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Stock Ratings / Financials / HKD / dividends
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AMTD Digital Inc. (every five of which represent two ) (Class A) (HKD) Dividend Safety Gauge & 10-Year DRIP Compounder

$1.63 -1.81% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.62

AMTD Digital Inc. (every five of which represent two ) (Class A) (HKD) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 53/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID Cap $209.4M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is HKD stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, AMTD Digital Inc. (every five of which represent two ) (Class A) (NYSE: HKD) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 53/100 at a spot price of $1.63 (-1.81% 1D, market cap $209.4M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 5/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 13/20. Across 1097 tracked Financials issuers, HKD ranks #579 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does HKD compare to BKKT and LIEN in the Financials sector?
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Within the Financials sector (Finance: Consumer Services), HKD carries a Roarable D+ (53/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, BKKT (Bakkt Inc. (Class A)) holds a E grade (23/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $209.1M) and LIEN (Chicago Atlantic BDC Inc.) posts a E grade (34/100 RQD, P/E 6.3x, ROIC 11.0%, cap $208.1M). Among the 5-stock peer group, LIEN leads on earnings multiple (6.3x) while LIEN leads on capital efficiency (11.0% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for HKD?
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Per HKD's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-10-31, CIK 0001809691), AMTD Digital Inc. (every five of which represent two ) (Class A) generated $136.1M in revenue (+565.7% YoY), $97.0M in net income, and $14.3M in free cash flow against $955.4M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.62 (-0.52%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.52% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 10/20 (D) • 10.5% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 53/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.9% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 50.6% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+
025507510053
2-of-3 Quant Analysts Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR RQD RADARRw D · Rk C
Cash (10)Whales (5)SEC (13)Macro (12)CEO (13)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-2.5% Base Target
$3 Bull$2 Base$1 Bear
📬 FREE HKD RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for HKD)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±7.4%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (53/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY HKD SCORES 53/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+13/20 pts (25% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 5/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+13/20 pts (25% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 65% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-1.52% YoY Shares)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning5/20 pts (-15 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-15 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
61
Grade C$1.67+3% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
58
Grade C$1.72-1.7% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
56
Grade C$1.69-3.6% Next Q
Current
53
Grade D+$1.63-0.9% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C (61) → D+ (53)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a HKD Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While HKD currently carries a cautious 53/100 (D+) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (5/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($1.71) and Max Pain ($1.71) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $3.04.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Cannibal Buyback (-1.52% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $HKD• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “HKD Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Jan 29, 2027) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 53%NO 47%Trade / Inspect Odds →
CASH DIVIDEND + BUYBACK YIELD
1.8% Total Yield
0% Cash ($0.00/yr) + 1.8% Buybacks
PAYOUT SAFETY SPEEDOMETER
74/100 • REINVESTING IN GROWTH + BUYBACKS
FREE CASH FLOW PAYOUT RATIO
0% (100% Reinvested)
Retains cash flow for R&D and share repurchases
INTERACTIVE DRIP & SHAREHOLDER-YIELD COMPOUNDER (16.3% EST. ANNUAL)

$10,000 Compounded Over 10 Years → $45,269

Est. Year-10 Shareholder Yield: $815/yr
$11.6K
Yr 1
$13.5K
Yr 2
$15.7K
Yr 3
$18.3K
Yr 4
$21.3K
Yr 5
$24.7K
Yr 6
$28.8K
Yr 7
$33.5K
Yr 8
$38.9K
Yr 9
$45.3K
Yr 10
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring HKD)

  • ✓Walkthrough of HKD's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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HKD // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -7.91%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-11-03O $1.73H $1.73L $1.63C $1.63VOL 225.0K
RES: $1.84SUP: $1.62SMA50: $1.71SMA200: $1.65
$2.12$1.95$1.77$1.60$1.43RES $1.84SUP $1.62$1.632026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

HKD Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 HKD Butterfly Map → + Track HKD →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +565.7% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on HKD today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for HKD. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for HKD today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (HKD)

Financials Rank #579 of 1097 ⚔️ BKKT vs HKD Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (HKD vs. BKKT, LIEN, BGIN, CPSS)

Industry: Finance: Consumer Services (156 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1097 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, AMTD Digital Inc. (every five of which represent two ) (Class A) (HKD) ranks #579 by composite RQD confidence (53/100, grade D+) and #876 by equity capitalization ($209.4M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, LIEN leads on earnings valuation at 6.3x trailing P/E, while LIEN leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 11.0% ROIC and — gross margin. CPSS currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 64/100 (C) compared with HKD at 53/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
HKD ACTIVE
AMTD Digital Inc. (every five of which represent two ) (Class A)
D+ 53/100 — — — -1.81% $209.4M Benchmark Subject
BKKT
Bakkt Inc. (Class A)
E 23/100 — — -35.0% -5.17% $209.1M /bkkt-vs-hkd →
LIEN
Chicago Atlantic BDC Inc.
E 34/100 6.3x — 11.0% -0.11% $208.1M /lien-vs-hkd →
BGIN
Bgin Blockchain Limited (Class A)
E 25/100 — — -35.0% +1.14% $199.1M /bgin-vs-hkd →
CPSS
Consumer Portfolio Services Inc.
C 64/100 11.3x — 6.2% -1.18% $221.9M /cpss-vs-hkd →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-10-31 • CIK 0001809691 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-10-31), AMTD Digital Inc. (every five of which represent two ) (Class A) (HKD) reported GAAP revenue of $136.1M (+565.7% vs. FY2024 revenue of $20.4M , and +1034.4% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $97.0M, operating cash flow of $14.4M, and free cash flow of $14.3M (+250.7% YoY). On the balance sheet, HKD closed FY2025 with $955.4M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-10-31 $136.1M $97.0M $14.4M $14.3M $955.4M —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-10-31 $20.4M $41.7M $4.2M $4.1M — —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-10-31 $12.0M $0 — — — —

3. HKD Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is HKD stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, AMTD Digital Inc. (every five of which represent two ) (Class A) (NYSE: HKD) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 53/100 at a spot price of $1.63 (-1.81% 1D, market cap $209.4M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 5/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 13/20. Across 1097 tracked Financials issuers, HKD ranks #579 in composite RQD confidence.

How does HKD compare to BKKT and LIEN in the Financials sector?

Within the Financials sector (Finance: Consumer Services), HKD carries a Roarable D+ (53/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, BKKT (Bakkt Inc. (Class A)) holds a E grade (23/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $209.1M) and LIEN (Chicago Atlantic BDC Inc.) posts a E grade (34/100 RQD, P/E 6.3x, ROIC 11.0%, cap $208.1M). Among the 5-stock peer group, LIEN leads on earnings multiple (6.3x) while LIEN leads on capital efficiency (11.0% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for HKD?

Per HKD's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-10-31, CIK 0001809691), AMTD Digital Inc. (every five of which represent two ) (Class A) generated $136.1M in revenue (+565.7% YoY), $97.0M in net income, and $14.3M in free cash flow against $955.4M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is HKD trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

HKD last traded at $1.63 (-1.81% on volume of 95,684 shares), positioning the stock -4.68% below its 50-day simple moving average ($1.71) and -1.21% below its 200-day simple moving average ($1.65). Across its 52-week range of $1.26 to $2.90, HKD sits at the 22.6% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 44.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±7.4% ($1.51 to $1.75).

Direct Sub-Reports: HKD RQD Cockpit HKD 12M Forecast HKD Earnings & Move HKD Dividends & DRIP HKD Insiders & 13F HKD Whale Options HKD Profit Sankey HKD News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 53/100 (D+) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

HKD — AMTD Digital Inc. (every five of which represent two ) (Class A): What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-10-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

AMTD Digital Inc. (every five of which represent two ) (Class A) (HKD) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 53/100, corresponding to a D+ letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $1.63 (-1.81% 1D, market capitalization $209.4M).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (10/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of —, gross margin of —, operating margin of 0.8%, and free cash flow yield of 6.56%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (5/20) + Insider Conviction (13/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (12/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (13/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of N/A, Piotroski F-Score of 5/9, and Debt/Equity of N/A.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

. Is a NYSE-listed issuer classified under the Financials sector and the Finance: Consumer Services industry, with a market capitalization of $0.2B.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-10-31), AMTD Digital Inc. (every five of which represent two ) (Class A) (HKD) reported $136.1M in annual revenue (up from $20.4M in FY2024, +565.7% YoY) and $97.0M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($12.0M revenue, $0 net income) through FY2025, HKD scaled operating cash flow to $14.4M and free cash flow to $14.3M, backed by $955.4M in total assets against $0 in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (D+ • RQD 53/100): Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of 6.56% and institutional whale pillar of 5/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 10/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 5/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $1.26 – $2.90 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run. Investors must weigh current valuation against 0.8% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Upstream and downstream dependencies cannot be mapped from the source data.

  • Key Question #1: Can HKD sustain or expand its 0.8% operating margin and — ROIC against Finance: Consumer Services peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $136.1M and free cash flow of $14.3M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $0 in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is HKD's equity valuation to Financials capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

HKD Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for AMTD Digital Inc. (every five of which represent two ) (Class A) (HKD) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to HKD Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

HKD Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $1.63?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON HKD 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on HKD:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
AL AlphaFlow_Cap RQD DEBATE OPENER • Verified $100K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $2.14 (+28.9%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Per the SEC financials, FY 2025 net income of $97.0M and a 6.56% FCF yield indicate reported cash generation despite a weak operating p

The street is overcomplicating AMTD Digital Inc. (every five of which represent two ) (Class A) (HKD). Per the SEC financials, FY 2025 net income of $97.0M and a 6.56% FCF yield indicate reported cash generation despite a weak operating profile.. With an RQD score of 53/100 (D+) and Forensic Balance Sheet at 13/20, any positive earnings surprise or guidance raise forces underweight funds to chase above $1.79.

CapAlloc_Nerd 🐂 BULL

@AlphaFlow_Cap Agree on the RQD 53/100 quality, though with 1.0 beta I'm scaling in with half-size at $1.66 and keeping dry powder in case we test $1.54.

FO ForensicBear RQD DEBATE OPENER • 10-K Footnote Auditor 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $1.26 (-24.1%)
Spot @ $1.66

Per the Roarable RQD rating, the stock's ROIC of 0% and operating margin of 0.8% point to weak capital efficiency and thin operating pr

Per the Roarable RQD rating, the stock's ROIC of 0% and operating margin of 0.8% point to weak capital efficiency and thin operating profitability.. Look at the math on HKD: paying current EV/EBITDA multiples for 0.0% ROIC and 0.8% operating margins leaves zero margin of safety if Finance: Consumer Services demand softens. I'd wait for a retest of $1.46 before getting long.

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