MARKET WIREStockInvest.us • 23h ago
Ferroglobe Stock Price Forecast. Should You Buy GSM?StockInvest.us report covering Ferroglobe PLC (GSM) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Why GSM Stock slipped -0.52% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
$3.84 -0.52% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $3.83
Ferroglobe PLC (GSM) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 45/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID
Cap $721.3M
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief)
Is GSM stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Ferroglobe PLC (NASDAQ: GSM) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 45/100 at a spot price of $3.84 (-0.52% 1D, market cap $721.3M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 4/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 7/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 9/20. Across 270 tracked Materials issuers, GSM ranks #145 in composite RQD confidence.
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief)
How does GSM compare to ASM and LAC in the Materials sector?
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Within the Materials sector (Metal Mining), GSM carries a Roarable D (45/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, ASM (Avino Silver & Gold Mines Ltd. (Canada)) holds a D grade (44/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $733.8M) and LAC (Lithium Americas Corp.) posts a E grade (32/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -8.1%, cap $737.0M). Among the 5-stock peer group, GSM leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while LAC leads on capital efficiency (-8.1% ROIC).
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief)
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for GSM?
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For Ferroglobe PLC (GSM), key quantitative strengths include Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity and sector rank #145 in Materials, while primary risk factors center on Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately and Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $3.83 (-0.28%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) • 0.5% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (45/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-6.3% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk D
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-5.7% Base Target
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for GSM)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±8.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (45/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY GSM SCORES 45/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+13/20 pts (29% of score)
Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9
▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+12/20 pts (27% of score)
SEC XBRL Trailing 12 Months: 0.5% FCF Margin ($20.2M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin
▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)
Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-16 pts vs max)
📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)Grade C-$4.19-1.2% Next Q
53
Q2 (-2Q)Grade C-$4.14-2.2% Next Q
50
Q3 (-1Q)Grade D$4.05-5.2% Next Q
48
CurrentGrade D$3.84-6.3% Hist 90D α
45
Trajectory: C- (53) → D (45)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a GSM Turnaround Squeeze
While GSM currently carries a cautious 45/100 (D) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1
Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2
Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($4.16) and Max Pain ($4.03) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $5.94.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3
Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.
🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $GSM• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “GSM Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Upcoming Quarter) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →
Why GSM Stock slipped -0.52% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Ferroglobe PLC (GSM) slipped -0.52% to $3.84, trading at 29% of its 52-week range ($3.08 – $5.66). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (steady margins) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 29% of its 52-week range ($3.08 – $5.66) with RSI-14 at 42.9 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±8.5% around $3.84 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable D (Sell) backed by 52% gross margin and $20.2M annual free cash flow.
Live GSM Headlines & Catalysts
CATALYSTMarketBeat • 1d ago
Ferroglobe (NASDAQ:GSM) Stock Rating Upgraded by Wall Street ZenMarketBeat report covering Ferroglobe PLC (GSM) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MARKET WIREStock Titan • 1d ago
A passive investor reports owning 5% or less of Ferroglobe (GSM) in an amended disclosure.Stock Titan report covering Ferroglobe PLC (GSM) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MARKET WIREMarketBeat • 1d ago
Ferroglobe (GSM) Expected to Post Earnings on TuesdayMarketBeat report covering Ferroglobe PLC (GSM) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MARKET WIREhttps://www.dars.gov.et/ • 1d ago
GSM Q2 2026 Earnings: Ferroglobe Posts $0.32 EPS, Far Ahead of a Negative Consensus Estimate - Guidance Revision Trendhttps://www.dars.gov.et/ report covering Ferroglobe PLC (GSM) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
CATALYSThttps://www.dars.gov.et/ • 1d ago
GSM Q2 2026 Earnings: Ferroglobe Swings to Profit, Beating Estimates by a Wide Margin - Estimate Uncertaintyhttps://www.dars.gov.et/ report covering Ferroglobe PLC (GSM) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MARKET WIREYahoo • 13d ago
Ferroglobe PLC Schedules Third Quarter 2026 Earnings Call for November 4, 2026LONDON, Oct. 20, 2026 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Ferroglobe PLC (NASDAQ: GSM) announced today that it will issue third quarter 2026 financial results after the market closes on Tuesday, November 3, 2026, and will host the quart
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk
Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring GSM)
- ✓Walkthrough of GSM's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
- ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
- ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
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GSM // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -18.12%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-11-03O $4.01H $4.01L $3.84C $3.84VOL 1.23M
RES: $4.63SUP: $3.81SMA50: $4.16SMA200: $4.22
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK
GSM Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Share Count & Dilution Monitor
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth
vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on GSM today. View full Setup Ledger →
🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections
Open Graph →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for GSM. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for GSM today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (GSM)
Materials Rank #145 of 270
⚔️ ASM vs GSM Full Matrix →
1. Head-to-Head Materials Peer Comparison (GSM vs. ASM, LAC, DC, LAR)
Industry: Metal Mining (41 Tracked Issuers)Across 270 tracked Materials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Ferroglobe PLC (GSM) ranks #145 by composite RQD confidence (45/100, grade D) and #155 by equity capitalization ($721.3M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, GSM leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while LAC leads on capital efficiency and profitability with -8.1% ROIC and — gross margin. GSM currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 45/100 (D).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GSM
ACTIVE
Ferroglobe PLC | D | 45/100 | — | — | — | -0.52% | $721.3M | Benchmark Subject |
| ASM Avino Silver & Gold Mines Ltd. (Canada) | D | 44/100 | — | — | — | +0.92% | $733.8M | /asm-vs-gsm → |
| LAC Lithium Americas Corp. | E | 32/100 | — | — | -8.1% | -3.45% | $737.0M | /lac-vs-gsm → |
| DC Dakota Gold Corp. | E | 30/100 | — | — | -29.3% | +3.55% | $680.3M | /dc-vs-gsm → |
| LAR Lithium Argentina AG | D | 44/100 | — | — | — | 0.00% | $669.5M | /lar-vs-gsm → |
2. GSM Fundamental Profitability, Capital Efficiency & Balance-Sheet Forensics
TRAILING 12M & FORWARD QUANTITATIVE SNAPSHOTFerroglobe PLC (GSM) operates in Metal Mining (Materials) with an equity capitalization of $721.3M, trailing P/E of N/A, forward P/E of N/A, and EV/EBITDA of N/A. Operating profitability registers a gross margin of —, operating margin of —, net profit margin of —, ROIC of —, and free cash flow yield of —, alongside an Altman Z-Score of N/A and Piotroski F-Score of N/A.
3. GSM Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs GSM stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-03, Ferroglobe PLC (NASDAQ: GSM) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 45/100 at a spot price of $3.84 (-0.52% 1D, market cap $721.3M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 4/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 7/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 9/20. Across 270 tracked Materials issuers, GSM ranks #145 in composite RQD confidence.
How does GSM compare to ASM and LAC in the Materials sector?
Within the Materials sector (Metal Mining), GSM carries a Roarable D (45/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, ASM (Avino Silver & Gold Mines Ltd. (Canada)) holds a D grade (44/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $733.8M) and LAC (Lithium Americas Corp.) posts a E grade (32/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -8.1%, cap $737.0M). Among the 5-stock peer group, GSM leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while LAC leads on capital efficiency (-8.1% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for GSM?
For Ferroglobe PLC (GSM), key quantitative strengths include Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity and sector rank #145 in Materials, while primary risk factors center on Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately and Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is GSM trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
GSM last traded at $3.84 (-0.52% on volume of 869,032 shares), positioning the stock -7.69% below its 50-day simple moving average ($4.16) and -9.00% below its 200-day simple moving average ($4.22). Across its 52-week range of $3.08 to $5.66, GSM sits at the 29.5% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 42.9 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±8.5% ($3.51 to $4.17).
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 45/100 (D)
✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED
GSM — Ferroglobe PLC: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor
Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2026-11-03
1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor
Ferroglobe PLC (GSM) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 45/100, corresponding to a D letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $3.84 (-0.52% 1D, market capitalization $721.3M).
- Fundamental Cash Engine (12/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of —, gross margin of —, operating margin of —, and free cash flow yield of —.
- Whale 13F & Options Flow (4/20) + Insider Conviction (9/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
- Macro Regime Fit (7/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (13/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of N/A, Piotroski F-Score of N/A, and Debt/Equity of N/A.
2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory
Is a NASDAQ-listed issuer in the Materials sector, Metal Mining industry, with a market capitalization of $0.7B. — for specific product lines, customers, or revenue mix.
3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff
- 🐂 Primary Bull Case (D • RQD 45/100): Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of — and institutional whale pillar of 4/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 12/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 4/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $3.08 – $5.66 52-week range.
- 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh current valuation against — operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.
4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch
The source data therefore provides no upstream or downstream dependency map, no named sector correlations, and no identified bottlenecks. Investors should treat second-order ripple analysis for GSM as unavailable from the provided sources.
- Key Question #1: Can GSM sustain or expand its — operating margin and — ROIC against Metal Mining peers over the next 4 quarters?
- Key Question #2: Will free cash flow conversion (— FCF yield) strengthen balance-sheet liquidity (Altman Z-Score N/A) toward the $5.66 52-week high?
- Key Question #3: How sensitive is GSM's equity valuation to Materials capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?
GSM Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire
Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Ferroglobe PLC (GSM) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below
🟡 MARKET WIRE StockInvest.us • 23h ago
Ferroglobe Stock Price Forecast. Should You Buy GSM? StockInvest.us report covering Ferroglobe PLC (GSM) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
🟢 CATALYST MarketBeat • 1d ago
Ferroglobe (NASDAQ:GSM) Stock Rating Upgraded by Wall Street Zen MarketBeat report covering Ferroglobe PLC (GSM) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
🟡 MARKET WIRE Stock Titan • 1d ago
A passive investor reports owning 5% or less of Ferroglobe (GSM) in an amended disclosure. Stock Titan report covering Ferroglobe PLC (GSM) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
🟡 MARKET WIRE MarketBeat • 1d ago
Ferroglobe (GSM) Expected to Post Earnings on Tuesday MarketBeat report covering Ferroglobe PLC (GSM) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
🟡 MARKET WIRE https://www.dars.gov.et/ • 1d ago
GSM Q2 2026 Earnings: Ferroglobe Posts $0.32 EPS, Far Ahead of a Negative Consensus Estimate - Guidance Revision Trend https://www.dars.gov.et/ report covering Ferroglobe PLC (GSM) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
🟢 CATALYST https://www.dars.gov.et/ • 1d ago
GSM Q2 2026 Earnings: Ferroglobe Swings to Profit, Beating Estimates by a Wide Margin - Estimate Uncertainty https://www.dars.gov.et/ report covering Ferroglobe PLC (GSM) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo • 13d ago
Ferroglobe PLC Schedules Third Quarter 2026 Earnings Call for November 4, 2026 LONDON, Oct. 20, 2026 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Ferroglobe PLC (NASDAQ: GSM) announced today that it will issue third quarter 2026 financial results after the market closes on Tuesday, November 3, 2026, and will host the quart
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE
3 Active Posts & Replies
GSM Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $3.84?
🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON GSM 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
TA TapeReader_Pro RQD DEBATE OPENER • Price Action & Volume Trader 🐂 BULLISH
🎯 Target: $5.02 (+30.1%)
📌 Pinned Debate The Forensic Balance Sheet pillar scores 13/20, supported by an Altman Z of 2.5, a Piotroski F of 6/9, and a Debt/Equity of 0.5.
Here is why I am bullish on GSM here at $3.86: The Forensic Balance Sheet pillar scores 13/20, supported by an Altman Z of 2.5, a Piotroski F of 6/9, and a Debt/Equity of 0.5.. Compare GSM's 0.0% operating margin and 0.0% ROIC against the rest of Metal Mining. As long as cash conversion holds up, dips toward $3.67 are getting bought.
RetailWhale_TX 🐂 BULL
@MeanReversion_88 Shorting a 4/20 institutional whale-flow stock at $3.86 is dangerous when funds are rotating into Materials.
ME MeanReversion_88 RQD DEBATE OPENER • Quantitative Statistical Arb 🐻 BEARISH
🎯 Target: $3.20 (-17.1%)
Spot @ $3.86 The Cash Engine pillar carries 0% ROIC and 0% FCF yield, and the composite verdict is a Roarable Sell with a distribution warning.
I respect the product at Ferroglobe PLC, but the stock at $3.86 is a different story. The Cash Engine pillar carries 0% ROIC and 0% FCF yield, and the composite verdict is a Roarable Sell with a distribution warning.. FCF yield is 0.0% and RQD sits at 45/100 (D) — why pay up here when you can wait for next quarter's numbers?