Interactive Brokers Group Inc. (IBKR) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±6.9% Move

$76.90 -5.96% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $75.93

Interactive Brokers Group Inc. (IBKR) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 55/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID Cap $37.05B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on IBKR Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is IBKR stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-02, Interactive Brokers Group Inc. (NASDAQ: IBKR) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 55/100 at a spot price of $76.90 (-5.96% 1D, market cap $37.05B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 10/20, Executive Insider Alignment 15/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 7/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 10/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, IBKR ranks #553 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does IBKR compare to CBOE and RJF in the Financials sector?
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Within the Financials sector (Investment Bankers/Brokers/Service), IBKR carries a Roarable D+ (55/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 139.6x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 0.3%. By comparison, CBOE (Cboe Global Markets Inc.) holds a B+ grade (78/100 RQD, P/E 31.9x, ROIC 26.6%, cap $35.14B) and RJF (Raymond James Financial Inc.) posts a C+ grade (69/100 RQD, P/E 14.5x, ROIC 5.9%, cap $31.03B). Among the 5-stock peer group, RJF leads on earnings multiple (14.5x) while CBOE leads on capital efficiency (26.6% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for IBKR?
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Per IBKR's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001381197), Interactive Brokers Group Inc. generated $2.44B in revenue (+23.4% YoY), $0 in net income, and $15.70B in free cash flow against $203.24B in total assets and $82.25B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $75.93 (-1.26%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-0.68% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 13/20 (C) • 643.5% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 55/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.5% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 51.4% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+
025507510055
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk D+
Cash (13)Whales (10)SEC (15)Macro (7)CEO (10)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-1.4% Base Target
$104 Bull$76 Base$59 Bear
📬 FREE IBKR RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for IBKR)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±6.9%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (55/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY IBKR SCORES 55/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+15/20 pts (27% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+13/20 pts (24% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 643.5% FCF Margin ($15.70B FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit7/20 pts (-13 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (45.2) create a -13 pt regime headwind

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
63
Grade C+$87.49-5.2% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
60
Grade C$82.91-0.8% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
58
Grade C$82.25-6.5% Next Q
Current
55
Grade D+$76.90-0.5% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C+ (63) → D+ (55)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the IBKR Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 55/100 (D+) score, IBKR faces multiple-compression risk if 139.6x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($87.93) or 200D SMA ($83.06) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($75.86) toward Bear Floor ($59.17).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $IBKR• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “IBKR Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 30, 2026 (~57 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±6.9% Swing Band

±$5.31 Expected Swing
$71.59 (-6.9%)Spot $76.90$82.21 (+6.9%)
MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

IBKR Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 55/100

Trailing EPS: $0.59 • YoY Revenue Growth: 23.4%

Model Bullish Setup (55/100)Model Risk Weight (45/100)
Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).
LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

PeriodFiledRevenueNet ProfitFree Cash FlowGross Margin
FY 20252025-12-31$2.44B$0$15.70B52%
FY 20242024-12-31$1.98B$0$8.64B52%
FY 20232023-12-31$1.56B$0$4.47B52%
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring IBKR)

  • ✓Walkthrough of IBKR's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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IBKR // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -5.90%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-11-02O $83.54H $83.54L $76.90C $76.90VOL 3.59M
RES: $99.74SUP: $75.11SMA50: $87.93SMA200: $83.06
$100.9$92.11$83.35$74.59$65.83RES $99.74SUP $75.11$76.902026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

IBKR Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
48.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +23.4% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on IBKR today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for IBKR. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for IBKR today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (IBKR)

Financials Rank #553 of 1096 ⚔️ CBOE vs IBKR Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (IBKR vs. CBOE, RJF, TW, NMR)

Industry: Investment Bankers/Brokers/Service (64 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Interactive Brokers Group Inc. (IBKR) ranks #553 by composite RQD confidence (55/100, grade D+) and #79 by equity capitalization ($37.05B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, RJF leads on earnings valuation at 14.5x trailing P/E, while CBOE leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 26.6% ROIC and — gross margin. CBOE currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 78/100 (B+) compared with IBKR at 55/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
IBKR ACTIVE
Interactive Brokers Group Inc.
D+ 55/100 139.6x — 0.3% -5.96% $37.05B Benchmark Subject
CBOE
Cboe Global Markets Inc.
B+ 78/100 31.9x — 26.6% +6.77% $35.14B /cboe-vs-ibkr →
RJF
Raymond James Financial Inc.
C+ 69/100 14.5x — 5.9% -2.52% $31.03B /rjf-vs-ibkr →
TW
Tradeweb Markets Inc.
B+ 76/100 34.2x — 13.6% +3.08% $27.82B /tw-vs-ibkr →
NMR
Nomura Holdings Inc ADR
D+ 56/100 32.8x — 9.9% -0.95% $27.48B /nmr-vs-ibkr →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001381197

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Interactive Brokers Group Inc. (IBKR) reported GAAP revenue of $2.44B (+23.4% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.98B , and +56.7% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $0, operating cash flow of $15.81B, and free cash flow of $15.70B (+81.8% YoY). On the balance sheet, IBKR closed FY2025 with $203.24B in total assets against $82.25B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $2.44B $0 $15.81B $15.70B $203.24B $82.25B
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $1.98B $0 $8.72B $8.64B $150.14B $60.10B
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $1.56B $0 $4.54B $4.47B $20.38B $4.77B

3. IBKR Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is IBKR stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, Interactive Brokers Group Inc. (NASDAQ: IBKR) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 55/100 at a spot price of $76.90 (-5.96% 1D, market cap $37.05B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 10/20, Executive Insider Alignment 15/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 7/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 10/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, IBKR ranks #553 in composite RQD confidence.

How does IBKR compare to CBOE and RJF in the Financials sector?

Within the Financials sector (Investment Bankers/Brokers/Service), IBKR carries a Roarable D+ (55/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 139.6x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 0.3%. By comparison, CBOE (Cboe Global Markets Inc.) holds a B+ grade (78/100 RQD, P/E 31.9x, ROIC 26.6%, cap $35.14B) and RJF (Raymond James Financial Inc.) posts a C+ grade (69/100 RQD, P/E 14.5x, ROIC 5.9%, cap $31.03B). Among the 5-stock peer group, RJF leads on earnings multiple (14.5x) while CBOE leads on capital efficiency (26.6% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for IBKR?

Per IBKR's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001381197), Interactive Brokers Group Inc. generated $2.44B in revenue (+23.4% YoY), $0 in net income, and $15.70B in free cash flow against $203.24B in total assets and $82.25B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is IBKR trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

IBKR last traded at $76.90 (-5.96% on volume of 5,745,613 shares), positioning the stock -12.54% below its 50-day simple moving average ($87.93) and -7.42% below its 200-day simple moving average ($83.06). Across its 52-week range of $58.95 to $98.75, IBKR sits at the 45.1% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 45.2 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±6.9% ($71.59 to $82.21).

IBKR Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

When is IBKR's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, Interactive Brokers Group Inc. (IBKR)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Dec 30, 2026.

How much is IBKR stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±6.9% event move for IBKR, spanning a range between $71.59 and $82.21.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 55/100 (D+) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

IBKR — Interactive Brokers Group Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:11:53Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, IBKR scores 55 out of 100, a D+ grade, with the verdict "Roarable Sell — Weak Fundamentals / Trim." The five pillars are: Fundamental Cash Engine at 13/20 (ROIC 0.3%; FCF yield 22%), Whale 13F Flow at 10/20 (institutional accumulation and options positioning), Insider Conviction at 10/20 (SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow), Macro Regime Fit at 7/20 (Beta 0.92; sector sensitivity), and Forensic Balance Sheet at 15/20 (Altman Z 2.5; Piotroski F 7/9; Debt/Equity 0.5). The strongest pillar is the balance sheet, while macro fit and insider conviction are the weakest. For a prospective investor, the headline FCF yield of 22% is offset by a ROIC of only 0.3%, indicating that cash generation is not translating into high returns on invested capital. The valuation tradeoff is significant: a trailing P/E of 139.6 and EV/EBITDA of 95 imply that much of the expected performance is already priced in. Upside would depend on earnings growth catching up to the multiple; the rating's verdict suggests the current risk-reward skews unfavorably on these inputs.

Snapshot

PriceMarket CapP/E (TTM)Forward P/EEV/EBITDAEPS (TTM)Dividend YieldBeta52-Wk RangeROIC %
$81.77$37.05B139.6117.3950.590.36%0.92$58.95 - $98.750.3%

Business

Per the company profile, Interactive Brokers Group Inc. is a NASDAQ-listed issuer in the Financials sector, operating within the Investment Bankers/Brokers/Service industry. Not available in source data for product lines, customer segments, or revenue mix beyond the profile classification. The profile describes the company as operating in this industry with a market capitalization of $37.0B. Not available in source data for detailed monetization mechanics.

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025$2440.0M$343.6M$0.0MN/A$15701.2M$4963.0M$82245.6M
FY 2024$1977.0M$278.4M$0.0MN/A$8635.0M$3633.0M$60095.2M
FY 2023$1557.0M$219.2M$0.0MN/A$4473.9MN/A$4768.1M

Per the market data, operating margin is 13.9%, net margin 10.9%, and gross margin 0%, with ROIC at 0.3%. Per the Roarable RQD rating, the Altman Z-Score is 2.5 and the Piotroski F-Score is 7/9, with Debt/Equity at 0.5. Reported net income in the SEC financials is $0.0M for each period and EPS is N/A, so the income statement figures cannot be reconciled to the TTM EPS of 0.59 in the market data. Debt grew from $4768.1M in FY 2023 to $82245.6M in FY 2025 per the SEC financials, a material increase that the source does not explain.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Per the recent news feed, six items are tagged to IBKR, each with a YELLOW signal light and MARKET WIRE impact label. Headlines include a generic Yahoo Finance UK profile, a Motley Fool piece on customer cash balances versus Robinhood, a Seeking Alpha note titled "Q3 Should Be Fine, That's The Problem," a CNBC after-hours movers item, and two Yahoo Finance valuation pieces offering conflicting views (one suggesting 47% overvaluation, one suggesting 17% undervaluation). The valuation debate is the dominant theme across the feed. Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, the supply chain is recorded as "NONE," with no butterfly links and no proprietary signals. Not available in source data for the body text of any news item; conclusions beyond headline framing cannot be drawn.

Open Questions

  • Net income is reported as $0.0M for every period while TTM EPS is 0.59; what reconciles the income statement to the per-share figure?
  • Total debt rose from $4768.1M (FY 2023) to $82245.6M (FY 2025); what is the composition and purpose of this increase?
  • What drives the gap between a 22% FCF yield and a 0.3% ROIC, and is FCF representative of sustainable cash generation?
  • What is the company's revenue mix and customer base, given the profile provides only sector classification?
  • What did the Q3 results contain that the news feed's "Q3 Should Be Fine" and "higher Q3 profit" headlines reference?

IBKR Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Interactive Brokers Group Inc. (IBKR) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to IBKR Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

IBKR Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $76.90?

🐂 50% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON IBKR 🐻 50% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on IBKR:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk ⚖️ DEBATE HOST 🎯 Target: $88.31 (+8.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is IBKR (D+ • RQD 55/100) a Buy at $81.77?

Welcome to the IBKR (Interactive Brokers Group Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 55/100 (Roarable Sell — Weak Fundamentals / Trim) in Investment Bankers/Brokers/Service. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on valuation multiple compression (139.6x trailing P/E). Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

VA ValDiscipline Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $65.42 (-20.0%)
Spot @ $81.77

Pump the brakes on IBKR — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on IBKR, but look at what you are paying: 139.6x trailing P/E with tightening sector spreads. Unless Interactive Brokers Group Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

TA TapeReader_Pro Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $104.67 (+28.0%)
Spot @ $81.77

IBKR cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on IBKR, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Investment Bankers/Brokers/Service and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $81.77 (52-wk range $58.95 - $98.75), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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