Installed Building Products Inc. (IBP) Options Positioning, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$213.35 +0.53% NYSE β€’ Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $213.15

Installed Building Products Inc. (IBP) carries a Roarable Rating of C+ (Hold) with 67/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

ROARABLE C+ β€’ HOLD / WATCH Cap $5.67B
πŸ“€ Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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πŸ€– Mara Quenwick β€’ AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is IBP stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
β–Ό

As of 2026-11-03, Installed Building Products Inc. (NYSE: IBP) is rated C+ (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 67/100 at a spot price of $213.35 (+0.53% 1D, market cap $5.67B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 19/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, Executive Insider Alignment 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 7/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, IBP ranks #201 in composite RQD confidence.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Ellis Vennor β€’ AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does IBP compare to ECG and CVCO in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
β–Ό

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Homebuilding), IBP carries a Roarable C+ (67/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 21.3x, gross margin of 34.0%, and ROIC of 24.7%. By comparison, ECG (Everus Construction Group Inc.) holds a D grade (46/100 RQD, P/E 27.3x, ROIC 30.4%, cap $5.24B) and CVCO (Cavco Industries Inc.) posts a B+ grade (80/100 RQD, P/E 22.0x, ROIC 17.6%, cap $4.76B). Among the 5-stock peer group, MTH leads on earnings multiple (9.3x) while ECG leads on capital efficiency (30.4% ROIC).

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Gideon Ashmere β€’ AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for IBP?
β–Ό

Per IBP's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001580905), Installed Building Products Inc. generated $2.97B in revenue (+1.0% YoY), $265.4M in net income, and $300.8M in free cash flow against $2.07B in total assets and $850.0M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (34% profit margin)β€”profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists β€” not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
πŸ›‘οΈ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $213.16 (-0.09%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)βš™οΈ Cash Engine: 19/20 (A+) β€’ 10.1% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit β†’
πŸ“Š Historical Track Record: Scores of 67/100 (C+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.6% avg 90D alpha vs SPY β€’ 56.4% hit rate β€” wait for RQD β‰₯ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record β†’
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH β€’ C+
025507510067
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) β€” not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw B Β· Rk D+
Cash (19)Whales (9)SEC (16)Macro (7)CEO (16)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+4% Base Target
$366 Bull$222 Base$173 Bear
πŸ“¬ FREE IBP RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot on file for IBP)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: Β±9.3%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (67/100 Composite)
πŸ” WHY IBP SCORES 67/100 (C+) β€” TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
β–² #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+19/20 pts (28% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 10.1% FCF Margin ($300.8M FCF) & 34% Gross Margin

β–² #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+16/20 pts (24% of score)

Altman Z-Score 5.66 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) β€’ Piotroski F-Score 6/9

β–Ό #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit7/20 pts (-13 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (61.9) create a -13 pt regime headwind

πŸ“ˆ PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 β†’ Q2 β†’ Q3 β†’ Current
Q1 (-3Q)
59
Grade C$180.33+4.2% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
62
Grade C+$187.87+6.4% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
64
Grade C+$199.90+6.7% Next Q
Current
67
Grade C+$213.35+1.6% Hist 90D Ξ±
Trajectory: C (59) β†’ C+ (67)Full Audit β†’
βš”οΈ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

βš”οΈ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the IBP Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk β†’

Even with a 67/100 (C+) score, IBP faces multiple-compression risk if 21.3x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares) β€” any gross margin slip below 31.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($204.80) or 200D SMA ($245.86) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($221.99) toward Bear Floor ($173.15).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $IBPβ€’ $2.4M Crowd Pool β€’ Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: β€œIBP Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE
β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
Put/Call Ratio: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET
β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
No active options chain max-pain snapshot on file
HISTORICAL 20D VOLATILITY SWING
Β±9.3%
Derived from 20D OHLCV bars (No Active Options Snapshot)

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (IBP)

β€” (No Active Options Snapshot) β€” No unusual CBOE strike concentration anomalies recorded in the current database snapshot for IBP.

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Whale Flow & Momentum Playbook: Evaluating IBP & AI Leaders Without Chasing Tops

  • βœ“Institutional whale strikes & implied earnings move audit on IBP
  • βœ“How disciplined traders manage risk using pre-published trigger & invalidation levels
  • βœ“Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on tracked leaders
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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IBP // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -22.98%⚑ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-11-03O $212.2H $213.4L $212.2C $213.4VOL 279.2K
RES: $215.1SUP: $167.3SMA50: $204.8SMA200: $245.9
$311.8$275.1$238.3$201.5$164.7RES $215.1SUP $167.3$213.42026-05-042026-06-182026-08-052026-09-212026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

IBP Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
15.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +1.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on IBP today. View full Setup Ledger β†’

πŸ¦‹ Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph β†’

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for IBP. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for IBP today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk β†’
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT β€’ SEC EDGAR XBRL Γ— RQD PEER BENCHMARK

πŸ“Š Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (IBP)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #201 of 1011 βš”οΈ ECG vs IBP Full Matrix β†’

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (IBP vs. ECG, CVCO, SKY, MTH)

Industry: Homebuilding (31 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Installed Building Products Inc. (IBP) ranks #201 by composite RQD confidence (67/100, grade C+) and #247 by equity capitalization ($5.67B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, MTH leads on earnings valuation at 9.3x trailing P/E, while ECG leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 30.4% ROIC and 12.1% gross margin. SKY currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 81/100 (A-) compared with IBP at 67/100 (C+).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
IBP ACTIVE
Installed Building Products Inc.
C+ 67/100 21.3x 34.0% 24.7% +0.53% $5.67B Benchmark Subject
ECG
Everus Construction Group Inc.
D 46/100 27.3x 12.1% 30.4% -5.03% $5.24B /ecg-vs-ibp β†’
CVCO
Cavco Industries Inc.
B+ 80/100 22.0x 23.5% 17.6% +13.11% $4.76B /cvco-vs-ibp β†’
SKY
Champion Homes Inc.
A- 81/100 21.3x 26.4% 20.8% +4.50% $4.60B /sky-vs-ibp β†’
MTH
Meritage Homes Corporation
C- 59/100 9.3x β€” 8.0% -0.03% $4.20B /mth-vs-ibp β†’

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K β€’ FILED 2025-12-31 β€’ CIK 0001580905

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Installed Building Products Inc. (IBP) reported GAAP revenue of $2.97B (+1.0% vs. FY2024 revenue of $2.94B , and +6.9% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $265.4M, operating cash flow of $371.4M, and free cash flow of $300.8M (+19.6% YoY). On the balance sheet, IBP closed FY2025 with $2.07B in total assets against $850.0M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 5.66, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $2.97B $265.4M $371.4M $300.8M $2.07B $850.0M
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $2.94B $256.6M $340.0M $251.4M $2.06B $842.4M
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $2.78B $243.7M $340.2M $215.2M $3.33B $780.2M

3. IBP Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

βœ“ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is IBP stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Installed Building Products Inc. (NYSE: IBP) is rated C+ (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 67/100 at a spot price of $213.35 (+0.53% 1D, market cap $5.67B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 19/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, Executive Insider Alignment 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 7/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, IBP ranks #201 in composite RQD confidence.

How does IBP compare to ECG and CVCO in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Homebuilding), IBP carries a Roarable C+ (67/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 21.3x, gross margin of 34.0%, and ROIC of 24.7%. By comparison, ECG (Everus Construction Group Inc.) holds a D grade (46/100 RQD, P/E 27.3x, ROIC 30.4%, cap $5.24B) and CVCO (Cavco Industries Inc.) posts a B+ grade (80/100 RQD, P/E 22.0x, ROIC 17.6%, cap $4.76B). Among the 5-stock peer group, MTH leads on earnings multiple (9.3x) while ECG leads on capital efficiency (30.4% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for IBP?

Per IBP's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001580905), Installed Building Products Inc. generated $2.97B in revenue (+1.0% YoY), $265.4M in net income, and $300.8M in free cash flow against $2.07B in total assets and $850.0M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (34% profit margin)β€”profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is IBP trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

IBP last traded at $213.35 (+0.53% on volume of 279,152 shares), positioning the stock +4.17% above its 50-day simple moving average ($204.80) and -13.22% below its 200-day simple moving average ($245.86). Across its 52-week range of $176.15 to $349.00, IBP sits at the 21.5% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 61.9 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of Β±9.3% ($193.51 to $233.19).

IBP Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS β€’ SEC EDGAR Γ— CBOE Γ— FRED

What is IBP's options positioning and volatility profile?

Roarable tracks verified CBOE unusual options sweeps, put/call ratios, and OHLCV realized volatility bands for IBP.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF β€’ RQD 67/100 (C+) βœ“ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

IBP β€” Installed Building Products Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:19:58Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, IBP scores 67 out of 100, a C+ grade, with the verdict "Roarable Hold β€” Upper Neutral / Watch for Breakout." The five pillars break down as follows. Fundamental Cash Engine scores 19 of 20, anchored by a 24.7% ROIC and a 5.33% FCF yield; this is the strongest pillar and the core of the bull case. Forensic Balance Sheet scores 16 of 20, supported by an Altman Z-Score of 5.66, a Piotroski F-Score of 6/9, and a Debt/Equity ratio of 1.2. Insider Conviction scores 16 of 20, reflecting SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow. Whale/13F Flow scores 9 of 20, indicating weaker institutional accumulation and options positioning. Macro Regime Fit scores 7 of 20, reflecting a beta of 1.05 and sector sensitivity, which is the weakest pillar.

For a prospective investor, the profile suggests a financially sturdy business whose stock has been priced at a moderate multiple, with upside tied to a possible re-rating if institutional flow improves, and limited macro-regime support at present. The valuation tradeoff is that a 21.3x trailing P/E and 13.8x EV/EBITDA leave less margin for error if earnings growth slows. The rating's "Watch for Breakout" language signals that the verdict is conditional on confirmation rather than an endorsement of current momentum. This is an analytical framing, not personalized advice.

Snapshot

MetricValue
Price212.23
Market Cap$5.64B
P/E (TTM)21.3
Forward P/E19.8
EV/EBITDA13.8
EPS (TTM)9.99
Dividend Yield1.55%
Beta1.05
52-Wk Range$176.15 - $349
ROIC %24.7%

Business

Installed Building Products Inc. (IBP) is a NYSE-listed issuer classified under Consumer Discretionary, in the Homebuilding industry. Per the profile, the company has a market capitalization of $5.6B. Not available in source data: specific product lines, customer base, and revenue model details beyond sector and industry classification.

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025$2970.8M$386.4M$265.4MNot available in source data$300.8M$321.9M$850.0M
FY 2024$2941.3M$382.5M$256.6MNot available in source data$251.4M$327.6M$842.4M
FY 2023$2778.6M$369.1M$243.7MNot available in source data$215.2MNot available in source data$780.2M

Per the market data, gross margin is 34%, operating margin 13%, and net margin 8.9%, with ROIC of 24.7%. Per the Roarable RQD rating, the Altman Z-Score is 5.66 and the Piotroski F-Score is 6/9, both consistent with a sound balance sheet posture. Debt rose from $780.2M to $850.0M across the reported periods while revenue grew from $2778.6M to $2970.8M. Cash of $321.9M against $850.0M of debt and a Debt/Equity ratio of 1.2 defines the leverage profile.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Per the recent news feed, six items reference IBP. The headlines flag a "Weakness And Valuation Prevent An Upgrade" view (Seeking Alpha, marked GREEN), a "May Be 24% Undervalued After Q2 Sales Growth" view (Yahoo Finance, GREEN), and a "Stock Up 4.0%" item (GuruFocus, YELLOW). Several items are generic market-wire pages with no substantive catalyst content. Per the butterfly supply-chain graph, the supply chain is recorded as "NONE," with no butterfly links and no proprietary signals. Watch items are the conflicting analyst-style framings (undervalued versus valuation-constrained) and the reported Q2 sales growth referenced in headlines, which the source data does not otherwise quantify.

Butterfly Effect: 2nd-Order Supply-Chain & Sector Ripples

Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, the supply chain is recorded as "NONE," with no upstream or downstream links and no sector-correlation edges provided. Not available in source data: specific upstream suppliers, downstream customers, and second-order bottlenecks. The Consumer Discretionary / Homebuilding classification is the only sector context available, and the rating's Macro Regime Fit pillar (7/20, beta 1.05) is the closest available proxy for sector sensitivity.

Open Questions

  • What are the specific product lines, customers, and revenue drivers behind the reported Q2 sales growth referenced in the news feed?
  • What are the EPS figures for FY 2023 through FY 2025, which are recorded as N/A in the financials?
  • What caused the increase in debt from $780.2M to $850.0M, and what is the associated interest and maturity profile?
  • What are the identities and sizes of the 13F institutional holders and the Form 4 insider transactions behind the insider conviction score?
  • What is the upstream and downstream supply-chain exposure, given that the butterfly graph records no links?

IBP Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Installed Building Products Inc. (IBP) β€’ Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

πŸ’¬ Jump to IBP Debate Forum (3) ↓
πŸ”₯ THE ROAR PIT β€’ LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

IBP Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board β€” What's Your Call at $213.35?

πŸ‚ 50% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON IBP 🐻 50% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on IBP:
πŸ’‘ Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk βš–οΈ DEBATE HOST 🎯 Target: $229.21 (+8.0%)
πŸ“Œ Pinned Debate

πŸ”₯ Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is IBP (C+ β€’ RQD 67/100) a Buy at $212.23?

Welcome to the IBP (Installed Building Products Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 67/100 (Roarable Hold β€” Upper Neutral / Watch for Breakout) in Homebuilding. Bulls point to capital efficiency (24.7% ROIC), while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (πŸ‚ Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

VA ValDiscipline Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $174.03 (-18.0%)
Spot @ $212.23

Pump the brakes on IBP β€” check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on IBP, but look at what you are paying: 21.3x trailing P/E with 34.0% gross margins. Unless Installed Building Products Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

TA TapeReader_Pro Verified K Arena Trader πŸ‚ BULLISH 🎯 Target: $246.19 (+16.0%)
Spot @ $212.23

IBP cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on IBP, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Homebuilding and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $212.23 (52-wk range $176.15 - $349.00), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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