Innovation Beverage Group Limited (IBG) Insider, 13F Hedge Fund & Politician Buy/Sell Thermometer

$0.85 -11.00% NASDAQ β€’ Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $0.83

Innovation Beverage Group Limited (IBG) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 36/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D- β€’ RED ALERT Cap $4.0M
πŸ“€ Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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β–Ό

As of 2026-11-02, Innovation Beverage Group Limited (NASDAQ: IBG) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 36/100 at a spot price of $0.85 (-11.00% 1D, market cap $4.0M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 9/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, Executive Insider Alignment 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 7/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Active quantitative signal LIQUIDITY_TAILWIND (BULLISH, conviction undefined/100) notes: undefined.

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πŸ€– Ellis Vennor β€’ AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does IBG compare to AMSS and YHC in the Consumer Staples sector?
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Within the Consumer Staples sector (Beverages (Production/Distribution)), IBG carries a Roarable D- (36/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 44.2%, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, AMSS (AMASS Brands Inc.) holds a D grade (46/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC β€”, cap $3.5M) and YHC (LQR House Inc.) posts a E grade (25/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $3.2M). Among the 5-stock peer group, IBG leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while IBG leads on capital efficiency (-35.0% ROIC).

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Gideon Ashmere β€’ AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for IBG?
β–Ό

Per IBG's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001924482), Innovation Beverage Group Limited generated $2.8M in revenue (-5.1% YoY), -$6.2M in net income, and -$1.6M in free cash flow against $1.3M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Staples with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

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INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
πŸ›‘οΈ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $0.83 (-2.17%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+1.28% YoY Shares)βš™οΈ Cash Engine: 9/20 (D) β€’ 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit β†’
πŸ“Š Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (36/100 Β· D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-8.3% avg 90D alpha vs SPY β€’ 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record β†’
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT β€’ D-
025507510036
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) β€” not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- Β· Rk D-
Cash (9)Whales (9)SEC (8)Macro (7)CEO (3)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-9.4% Base Target
$18 Bull$1 Base$1 Bear
πŸ“¬ FREE IBG RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot on file for IBG)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: Β±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (36/100 Composite)
πŸ” WHY IBG SCORES 36/100 (D-) β€” TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
β–² #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+9/20 pts (25% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0% FCF Margin ($0 FCF) & 44.2% Gross Margin

β–² #2 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+9/20 pts (25% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (Β±12.5% realized swing band)

β–Ό #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+1.28% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

πŸ“ˆ PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 β†’ Q2 β†’ Q3 β†’ Current
Q1 (-3Q)
44
Grade D$0.86-10.5% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
41
Grade D$0.77+16.9% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
39
Grade E$0.90-5.6% Next Q
Current
36
Grade D-$0.85-8.3% Hist 90D Ξ±
Trajectory: D (44) β†’ D- (36)Full Audit β†’
βš”οΈ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

βš”οΈ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a IBG Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk β†’

While IBG currently carries a cautious 36/100 (D-) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Consumer Staples with deep daily trading liquidity.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($0.93) and Max Pain ($0.89) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $18.46.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+1.28% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $IBGβ€’ $2.4M Crowd Pool β€’ Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: β€œIBG Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
SEC FORM 4 Γ— 13F HEDGE FUNDS Γ— CONGRESSIONAL STOCK ACT

IBG Smart-Money Thermometer: NET EXECUTIVE TRIMMING / PROFIT-TAKING

Explore All 13F & Congress Whales β†’
β–² Disclosed Buys: 0 ($0)β–Ό Disclosed Sales: 0 ($0)

Wide-Open SEC Form 4, 13F & Congressional Disclosure Ledger (IBG)

No recent open-market Form 4 cluster sales or emergency dumps flagged on IBG. Visit the Global 13F & Congressional Whale Ledger for cross-market smart-money filings.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP β€’ SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring IBG)

  • βœ“Walkthrough of IBG's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • βœ“3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
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RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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IBG // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -16.67%β–Ό DESCENDING CHANNEL
2026-11-02O $1.02H $1.02L $0.85C $0.85VOL 113.0K
RES: $1.05SUP: $0.67SMA50: $0.93SMA200: $1.62
$10.19$7.62$5.05$2.48$-0.09RES $1.05SUP $0.67$0.852026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-172026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

IBG Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -5.1% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on IBG today. View full Setup Ledger β†’

πŸ¦‹ Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph β†’

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for IBG. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for IBG today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk β†’
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT β€’ SEC EDGAR XBRL Γ— RQD PEER BENCHMARK

πŸ“Š Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (IBG)

Consumer Staples Rank #115 of 146 βš”οΈ AMSS vs IBG Full Matrix β†’

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Staples Peer Comparison (IBG vs. AMSS, YHC, IPST, REED)

Industry: Beverages (Production/Distribution) (35 Tracked Issuers)

Across 146 tracked Consumer Staples securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Innovation Beverage Group Limited (IBG) ranks #115 by composite RQD confidence (36/100, grade D-) and #136 by equity capitalization ($4.0M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, IBG leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while IBG leads on capital efficiency and profitability with -35.0% ROIC and 44.2% gross margin. AMSS currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 46/100 (D) compared with IBG at 36/100 (D-).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
IBG ACTIVE
Innovation Beverage Group Limited
D- 36/100 β€” 44.2% -35.0% -11.00% $4.0M Benchmark Subject
AMSS
AMASS Brands Inc.
D 46/100 β€” β€” β€” -2.15% $3.5M /amss-vs-ibg β†’
YHC
LQR House Inc.
E 25/100 β€” 10.8% -35.0% +2.04% $3.2M /yhc-vs-ibg β†’
IPST
IP Strategy Holdings Inc.
E 29/100 β€” 54.9% -35.0% -0.76% $2.6M /ipst-vs-ibg β†’
REED
Reed's Inc.
E 30/100 β€” 20.4% -35.0% +7.33% $8.2M /reed-vs-ibg β†’

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K β€’ FILED 2025-12-31 β€’ CIK 0001924482

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Innovation Beverage Group Limited (IBG) reported GAAP revenue of $2.8M (-5.1% vs. FY2024 revenue of $2.9M , and -11.9% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$6.2M, operating cash flow of -$1.6M, and free cash flow of -$1.6M (+18.4% YoY). On the balance sheet, IBG closed FY2025 with $1.3M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 2/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $2.8M -$6.2M -$1.6M -$1.6M $1.3M β€”
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $2.9M -$4.7M -$1.9M -$1.9M $3.8M β€”
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $3.1M -$2.0M $57.5K $57.5K β€” β€”

3. IBG Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

βœ“ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is IBG stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, Innovation Beverage Group Limited (NASDAQ: IBG) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 36/100 at a spot price of $0.85 (-11.00% 1D, market cap $4.0M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 9/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, Executive Insider Alignment 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 7/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Active quantitative signal LIQUIDITY_TAILWIND (BULLISH, conviction undefined/100) notes: undefined.

How does IBG compare to AMSS and YHC in the Consumer Staples sector?

Within the Consumer Staples sector (Beverages (Production/Distribution)), IBG carries a Roarable D- (36/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 44.2%, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, AMSS (AMASS Brands Inc.) holds a D grade (46/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC β€”, cap $3.5M) and YHC (LQR House Inc.) posts a E grade (25/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $3.2M). Among the 5-stock peer group, IBG leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while IBG leads on capital efficiency (-35.0% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for IBG?

Per IBG's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001924482), Innovation Beverage Group Limited generated $2.8M in revenue (-5.1% YoY), -$6.2M in net income, and -$1.6M in free cash flow against $1.3M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Staples with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is IBG trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

IBG last traded at $0.85 (-11.00% on volume of 41,828 shares), positioning the stock -8.60% below its 50-day simple moving average ($0.93) and -47.53% below its 200-day simple moving average ($1.62). Across its 52-week range of $0.71 to $17.58, IBG sits at the 0.8% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 54.9 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of Β±12.5% ($1.00 to $0.96).

IBG Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS β€’ SEC EDGAR Γ— CBOE Γ— FRED

Are IBG insiders and hedge funds buying or selling?

Roarable's SEC Form 4 and 13F Whale Thermometer currently classifies IBG leadership and institutional positioning as: NET EXECUTIVE TRIMMING / PROFIT-TAKING.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF β€’ RQD 36/100 (D-) βœ“ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

IBG β€” Innovation Beverage Group Limited: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:53:42Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, IBG scores 36 out of 100, earning a D- and the verdict "Roarable Sell β€” Vulnerable Balance Sheet & Flow." The fundamental cash engine pillar scores 9 of 20, reflecting a ROIC of -35% and an FCF yield of 0%, meaning the business is not currently generating returns on invested capital or free cash flow relative to its market value. The whale/13F flow pillar scores 9 of 20, indicating institutional accumulation and options positioning that is weak relative to the rating's framework. The insider conviction pillar scores 3 of 20, the lowest of the five, based on SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow. The macro regime fit pillar scores 7 of 20, with a beta of 1.0 and sector sensitivity as the stated inputs. The forensic balance sheet pillar scores 8 of 20, drawing on an Altman Z-Score of 2.5, a Piotroski F-Score of 2/9, and a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.5.

For a prospective investor evaluating the stock today, these facts point to a company whose negative returns and cash flow are the central tradeoff: there is no earnings- or cash-flow-based valuation support visible in the source data, so any upside case must rest on factors outside the reported fundamentals, such as the liquidity signal discussed below. The insider and flow pillars suggest limited confirmation from informed participants. The rating is an analytical summary of these inputs, not a recommendation.

Business

Per the profile, Innovation Beverage Group Limited is a NASDAQ-listed issuer in the Consumer Staples sector, operating within Beverages (Production/Distribution). The source data does not specify its product lines, customers, or distribution channels. Per the market data, the company reports a gross margin of 44.2%, but the source data does not describe how it earns revenue beyond this. Not available in source data for further detail.

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025$2.8M$-5.4M$-6.2MN/A$-1.6M$0.1MN/A
FY 2024$2.9M$-5.1M$-4.7MN/A$-1.9M$0.6MN/A
FY 2023$3.1M$-2.1M$-2.0MN/A$0.1MN/AN/A

Per the SEC financials, revenue declined across the three reported periods while operating and net losses widened from FY 2023 to FY 2025. Per the market data, operating margin and net margin are both -60%, and ROIC is -35%. Per the forensic balance sheet inputs in the RQD rating, the Altman Z-Score is 2.5 and the Piotroski F-Score is 2/9; Debt/Equity is 0.5. Cash fell from $0.6M in FY 2024 to $0.1M in FY 2025.

Open Questions

  • What are the company's product lines, customers, and distribution channels, and what drove the revenue decline from $3.1M to $2.8M?
  • What is the reason for the widening losses and the drop in cash from $0.6M to $0.1M, and what is management's plan for funding operations?
  • What is the debt balance, given that the source reports debt as N/A for all periods while listing a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.5?
  • What is the EPS, and why is it unavailable for each reported period?
  • Is there any company-specific catalyst, filing, or news that would explain the stock's 52-week range of $0.71 to $17.58?

IBG Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Innovation Beverage Group Limited (IBG) β€’ Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

πŸ’¬ Jump to IBG Debate Forum (3) ↓
πŸ”₯ THE ROAR PIT β€’ LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

IBG Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board β€” What's Your Call at $0.85?

πŸ‚ 33% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON IBG 🐻 67% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on IBG:
πŸ’‘ Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $0.84 (-12.5%)
πŸ“Œ Pinned Debate

πŸ”₯ Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is IBG (D- β€’ RQD 36/100) a Buy at $0.96?

Welcome to the IBG (Innovation Beverage Group Limited) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 36/100 (Roarable Sell β€” Vulnerable Balance Sheet & Flow) in Beverages (Production/Distribution). Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (πŸ‚ Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

RI RiskArb_Desk Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $0.77 (-19.8%)
Spot @ $0.96

Pump the brakes on IBG β€” check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on IBG, but look at what you are paying: current EV/EBITDA multiples with 44.2% gross margins. Unless Innovation Beverage Group Limited expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

CA CashFlowKing Verified K Arena Trader πŸ‚ BULLISH 🎯 Target: $1.23 (+28.1%)
Spot @ $0.96

IBG cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on IBG, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Beverages (Production/Distribution) and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $0.96 (52-wk range $0.71 - $17.58), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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