Garden Stage Limited (Class A) (GSIW) Revenue-to-Profit Sankey Flow & SEC XBRL Financials

$10.04 +10.09% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $10.20

Garden Stage Limited (Class A) (GSIW) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 27/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE E • RED ALERT Cap $97.7M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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As of 2026-11-03, Garden Stage Limited (Class A) (NASDAQ: GSIW) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 27/100 at a spot price of $10.04 (+10.09% 1D, market cap $97.7M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, Executive Insider Alignment 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 5/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, GSIW ranks #1045 in composite RQD confidence.

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🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does GSIW compare to WTF and EVF in the Financials sector?
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Within the Financials sector (Investment Bankers/Brokers/Service), GSIW carries a Roarable E (27/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, WTF (Waton Financial Limited) holds a E grade (28/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $99.9M) and EVF (Eaton Vance Senior Income Trust) posts a D grade (45/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $84.9M). Among the 5-stock peer group, GSIW leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while SIEB leads on capital efficiency (6.2% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for GSIW?
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Per GSIW's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-03-31, CIK 0001954269), Garden Stage Limited (Class A) generated $7.3M in revenue (+33.2% YoY), -$13.8M in net income, and -$4.2M in free cash flow against $0 in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

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INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $10.20 (+1.63%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 8/20 (D-) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (27/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-10.3% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • E
025507510027
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk E
Cash (8)Whales (3)SEC (8)Macro (5)CEO (3)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-13.9% Base Target
$44 Bull$9 Base$7 Bear
📬 FREE GSIW RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for GSIW)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±9.8%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (27/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY GSIW SCORES 27/100 (E) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+8/20 pts (30% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0% FCF Margin ($0 FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+8/20 pts (30% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 2/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
35
Grade E$10.39-1.1% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
32
Grade E$10.28-10.7% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
30
Grade E$9.18+9.4% Next Q
Current
27
Grade E$10.04-10.3% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: E (35) → E (27)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a GSIW Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While GSIW currently carries a cautious 27/100 (E) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($12.46) and Max Pain ($10.54) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $44.10.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $GSIW• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “GSIW Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 29, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
VISUAL REVENUE-TO-PROFIT SANKEY WATERFALL • FY 2025 (10-K)

How GSIW Turns Every Dollar of Sales Into Real Bottom-Line Profit

Free Cash Flow:$0 (0% FCF Margin)
Revenue$7.3MGross Profit $3.8M (52%)Cost of Sales $3.5MOp Profit $0 (0%)OpEx (R&D/SG&A) $3.8MNet Profit$0 (0%)Tax/Other $0

Multi-Year SEC EDGAR XBRL Revenue, Net Profit & Free Cash Flow Trajectory

■ Revenue■ Net Profit■ Free Cash Flow
FY23
Rev $1.4M
FY24
Rev $5.5M
FY25
Rev $7.3M
Fiscal YearRevenueGross MarginOp MarginNet ProfitFree Cash FlowROIC %
FY 2025$7.3M52%0%-$13.8M-$4.2M15%
FY 2024$5.5M52%0%-$4.3M-$1.4M15%
FY 2023$1.4M52%0%-$4.6M-$7.1M15%
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring GSIW)

  • ✓Walkthrough of GSIW's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
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GSIW // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -67.41%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-11-03O $9.12H $10.04L $9.12C $10.04VOL 95
SUP: $5.63SMA50: $12.46SMA200: $22.13
$40.61$32.08$23.54$15.01$6.47SUP $5.63$10.042026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

GSIW Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +33.2% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on GSIW today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for GSIW. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for GSIW today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (GSIW)

Financials Rank #1045 of 1096 ⚔️ WTF vs GSIW Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (GSIW vs. WTF, EVF, USIO, SIEB)

Industry: Investment Bankers/Brokers/Service (64 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Garden Stage Limited (Class A) (GSIW) ranks #1045 by composite RQD confidence (27/100, grade E) and #959 by equity capitalization ($97.7M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, GSIW leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while SIEB leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 6.2% ROIC and — gross margin. SIEB currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 47/100 (D) compared with GSIW at 27/100 (E).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
GSIW ACTIVE
Garden Stage Limited (Class A)
E 27/100 — — — +10.09% $97.7M Benchmark Subject
WTF
Waton Financial Limited
E 28/100 — — — +4.83% $99.9M /wtf-vs-gsiw →
EVF
Eaton Vance Senior Income Trust
D 45/100 — — — +0.41% $84.9M /evf-vs-gsiw →
USIO
Usio Inc.
D 46/100 — — -16.1% -3.08% $83.2M /usio-vs-gsiw →
SIEB
Siebert Financial Corp.
D 47/100 — — 6.2% +5.35% $79.0M /sieb-vs-gsiw →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2026-03-31 • CIK 0001954269

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2026-03-31), Garden Stage Limited (Class A) (GSIW) reported GAAP revenue of $7.3M (+33.2% vs. FY2024 revenue of $5.5M , and +416.8% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$13.8M, operating cash flow of -$4.2M, and free cash flow of -$4.2M (-209.8% YoY). On the balance sheet, GSIW closed FY2025 with $0 in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 2/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2026-03-31 $7.3M -$13.8M -$4.2M -$4.2M — —
FY2024 (FY) 2025-03-31 $5.5M -$4.3M -$1.1M -$1.4M — —
FY2023 (FY) 2024-03-31 $1.4M -$4.6M -$7.1M -$7.1M — —

3. GSIW Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is GSIW stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Garden Stage Limited (Class A) (NASDAQ: GSIW) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 27/100 at a spot price of $10.04 (+10.09% 1D, market cap $97.7M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, Executive Insider Alignment 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 5/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, GSIW ranks #1045 in composite RQD confidence.

How does GSIW compare to WTF and EVF in the Financials sector?

Within the Financials sector (Investment Bankers/Brokers/Service), GSIW carries a Roarable E (27/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, WTF (Waton Financial Limited) holds a E grade (28/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $99.9M) and EVF (Eaton Vance Senior Income Trust) posts a D grade (45/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $84.9M). Among the 5-stock peer group, GSIW leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while SIEB leads on capital efficiency (6.2% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for GSIW?

Per GSIW's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-03-31, CIK 0001954269), Garden Stage Limited (Class A) generated $7.3M in revenue (+33.2% YoY), -$13.8M in net income, and -$4.2M in free cash flow against $0 in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is GSIW trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

GSIW last traded at $10.04 (+10.09% on volume of 45,633 shares), positioning the stock -19.42% below its 50-day simple moving average ($12.46) and -54.63% below its 200-day simple moving average ($22.13). Across its 52-week range of $8.00 to $42.00, GSIW sits at the 6.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 32.4 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±9.8% ($9.06 to $11.02).

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 27/100 (E) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

GSIW — Garden Stage Limited (Class A): What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:44:13Z

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

The GSIW carries an RQD Score of 27 with a letter grade of E, labeled "Roarable Strong Sell — Forensic Risk / Avoid." The five pillars are scored as follows:

  • Fundamental Cash Engine: 8 / 20. ROIC is 0% and FCF yield is -4.33%. For a prospective investor, this means the business is not currently generating a return on capital or positive free cash flow to support its valuation.
  • Whale 13F Flow: 3 / 20. this pillar reflects institutional accumulation and options positioning. The low score indicates weak institutional support in the available data.
  • Insider Conviction: 3 / 20. this pillar reflects SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow. The low score indicates limited insider conviction signals.
  • Macro Regime Fit: 5 / 20. beta is 1.0 and sector sensitivity is weighted here. The score suggests the stock does not offer a favorable macro-regime alignment in the rating model.
  • Forensic Balance Sheet: 8 / 20. Altman Z is 2.5, Piotroski F is 2/9, and Debt/Equity is 0.5. These forensic readings point to elevated balance-sheet and earnings-quality risk.

12 price against earnings or cash-flow multiples. The 52-week range of $8 - $42 indicates a steep drawdown, and the stock is currently 6.37% lower on the day. The RQD framework classifies the stock as a strong-sell, forensic-risk name, and the scoring suggests weak fundamentals, weak institutional and insider support, and a stressed forensic profile. This is educational context, not personalized advice.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Garden Stage Limited (Class A) is a NASDAQ-listed company classified under the Financials sector and the Investment Bankers/Brokers/Service industry..1B.

Revenue rose from $1.4M in FY 2023 to $7.3M in FY 2025, while net income was negative in every reported period, reaching -$13.8M in FY 2025. Per the market data, gross margin, operating margin, and ROIC are each 0%, and net margin is -60%. The Altman Z-Score is 2.5 and the Piotroski F-Score is 2/9. Debt/Equity is 0.5.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case: Revenue grew from $1.4M in FY 2023 to $7.3M in FY 2025, showing top-line expansion. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 8/20 (ROIC —, FCF yield -4.33%) and Institutional Whale Flow at 3/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the top of the $8.00 – $42.00 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case: Net income was negative in every reported period, reaching -$13.8M in FY 2025, with ROIC at 0% and FCF yield at -4.33%. Investors must weigh current valuation against — operating margins and a 1.00 macro beta if sector demand softens.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

— The Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph lists no upstream or downstream links, no sector correlations, and no proprietary signals for GSIW. Second-order bottleneck analysis cannot be performed from the source material.

  • Key Question #1: What are GSIW's cash and debt balances, given that these fields are N/A across all reported periods?
  • Key Question #2: Why is net income negative in every period despite revenue growth from $1.4M to $7.3M, and what drives the FY 2025 loss of -$13.8M?
  • Key Question #3: What is the company's specific business model, product set, and customer base beyond its sector classification?

GSIW Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Garden Stage Limited (Class A) (GSIW) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to GSIW Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

GSIW Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $10.04?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON GSIW 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on GSIW:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
TA TapeReader_Pro Price Action & Volume Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $12.04 (+32.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Revenue grew from $1.4M in FY 2023 to $7.3M in FY 2025, showing top-line expansion.

Long GSIW at $9.12 targeting $12.04. Revenue grew from $1.4M in FY 2023 to $7.3M in FY 2025, showing top-line expansion.. Institutional whale score is 3/20 and the risk/reward vs. the $8.00 52-week low is skewed heavily in favor of bulls.

ArenaChamp_24 🐂 BULL

@SkepticalCFA Fair point on current EV/EBITDA multiples, but you're ignoring the forward operating leverage in Investment Bankers/Brokers/Service. If gross margin (0.0%) holds, EPS grows into the multiple faster than bears think.

SK SkepticalCFA Fundamental Contrarian 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $7.84 (-14.0%)
Spot @ $9.12

Net income was negative in every reported period, reaching -$13.8M in FY 2025, with ROIC at 0% and FCF yield at -4.33%.

Fading this rally in GSIW at $9.12. Net income was negative in every reported period, reaching -$13.8M in FY 2025, with ROIC at 0% and FCF yield at -4.33%.. With a beta of 1.0 and the stock sitting at $9.12 (52-wk range $8.00–$42.00), the easy multiple expansion is already priced in.

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