Should I buy, hold, or sell HMR stock right now?

Heidmar Maritime Holdings Corp. (HMR) currently earns a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell — SELL) with 34/100 RQD Confidence. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-35% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

What is HMR's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

HMR's 12-month base price target is $1.28 (range $1 to $2.12), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / HMR

PXS (66) GLBS (54) AIOK (63) SVRN (42) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

Heidmar Maritime Holdings Corp. (HMR) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$1.44 +5.88% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.45

Heidmar Maritime Holdings Corp. (HMR) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 34/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE E • RED ALERT Cap $80.2M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is HMR stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

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As of 2026-11-03, Heidmar Maritime Holdings Corp. (NASDAQ: HMR) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 34/100 at a spot price of $1.44 (+5.88% 1D, market cap $80.2M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 4/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 7/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 6/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, HMR ranks #806 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does HMR compare to PXS and GLBS in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Marine Transportation), HMR carries a Roarable E (34/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, PXS (Pyxis Tankers Inc.) holds a C+ grade (66/100 RQD, P/E 37.5x, ROIC 3.4%, cap $73.0M) and GLBS (Globus Maritime Limited) posts a D+ grade (54/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $62.4M). Among the 5-stock peer group, PXS leads on earnings multiple (37.5x) while PXS leads on capital efficiency (3.4% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for HMR?

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Per HMR's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0002029471), Heidmar Maritime Holdings Corp. generated $55.9M in revenue (+92.9% YoY), -$22.6M in net income, and $0 in free cash flow against $72.1M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.45 (+0.87%)🧬 Disciplined Float (+0.44% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 4/20 (E) • 4% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (34/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-8.7% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • E

3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk D-

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-11.1% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for HMR)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (34/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY HMR SCORES 34/100 (E) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+12/20 pts (35% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 55% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 40.9 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+7/20 pts (21% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±12.5% realized swing band)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Cash Engine Quality4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Capital intensity & 0% operating margin leave 16 pts on the table

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade D$1.91-8.4% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade E$1.75+2.9% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade E$1.80-20% Next Q

Current

Grade E$1.44-8.7% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: D (42) → E (34)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a HMR Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While HMR currently carries a cautious 34/100 (E) rating due to Cash Engine Quality (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($1.64) and Max Pain ($1.51) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $2.12.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (+0.44% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $HMR• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “HMR Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 34%NO 66%Trade / Inspect Odds →

RSI-14 MOMENTUMNEUTRAL RANGE

40.930 Oversold · 70 Hot

ALTMAN-Z SHIELDDISTRESS RISK (<1.8)

1.20>3.0 Fortress Safe

PIOTROSKI F-SCOREWEAK QUALITY (1–4)

1 / 99-Pt Accounting

52-WEEK LASER RANGE55% OF RANGE

L: $1$1.44H: $2

1. Money & Cash Health● WEAK

Are profits real cash in the bank?

Weak cash conversion or heavy valuation strain compared to actual cash earned.

Factor Grade: ERQD 4 / 20

2. Big Money & Insiders● TRIMMING

Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Insiders and big institutional desks have been trimming shares rather than stepping up to buy.

Factor Grade: ERQD 13 / 40

3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WARNING

SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

High sensitivity to tight interest rates or new risk warnings added to recent SEC annual filings.

Factor Grade: D-RQD 17 / 40

MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning on HMR

Cash & Moat Bull AI

ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model

BEARISH (20)

-35.0% ROIC with 42.0% gross margin and 2.80% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI

10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard

BEARISH (25)

Altman-Z 1.20 and Piotroski 1/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI

Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq

BEARISH (42)

13/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 12/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like HMR

✓Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.

Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong

!Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.
!Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring HMR)

✓Walkthrough of HMR's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

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HMR // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +84.62%▲ ASCENDING CHANNEL

2026-11-03O $1.78H $1.78L $1.36C $1.44VOL 685.3K

RES: $2.37SUP: $1.13SMA50: $1.64SMA200: $1.20

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

HMR Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 HMR Butterfly Map → + Track HMR →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +92.9% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on HMR today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for HMR. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for HMR today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (HMR)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #806 of 1009 ⚔️ PXS vs HMR Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (HMR vs. PXS, GLBS, AIOK, SVRN)

Industry: Marine Transportation (67 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Heidmar Maritime Holdings Corp. (HMR) ranks #806 by composite RQD confidence (34/100, grade E) and #766 by equity capitalization ($80.2M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, PXS leads on earnings valuation at 37.5x trailing P/E, while PXS leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 3.4% ROIC and — gross margin. PXS currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 66/100 (C+) compared with HMR at 34/100 (E).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
HMR ACTIVE Heidmar Maritime Holdings Corp.	E	34/100	—	—	-35.0%	+5.88%	$80.2M	Benchmark Subject
PXS Pyxis Tankers Inc.	C+	66/100	37.5x	—	3.4%	-8.51%	$73.0M	/pxs-vs-hmr →
GLBS Globus Maritime Limited	D+	54/100	—	—	—	-2.08%	$62.4M	/glbs-vs-hmr →
AIOK AI OKTO CORP.	C	63/100	—	—	—	-47.74%	$104.4M	/aiok-vs-hmr →
SVRN SVRN Inc.	D-	42/100	—	—	-18.5%	-39.67%	$55.3M	/svrn-vs-hmr →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0002029471 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Heidmar Maritime Holdings Corp. (HMR) reported GAAP revenue of $55.9M (+92.9% vs. FY2024 revenue of $28.9M , and +13.8% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$22.6M, operating cash flow of $0, and free cash flow of $0 . On the balance sheet, HMR closed FY2025 with $72.1M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 1.20, Piotroski F-Score: 1/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$55.9M	-$22.6M	—	—	$72.1M	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$28.9M	$1.9M	$6.8M	$6.5M	$38.1M	—
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$49.1M	$19.6M	$12.0M	$12.0M	—	—

3. HMR Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is HMR stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does HMR compare to PXS and GLBS in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for HMR?

Where is HMR trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

HMR last traded at $1.44 (+5.88% on volume of 344,464 shares), positioning the stock -12.20% below its 50-day simple moving average ($1.64) and +20.00% above its 200-day simple moving average ($1.20). Across its 52-week range of $0.73 to $2.02, HMR sits at the 55.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 40.9 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($1.26 to $1.62).

Direct Sub-Reports: HMR RQD Cockpit HMR 12M Forecast HMR Earnings & Move HMR Dividends & DRIP HMR Insiders & 13F HMR Whale Options HMR Profit Sankey HMR News & Why

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 34/100 (E) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

HMR — Heidmar Maritime Holdings Corp.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit

Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Heidmar Maritime Holdings Corp. (HMR) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 34/100, corresponding to a E letter grade (Roarable Strong Sell) at a spot price of $1.44 (+5.88% 1D, market capitalization $80.2M).

Fundamental Cash Engine (4/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of -35.0%, gross margin of —, operating margin of -8.7%, and free cash flow yield of —.
Whale 13F & Options Flow (7/20) + Insider Conviction (6/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
Macro Regime Fit (12/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (5/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 1.20, Piotroski F-Score of 1/9, and Debt/Equity of N/A.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Heidmar Maritime Holdings Corp. Is a NASDAQ-listed company in the Consumer Discretionary sector, within the Marine Transportation industry. The profile identifies it as a Marine Transportation issuer with a market capitalization of $0.1B. Revenue is reported in the financials section (see Financial Trend), but the sources do not specify how that revenue is generated.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Heidmar Maritime Holdings Corp. (HMR) reported $55.9M in annual revenue (up from $28.9M in FY2024, +92.9% YoY) and -$22.6M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($49.1M revenue, $19.6M net income) through FY2025, HMR scaled operating cash flow to $0 and free cash flow to $0, backed by $72.1M in total assets against $0 in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

🐂 Primary Bull Case (E • RQD 34/100): Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of — and institutional whale pillar of 7/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 4/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 7/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $0.73 – $2.02 52-week range.
🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh current valuation against -8.7% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

The supply_chain field is NONE, butterfly_links is empty, and proprietary_signals is empty. The source data therefore does not identify upstream suppliers, downstream customers, or specific dependencies. Sector context is limited to the classification of Consumer Discretionary and Marine Transportation. The news feed's references to shifting oil and diesel trade routes are sector-level headlines and are not linked in the source data to specific HMR dependencies. A prospective investor should treat those routes as potential sector-level exposure to monitor rather than confirmed HMR ripples.

Key Question #1: Can HMR sustain or expand its -8.7% operating margin and -35.0% ROIC against Marine Transportation peers over the next 4 quarters?
Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $55.9M and free cash flow of $0, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $0 in total debt?
Key Question #3: How sensitive is HMR's equity valuation to Consumer Discretionary capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

HMR Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Heidmar Maritime Holdings Corp. (HMR) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to HMR Debate Forum (3) ↓

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 22h ago

Heidmar Maritime Holdings Corp. Announces Board Update

Yahoo Finance report covering Heidmar Maritime Holdings Corp. (HMR) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE TradingView • 1d ago

Heidmar Maritime Holdings Corp. Estimates – NASDAQ:HMR

TradingView report covering Heidmar Maritime Holdings Corp. (HMR) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 1d ago

3 Shipping Stocks Retail Investors Are Watching As Oil Routes Shift

Yahoo Finance report covering Heidmar Maritime Holdings Corp. (HMR) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE kalkine.ca • 1d ago

Why Is Heidmar (NASDAQ:HMR) Down 3.4% After Revenue Tripled?

kalkine.ca report covering Heidmar Maritime Holdings Corp. (HMR) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Investing.com UK • 1d ago

Heidmar Maritime director Andreas Konialidis steps down By Investing.com

Investing.com UK report covering Heidmar Maritime Holdings Corp. (HMR) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Simply Wall St • 1d ago

3 Tanker Shipping Stocks to Watch as Diesel Trade Routes Shift

Simply Wall St report covering Heidmar Maritime Holdings Corp. (HMR) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE TradingView • 1d ago

HMR Q3'26 Earnings: revenue estimate is 22.42M USD

TradingView report covering Heidmar Maritime Holdings Corp. (HMR) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo! Finance Canada • 1d ago

Heidmar Maritime Holdings Corp. (HMR) Seasonal Returns Chart - Yahoo Finance

Yahoo! Finance Canada report covering Heidmar Maritime Holdings Corp. (HMR) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

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🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

HMR Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $1.44?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON HMR 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION

CA CashFlowKing RQD DEBATE OPENER • FCF Compounder Hunter 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $1.71 (+25.7%)

📌 Pinned Debate

A 7.62% dividend yield and a 0.73-to-2.02 price range show the market is still paying a premium for income and volatility at a $1.78 sh

Long HMR at $1.36 targeting $1.71. A 7.62% dividend yield and a 0.73-to-2.02 price range show the market is still paying a premium for income and volatility at a $1.78 share price.. Institutional whale score is 7/20 and the risk/reward vs. the $0.73 52-week low is skewed heavily in favor of bulls.

VolSurface_Trader 🐂 BULL

Both sides have a point here — HMR's 5/20 balance sheet score keeps downside contained, so the real swing factor next earnings call is backlog and FCF conversion.

BE BearTrap_Alert RQD DEBATE OPENER • Cycle Peak Watcher 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $1.12 (-17.6%)

Spot @ $1.36

A -35% ROIC, an Altman Z-Score of 1.2, and a Piotroski F-Score of 1/9 point to a distressed balance sheet and negative cash generation.

Sitting on the sidelines or leaning short HMR above $1.36. A -35% ROIC, an Altman Z-Score of 1.2, and a Piotroski F-Score of 1/9 point to a distressed balance sheet and negative cash generation.. Until Fundamental Cash Engine (4/20) and FCF yield (0.0%) inflect higher, upside is capped near $2.02.