Yahoo Finance report covering Hercules Capital Inc. (HTGC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Why HTGC Stock slipped -0.36% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Hercules Capital Inc. (HTGC) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 42/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief)
Is HTGC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Hercules Capital Inc. (NYSE: HTGC) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 42/100 at a spot price of $16.53 (-0.36% 1D, market cap $3.14B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 7/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 8/20. Across 1097 tracked Financials issuers, HTGC ranks #884 in composite RQD confidence.
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief)
How does HTGC compare to AAMI and FSK in the Financials sector?
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Within the Financials sector (Investment Managers), HTGC carries a Roarable D- (42/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 9.3x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 15.3%. By comparison, AAMI (Acadian Asset Management Inc.) holds a D grade (50/100 RQD, P/E 40.5x, ROIC 40.3%, cap $3.16B) and FSK (FS KKR Capital Corp.) posts a D grade (51/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 0.2%, cap $3.05B). Among the 5-stock peer group, HTGC leads on earnings multiple (9.3x) while APAM leads on capital efficiency (71.9% ROIC).
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief)
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for HTGC?
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Per HTGC's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001280784), Hercules Capital Inc. generated $1.93B in revenue (+19.6% YoY), $339.7M in net income, and -$425.8M in free cash flow against $4.58B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 2/9
20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±3.6% realized swing band)
Capital intensity & 0% operating margin leave 13 pts on the table
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a HTGC Turnaround Squeeze
While HTGC currently carries a cautious 42/100 (D-) rating due to Cash Engine Quality (7/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.
Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.
Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($16.99) and Max Pain ($17.36) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $20.09.
Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (+1.08% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.
Why HTGC Stock slipped -0.36% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Hercules Capital Inc. (HTGC) slipped -0.36% to $16.53, trading at 52% of its 52-week range ($13.7 – $19.13). Stretched risk/reward at 9x P/E (15% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 52% of its 52-week range ($13.7 – $19.13) with RSI-14 at 48.6 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±3.6% around $16.53 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable D- (Sell) backed by 52% gross margin and $0 annual free cash flow.
Seeking Alpha report covering Hercules Capital Inc. (HTGC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering Hercules Capital Inc. (HTGC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
GuruFocus report covering Hercules Capital Inc. (HTGC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
TradingView report covering Hercules Capital Inc. (HTGC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Simply Wall Street report covering Hercules Capital Inc. (HTGC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Benzinga report covering Hercules Capital Inc. (HTGC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Seeking Alpha report covering Hercules Capital Inc. (HTGC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Hercules Capital upgraded to Buy: strong portfolio growth, better-than-expected Q3 NII, and rising estimates support upside.
Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring HTGC)
- ✓Walkthrough of HTGC's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
- ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
- ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
HTGC Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
vs. +19.6% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on HTGC today. View full Setup Ledger →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for HTGC. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (HTGC)
1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (HTGC vs. AAMI, FSK, NAN, APAM)
Industry: Investment Managers (79 Tracked Issuers)Across 1097 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Hercules Capital Inc. (HTGC) ranks #884 by composite RQD confidence (42/100, grade D-) and #354 by equity capitalization ($3.14B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, HTGC leads on earnings valuation at 9.3x trailing P/E, while APAM leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 71.9% ROIC and — gross margin. APAM currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 59/100 (C-) compared with HTGC at 42/100 (D-).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HTGC
ACTIVE
Hercules Capital Inc. | D- | 42/100 | 9.3x | — | 15.3% | -0.36% | $3.14B | Benchmark Subject |
| AAMI Acadian Asset Management Inc. | D | 50/100 | 40.5x | — | 40.3% | -1.57% | $3.16B | /aami-vs-htgc → |
| FSK FS KKR Capital Corp. | D | 51/100 | — | — | 0.2% | +3.72% | $3.05B | /fsk-vs-htgc → |
| NAN Nuveen New York Quality Municipal Income Fund | D | 45/100 | — | — | — | +0.30% | $3.03B | /nan-vs-htgc → |
| APAM Artisan Partners Asset Management Inc. (Class A) | C- | 59/100 | 10.2x | — | 71.9% | +5.06% | $2.97B | /apam-vs-htgc → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001280784 ↗In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Hercules Capital Inc. (HTGC) reported GAAP revenue of $1.93B (+19.6% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.61B , and +26.8% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $339.7M, operating cash flow of -$425.8M, and free cash flow of -$425.8M (-260.6% YoY). On the balance sheet, HTGC closed FY2025 with $4.58B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 2/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $1.93B | $339.7M | -$425.8M | -$425.8M | $4.58B | — |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $1.61B | $263.0M | -$118.1M | -$118.1M | $3.83B | — |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $1.52B | $337.5M | $68.3M | $68.3M | — | — |
3. HTGC Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs HTGC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-03, Hercules Capital Inc. (NYSE: HTGC) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 42/100 at a spot price of $16.53 (-0.36% 1D, market cap $3.14B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 7/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 8/20. Across 1097 tracked Financials issuers, HTGC ranks #884 in composite RQD confidence.
How does HTGC compare to AAMI and FSK in the Financials sector?
Within the Financials sector (Investment Managers), HTGC carries a Roarable D- (42/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 9.3x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 15.3%. By comparison, AAMI (Acadian Asset Management Inc.) holds a D grade (50/100 RQD, P/E 40.5x, ROIC 40.3%, cap $3.16B) and FSK (FS KKR Capital Corp.) posts a D grade (51/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 0.2%, cap $3.05B). Among the 5-stock peer group, HTGC leads on earnings multiple (9.3x) while APAM leads on capital efficiency (71.9% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for HTGC?
Per HTGC's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001280784), Hercules Capital Inc. generated $1.93B in revenue (+19.6% YoY), $339.7M in net income, and -$425.8M in free cash flow against $4.58B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is HTGC trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
HTGC last traded at $16.53 (-0.36% on volume of 1,902,049 shares), positioning the stock -2.71% below its 50-day simple moving average ($16.99) and +2.42% above its 200-day simple moving average ($16.14). Across its 52-week range of $13.70 to $19.13, HTGC sits at the 52.1% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 48.6 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±3.6% ($15.93 to $17.13).
HTGC — Hercules Capital Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor
1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor
Hercules Capital Inc. (HTGC) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 42/100, corresponding to a D- letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $16.53 (-0.36% 1D, market capitalization $3.14B).
- Fundamental Cash Engine (7/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 15.3%, gross margin of —, operating margin of —, and free cash flow yield of -13.46%.
- Whale 13F & Options Flow (9/20) + Insider Conviction (8/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
- Macro Regime Fit (8/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (10/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of N/A, Piotroski F-Score of 2/9, and Debt/Equity of N/A.
2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory
And profile, Hercules Capital Inc. Is a NYSE-listed issuer in the Financials sector, Investment Managers industry. The profile provided does not describe its products, customer base, or revenue model. Market capitalization is $3.2B.
In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Hercules Capital Inc. (HTGC) reported $1.93B in annual revenue (up from $1.61B in FY2024, +19.6% YoY) and $339.7M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($1.52B revenue, $337.5M net income) through FY2025, HTGC scaled operating cash flow to -$425.8M and free cash flow to -$425.8M, backed by $4.58B in total assets against $0 in total debt.
3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff
- 🐂 Primary Bull Case (D- • RQD 42/100): Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of -13.46% and institutional whale pillar of 9/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 7/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 9/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $13.70 – $19.13 52-week range.
- 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh 9.3x trailing P/E against — operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.
4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch
No upstream or downstream dependencies are recorded (supply_chain: NONE; butterfly_links: empty). The sector is Financials and the industry is Investment Managers, but no sector correlations are provided in the source data. The second-order channel to watch is the news-reported bond issuance, which the GREEN catalyst headline links to the bull case, together with the RED earnings-miss item.
- Key Question #1: Can HTGC sustain or expand its — operating margin and 15.3% ROIC against Investment Managers peers over the next 4 quarters?
- Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $1.93B and free cash flow of -$425.8M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $0 in total debt?
- Key Question #3: How sensitive is HTGC's 8.6x forward P/E multiple to Financials capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?
HTGC Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire
Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Hercules Capital Inc. (HTGC) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below
Yahoo Finance report covering Hercules Capital Inc. (HTGC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Seeking Alpha report covering Hercules Capital Inc. (HTGC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering Hercules Capital Inc. (HTGC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
GuruFocus report covering Hercules Capital Inc. (HTGC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
TradingView report covering Hercules Capital Inc. (HTGC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Simply Wall Street report covering Hercules Capital Inc. (HTGC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Benzinga report covering Hercules Capital Inc. (HTGC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Seeking Alpha report covering Hercules Capital Inc. (HTGC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
HTGC Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $16.53?
A 10.31% dividend yield and a forward P/E of 8.6 offer income and valuation support on a stock that is up 63% over five years.
The street is overcomplicating Hercules Capital Inc. (HTGC). A 10.31% dividend yield and a forward P/E of 8.6 offer income and valuation support on a stock that is up 63% over five years.. With an RQD score of 42/100 (D-) and Forensic Balance Sheet at 10/20, any positive earnings surprise or guidance raise forces underweight funds to chase above $17.92.
@MultipleCompression Fair point on 9.3x trailing P/E, but you're ignoring the forward operating leverage in Investment Managers. If gross margin (0.0%) holds, EPS grows into the multiple faster than bears think.
Negative FCF yield of -13.46% and a Piotroski F-Score of 2/9 indicate that reported earnings are not converting into cash for sharehold
Careful chasing HTGC at $16.59. Negative FCF yield of -13.46% and a Piotroski F-Score of 2/9 indicate that reported earnings are not converting into cash for shareholders.. Gross margin is 0.0%, but operating margin is 0.0%, which shows SG&A and reinvestment are eating into bottom-line EPS. Target $13.44 on multiple compression.