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Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / GSL / news
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Why GSL Stock dropped -3.62% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

$40.23 -3.62% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $39.89

Global Ship Lease Inc (Class A) (GSL) carries a Roarable Rating of C (Hold) with 64/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

ROARABLE C • HOLD / WATCH Cap $1.50B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is GSL stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
▼

As of 2026-11-03, Global Ship Lease Inc (Class A) (NYSE: GSL) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 64/100 at a spot price of $40.23 (-3.62% 1D, market cap $1.50B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 15/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 7/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 11/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 15/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 16/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, GSL ranks #246 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does GSL compare to FLNG and TEN in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Marine Transportation), GSL carries a Roarable C (64/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 3.6x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 16.6%. By comparison, FLNG (FLEX LNG Ltd.) holds a D grade (45/100 RQD, P/E 20.7x, ROIC 6.9%, cap $1.53B) and TEN (Tsakos Energy Navigation Ltd) posts a B grade (72/100 RQD, P/E 10.2x, ROIC 6.6%, cap $1.62B). Among the 5-stock peer group, GSL leads on earnings multiple (3.6x) while GSL leads on capital efficiency (16.6% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for GSL?
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Per GSL's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001430725), Global Ship Lease Inc (Class A) generated $766.5M in revenue (+7.8% YoY), $416.5M in net income, and $528.3M in free cash flow against $2.86B in total assets and $541.6M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks. Primary risk factors monitored: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $39.89 (-0.84%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 15/20 (B) • 68.9% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 64/100 (C) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.1% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 55.2% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C
025507510064
Quant Analyst Panel Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR RQD RADARRw C · Rk C
Cash (15)Whales (7)SEC (11)Macro (15)CEO (16)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+2.7% Base Target
$49 Bull$41 Base$32 Bear
📬 FREE GSL RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for GSL)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±5.2%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (64/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY GSL SCORES 64/100 (C) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+16/20 pts (25% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 80% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+15/20 pts (23% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 68.9% FCF Margin ($528.3M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning7/20 pts (-13 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-13 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
72
Grade B$45.19-8.8% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
69
Grade B-$41.22+2.4% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
67
Grade B-$42.19-4.6% Next Q
Current
64
Grade C$40.23+1.1% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: B (72) → C (64)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the GSL Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 64/100 (C) score, GSL faces multiple-compression risk if 3.6x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($44.13) or 200D SMA ($40.62) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($41.32) toward Bear Floor ($32.23).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $GSL• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “GSL Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 64%NO 36%Trade / Inspect Odds →
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →

Why GSL Stock dropped -3.62% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

Global Ship Lease Inc (Class A) (GSL) dropped -3.62% to $40.23, trading at 60% of its 52-week range ($30.68 – $46.57). Solid steady margins (17% return on capital), mixed timing at 4x P/E—hold if owned, no rush to chase.

  • ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 60% of its 52-week range ($30.68 – $46.57) with RSI-14 at 41.1 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
  • ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±5.2% around $40.23 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
  • ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable C (Hold) backed by 52% gross margin and $528.3M annual free cash flow.
Live GSL Headlines & Catalysts
CATALYSTYahoo • 6d ago
Top 3 Dividend Stocks To Watch In October 2026

With the Federal Reserve expected to keep interest rates on hold at relatively high levels, cash and short term bonds still pay more, but so does reliable equity income. That sets the stage for companies offering dividen

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk

Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (GSL Tape Review)

  • ✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
  • ✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
  • ✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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GSL // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +1.21%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-11-03O $42.32H $42.32L $40.23C $40.23VOL 272.9K
RES: $49.47SUP: $40.31SMA50: $44.13SMA200: $40.62
$47.43$43.86$40.28$36.71$33.13RES $49.47SUP $40.31$40.232026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

GSL Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 GSL Butterfly Map → + Track GSL →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
-15.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +7.8% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on GSL today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for GSL. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for GSL today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (GSL)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #246 of 1009 ⚔️ FLNG vs GSL Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (GSL vs. FLNG, TEN, NAT, NVGS)

Industry: Marine Transportation (67 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Global Ship Lease Inc (Class A) (GSL) ranks #246 by composite RQD confidence (64/100, grade C) and #453 by equity capitalization ($1.50B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, GSL leads on earnings valuation at 3.6x trailing P/E, while GSL leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 16.6% ROIC and — gross margin. TEN currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 72/100 (B) compared with GSL at 64/100 (C).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
GSL ACTIVE
Global Ship Lease Inc (Class A)
C 64/100 3.6x — 16.6% -3.62% $1.50B Benchmark Subject
FLNG
FLEX LNG Ltd.
D 45/100 20.7x — 6.9% -3.84% $1.53B /flng-vs-gsl →
TEN
Tsakos Energy Navigation Ltd
B 72/100 10.2x — 6.6% -8.10% $1.62B /ten-vs-gsl →
NAT
Nordic American Tankers Limited
C- 60/100 139.9x 62.3% 4.6% -7.84% $1.67B /nat-vs-gsl →
NVGS
Navigator Holdings Ltd. (Marshall Islands)
C- 59/100 13.4x — 12.2% -7.02% $1.33B /nvgs-vs-gsl →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001430725 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Global Ship Lease Inc (Class A) (GSL) reported GAAP revenue of $766.5M (+7.8% vs. FY2024 revenue of $711.1M , and +13.6% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $416.5M, operating cash flow of $528.3M, and free cash flow of $528.3M (+24.8% YoY). On the balance sheet, GSL closed FY2025 with $2.86B in total assets against $541.6M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 2.30, Piotroski F-Score: 9/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $766.5M $416.5M $528.3M $528.3M $2.86B $541.6M
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $711.1M $353.6M $430.1M $423.3M $2.37B $538.8M
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $674.8M $304.5M $375.0M $375.0M — —

3. GSL Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is GSL stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Global Ship Lease Inc (Class A) (NYSE: GSL) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 64/100 at a spot price of $40.23 (-3.62% 1D, market cap $1.50B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 15/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 7/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 11/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 15/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 16/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, GSL ranks #246 in composite RQD confidence.

How does GSL compare to FLNG and TEN in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Marine Transportation), GSL carries a Roarable C (64/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 3.6x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 16.6%. By comparison, FLNG (FLEX LNG Ltd.) holds a D grade (45/100 RQD, P/E 20.7x, ROIC 6.9%, cap $1.53B) and TEN (Tsakos Energy Navigation Ltd) posts a B grade (72/100 RQD, P/E 10.2x, ROIC 6.6%, cap $1.62B). Among the 5-stock peer group, GSL leads on earnings multiple (3.6x) while GSL leads on capital efficiency (16.6% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for GSL?

Per GSL's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001430725), Global Ship Lease Inc (Class A) generated $766.5M in revenue (+7.8% YoY), $416.5M in net income, and $528.3M in free cash flow against $2.86B in total assets and $541.6M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks. Primary risk factors monitored: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is GSL trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

GSL last traded at $40.23 (-3.62% on volume of 290,116 shares), positioning the stock -8.84% below its 50-day simple moving average ($44.13) and -0.96% below its 200-day simple moving average ($40.62). Across its 52-week range of $30.68 to $46.57, GSL sits at the 60.1% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 41.1 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±5.2% ($38.14 to $42.32).

Direct Sub-Reports: GSL RQD Cockpit GSL 12M Forecast GSL Earnings & Move GSL Dividends & DRIP GSL Insiders & 13F GSL Whale Options GSL Profit Sankey GSL News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 64/100 (C) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

GSL — Global Ship Lease Inc (Class A): What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Global Ship Lease Inc (Class A) (GSL) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 64/100, corresponding to a C letter grade (Roarable Hold) at a spot price of $40.23 (-3.62% 1D, market capitalization $1.50B).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (15/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 16.6%, gross margin of —, operating margin of 56.8%, and free cash flow yield of —.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (7/20) + Insider Conviction (16/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (15/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (11/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 2.30, Piotroski F-Score of 9/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.30x.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Global Ship Lease Inc (Class A) (GSL) is a NYSE-listed issuer in the Consumer Discretionary sector and Marine Transportation industry,. The profile describes a market capitalization of $1.5B.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Global Ship Lease Inc (Class A) (GSL) reported $766.5M in annual revenue (up from $711.1M in FY2024, +7.8% YoY) and $416.5M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($674.8M revenue, $304.5M net income) through FY2025, GSL scaled operating cash flow to $528.3M and free cash flow to $528.3M, backed by $2.86B in total assets against $541.6M in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (C • RQD 64/100): Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks. Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 15/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 7/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $30.68 – $46.57 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins. Investors must weigh 3.6x trailing P/E and 4.1x EV/EBITDA against 56.8% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

— The Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph lists no upstream or downstream links, no sector correlations, and no proprietary signals. Watch items that the news wire itself raises are the fleet expansion and the financing facility, and the Nov. 9 results release.

  • Key Question #1: Can GSL sustain or expand its 56.8% operating margin and 16.6% ROIC against Marine Transportation peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $766.5M and free cash flow of $528.3M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $541.6M in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is GSL's 3.5x forward P/E multiple to Consumer Discretionary capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

GSL Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Global Ship Lease Inc (Class A) (GSL) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to GSL Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

GSL Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $40.23?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON GSL 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on GSL:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
AL AlphaFlow_Cap RQD DEBATE OPENER • Verified $100K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $54.68 (+31.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Trailing P/E of 3.6 and EV/EBITDA of 4.1 sit alongside a 5% dividend yield and FY 2025 free cash flow of $528.3M, with insider convicti

Don't sleep on GSL's setup in Consumer Discretionary. Trailing P/E of 3.6 and EV/EBITDA of 4.1 sit alongside a 5% dividend yield and FY 2025 free cash flow of $528.3M, with insider conviction scoring 16 of 20 in the RQD rating.. Beta of 1.0 means it moves fast when momentum turns, and the 5-pillar RQD gauge (64/100) backs up the fundamental quality.

CapAlloc_Nerd 🐂 BULL

@MultipleCompression Fair point on 3.6x trailing P/E, but you're ignoring the forward operating leverage in Marine Transportation. If gross margin (0.0%) holds, EPS grows into the multiple faster than bears think.

MU MultipleCompression RQD DEBATE OPENER • Valuation Discipline 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $32.14 (-23.0%)
Spot @ $41.74

Institutional flow scores only 8 of 20 and the reported FCF yield is 0%, leaving the RQD rating at a balanced 65 with limited instituti

Fading this rally in GSL at $41.74. Institutional flow scores only 8 of 20 and the reported FCF yield is 0%, leaving the RQD rating at a balanced 65 with limited institutional support.. With a beta of 1.0 and the stock sitting at $41.74 (52-wk range $30.68–$46.57), the easy multiple expansion is already priced in.

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