Yahoo Finance report covering Hallador Energy Company (HNRG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Why HNRG Stock dropped -5.53% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Hallador Energy Company (HNRG) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 54/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief)
Is HNRG stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Hallador Energy Company (NASDAQ: HNRG) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 54/100 at a spot price of $10.60 (-5.53% 1D, market cap $528.9M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 17/20. Across 116 tracked Utilities issuers, HNRG ranks #50 in composite RQD confidence.
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief)
How does HNRG compare to NNE and EDN in the Utilities sector?
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Within the Utilities sector (Electric Utilities: Central), HNRG carries a Roarable D+ (54/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 13.2x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 26.9%. By comparison, NNE (Nano Nuclear Energy Inc.) holds a E grade (28/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -6.7%, cap $625.6M) and EDN (Empresa Distribuidora Y Comercializadora Norte S.A. (Edenor)) posts a D grade (44/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $707.1M). Among the 5-stock peer group, HNRG leads on earnings multiple (13.2x) while HNRG leads on capital efficiency (26.9% ROIC).
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief)
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for HNRG?
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Per HNRG's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000788965), Hallador Energy Company generated $469.5M in revenue (+16.2% YoY), $41.9M in net income, and $11.9M in free cash flow against $408.1M in total assets and $29.7M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 85% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)
Altman Z-Score 2.75 (WATCH ZONE (1.8–3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9
Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-16 pts vs max)
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a HNRG Turnaround Squeeze
While HNRG currently carries a cautious 54/100 (D+) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.
Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.
Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($14.05) and Max Pain ($11.13) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $25.93.
Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.
Why HNRG Stock dropped -5.53% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Hallador Energy Company (HNRG) dropped -5.53% to $10.60, trading at 2% of its 52-week range ($10.69 – $24.7). Stretched risk/reward at 13x P/E (27% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 2% of its 52-week range ($10.69 – $24.7) with RSI-14 at 37.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±12.5% around $10.60 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable D+ (Sell) backed by 52% gross margin and $11.9M annual free cash flow.
StockInvest.us report covering Hallador Energy Company (HNRG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Seeking Alpha report covering Hallador Energy Company (HNRG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MarketBeat report covering Hallador Energy Company (HNRG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering Hallador Energy Company (HNRG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MarketBeat report covering Hallador Energy Company (HNRG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
kalkine.ca report covering Hallador Energy Company (HNRG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering Hallador Energy Company (HNRG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
TERRE HAUTE, Ind., Oct. 26, 2026 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Hallador Energy Company (Nasdaq: HNRG) (“Hallador” or the “Company”), will host a conference call on Monday, November 9, 2026, at 5:00 p.m. Eastern time to discuss its
Hallador signed a $700-million agreement to supply a utility operating in MISO Zone 6 from the Merom Generating Station in Sullivan County, Indiana.
Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring HNRG)
- ✓Walkthrough of HNRG's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
- ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
- ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
HNRG Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
vs. +16.2% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on HNRG today. View full Setup Ledger →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for HNRG. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (HNRG)
1. Head-to-Head Utilities Peer Comparison (HNRG vs. NNE, EDN, GFUZ, ELLO)
Industry: Electric Utilities: Central (56 Tracked Issuers)Across 116 tracked Utilities securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Hallador Energy Company (HNRG) ranks #50 by composite RQD confidence (54/100, grade D+) and #86 by equity capitalization ($528.9M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, HNRG leads on earnings valuation at 13.2x trailing P/E, while HNRG leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 26.9% ROIC and — gross margin. HNRG currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 54/100 (D+).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HNRG
ACTIVE
Hallador Energy Company | D+ | 54/100 | 13.2x | — | 26.9% | -5.53% | $528.9M | Benchmark Subject |
| NNE Nano Nuclear Energy Inc. | E | 28/100 | — | — | -6.7% | -5.92% | $625.6M | /nne-vs-hnrg → |
| EDN Empresa Distribuidora Y Comercializadora Norte S.A. (Edenor) | D | 44/100 | — | — | — | -3.01% | $707.1M | /edn-vs-hnrg → |
| GFUZ General Fusion Group Ltd. | E | 29/100 | — | — | -35.0% | +1.33% | $381.9M | /gfuz-vs-hnrg → |
| ELLO Ellomay Capital Ltd (Israel) | D | 46/100 | — | — | — | +0.99% | $281.2M | /ello-vs-hnrg → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000788965 ↗In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Hallador Energy Company (HNRG) reported GAAP revenue of $469.5M (+16.2% vs. FY2024 revenue of $404.2M , and -26.1% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $41.9M, operating cash flow of $81.1M, and free cash flow of $11.9M (-5.2% YoY). On the balance sheet, HNRG closed FY2025 with $408.1M in total assets against $29.7M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 2.75, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $469.5M | $41.9M | $81.1M | $11.9M | $408.1M | $29.7M |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $404.2M | -$226.1M | $65.9M | $12.6M | $369.1M | $37.4M |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $634.9M | $44.8M | $59.4M | $59.4M | — | — |
3. HNRG Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs HNRG stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-03, Hallador Energy Company (NASDAQ: HNRG) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 54/100 at a spot price of $10.60 (-5.53% 1D, market cap $528.9M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 17/20. Across 116 tracked Utilities issuers, HNRG ranks #50 in composite RQD confidence.
How does HNRG compare to NNE and EDN in the Utilities sector?
Within the Utilities sector (Electric Utilities: Central), HNRG carries a Roarable D+ (54/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 13.2x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 26.9%. By comparison, NNE (Nano Nuclear Energy Inc.) holds a E grade (28/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -6.7%, cap $625.6M) and EDN (Empresa Distribuidora Y Comercializadora Norte S.A. (Edenor)) posts a D grade (44/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $707.1M). Among the 5-stock peer group, HNRG leads on earnings multiple (13.2x) while HNRG leads on capital efficiency (26.9% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for HNRG?
Per HNRG's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000788965), Hallador Energy Company generated $469.5M in revenue (+16.2% YoY), $41.9M in net income, and $11.9M in free cash flow against $408.1M in total assets and $29.7M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is HNRG trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
HNRG last traded at $10.60 (-5.53% on volume of 876,871 shares), positioning the stock -24.56% below its 50-day simple moving average ($14.05) and -35.56% below its 200-day simple moving average ($16.45). Across its 52-week range of $10.69 to $24.70, HNRG sits at the 0.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 37.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($9.28 to $11.92).
HNRG — Hallador Energy Company: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor
1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor
Hallador Energy Company (HNRG) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 54/100, corresponding to a D+ letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $10.60 (-5.53% 1D, market capitalization $528.9M).
- Fundamental Cash Engine (10/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 26.9%, gross margin of —, operating margin of 13.0%, and free cash flow yield of 2.16%.
- Whale 13F & Options Flow (3/20) + Insider Conviction (17/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
- Macro Regime Fit (10/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (14/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 2.75, Piotroski F-Score of 7/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.19x.
2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory
Hallador Energy Company (HNRG) is a NASDAQ-listed issuer in the Utilities sector, specifically the Electric Utilities: Central industry. The profile identifies the company as operating in this industry with a market capitalization of $0.6B.
In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Hallador Energy Company (HNRG) reported $469.5M in annual revenue (up from $404.2M in FY2024, +16.2% YoY) and $41.9M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($634.9M revenue, $44.8M net income) through FY2025, HNRG scaled operating cash flow to $81.1M and free cash flow to $11.9M, backed by $408.1M in total assets against $29.7M in total debt.
3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff
- 🐂 Primary Bull Case (D+ • RQD 54/100): Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. Free cash flow yield of 2.16% and institutional whale pillar of 3/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 10/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 3/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $10.69 – $24.70 52-week range.
- 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Investors must weigh 13.2x trailing P/E and 4.8x EV/EBITDA against 13.0% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.
4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch
There are no upstream or downstream links and no proprietary signals recorded, so no supply-chain dependencies can be mapped from the source. Sector correlations and 2nd-order bottlenecks are — A prospective investor should watch whether the contracted power sales referenced in the news wire translate into reported revenue and cash flow in future filings.
- Key Question #1: Can HNRG sustain or expand its 13.0% operating margin and 26.9% ROIC against Electric Utilities: Central peers over the next 4 quarters?
- Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $469.5M and free cash flow of $11.9M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $29.7M in total debt?
- Key Question #3: How sensitive is HNRG's 11.1x forward P/E multiple to Utilities capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?
HNRG Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire
Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Hallador Energy Company (HNRG) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below
Yahoo Finance report covering Hallador Energy Company (HNRG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
StockInvest.us report covering Hallador Energy Company (HNRG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Seeking Alpha report covering Hallador Energy Company (HNRG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MarketBeat report covering Hallador Energy Company (HNRG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering Hallador Energy Company (HNRG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MarketBeat report covering Hallador Energy Company (HNRG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
kalkine.ca report covering Hallador Energy Company (HNRG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering Hallador Energy Company (HNRG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
HNRG Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $10.60?
Insider-conviction flow (17 of 20) and a 26.9% ROIC support the case that the operating business generates strong returns on capital.
Here is why I am bullish on HNRG here at $11.22: Insider-conviction flow (17 of 20) and a 26.9% ROIC support the case that the operating business generates strong returns on capital.. Compare HNRG's 13.0% operating margin and 26.9% ROIC against the rest of Electric Utilities: Central. As long as cash conversion holds up, dips toward $10.66 are getting bought.
@RiskArb_Desk Shorting a 3/20 institutional whale-flow stock at $11.22 is dangerous when funds are rotating into Utilities.
A 2.16% FCF yield and a 3 of 20 whale-flow score leave little cash cushion or institutional support at the current price.
I respect the product at Hallador Energy Company, but the stock at $11.22 is a different story. A 2.16% FCF yield and a 3 of 20 whale-flow score leave little cash cushion or institutional support at the current price.. FCF yield is 2.16% and RQD sits at 54/100 (D+) — why pay up here when you can wait for next quarter's numbers?