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Stock Ratings / Communication Services / GTN / dividends
EVC (25) IHRT (48) SSP (40) SBGI (49) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

Gray Media Inc. (GTN) Dividend Safety Gauge & 10-Year DRIP Compounder

$4.65 +3.56% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $4.67

Gray Media Inc. (GTN) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 38/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D- • RED ALERT Cap $462.4M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on GTN Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is GTN stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Gray Media Inc. (NYSE: GTN) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 38/100 at a spot price of $4.65 (+3.56% 1D, market cap $462.4M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 7/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 6/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 4/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 10/20. Across 132 tracked Communication Services issuers, GTN ranks #94 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does GTN compare to EVC and IHRT in the Communication Services sector?
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Within the Communication Services sector (Broadcasting), GTN carries a Roarable D- (38/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 4.1%. By comparison, EVC (Entravision Communications Corporation) holds a E grade (25/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $562.0M) and IHRT (iHeartMedia Inc. (Class A)) posts a D grade (48/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $246.0M). Among the 5-stock peer group, GTN leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while SBGI leads on capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for GTN?
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Per GTN's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000043196), Gray Media Inc. generated $3.10B in revenue (-15.1% YoY), -$85.0M in net income, and $181.0M in free cash flow against $10.44B in total assets and $5.74B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Communication Services with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $4.67 (+0.45%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-0.68% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 11/20 (D+) • 5.8% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (38/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-7.8% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • D-
025507510038
2-of-3 Quant Analysts Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR RQD RADARRw D · Rk E
Cash (11)Whales (7)SEC (6)Macro (4)CEO (10)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-9% Base Target
$7 Bull$4 Base$3 Bear
📬 FREE GTN RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for GTN)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±8.3%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (38/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY GTN SCORES 38/100 (D-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+11/20 pts (29% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 5.8% FCF Margin ($181.0M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+10/20 pts (26% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 50% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-0.68% YoY Shares)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (48.6) create a -16 pt regime headwind

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
30
Grade E$4.50+2.9% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
33
Grade E$4.63-7.1% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
35
Grade E$4.30+8.1% Next Q
Current
38
Grade D-$4.65-7.8% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: E (30) → D- (38)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a GTN Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While GTN currently carries a cautious 38/100 (D-) rating due to Macro Regime Fit (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Communication Services with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($4.64) and Max Pain ($4.88) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $6.76.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Cannibal Buyback (-0.68% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $GTN• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “GTN Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 38%NO 62%Trade / Inspect Odds →
CASH DIVIDEND + BUYBACK YIELD
8.97% Total Yield
7.17% Cash ($0.33/yr) + 1.8% Buybacks
PAYOUT SAFETY SPEEDOMETER
41/100 • ELEVATED PAYOUT WATCH
FREE CASH FLOW PAYOUT RATIO
96% of FCF
8 consecutive years of payout growth
INTERACTIVE DRIP & SHAREHOLDER-YIELD COMPOUNDER (12.5% EST. ANNUAL)

$10,000 Compounded Over 10 Years → $32,473

Est. Year-10 Shareholder Yield: $2,913/yr
$11.3K
Yr 1
$12.7K
Yr 2
$14.2K
Yr 3
$16.0K
Yr 4
$18.0K
Yr 5
$20.3K
Yr 6
$22.8K
Yr 7
$25.7K
Yr 8
$28.9K
Yr 9
$32.5K
Yr 10
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring GTN)

  • ✓Walkthrough of GTN's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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GTN // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -16.06%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-11-03O $4.47H $4.65L $4.47C $4.65VOL 845.0K
RES: $4.69SUP: $4.26SMA50: $4.64SMA200: $4.59
$5.79$5.18$4.57$3.97$3.36RES $4.69SUP $4.26$4.652026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

GTN Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 GTN Butterfly Map → + Track GTN →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
7.4%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -15.1% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on GTN today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for GTN. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for GTN today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (GTN)

Communication Services Rank #94 of 132 ⚔️ EVC vs GTN Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Communication Services Peer Comparison (GTN vs. EVC, IHRT, SSP, SBGI)

Industry: Broadcasting (24 Tracked Issuers)

Across 132 tracked Communication Services securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Gray Media Inc. (GTN) ranks #94 by composite RQD confidence (38/100, grade D-) and #77 by equity capitalization ($462.4M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, GTN leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while SBGI leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 85.0% ROIC and — gross margin. SBGI currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 49/100 (D) compared with GTN at 38/100 (D-).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
GTN ACTIVE
Gray Media Inc.
D- 38/100 — — 4.1% +3.56% $462.4M Benchmark Subject
EVC
Entravision Communications Corporation
E 25/100 — 58.9% -35.0% +5.91% $562.0M /evc-vs-gtn →
IHRT
iHeartMedia Inc. (Class A)
D 48/100 — — — -1.63% $246.0M /ihrt-vs-gtn →
SSP
E.W. Scripps Company (Class A)
D- 40/100 — — 3.8% +2.67% $242.8M /ssp-vs-gtn →
SBGI
Sinclair Inc. (Class A)
D 49/100 — — 85.0% +1.33% $925.7M /sbgi-vs-gtn →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000043196 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Gray Media Inc. (GTN) reported GAAP revenue of $3.10B (-15.1% vs. FY2024 revenue of $3.64B , and -5.7% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$85.0M, operating cash flow of $289.0M, and free cash flow of $181.0M (-70.2% YoY). On the balance sheet, GTN closed FY2025 with $10.44B in total assets against $5.74B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.63, Piotroski F-Score: 4/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $3.10B -$85.0M $289.0M $181.0M $10.44B $5.74B
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $3.64B $375.0M $751.0M $608.0M $10.54B $5.60B
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $3.28B -$76.0M $648.0M $648.0M — —

3. GTN Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is GTN stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Gray Media Inc. (NYSE: GTN) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 38/100 at a spot price of $4.65 (+3.56% 1D, market cap $462.4M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 7/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 6/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 4/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 10/20. Across 132 tracked Communication Services issuers, GTN ranks #94 in composite RQD confidence.

How does GTN compare to EVC and IHRT in the Communication Services sector?

Within the Communication Services sector (Broadcasting), GTN carries a Roarable D- (38/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 4.1%. By comparison, EVC (Entravision Communications Corporation) holds a E grade (25/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $562.0M) and IHRT (iHeartMedia Inc. (Class A)) posts a D grade (48/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $246.0M). Among the 5-stock peer group, GTN leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while SBGI leads on capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for GTN?

Per GTN's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000043196), Gray Media Inc. generated $3.10B in revenue (-15.1% YoY), -$85.0M in net income, and $181.0M in free cash flow against $10.44B in total assets and $5.74B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Communication Services with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is GTN trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

GTN last traded at $4.65 (+3.56% on volume of 911,522 shares), positioning the stock +0.22% above its 50-day simple moving average ($4.64) and +1.31% above its 200-day simple moving average ($4.59). Across its 52-week range of $3.55 to $6.44, GTN sits at the 38.1% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 48.6 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±8.3% ($4.26 to $5.04).

Direct Sub-Reports: GTN RQD Cockpit GTN 12M Forecast GTN Earnings & Move GTN Dividends & DRIP GTN Insiders & 13F GTN Whale Options GTN Profit Sankey GTN News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 38/100 (D-) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

GTN — Gray Media Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Gray Media Inc. (GTN) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 38/100, corresponding to a D- letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $4.65 (+3.56% 1D, market capitalization $462.4M).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (11/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 4.1%, gross margin of —, operating margin of 12.7%, and free cash flow yield of —.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (7/20) + Insider Conviction (10/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (4/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (6/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 0.63, Piotroski F-Score of 4/9, and Debt/Equity of 2.66x.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Gray Media Inc. (GTN) is a NYSE-listed issuer in the Communication Services sector, operating in the Broadcasting industry..5B. FY 2025 revenue was $3.10B, indicating a broadcasting revenue base of that scale.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Gray Media Inc. (GTN) reported $3.10B in annual revenue (up from $3.64B in FY2024, -15.1% YoY) and -$85.0M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($3.28B revenue, -$76.0M net income) through FY2025, GTN scaled operating cash flow to $289.0M and free cash flow to $181.0M, backed by $10.44B in total assets against $5.74B in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (D- • RQD 38/100): Established market leader in Communication Services with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of — and institutional whale pillar of 7/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 11/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 7/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $3.55 – $6.44 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh current valuation and 12.1x EV/EBITDA against 12.7% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Supply_chain is "NONE" and butterfly_links is empty.

  • Key Question #1: Can GTN sustain or expand its 12.7% operating margin and 4.1% ROIC against Broadcasting peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $3.10B and free cash flow of $181.0M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $5.74B in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is GTN's equity valuation to Communication Services capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

GTN Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Gray Media Inc. (GTN) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to GTN Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

GTN Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $4.65?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON GTN 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on GTN:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
SI SiliconVal_Bull RQD DEBATE OPENER • Growth & Tech Investor 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $5.52 (+22.9%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Operating income of $392.0M in FY 2025 and a 7.17% dividend yield show the business generates earnings before financing costs and offer

The street is overcomplicating Gray Media Inc. (GTN). Operating income of $392.0M in FY 2025 and a 7.17% dividend yield show the business generates earnings before financing costs and offers a high cash yield to holders.. With an RQD score of 38/100 (D-) and Forensic Balance Sheet at 6/20, any positive earnings surprise or guidance raise forces underweight funds to chase above $4.85.

VolSurface_Trader 🐂 BULL

@ShortSeller_Dan Shorting a 7/20 institutional whale-flow stock at $4.49 is dangerous when funds are rotating into Communication Services.

SH ShortSeller_Dan RQD DEBATE OPENER • Forensic Short Bias 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $3.55 (-20.9%)
Spot @ $4.49

Reported debt of $5.74B against cash of $368.0M, an Altman Z-Score of 0.63, and FY 2025 net income of -$85.0M leave the balance sheet

Sitting on the sidelines or leaning short GTN above $4.49. Reported debt of $5.74B against cash of $368.0M, an Altman Z-Score of 0.63, and FY 2025 net income of -$85.0M leave the balance sheet highly leveraged with weak forensic scores.. Until Fundamental Cash Engine (11/20) and FCF yield (0.0%) inflect higher, upside is capped near $6.44.

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