Yahoo Finance report covering Howmet Aerospace Inc. (HWM) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Why HWM Stock dropped -3.26% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Howmet Aerospace Inc. (HWM) carries a Roarable Rating of C (Hold) with 65/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief)
Is HWM stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-02, Howmet Aerospace Inc. (NYSE: HWM) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 65/100 at a spot price of $199.22 (-3.26% 1D, market cap $82.13B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 18/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 7/20, Executive Insider Alignment 18/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, HWM ranks #85 in composite RQD confidence.
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief)
How does HWM compare to PH and RS in the Industrials sector?
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Within the Industrials sector (Metal Fabrications), HWM carries a Roarable C (65/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 54.5x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 21.6%. By comparison, PH (Parker-Hannifin Corporation) holds a C grade (62/100 RQD, P/E 33.2x, ROIC 16.6%, cap $117.09B) and RS (Reliance Inc.) posts a B grade (72/100 RQD, P/E 30.3x, ROIC 9.6%, cap $22.40B). Among the 5-stock peer group, MLI leads on earnings multiple (15.9x) while MLI leads on capital efficiency (41.1% ROIC).
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief)
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for HWM?
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Per HWM's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000004281), Howmet Aerospace Inc. generated $8.25B in revenue (+11.1% YoY), $1.51B in net income, and $1.43B in free cash flow against $11.18B in total assets and $2.86B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 17.3% FCF Margin ($1.43B FCF) & 52% Gross Margin
Altman Z-Score 10.53 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 9/9
Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-13 pts vs max)
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the HWM Bull Thesis Could Fail
Even with a 65/100 (C) score, HWM faces multiple-compression risk if 54.5x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.
Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.
Priced at 55x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter.
Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($226.57) or 200D SMA ($248.51) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($205.50) toward Bear Floor ($160.29).
Why HWM Stock dropped -3.26% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Howmet Aerospace Inc. (HWM) dropped -3.26% to $199.22, trading at 12% of its 52-week range ($183.52 – $310). Solid steady margins (22% return on capital), mixed timing at 55x P/E—hold if owned, no rush to chase.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 12% of its 52-week range ($183.52 – $310) with RSI-14 at 44.4 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±8.3% around $199.22 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable C (Hold) backed by 52% gross margin and $1.4B annual free cash flow.
Moomoo report covering Howmet Aerospace Inc. (HWM) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Seeking Alpha report covering Howmet Aerospace Inc. (HWM) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Trefis report covering Howmet Aerospace Inc. (HWM) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
StockInvest.us report covering Howmet Aerospace Inc. (HWM) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo! Finance Canada report covering Howmet Aerospace Inc. (HWM) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering Howmet Aerospace Inc. (HWM) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering Howmet Aerospace Inc. (HWM) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Howmet (HWM) is well positioned to outperform the market, as it exhibits above-average growth in financials.
BTIG analyst Andre Madrid maintains Howmet Aerospace (NYSE:HWM) with a Buy and lowers the price target from $340 to $280.
Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (HWM Tape Review)
- ✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
- ✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
- ✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts
HWM Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
vs. +11.1% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on HWM today. View full Setup Ledger →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for HWM. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (HWM)
1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (HWM vs. PH, RS, RBC, MLI)
Industry: Metal Fabrications (47 Tracked Issuers)Across 485 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Howmet Aerospace Inc. (HWM) ranks #85 by composite RQD confidence (65/100, grade C) and #17 by equity capitalization ($82.13B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, MLI leads on earnings valuation at 15.9x trailing P/E, while MLI leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 41.1% ROIC and — gross margin. RS currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 72/100 (B) compared with HWM at 65/100 (C).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HWM
ACTIVE
Howmet Aerospace Inc. | C | 65/100 | 54.5x | — | 21.6% | -3.26% | $82.13B | Benchmark Subject |
| PH Parker-Hannifin Corporation | C | 62/100 | 33.2x | 36.9% | 16.6% | -3.08% | $117.09B | /ph-vs-hwm → |
| RS Reliance Inc. | B | 72/100 | 30.3x | — | 9.6% | -0.64% | $22.40B | /rs-vs-hwm → |
| RBC RBC Bearings Incorporated | C- | 61/100 | 54.6x | 44.4% | 8.6% | -6.76% | $15.69B | /rbc-vs-hwm → |
| MLI Mueller Industries Inc. | C+ | 67/100 | 15.9x | — | 41.1% | -2.19% | $12.16B | /mli-vs-hwm → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000004281In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Howmet Aerospace Inc. (HWM) reported GAAP revenue of $8.25B (+11.1% vs. FY2024 revenue of $7.43B , and +24.3% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $1.51B, operating cash flow of $1.88B, and free cash flow of $1.43B (+46.5% YoY). On the balance sheet, HWM closed FY2025 with $11.18B in total assets against $2.86B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 10.53, Piotroski F-Score: 9/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $8.25B | $1.51B | $1.88B | $1.43B | $11.18B | $2.86B |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $7.43B | $1.16B | $1.30B | $977.0M | $10.52B | $3.31B |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $6.64B | $765.0M | $901.0M | $602.2M | $45.17B | $10.57B |
3. HWM Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs HWM stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-02, Howmet Aerospace Inc. (NYSE: HWM) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 65/100 at a spot price of $199.22 (-3.26% 1D, market cap $82.13B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 18/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 7/20, Executive Insider Alignment 18/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, HWM ranks #85 in composite RQD confidence.
How does HWM compare to PH and RS in the Industrials sector?
Within the Industrials sector (Metal Fabrications), HWM carries a Roarable C (65/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 54.5x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 21.6%. By comparison, PH (Parker-Hannifin Corporation) holds a C grade (62/100 RQD, P/E 33.2x, ROIC 16.6%, cap $117.09B) and RS (Reliance Inc.) posts a B grade (72/100 RQD, P/E 30.3x, ROIC 9.6%, cap $22.40B). Among the 5-stock peer group, MLI leads on earnings multiple (15.9x) while MLI leads on capital efficiency (41.1% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for HWM?
Per HWM's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000004281), Howmet Aerospace Inc. generated $8.25B in revenue (+11.1% YoY), $1.51B in net income, and $1.43B in free cash flow against $11.18B in total assets and $2.86B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is HWM trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
HWM last traded at $199.22 (-3.26% on volume of 3,739,967 shares), positioning the stock -12.07% below its 50-day simple moving average ($226.57) and -19.83% below its 200-day simple moving average ($248.51). Across its 52-week range of $183.52 to $310.00, HWM sits at the 12.4% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 44.4 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±8.3% ($182.68 to $215.76).
HWM Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is HWM stock moving today?
Why HWM Stock dropped -3.26% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Solid steady margins (22% return on capital), mixed timing at 55x P/E—hold if owned, no rush to chase.
HWM — Howmet Aerospace Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor
Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor
Per the Roarable RQD rating, HWM carries an RQD Score of 65 out of 100, a letter grade of C, and a verdict label of "Roarable Hold — Fair / Balanced Risk-Reward." The five pillars are:
- Fundamental Cash Engine: 18 / 20. Per the RQD rating, this pillar reflects ROIC of 21.6% and an FCF yield of 1.74%. The strong return on invested capital is the main upside driver in this pillar, while the low FCF yield signals that the cash generated is large relative to the price paid only in a limited sense: investors are paying a high multiple for each dollar of free cash flow.
- Whale / 13F Flow: 7 / 20. Per the RQD rating, institutional accumulation and options positioning score weakly. This is the lowest-scoring pillar and indicates limited evidence of smart-money conviction in the source data.
- Insider Conviction: 13 / 20. Per the RQD rating, SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow score moderately, indicating some insider signal without a strong cluster.
- Macro Regime Fit: 9 / 20. Per the RQD rating, beta of 1.1 and sector sensitivity place this pillar at a middling-to-weak level, meaning the stock is somewhat more volatile than the market and exposed to cyclical conditions.
- Forensic Balance Sheet: 18 / 20. Per the RQD rating, Altman Z of 10.53, Piotroski F of 9/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.53 indicate a strong balance sheet with low financial-distress risk.
For a prospective investor, the combination is a high-quality, financially sound business (strong returns, clean balance sheet) priced at a demanding valuation (P/E TTM of 54.5 and EV/EBITDA of 34.7 per the market data), with weak institutional flow and a middling macro fit. The "Hold" verdict reflects this balance of quality against valuation and flow risk. This is an analytical framing, not personalized financial advice.
Snapshot
Financial Trend
| Period | Revenue | Operating Income | Net Income | EPS | FCF | Cash | Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY 2025 | $8252.0M | $2046.0M | $1508.0M | N/A | $1431.0M | $742.0M | $2859.0M |
| FY 2024 | $7430.0M | $1633.0M | $1155.0M | N/A | $977.0M | $564.0M | $3309.0M |
| FY 2023 | $6640.0M | $1203.0M | $765.0M | N/A | $602.2M | N/A | $10570.0M |
Per the SEC financials, revenue, operating income, net income, and free cash flow grew across the three reported periods, and debt declined from $10570.0M in FY 2023 to $2859.0M in FY 2025. Per the market data, operating margin is 24.8%, net margin is 18.3%, and ROIC is 21.6%. Per the RQD rating, the Altman Z-Score is 10.53 and the Piotroski F-Score is 9/9, both consistent with strong financial health; Debt/Equity is 0.53. Gross margin is reported as 0% in the market data, which does not appear to be a meaningful figure and should be treated with caution.
Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis
Per the recent news feed, six headlines were captured, all related to HWM:
- Yahoo Finance (RISK WATCH, RED): a report on the stock falling amid a market uptick.
- Moomoo (MARKET WIRE, YELLOW): a report explaining why the stock is down on the day.
- Seeking Alpha (MARKET WIRE, YELLOW): a report titled as a strong quarter but with a rich valuation.
- Trefis (MARKET WIRE, YELLOW): a report describing five consecutive red trading days and a 16% decline.
- StockInvest.us (MARKET WIRE, YELLOW): a price forecast and buy-question piece.
- Yahoo! Finance Canada (MARKET WIRE, YELLOW): a general quote and history page.
Per the news feed, the summaries are generic and do not disclose specific fundamental catalysts. The single RED-flagged item is the RISK WATCH headline. Per the butterfly supply-chain graph, the supply chain is listed as NONE, with no butterfly links and no proprietary signals.
Open Questions
- What are the specific products, end markets, and customers driving revenue, since the source data provides only sector classification?
- What is the reported EPS for each period, given that the financials list EPS as N/A for all three years?
- What explains the 52-week decline from $310 to a low of $183.52, and what drove the five consecutive red days noted in the news feed?
- What is the source of the cash balance and debt trajectory, particularly the drop in debt from $10570.0M to $2859.0M?
- What supply-chain dependencies and sector correlations exist, given that the butterfly graph records none?
HWM Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire
Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Howmet Aerospace Inc. (HWM) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below
Yahoo Finance report covering Howmet Aerospace Inc. (HWM) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Moomoo report covering Howmet Aerospace Inc. (HWM) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Seeking Alpha report covering Howmet Aerospace Inc. (HWM) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Trefis report covering Howmet Aerospace Inc. (HWM) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
StockInvest.us report covering Howmet Aerospace Inc. (HWM) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo! Finance Canada report covering Howmet Aerospace Inc. (HWM) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering Howmet Aerospace Inc. (HWM) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering Howmet Aerospace Inc. (HWM) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
HWM Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $199.22?
🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is HWM (C • RQD 65/100) a Buy at $205.94?
Welcome to the HWM (Howmet Aerospace Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 65/100 (Roarable Hold — Fair / Balanced Risk-Reward) in Metal Fabrications. Bulls point to capital efficiency (21.6% ROIC), while bears focus on valuation multiple compression (54.5x trailing P/E). Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.
Pump the brakes on HWM — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds
Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on HWM, but look at what you are paying: 54.5x trailing P/E with tightening sector spreads. Unless Howmet Aerospace Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.
HWM cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here
Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on HWM, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Metal Fabrications and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $205.94 (52-wk range $183.52 - $310.00), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.