BDC Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5

As of: 2026-11-02T15:31:13Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, GSBD scores 52 out of 100, a letter grade of D+, with the verdict "Roarable Sell — Weak Fundamentals / Trim." Across the five pillars:

Fundamental Cash Engine (14 / 20): Per the Roarable RQD rating, ROIC is 8.4% and FCF yield is 0%. For a prospective investor, the cash-generation signal is mixed: the ROIC figure is reported, but the 0% FCF yield indicates the current market data does not show free cash flow relative to market value.
Whale 13F Flow (7 / 20): Per the Roarable RQD rating, this pillar reflects institutional accumulation and options positioning. The low score suggests institutional support is weak relative to other pillars.
Insider Conviction (12 / 20): Per the Roarable RQD rating, this pillar reflects SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow. The score is moderate-to-low.
Macro Regime Fit (6 / 20): Per the Roarable RQD rating, beta is 1.0 with sector sensitivity noted. This is the weakest pillar, implying limited alignment between the stock's profile and the current macro backdrop as scored.
Forensic Balance Sheet (13 / 20): Per the Roarable RQD rating, Altman Z is 2.5, Piotroski F is 5/9, and Debt/Equity is 0.5. This is a moderate score with no balance-sheet distress flagged.

Taken together, the rating points to weak fundamentals and limited institutional or macro tailwinds. The rating is not a recommendation to any specific investor; it summarizes the factors above for educational evaluation.

Financial Trend

Period	Revenue	Operating Income	Net Income	EPS	FCF	Cash	Debt
FY 2025	$0.0M	$0.0M	$119.3M	N/A	$325.7M	N/A	N/A
FY 2024	$0.0M	$0.0M	$62.9M	N/A	$2.5M	N/A	N/A
FY 2023	$0.0M	$0.0M	$195.9M	N/A	$300.7M	N/A	N/A

Per the SEC financials, reported net income was $195.9M in FY 2023, $62.9M in FY 2024, and $119.3M in FY 2025, while reported FCF was $300.7M, $2.5M, and $325.7M across the same years. Revenue, operating income, EPS, cash, and debt are reported as zero or N/A in the source data. Per the Roarable RQD rating, ROIC is 8.4%, the Altman Z-Score is 2.5, the Piotroski F-Score is 5/9, and Debt/Equity is 0.5. Per the market data, gross, operating, and net margins are each reported as 0%, so margin analysis cannot be drawn from the source data.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Per the recent news section, the wire includes the following items for GSBD:

A headline announcing the scheduling of an earnings release and conference call for Third Quarter 2026 results (marked YELLOW, Market Wire).
A MarketBeat report on what investment firms are thinking about the stock (YELLOW, Market Wire).
A Kalkine pre-market report listing GSBD among larger-cap gainers, with a reported move of 17.65% (GREEN, Catalyst).
A Yahoo Finance "New Strong Buy Stocks" item (YELLOW, Market Wire).
A MarketBeat item noting GSBD is expected to announce quarterly earnings on Thursday (YELLOW, Market Wire).
A Kalkine report grouping GSBD among real estate and income vehicle movers (YELLOW, Market Wire).

Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, the supply_chain field is NONE, with no butterfly links and no proprietary signals. Risk watch items are limited to the scheduled earnings event and the single GREEN catalyst flagged for the 17.65% move, the source for which does not provide supporting detail.

Open Questions

What is the company's business model and revenue composition, given revenue is reported as $0.0M across all periods?
Why is net income reported at $195.9M in FY 2023 but $62.9M in FY 2024, and what drove the swing?
What cash, debt, and EPS figures underlie the Debt/Equity and FCF yield values, since those line items are reported as N/A?
What is the cause of the 17.65% move cited in the Kalkine catalyst, and is it company-specific?
What are the EV/EBITDA and analyst consensus figures, which are unavailable in the current data?

GSBD Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Goldman Sachs BDC Inc. (GSBD) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to GSBD Debate Forum (3) ↓

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 18h ago

Goldman Sachs BDC, Inc. Schedules Earnings Release and Conference Call to Announce Third Quarter 2026 Results

Yahoo Finance report covering Goldman Sachs BDC Inc. (GSBD) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE MarketBeat • 21h ago

Goldman Sachs BDC, Inc. (GSBD) - What Are Investment Firms Thinking About This Stock?

MarketBeat report covering Goldman Sachs BDC Inc. (GSBD) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟢 CATALYST Kalkine • 1d ago

Top 5 Stocks for October 28 Pre-Market: Larger-Cap Gainers Led by Goldman Sachs BDC (NYSE:GSBD) Up 17.65%

Kalkine report covering Goldman Sachs BDC Inc. (GSBD) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 1d ago

New Strong Buy Stocks for October 6th

Yahoo Finance report covering Goldman Sachs BDC Inc. (GSBD) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE MarketBeat • 1d ago

Goldman Sachs BDC (GSBD) Expected to Announce Quarterly Earnings on Thursday

MarketBeat report covering Goldman Sachs BDC Inc. (GSBD) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Kalkine • 1d ago

Top 5 Stocks for October 28 Pre-Market: Real Estate and Income Vehicle Movers Led by Goldman Sachs BDC (NYSE:GSBD) Up 17.65%

Kalkine report covering Goldman Sachs BDC Inc. (GSBD) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE ad-hoc-news.de • 1d ago

Goldman Sachs BDC sets November 5 results date for Goldman Sachs BDC stock

ad-hoc-news.de report covering Goldman Sachs BDC Inc. (GSBD) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 1d ago

Best Value Stocks to Buy for October 9th

Yahoo Finance report covering Goldman Sachs BDC Inc. (GSBD) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

GSBD Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $8.93?

🐂 50% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON GSBD 🐻 50% BEARISH CONVICTION

RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk ⚖️ DEBATE HOST 🎯 Target: $9.78 (+7.9%)

📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is GSBD (D+ • RQD 52/100) a Buy at $9.06?

Welcome to the GSBD (Goldman Sachs BDC Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 52/100 (Roarable Sell — Weak Fundamentals / Trim) in Investment Managers. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

MU MultipleCompression Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $7.25 (-20.0%)

Spot @ $9.06

Pump the brakes on GSBD — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on GSBD, but look at what you are paying: 8.6x trailing P/E with tightening sector spreads. Unless Goldman Sachs BDC Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

AL AlphaFlow_Cap Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $11.14 (+23.0%)

Spot @ $9.06

GSBD cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on GSBD, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Investment Managers and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $9.06 (52-wk range $8.35 - $10.38), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.