Why HYLN Stock dropped -5.25% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

$3.25 -5.25% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $3.21

Hyliion Holdings Corp. (Class A) (HYLN) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 29/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE E • RED ALERT Cap $580.4M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on HYLN Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is HYLN stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
▼

As of 2026-11-03, Hyliion Holdings Corp. (Class A) (NYSE: HYLN) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 29/100 at a spot price of $3.25 (-5.25% 1D, market cap $580.4M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 4/20, Executive Insider Alignment 11/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 3/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, HYLN ranks #888 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does HYLN compare to MLR and BLBD in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
▼

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Construction/Ag Equipment/Trucks), HYLN carries a Roarable E (29/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 4.9%, and ROIC of -30.6%. By comparison, MLR (Miller Industries Inc.) holds a D+ grade (57/100 RQD, P/E 25.7x, ROIC 5.5%, cap $577.0M) and BLBD (Blue Bird Corporation) posts a C+ grade (68/100 RQD, P/E 13.8x, ROIC 85.0%, cap $1.75B). Among the 5-stock peer group, BLBD leads on earnings multiple (13.8x) while BLBD leads on capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for HYLN?
▼

Per HYLN's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001759631), Hyliion Holdings Corp. (Class A) generated $3.5M in revenue (+130.3% YoY), -$57.2M in net income, and -$70.3M in free cash flow against $203.6M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $3.21 (-1.14%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 8/20 (D-) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (29/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-9.8% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • E
025507510029
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk D-
Cash (8)Whales (4)SEC (11)Macro (3)CEO (3)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-12.9% Base Target
$9 Bull$3 Base$2 Bear
📬 FREE HYLN RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for HYLN)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.1%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (29/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY HYLN SCORES 29/100 (E) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+11/20 pts (38% of score)

Altman Z-Score 26.00 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 3/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+8/20 pts (28% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0% FCF Margin ($0 FCF) & 4.9% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
37
Grade E$3.65-13.2% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
34
Grade E$3.17+3.8% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
32
Grade E$3.29-1.2% Next Q
Current
29
Grade E$3.25-9.8% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: E (37) → E (29)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a HYLN Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While HYLN currently carries a cautious 29/100 (E) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($3.69) and Max Pain ($3.41) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $8.91.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $HYLN• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “HYLN Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →

Why HYLN Stock dropped -5.25% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

Hyliion Holdings Corp. (Class A) (HYLN) dropped -5.25% to $3.25, trading at 24% of its 52-week range ($1.56 – $8.49). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-31% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

  • ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 24% of its 52-week range ($1.56 – $8.49) with RSI-14 at 44 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
  • ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±12.1% around $3.25 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
  • ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable E (Strong Sell) backed by 4.9% gross margin and $0 annual free cash flow.
Live HYLN Headlines & Catalysts
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring HYLN)

  • ✓Walkthrough of HYLN's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
HYLN // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +54.03%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-11-03O $3.43H $3.43L $3.25C $3.25VOL 1.48M
RES: $4.02SUP: $2.89SMA50: $3.69SMA200: $3.45
$8.95$7.04$5.13$3.23$1.32RES $4.02SUP $2.89$3.252026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

HYLN Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +130.3% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on HYLN today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for HYLN. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for HYLN today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (HYLN)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #888 of 1011 ⚔️ MLR vs HYLN Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (HYLN vs. MLR, BLBD, SCAG, GP)

Industry: Construction/Ag Equipment/Trucks (14 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Hyliion Holdings Corp. (Class A) (HYLN) ranks #888 by composite RQD confidence (29/100, grade E) and #569 by equity capitalization ($580.4M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, BLBD leads on earnings valuation at 13.8x trailing P/E, while BLBD leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 85.0% ROIC and 20.5% gross margin. BLBD currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 68/100 (C+) compared with HYLN at 29/100 (E).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
HYLN ACTIVE
Hyliion Holdings Corp. (Class A)
E 29/100 — 4.9% -30.6% -5.25% $580.4M Benchmark Subject
MLR
Miller Industries Inc.
D+ 57/100 25.7x 15.2% 5.5% -2.49% $577.0M /mlr-vs-hyln →
BLBD
Blue Bird Corporation
C+ 68/100 13.8x 20.5% 85.0% -0.80% $1.75B /blbd-vs-hyln →
SCAG
Scage Future
D 47/100 — -6.4% — -5.90% $10.0M /scag-vs-hyln →
GP
GreenPower Motor Company Inc.
D 47/100 — — — -8.40% $2.3M /gp-vs-hyln →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001759631

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Hyliion Holdings Corp. (Class A) (HYLN) reported GAAP revenue of $3.5M (+130.3% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.5M , and +417.1% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$57.2M, operating cash flow of -$46.5M, and free cash flow of -$70.3M (+4.1% YoY). On the balance sheet, HYLN closed FY2025 with $203.6M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 26.00, Piotroski F-Score: 3/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $3.5M -$57.2M -$46.5M -$70.3M $203.6M —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $1.5M -$52.0M -$56.7M -$73.3M $263.0M —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $672.0K -$123.5M -$117.0M -$117.0M — —

3. HYLN Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is HYLN stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Hyliion Holdings Corp. (Class A) (NYSE: HYLN) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 29/100 at a spot price of $3.25 (-5.25% 1D, market cap $580.4M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 4/20, Executive Insider Alignment 11/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 3/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, HYLN ranks #888 in composite RQD confidence.

How does HYLN compare to MLR and BLBD in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Construction/Ag Equipment/Trucks), HYLN carries a Roarable E (29/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 4.9%, and ROIC of -30.6%. By comparison, MLR (Miller Industries Inc.) holds a D+ grade (57/100 RQD, P/E 25.7x, ROIC 5.5%, cap $577.0M) and BLBD (Blue Bird Corporation) posts a C+ grade (68/100 RQD, P/E 13.8x, ROIC 85.0%, cap $1.75B). Among the 5-stock peer group, BLBD leads on earnings multiple (13.8x) while BLBD leads on capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for HYLN?

Per HYLN's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001759631), Hyliion Holdings Corp. (Class A) generated $3.5M in revenue (+130.3% YoY), -$57.2M in net income, and -$70.3M in free cash flow against $203.6M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is HYLN trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

HYLN last traded at $3.25 (-5.25% on volume of 1,476,117 shares), positioning the stock -11.92% below its 50-day simple moving average ($3.69) and -5.80% below its 200-day simple moving average ($3.45). Across its 52-week range of $1.56 to $8.49, HYLN sits at the 24.4% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 44.0 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.1% ($2.86 to $3.64).

HYLN Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Why is HYLN stock moving today?

Why HYLN Stock dropped -5.25% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-31% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 29/100 (E) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

HYLN — Hyliion Holdings Corp. (Class A): What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:34:29Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, HYLN scores 31 out of 100 and receives a letter grade of E, labeled "Roarable Strong Sell — Forensic Risk / Avoid." The score is built from five pillars:

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (8 / 20): Per the RQD rating, the pillar reflects ROIC of -30.6% and FCF yield of -11.47%. For a prospective investor, this indicates the business is currently consuming cash relative to its capital base and market value rather than generating it.
  • Whale 13F Flow (6 / 20): The pillar covers institutional accumulation and options positioning. The sourced detail behind this score is not itemized in the rating, so the score is a below-midpoint reading without a verifiable breakdown.
  • Insider Conviction (3 / 20): Per the RQD rating, this reflects SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow. A low score here means insider and disclosed-trade activity does not provide a strong confirming signal.
  • Macro Regime Fit (3 / 20): Per the RQD rating, beta is 1.0 and the pillar reflects sector sensitivity. The score suggests limited favorable alignment with the prevailing regime as captured by the model.
  • Forensic Balance Sheet (11 / 20): Per the RQD rating, Altman Z is 26, Piotroski F is 3/9, and Debt/Equity is 0.5. This is the highest-scoring pillar, but a Piotroski F of 3/9 is weak and a strong Altman Z does not offset negative operating cash flow.

Investor implication: The composite rating points to substantial fundamental and signal weakness. Upside drivers would need to come from outside the sourced metrics, and the source data does not establish specific valuation support. The sharpest tradeoff is a low-priced stock with a $612.6M market cap against deeply negative returns on capital and cash flow.

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025$3.5M$-65.6M$-57.2MN/A$-70.3M$22.9MN/A
FY 2024$1.5M$-64.3M$-52.0MN/A$-73.3M$9.2MN/A
FY 2023$0.7M$-137.4M$-123.5MN/A$-117.0MN/AN/A

Per the market data, gross margin is 4.9%, operating margin is -60%, and net margin is -60%. ROIC is -30.6%. Per the RQD rating, the Altman Z-Score is 26 and the Piotroski F-Score is 3/9, with Debt/Equity at 0.5. Reported operating losses and free cash flow were negative in each period shown, and revenue has grown from $0.7M to $3.5M across the three years. The source data does not provide EPS or debt figures for the reported periods.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Per the recent news feed, the headlines are predominantly market-wire and alert items, including a StockInvest.us price-forecast piece, a Stock Titan item noting a 200-kilowatt electricity generator making TIME's 2026 inventions list, and two MarketBeat items reporting share-price declines of 5.4% and 4.9%. Multiple GlobeNewswire items are shareholder or class-action alerts naming Bernstein and Bragar Eagel & Squire, P.C. These class-action and shareholder alerts are a risk watch item; the source data does not describe the underlying allegations. The news feed flags all items with a YELLOW light and MARKET WIRE impact label. Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, no proprietary signals or supply-chain links are recorded.

Open Questions

  • What is the company's revenue model, customer base, and product line behind the $3.5M FY 2025 revenue figure?
  • What is the basis for the reported gross margin of 4.9%, and what drives the operating losses relative to revenue?
  • What is the nature of the shareholder and class-action alerts in the news feed, and what allegations, if any, are being made?
  • What are the company's debt obligations and cash runway given $22.9M in reported FY 2025 cash and negative free cash flow?
  • Are there any EPS, forward earnings, or analyst price-target figures that would allow valuation comparison?

HYLN Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Hyliion Holdings Corp. (Class A) (HYLN) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to HYLN Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

HYLN Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $3.25?

🐂 33% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON HYLN 🐻 67% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on HYLN:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $3.02 (-12.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is HYLN (E • RQD 31/100) a Buy at $3.43?

Welcome to the HYLN (Hyliion Holdings Corp. (Class A)) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 31/100 (Roarable Strong Sell — Forensic Risk / Avoid) in Construction/Ag Equipment/Trucks. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

BE BearTrap_Alert Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $2.78 (-19.0%)
Spot @ $3.43

Pump the brakes on HYLN — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on HYLN, but look at what you are paying: current EV/EBITDA multiples with 4.9% gross margins. Unless Hyliion Holdings Corp. (Class A) expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

AL AlphaFlow_Cap Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $4.36 (+27.1%)
Spot @ $3.43

HYLN cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on HYLN, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Construction/Ag Equipment/Trucks and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $3.43 (52-wk range $1.56 - $8.49), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

LIVE TAPE SPY $752.10 -1.80% QQQ $681.09 -3.60% DIA $519.34 -1.08% IWM $279.14 -1.68% NVDA $204.64 -4.22% AAPL $344.63 -1.23% MSFT $521.91 -1.55% TSLA $399.81 -0.86% PLTR $184.11 -6.27% SOFI $16.76 -4.83% IBIT $43.35 -5.42% GLD $361.65 -3.59%