Hour Loop Inc. (HOUR) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±11.8% Move

$1.57 -0.63% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.57

Hour Loop Inc. (HOUR) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 58/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID Cap $55.3M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is HOUR stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Hour Loop Inc. (NASDAQ: HOUR) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 58/100 at a spot price of $1.57 (-0.63% 1D, market cap $55.3M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 18/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, Executive Insider Alignment 15/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 7/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 15/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, HOUR ranks #394 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does HOUR compare to GROV and LITB in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Catalog/Specialty Distribution), HOUR carries a Roarable D+ (58/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 32.6x, gross margin of 52.4%, and ROIC of 27.8%. By comparison, GROV (Grove Collaborative Holdings Inc. (Class A)) holds a E grade (30/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $46.5M) and LITB (LightInTheBox Holding Co. Ltd. each representing twelve) posts a D+ grade (52/100 RQD, P/E 6.7x, ROIC 85.0%, cap $43.1M). Among the 5-stock peer group, LITB leads on earnings multiple (6.7x) while LITB leads on capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for HOUR?
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Per HOUR's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001874875), Hour Loop Inc. generated $142.4M in revenue (+3.0% YoY), $1.7M in net income, and $2.5M in free cash flow against $23.8M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (52% profit margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.57 (-0.30%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 18/20 (A) • 1.8% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 58/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.0% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 52.7% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+
025507510058
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C- · Rk D+
Cash (18)Whales (3)SEC (15)Macro (7)CEO (15)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+0% Base Target
$3 Bull$2 Base$1 Bear
📬 FREE HOUR RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for HOUR)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±11.8%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (58/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY HOUR SCORES 58/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+18/20 pts (31% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 1.8% FCF Margin ($2.5M FCF) & 52.4% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+15/20 pts (26% of score)

Altman Z-Score 8.68 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-16 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
66
Grade B-$1.73-4.6% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
63
Grade C+$1.65-3.6% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
61
Grade C$1.59-1.3% Next Q
Current
58
Grade D+$1.57+0% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: B- (66) → D+ (58)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the HOUR Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 58/100 (D+) score, HOUR faces multiple-compression risk if 32.6x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.9% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($1.76) or 200D SMA ($1.89) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($1.57) toward Bear Floor ($1.22).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $HOUR• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “HOUR Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 30, 2026 (~57 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±11.8% Swing Band

±$0.19 Expected Swing
$1.38 (-11.8%)Spot $1.57$1.76 (+11.8%)
MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

HOUR Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 58/100

Trailing EPS: $0.05 • YoY Revenue Growth: 3%

Model Bullish Setup (58/100)Model Risk Weight (42/100)
Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).
LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

PeriodFiledRevenueNet ProfitFree Cash FlowGross Margin
FY 20252025-12-31$142.4M$1.7M$2.5M52.4%
FY 20242024-12-31$138.3M$657.4K$277.1K52.1%
FY 20232023-12-31$132.1M-$2.4M-$2.1M52.4%
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring HOUR)

  • ✓Walkthrough of HOUR's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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HOUR // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -35.66%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-11-03O $1.58H $1.58L $1.57C $1.57VOL 4.2K
RES: $2.06SUP: $1.44SMA50: $1.76SMA200: $1.89
$3.30$2.81$2.32$1.83$1.34RES $2.06SUP $1.44$1.572026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

HOUR Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
25.2%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +3.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on HOUR today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for HOUR. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for HOUR today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (HOUR)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #394 of 1011 ⚔️ GROV vs HOUR Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (HOUR vs. GROV, LITB, LVLU, AKA)

Industry: Catalog/Specialty Distribution (29 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Hour Loop Inc. (HOUR) ranks #394 by composite RQD confidence (58/100, grade D+) and #804 by equity capitalization ($55.3M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, LITB leads on earnings valuation at 6.7x trailing P/E, while LITB leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 85.0% ROIC and 65.0% gross margin. HOUR currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 58/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
HOUR ACTIVE
Hour Loop Inc.
D+ 58/100 32.6x 52.4% 27.8% -0.63% $55.3M Benchmark Subject
GROV
Grove Collaborative Holdings Inc. (Class A)
E 30/100 — 53.7% -35.0% +1.87% $46.5M /grov-vs-hour →
LITB
LightInTheBox Holding Co. Ltd. each representing twelve
D+ 52/100 6.7x 65.0% 85.0% -21.96% $43.1M /litb-vs-hour →
LVLU
Lulu's Fashion Lounge Holdings Inc.
E 29/100 — 43.2% -35.0% +8.87% $32.8M /lvlu-vs-hour →
AKA
a.k.a. Brands Holding Corp.
E 33/100 — 57.3% -7.8% -4.77% $111.9M /aka-vs-hour →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001874875

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Hour Loop Inc. (HOUR) reported GAAP revenue of $142.4M (+3.0% vs. FY2024 revenue of $138.3M , and +7.8% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $1.7M, operating cash flow of $2.6M, and free cash flow of $2.5M (+803.2% YoY). On the balance sheet, HOUR closed FY2025 with $23.8M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 8.68, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $142.4M $1.7M $2.6M $2.5M $23.8M —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $138.3M $657.4K $313.1K $277.1K $20.0M —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $132.1M -$2.4M -$2.1M -$2.1M — —

3. HOUR Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is HOUR stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Hour Loop Inc. (NASDAQ: HOUR) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 58/100 at a spot price of $1.57 (-0.63% 1D, market cap $55.3M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 18/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, Executive Insider Alignment 15/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 7/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 15/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, HOUR ranks #394 in composite RQD confidence.

How does HOUR compare to GROV and LITB in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Catalog/Specialty Distribution), HOUR carries a Roarable D+ (58/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 32.6x, gross margin of 52.4%, and ROIC of 27.8%. By comparison, GROV (Grove Collaborative Holdings Inc. (Class A)) holds a E grade (30/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $46.5M) and LITB (LightInTheBox Holding Co. Ltd. each representing twelve) posts a D+ grade (52/100 RQD, P/E 6.7x, ROIC 85.0%, cap $43.1M). Among the 5-stock peer group, LITB leads on earnings multiple (6.7x) while LITB leads on capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for HOUR?

Per HOUR's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001874875), Hour Loop Inc. generated $142.4M in revenue (+3.0% YoY), $1.7M in net income, and $2.5M in free cash flow against $23.8M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (52% profit margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is HOUR trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

HOUR last traded at $1.57 (-0.63% on volume of 4,173 shares), positioning the stock -10.80% below its 50-day simple moving average ($1.76) and -16.93% below its 200-day simple moving average ($1.89). Across its 52-week range of $1.49 to $3.18, HOUR sits at the 4.7% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 40.1 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±11.8% ($1.38 to $1.76).

HOUR Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

When is HOUR's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, Hour Loop Inc. (HOUR)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Dec 30, 2026.

How much is HOUR stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±11.8% event move for HOUR, spanning a range between $1.38 and $1.76.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 58/100 (D+) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

HOUR — Hour Loop Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:46:28Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, HOUR scores 58 out of 100, a letter grade of D+, with the verdict label "Roarable Sell — Weak Fundamentals / Trim." The five pillars are:

  • Fundamental Cash Engine: 18 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, this reflects an ROIC of 27.8% and an FCF yield of 4.5%. This is the strongest pillar and indicates that, on the rating's measures, the business generates meaningful returns on the capital it employs relative to its size.
  • Whale 13F Flow: 3 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, this pillar covers institutional accumulation and options positioning. It is the weakest pillar, suggesting limited institutional sponsorship in the source data.
  • Insider Conviction: 15 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, this reflects SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow. The score is moderate-to-supportive.
  • Macro Regime Fit: 7 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, this reflects a beta of 1.0 and sector sensitivity. The low score indicates the rating does not view the stock's current macro positioning favorably.
  • Forensic Balance Sheet: 15 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, this reflects an Altman Z-Score of 8.68, a Piotroski F-Score of 7/9, and a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.5. These metrics point to a relatively sound balance sheet on the rating's measures.

For a prospective investor, the rating suggests a split picture: capital efficiency and balance-sheet metrics are comparatively supportive, while institutional flow and macro fit are weak. The rating's verdict is a sell/trim signal, which means the aggregate weighting of the pillars leans negative despite the strong cash-engine score. Valuation is a meaningful tradeoff: per the market data, trailing P/E is 32.6 against a TTM EPS of $0.05, and EV/EBITDA is 22, so the stock is priced at a premium to its earnings base even though the operating margin is only 1.7%. Upside drivers would need to come from margin expansion or sustained growth in cash generation; the rating does not identify a catalyst that would close the institutional-flow gap.

Snapshot

PriceMarket CapP/E (TTM)Forward P/EEV/EBITDAEPS (TTM)Dividend YieldBeta52-Wk RangeROIC %
$1.58$55.6M32.630.3220.050%1.0$1.49 - $3.1827.8%

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Per the recent news and catalysts section, six items reference HOUR. Four are rated YELLOW under the MARKET WIRE impact label: a TradingView estimates report, a MarketBeat short-interest report for October, a Yahoo! Finance Canada page, and a Stock Titan page. A Moomoo item reports a Form 4 statement of changes in beneficial ownership by Director GAO MINGHUI, also YELLOW. One TradingKey item, "Top U.S. Stock Gainers," is rated GREEN under the CATALYST label. Per the same section, the news items are aggregator-level summaries and do not disclose the underlying content of the reports. Key risk watch items are the October short-interest report and the Director Form 4 filing. Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, no proprietary signals are present, and the sector, industry, and supply-chain fields show no linked entities.

Open Questions

  • What are the underlying cash, debt, and EPS figures for each reported fiscal period? These are listed as N/A in the financials.
  • What was the nature and size of the Director GAO MINGHUI Form 4 transaction, and what does the October short-interest level look like?
  • What drove the swing from a $-2.4M net loss in FY 2023 to a $1.7M profit in FY 2025, and is the margin improvement sustainable?
  • Who are the principal suppliers, customers, and competitors within Catalog/Specialty Distribution, and what concentration risks exist?
  • What is the source of the institutional-flow weakness reflected in the 3 / 20 Whale 13F Flow pillar, and are there 13F filings that would clarify it?

HOUR Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Hour Loop Inc. (HOUR) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to HOUR Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

HOUR Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $1.57?

🐂 50% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON HOUR 🐻 50% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on HOUR:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk ⚖️ DEBATE HOST 🎯 Target: $1.71 (+8.2%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is HOUR (D+ • RQD 58/100) a Buy at $1.58?

Welcome to the HOUR (Hour Loop Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 58/100 (Roarable Sell — Weak Fundamentals / Trim) in Catalog/Specialty Distribution. Bulls point to capital efficiency (27.8% ROIC), while bears focus on valuation multiple compression (32.6x trailing P/E). Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

SK SkepticalCFA Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $1.30 (-17.7%)
Spot @ $1.58

Pump the brakes on HOUR — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on HOUR, but look at what you are paying: 32.6x trailing P/E with 52.4% gross margins. Unless Hour Loop Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

CA CashFlowKing Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $1.99 (+25.9%)
Spot @ $1.58

HOUR cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on HOUR, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Catalog/Specialty Distribution and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $1.58 (52-wk range $1.49 - $3.18), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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