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Why HHH Stock dropped -2.07% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

$76.30 -2.07% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $75.87

Howard Hughes Holdings Inc. (HHH) carries a Roarable Rating of C+ (Hold) with 69/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

ROARABLE C+ • HOLD / WATCH Cap $4.65B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is HHH stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Howard Hughes Holdings Inc. (NYSE: HHH) is rated C+ (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 69/100 at a spot price of $76.30 (-2.07% 1D, market cap $4.65B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 14/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 14/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 15/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 11/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 15/20. Across 1097 tracked Financials issuers, HHH ranks #132 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does HHH compare to STWD and EPR in the Financials sector?
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Within the Financials sector (Real Estate Investment Trusts), HHH carries a Roarable C+ (69/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 36.4x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 5.1%. By comparison, STWD (STARWOOD PROPERTY TRUST INC. Starwood Property Trust Inc.) holds a D+ grade (55/100 RQD, P/E 11.2x, ROIC 1.3%, cap $4.67B) and EPR (EPR Properties) posts a B grade (72/100 RQD, P/E 16.3x, ROIC 9.0%, cap $4.57B). Among the 5-stock peer group, STWD leads on earnings multiple (11.2x) while EPR leads on capital efficiency (9.0% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for HHH?
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Per HHH's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001981792), Howard Hughes Holdings Inc. generated $1.47B in revenue (-15.8% YoY), $123.8M in net income, and $396.0M in free cash flow against $10.64B in total assets and $3.06B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $75.87 (-0.56%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 14/20 (B-) • 26.8% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 69/100 (C+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+2.0% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 57.3% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C+
025507510069
3-of-3 Quant Analysts Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR RQD RADARRw B · Rk C
Cash (14)Whales (14)SEC (15)Macro (11)CEO (15)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+5% Base Target
$96 Bull$80 Base$62 Bear
📬 FREE HHH RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for HHH)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±6.3%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (69/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY HHH SCORES 69/100 (C+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+15/20 pts (22% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+15/20 pts (22% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 75% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit11/20 pts (-9 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (68.3) create a -9 pt regime headwind

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
61
Grade C$69.91-0.6% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
64
Grade C+$69.49+8.8% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
66
Grade B-$75.58+1% Next Q
Current
69
Grade C+$76.30+2% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C (61) → C+ (69)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the HHH Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 69/100 (C+) score, HHH faces multiple-compression risk if 36.4x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($68.70) or 200D SMA ($68.55) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($80.08) toward Bear Floor ($62.46).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $HHH• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “HHH Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 69%NO 31%Trade / Inspect Odds →
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →

Why HHH Stock dropped -2.07% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

Howard Hughes Holdings Inc. (HHH) dropped -2.07% to $76.30, trading at 52% of its 52-week range ($60.09 – $91.07). Solid steady margins (5% return on capital), mixed timing at 36x P/E—hold if owned, no rush to chase.

  • ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 52% of its 52-week range ($60.09 – $91.07) with RSI-14 at 68.3 (BULLISH MOMENTUM).
  • ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±6.3% around $76.30 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
  • ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable C+ (Hold) backed by 52% gross margin and $396.0M annual free cash flow.
Live HHH Headlines & Catalysts
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Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (HHH Tape Review)

  • ✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
  • ✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
  • ✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts
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HHH // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +20.48%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-11-04O $76.23H $77.91L $76.23C $76.30VOL 721.1K
RES: $78.68SUP: $59.51SMA50: $68.70SMA200: $68.55
$79.16$73.99$68.82$63.65$58.49RES $78.68SUP $59.51$76.302026-05-052026-06-222026-08-062026-09-222026-11-04
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

HHH Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 HHH Butterfly Map → + Track HHH →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
28.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -15.8% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on HHH today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for HHH. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for HHH today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (HHH)

Financials Rank #132 of 1097 ⚔️ STWD vs HHH Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (HHH vs. STWD, EPR, CUZ, APLE)

Industry: Real Estate Investment Trusts (172 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1097 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Howard Hughes Holdings Inc. (HHH) ranks #132 by composite RQD confidence (69/100, grade C+) and #286 by equity capitalization ($4.65B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, STWD leads on earnings valuation at 11.2x trailing P/E, while EPR leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 9.0% ROIC and — gross margin. EPR currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 72/100 (B) compared with HHH at 69/100 (C+).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
HHH ACTIVE
Howard Hughes Holdings Inc.
C+ 69/100 36.4x — 5.1% -2.07% $4.65B Benchmark Subject
STWD
STARWOOD PROPERTY TRUST INC. Starwood Property Trust Inc.
D+ 55/100 11.2x — 1.3% -0.63% $4.67B /stwd-vs-hhh →
EPR
EPR Properties
B 72/100 16.3x — 9.0% -0.15% $4.57B /epr-vs-hhh →
CUZ
Cousins Properties Incorporated
C+ 69/100 118.2x — 8.3% -1.88% $4.91B /cuz-vs-hhh →
APLE
Apple Hospitality REIT Inc.
C+ 68/100 25.3x — 6.5% -0.11% $4.41B /aple-vs-hhh →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001981792 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Howard Hughes Holdings Inc. (HHH) reported GAAP revenue of $1.47B (-15.8% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.75B , and +62.3% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $123.8M, operating cash flow of $462.4M, and free cash flow of $396.0M (+24.6% YoY). On the balance sheet, HHH closed FY2025 with $10.64B in total assets against $3.06B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $1.47B $123.8M $462.4M $396.0M $10.64B $3.06B
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $1.75B $197.0M $396.6M $317.8M $9.21B $2.87B
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $908.8M -$551.5M -$258.5M -$299.4M $2.48B $580.9M

3. HHH Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is HHH stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Howard Hughes Holdings Inc. (NYSE: HHH) is rated C+ (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 69/100 at a spot price of $76.30 (-2.07% 1D, market cap $4.65B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 14/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 14/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 15/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 11/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 15/20. Across 1097 tracked Financials issuers, HHH ranks #132 in composite RQD confidence.

How does HHH compare to STWD and EPR in the Financials sector?

Within the Financials sector (Real Estate Investment Trusts), HHH carries a Roarable C+ (69/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 36.4x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 5.1%. By comparison, STWD (STARWOOD PROPERTY TRUST INC. Starwood Property Trust Inc.) holds a D+ grade (55/100 RQD, P/E 11.2x, ROIC 1.3%, cap $4.67B) and EPR (EPR Properties) posts a B grade (72/100 RQD, P/E 16.3x, ROIC 9.0%, cap $4.57B). Among the 5-stock peer group, STWD leads on earnings multiple (11.2x) while EPR leads on capital efficiency (9.0% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for HHH?

Per HHH's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001981792), Howard Hughes Holdings Inc. generated $1.47B in revenue (-15.8% YoY), $123.8M in net income, and $396.0M in free cash flow against $10.64B in total assets and $3.06B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is HHH trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

HHH last traded at $76.30 (-2.07% on volume of 917,923 shares), positioning the stock +11.06% above its 50-day simple moving average ($68.70) and +11.31% above its 200-day simple moving average ($68.55). Across its 52-week range of $60.09 to $91.07, HHH sits at the 52.3% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 68.3 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±6.3% ($71.49 to $81.11).

Direct Sub-Reports: HHH RQD Cockpit HHH 12M Forecast HHH Earnings & Move HHH Dividends & DRIP HHH Insiders & 13F HHH Whale Options HHH Profit Sankey HHH News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 69/100 (C+) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

HHH — Howard Hughes Holdings Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Howard Hughes Holdings Inc. (HHH) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 69/100, corresponding to a C+ letter grade (Roarable Hold) at a spot price of $76.30 (-2.07% 1D, market capitalization $4.65B).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (14/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 5.1%, gross margin of —, operating margin of 22.5%, and free cash flow yield of 8.77%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (14/20) + Insider Conviction (15/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (11/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (15/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of N/A, Piotroski F-Score of 7/9, and Debt/Equity of N/A.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Sector: Financials. Industry: Real Estate Investment Trusts. Exchange: NYSE. Howard Hughes Holdings Inc. (HHH) is a NYSE-listed issuer in the Real Estate Investment Trusts industry with a market capitalization of $4.5B. — for detailed product lines, customer base, or revenue mix. — for detailed description of how the company earns its revenue.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Howard Hughes Holdings Inc. (HHH) reported $1.47B in annual revenue (up from $1.75B in FY2024, -15.8% YoY) and $123.8M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($908.8M revenue, -$551.5M net income) through FY2025, HHH scaled operating cash flow to $462.4M and free cash flow to $396.0M, backed by $10.64B in total assets against $3.06B in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (C+ • RQD 69/100): Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 14/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 14/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $60.09 – $91.07 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run. Investors must weigh 36.4x trailing P/E and 15.2x EV/EBITDA against 22.5% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

— for sector correlation coefficients or second-order bottlenecks.

  • Key Question #1: Can HHH sustain or expand its 22.5% operating margin and 5.1% ROIC against Real Estate Investment Trusts peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $1.47B and free cash flow of $396.0M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $3.06B in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is HHH's 33.9x forward P/E multiple to Financials capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

HHH Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Howard Hughes Holdings Inc. (HHH) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to HHH Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

HHH Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $76.30?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON HHH 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on HHH:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
DE DeepValue_CFA RQD DEBATE OPENER • Institutional Buy-Side 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $90.71 (+19.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Forensic balance-sheet pillar at 15/20 with Piotroski F 7/9 and Debt/Equity 0.5, alongside an 8.77% FCF yield, supports the cash-genera

Don't sleep on HHH's setup in Financials. Forensic balance-sheet pillar at 15/20 with Piotroski F 7/9 and Debt/Equity 0.5, alongside an 8.77% FCF yield, supports the cash-generation case.. Beta of 1.0 means it moves fast when momentum turns, and the 5-pillar RQD gauge (69/100) backs up the fundamental quality.

EarningsSniper 🐂 BULL

@ForensicBear Shorting a 14/20 institutional whale-flow stock at $76.23 is dangerous when funds are rotating into Financials.

FO ForensicBear RQD DEBATE OPENER • 10-K Footnote Auditor 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $57.17 (-25.0%)
Spot @ $76.23

Trading at 36.4 TTM P/E with revenue and net income both declining from FY 2024 to FY 2025 and debt rising to $3.06B leaves limited v

Here is the bear case nobody on the bull side wants to address on HHH: Trading at 36.4 TTM P/E with revenue and net income both declining from FY 2024 to FY 2025 and debt rising to $3.06B leaves limited valuation cushion.. At 36.4x trailing P/E, even a small guidance miss in Real Estate Investment Trusts triggers a 12-15% air pocket.

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