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Hexcel Corporation (HXL) Insider, 13F Hedge Fund & Politician Buy/Sell Thermometer

$81.22 +4.34% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $81.70

Hexcel Corporation (HXL) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 51/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $5.89B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is HXL stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Hexcel Corporation (NYSE: HXL) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 51/100 at a spot price of $81.22 (+4.34% 1D, market cap $5.89B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 5/20, Executive Insider Alignment 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 7/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 10/20. Across 270 tracked Materials issuers, HXL ranks #89 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does HXL compare to MEOH and CE in the Materials sector?
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Within the Materials sector (Major Chemicals), HXL carries a Roarable D (51/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 55.0x, gross margin of 23.0%, and ROIC of 6.2%. By comparison, MEOH (Methanex Corporation) holds a C grade (65/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $5.54B) and CE (Celanese Corporation) posts a D grade (44/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -10.7%, cap $5.41B). Among the 5-stock peer group, BCPC leads on earnings multiple (35.0x) while BCPC leads on capital efficiency (14.0% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for HXL?
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Per HXL's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000717605), Hexcel Corporation generated $1.89B in revenue (-0.5% YoY), $109.4M in net income, and $157.2M in free cash flow against $2.70B in total assets and $993.0M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $81.70 (+0.59%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-0.68% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 13/20 (C) • 8.3% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 51/100 (D) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-1.3% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 49.7% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D
025507510051
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D · Rk D+
Cash (13)Whales (5)SEC (16)Macro (7)CEO (10)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-3.2% Base Target
$117 Bull$79 Base$61 Bear
📬 FREE HXL RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for HXL)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±6.6%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (51/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY HXL SCORES 51/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+16/20 pts (31% of score)

Altman Z-Score 4.77 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 6/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+13/20 pts (25% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 8.3% FCF Margin ($157.2M FCF) & 23% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning5/20 pts (-15 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-15 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
59
Grade C$87.74+2.4% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
56
Grade C$89.84-13.2% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
54
Grade C-$78.01+4.1% Next Q
Current
51
Grade D$81.22-1.3% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C (59) → D (51)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a HXL Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While HXL currently carries a cautious 51/100 (D) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (5/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($86.89) and Max Pain ($85.28) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $117.33.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Cannibal Buyback (-0.68% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $HXL• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “HXL Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 51%NO 49%Trade / Inspect Odds →
SEC FORM 4 × 13F HEDGE FUNDS × CONGRESSIONAL STOCK ACT

HXL Smart-Money Thermometer: BALANCED INSTITUTIONAL POSITIONING

Explore All 13F & Congress Whales →
▲ Disclosed Buys: 0 ($0)▼ Disclosed Sales: 0 ($0)

Wide-Open SEC Form 4, 13F & Congressional Disclosure Ledger (HXL)

No recent open-market Form 4 cluster sales or emergency dumps flagged on HXL. Visit the Global 13F & Congressional Whale Ledger for cross-market smart-money filings.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring HXL)

  • ✓Walkthrough of HXL's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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HXL // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -10.44%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL
2026-11-03O $79.55H $81.22L $77.84C $81.22VOL 1.51M
RES: $92.07SUP: $76.86SMA50: $86.89SMA200: $90.56
$114.4$103.5$92.71$81.89$71.07RES $92.07SUP $76.86$81.222026-05-042026-06-182026-08-052026-09-212026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

HXL Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 HXL Butterfly Map → + Track HXL →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
39.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -0.5% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on HXL today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for HXL. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for HXL today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (HXL)

Materials Rank #89 of 270 ⚔️ MEOH vs HXL Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Materials Peer Comparison (HXL vs. MEOH, CE, BCPC, SXT)

Industry: Major Chemicals (67 Tracked Issuers)

Across 270 tracked Materials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Hexcel Corporation (HXL) ranks #89 by composite RQD confidence (51/100, grade D) and #63 by equity capitalization ($5.89B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, BCPC leads on earnings valuation at 35.0x trailing P/E, while BCPC leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 14.0% ROIC and 35.7% gross margin. BCPC currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 71/100 (B-) compared with HXL at 51/100 (D).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
HXL ACTIVE
Hexcel Corporation
D 51/100 55.0x 23.0% 6.2% +4.34% $5.89B Benchmark Subject
MEOH
Methanex Corporation
C 65/100 — — — -4.36% $5.54B /meoh-vs-hxl →
CE
Celanese Corporation
D 44/100 — 20.5% -10.7% -2.76% $5.41B /ce-vs-hxl →
BCPC
Balchem Corporation
B- 71/100 35.0x 35.7% 14.0% +2.72% $5.40B /bcpc-vs-hxl →
SXT
Sensient Technologies Corporation
D+ 55/100 41.6x 33.5% 8.8% +0.50% $5.01B /sxt-vs-hxl →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000717605

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Hexcel Corporation (HXL) reported GAAP revenue of $1.89B (-0.5% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.90B , and +5.9% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $109.4M, operating cash flow of $230.5M, and free cash flow of $157.2M (-22.5% YoY). On the balance sheet, HXL closed FY2025 with $2.70B in total assets against $993.0M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 4.77, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $1.89B $109.4M $230.5M $157.2M $2.70B $993.0M
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $1.90B $132.1M $289.9M $202.9M $2.73B $700.6M
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $1.79B $105.7M $257.1M $176.6M $3.31B $775.0M

3. HXL Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is HXL stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Hexcel Corporation (NYSE: HXL) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 51/100 at a spot price of $81.22 (+4.34% 1D, market cap $5.89B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 5/20, Executive Insider Alignment 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 7/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 10/20. Across 270 tracked Materials issuers, HXL ranks #89 in composite RQD confidence.

How does HXL compare to MEOH and CE in the Materials sector?

Within the Materials sector (Major Chemicals), HXL carries a Roarable D (51/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 55.0x, gross margin of 23.0%, and ROIC of 6.2%. By comparison, MEOH (Methanex Corporation) holds a C grade (65/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $5.54B) and CE (Celanese Corporation) posts a D grade (44/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -10.7%, cap $5.41B). Among the 5-stock peer group, BCPC leads on earnings multiple (35.0x) while BCPC leads on capital efficiency (14.0% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for HXL?

Per HXL's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000717605), Hexcel Corporation generated $1.89B in revenue (-0.5% YoY), $109.4M in net income, and $157.2M in free cash flow against $2.70B in total assets and $993.0M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is HXL trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

HXL last traded at $81.22 (+4.34% on volume of 1,223,556 shares), positioning the stock -6.53% below its 50-day simple moving average ($86.89) and -10.31% below its 200-day simple moving average ($90.56). Across its 52-week range of $67.38 to $111.74, HXL sits at the 31.2% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 33.6 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±6.6% ($75.86 to $86.58).

Direct Sub-Reports: HXL RQD Cockpit HXL 12M Forecast HXL Earnings & Move HXL Dividends & DRIP HXL Insiders & 13F HXL Whale Options HXL Profit Sankey HXL News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 51/100 (D) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

HXL — Hexcel Corporation: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Hexcel Corporation (HXL) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 51/100, corresponding to a D letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $81.22 (+4.34% 1D, market capitalization $5.89B).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (13/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 6.2%, gross margin of 23.0%, operating margin of 9.1%, and free cash flow yield of 2.61%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (5/20) + Insider Conviction (16/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (7/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (10/20): Incorporates a 1.02x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 4.77, Piotroski F-Score of 6/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.79x.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Hexcel Corporation is a NYSE-listed issuer classified under the Materials sector and Major Chemicals industry. The reported financials show revenue of $1.89B for FY 2025.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Hexcel Corporation (HXL) reported $1.89B in annual revenue (up from $1.90B in FY2024, -0.5% YoY) and $109.4M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($1.79B revenue, $105.7M net income) through FY2025, HXL scaled operating cash flow to $230.5M and free cash flow to $157.2M, backed by $2.70B in total assets against $993.0M in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (D • RQD 51/100): Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs. Free cash flow yield of 2.61% and institutional whale pillar of 5/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 13/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 5/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $67.38 – $111.74 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh 55.0x trailing P/E and 29.7x EV/EBITDA against 9.1% operating margins and a 1.02x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Upstream suppliers, downstream customers, and sector correlations beyond the Materials / Major Chemicals classification cannot be identified from the source data. Investors seeking second-order ripple analysis would need that information from outside this dataset.

  • Key Question #1: Can HXL sustain or expand its 9.1% operating margin and 6.2% ROIC against Major Chemicals peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $1.89B and free cash flow of $157.2M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $993.0M in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is HXL's 51.2x forward P/E multiple to Materials capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.02x)?

HXL Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Hexcel Corporation (HXL) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to HXL Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

HXL Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $81.22?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON HXL 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on HXL:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
SI SiliconVal_Bull RQD DEBATE OPENER • Growth & Tech Investor 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $94.19 (+21.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Forensic balance sheet scores 16 of 20 with an Altman Z of 4.77 and Piotroski F of 6/9, indicating strong financial structure.

Forensic balance sheet scores 16 of 20 with an Altman Z of 4.77 and Piotroski F of 6/9, indicating strong financial structure.. When you look under the hood at HXL, Fundamental Cash Engine is 13/20 with 23.0% gross margins and 6.2% ROIC. Bears are staring in the rearview mirror while institutional 13F flow (5/20) has been quietly accumulating below $111.74. My 12M target is $94.19.

VolSurface_Trader 🐂 BULL

@CreditSpread_Watch Shorting a 5/20 institutional whale-flow stock at $77.84 is dangerous when funds are rotating into Materials.

CR CreditSpread_Watch RQD DEBATE OPENER • Balance Sheet Analyst 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $62.27 (-20.0%)
Spot @ $77.84

Trading at a P/E of 55 and EV/EBITDA of 29.7 against ROIC of 6.2% and FCF yield of 2.61%, with revenue flat and net income declining.

Trading at a P/E of 55 and EV/EBITDA of 29.7 against ROIC of 6.2% and FCF yield of 2.61%, with revenue flat and net income declining.. Look at the math on HXL: paying 55.0x trailing P/E for 6.2% ROIC and 9.1% operating margins leaves zero margin of safety if Major Chemicals demand softens. I'd wait for a retest of $68.50 before getting long.

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