HawkEye 360 Inc. (HAWK) Dividend Safety Gauge & 10-Year DRIP Compounder

$13.55 -4.64% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $13.41

HawkEye 360 Inc. (HAWK) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 45/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $1.39B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is HAWK stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-02, HawkEye 360 Inc. (NYSE: HAWK) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 45/100 at a spot price of $13.55 (-4.64% 1D, market cap $1.39B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 7/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, HAWK ranks #441 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does HAWK compare to WRD and INOD in the Technology sector?
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Within the Technology sector (EDP Services), HAWK carries a Roarable D (45/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, WRD (WeRide Inc.) holds a D grade (45/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $1.46B) and INOD (Innodata Inc.) posts a C grade (62/100 RQD, P/E 49.3x, ROIC 39.7%, cap $1.59B). Among the 5-stock peer group, GDRX leads on earnings multiple (39.7x) while INOD leads on capital efficiency (39.7% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for HAWK?
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Per HAWK's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001750704), HawkEye 360 Inc. generated $0 in revenue, $0 in net income, and $0 in free cash flow against $489.9M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $13.41 (-1.03%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 10/20 (D) • 1% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (45/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-6.3% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D
025507510045
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk D
Cash (10)Whales (6)SEC (13)Macro (7)CEO (9)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-5.8% Base Target
$38 Bull$13 Base$10 Bear
📬 FREE HAWK RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for HAWK)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.2%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (45/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY HAWK SCORES 45/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+13/20 pts (29% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+10/20 pts (22% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 1% FCF Margin ($39.0M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning6/20 pts (-14 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-14 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
37
Grade E$13.45-10% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
40
Grade D$12.10+5.5% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
42
Grade D$12.76+6.2% Next Q
Current
45
Grade D$13.55-6.3% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: E (37) → D (45)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a HAWK Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While HAWK currently carries a cautious 45/100 (D) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (6/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($15.48) and Max Pain ($14.23) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $37.52.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $HAWK• $4.8M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “HAWK Beats Next Quarterly Revenue & EPS Consensus + Hyperscaler AI CapEx Holds Record Pace”
CASH DIVIDEND + BUYBACK YIELD
1.8% Total Yield
0% Cash ($0.00/yr) + 1.8% Buybacks
PAYOUT SAFETY SPEEDOMETER
74/100 • REINVESTING IN GROWTH + BUYBACKS
FREE CASH FLOW PAYOUT RATIO
0% (100% Reinvested)
Retains cash flow for R&D and share repurchases
INTERACTIVE DRIP & SHAREHOLDER-YIELD COMPOUNDER (6.8% EST. ANNUAL)

$10,000 Compounded Over 10 Years → $19,307

Est. Year-10 Shareholder Yield: $348/yr
$10.7K
Yr 1
$11.4K
Yr 2
$12.2K
Yr 3
$13.0K
Yr 4
$13.9K
Yr 5
$14.8K
Yr 6
$15.8K
Yr 7
$16.9K
Yr 8
$18.1K
Yr 9
$19.3K
Yr 10
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring HAWK)

  • ✓Walkthrough of HAWK's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
HAWK // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -60.15%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-11-02O $13.27H $14.21L $13.27C $13.55VOL 2.51M
RES: $13.91SUP: $10.71SMA50: $15.48SMA200: $20.81
$37.44$30.34$23.25$16.15$9.05RES $13.91SUP $10.71$13.552026-05-072026-06-222026-08-052026-09-182026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

HAWK Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on HAWK today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for HAWK. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for HAWK today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (HAWK)

Technology Rank #441 of 714 ⚔️ WRD vs HAWK Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (HAWK vs. WRD, INOD, GDRX, MGRT)

Industry: EDP Services (163 Tracked Issuers)

Across 714 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, HawkEye 360 Inc. (HAWK) ranks #441 by composite RQD confidence (45/100, grade D) and #329 by equity capitalization ($1.39B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, GDRX leads on earnings valuation at 39.7x trailing P/E, while INOD leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 39.7% ROIC and 39.5% gross margin. INOD currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 62/100 (C) compared with HAWK at 45/100 (D).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
HAWK ACTIVE
HawkEye 360 Inc.
D 45/100 — — — -4.64% $1.39B Benchmark Subject
WRD
WeRide Inc.
D 45/100 — — — -5.05% $1.46B /wrd-vs-hawk →
INOD
Innodata Inc.
C 62/100 49.3x 39.5% 39.7% -5.11% $1.59B /inod-vs-hawk →
GDRX
GoodRx Holdings Inc. (Class A)
C- 60/100 39.7x — 8.3% -1.41% $1.21B /gdrx-vs-hawk →
MGRT
Mega Fortune Company Limited
D+ 52/100 — 50.7% — -1.09% $1.65B /mgrt-vs-hawk →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2025–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001750704

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), HawkEye 360 Inc. (HAWK) reported GAAP revenue of $0 , GAAP net income of $0, operating cash flow of $0, and free cash flow of $0 . On the balance sheet, HAWK closed FY2025 with $489.9M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: N/A).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $0 $0 — — $489.9M —

3. HAWK Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is HAWK stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, HawkEye 360 Inc. (NYSE: HAWK) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 45/100 at a spot price of $13.55 (-4.64% 1D, market cap $1.39B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 7/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, HAWK ranks #441 in composite RQD confidence.

How does HAWK compare to WRD and INOD in the Technology sector?

Within the Technology sector (EDP Services), HAWK carries a Roarable D (45/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, WRD (WeRide Inc.) holds a D grade (45/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $1.46B) and INOD (Innodata Inc.) posts a C grade (62/100 RQD, P/E 49.3x, ROIC 39.7%, cap $1.59B). Among the 5-stock peer group, GDRX leads on earnings multiple (39.7x) while INOD leads on capital efficiency (39.7% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for HAWK?

Per HAWK's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001750704), HawkEye 360 Inc. generated $0 in revenue, $0 in net income, and $0 in free cash flow against $489.9M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is HAWK trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

HAWK last traded at $13.55 (-4.64% on volume of 1,817,559 shares), positioning the stock -12.47% below its 50-day simple moving average ($15.48) and -34.89% below its 200-day simple moving average ($20.81). Across its 52-week range of $11.25 to $35.73, HAWK sits at the 9.4% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 52.3 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.2% ($11.90 to $15.20).

HAWK Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Does HAWK pay a dividend and is it safe?

HawkEye 360 Inc. (HAWK) offers a 0% cash dividend yield ($0.00 annualized) and 1.8% total shareholder yield including buybacks. Roarable rates its payout coverage as REINVESTING IN GROWTH + BUYBACKS.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 45/100 (D) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

HAWK — HawkEye 360 Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T14:13:43Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, HAWK scores 45 out of 100, earning a "D" grade and the verdict "Roarable Sell — Underperform / Distribution Warning." The five pillars are:

  • Fundamental Cash Engine: 10 / 20 (ROIC 0%; FCF yield 0%). The cash-generation pillar is weak; the source reports no return on invested capital and no free-cash-flow yield.
  • Whale 13F Flow: 6 / 20 (institutional accumulation and options positioning). Institutional signals are the weakest pillar relative to its weight.
  • Insider Conviction: 9 / 20 (SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow). Insider-side conviction is limited per this pillar.
  • Macro Regime Fit: 7 / 20 (Beta 1.0; sector sensitivity). The stock tracks the market at a beta of 1.0 and the rating assigns limited regime-fit credit.
  • Forensic Balance Sheet: 13 / 20 (Altman Z 2.5; Piotroski F 6/9; Debt/Equity 0.5). This is the strongest pillar, indicating a comparatively sound balance sheet.

For a prospective investor evaluating the stock today, the rating points to a cash-generation problem as the central concern, with weak institutional and insider signals reinforcing it. The balance-sheet pillar offers some offset, but per the rating's own verdict, the distribution-warning framing suggests caution rather than accumulation. Upside would depend on cash generation improving, which the source data does not yet show. This is an analytical framing, not personalized financial advice.

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025 (filed 2025-12-31)$0.0M$0.0M$0.0MN/AN/A$92.7MN/A

Per the SEC financials, reported revenue, operating income, and net income for FY 2025 are each shown as $0.0M, and reported margins are 0% across gross, operating, and net measures. Per the Roarable RQD rating, ROIC is 0%. The source reports an Altman Z-Score of 2.5, a Piotroski F-Score of 6/9, and a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.5 within the forensic balance-sheet pillar. Cash is reported at $92.7M, while debt is listed as N/A in the financials.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Per the recent news and catalysts section, the feed includes six items, all tied to HAWK:

  • Market wire (YELLOW): A Yahoo! Finance Canada stock-price and news report covering market action and institutional positioning.
  • Catalyst (GREEN): A Seeking Alpha piece titled "HawkEye 360: Allied Budgets Are Paying For The Growth," flagged as a positive catalyst.
  • Risk watch (RED): A Yahoo Finance item, "Defense Stocks To Watch As Missile Threats Put HawkEye 360 In Focus," flagged as a risk item.
  • Market wire (YELLOW): A MarketBeat 2026 stock forecast and price-target report.
  • Market wire (YELLOW): A Simply Wall St stock-analysis report.
  • Risk watch (RED): A Stock Titan item reporting a communications executive with more than 27 years' experience joining HawkEye 360, flagged as risk.

The feed's own labels are mixed: two catalyst-or-risk items point in opposite directions, and the remaining items are generic market coverage. The butterfly supply-chain graph reports no supply-chain links and no proprietary signals.

Butterfly Effect: 2nd-Order Supply-Chain & Sector Ripples

Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, the supply chain is listed as "NONE," with no butterfly links and no proprietary signals. Upstream and downstream dependencies, sector correlations, and second-order bottlenecks are therefore not available in source data. The sector is Technology and the industry is EDP Services, but the source does not map specific suppliers, customers, or sector peers. Investors should watch for these relationships in future disclosures.

Open Questions

  • What does HawkEye 360 sell, and who are its customers? The source data does not describe the business model.
  • Why are revenue, operating income, and net income reported as $0.0M for FY 2025, and is that a data-reporting gap or the actual financial result?
  • What explains the reported 0% ROIC and 0% FCF yield, and what would cash generation need to look like to change the cash-engine pillar?
  • What is the status and size of the debt, given that debt is listed as N/A while Debt/Equity is 0.5?
  • What drove the 7.08% price change, and does the RED-flagged executive hire or defense-related coverage signal anything material?

HAWK Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for HawkEye 360 Inc. (HAWK) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to HAWK Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

HAWK Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $13.55?

🐂 33% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON HAWK 🐻 67% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on HAWK:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $12.50 (-12.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is HAWK (D • RQD 45/100) a Buy at $14.21?

Welcome to the HAWK (HawkEye 360 Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 45/100 (Roarable Sell — Underperform / Distribution Warning) in EDP Services. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

MU MultipleCompression Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $11.65 (-18.0%)
Spot @ $14.21

Pump the brakes on HAWK — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on HAWK, but look at what you are paying: current EV/EBITDA multiples with tightening sector spreads. Unless HawkEye 360 Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

MA MacroHawk_NYC Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $17.19 (+21.0%)
Spot @ $14.21

HAWK cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on HAWK, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in EDP Services and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $14.21 (52-wk range $11.25 - $35.73), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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