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Why ICFI Stock surged +3.18% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

$98.52 +3.18% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $99.32

ICF International Inc. (ICFI) earns a Roarable Rating of B (Buy) with 74/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (37.2% gross margin, 8% return on capital) with steady institutional support. The company’s underlying cash engine and institutional positioning keep the composite score in the Green Buy zone.

ROARABLE B • BUY Cap $1.71B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on ICFI Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is ICFI stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
▼

As of 2026-11-03, ICF International Inc. (NASDAQ: ICFI) is rated B (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 74/100 at a spot price of $98.52 (+3.18% 1D, market cap $1.71B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 16/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 16/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 16/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, ICFI ranks #82 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does ICFI compare to ASTH and AMN in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
▼

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Professional Services), ICFI carries a Roarable B (74/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 18.7x, gross margin of 37.2%, and ROIC of 8.1%. By comparison, ASTH (Astrana Health Inc.) holds a D+ grade (57/100 RQD, P/E 75.7x, ROIC 4.6%, cap $1.81B) and AMN (AMN Healthcare Services Inc) posts a D+ grade (56/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -7.2%, cap $1.82B). Among the 5-stock peer group, EFOR leads on earnings multiple (13.4x) while ICFI leads on capital efficiency (8.1% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ICFI?
▼

Per ICFI's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001362004), ICF International Inc. generated $1.87B in revenue (-7.3% YoY), $92.0M in net income, and $141.9M in free cash flow against $2.05B in total assets and $401.4M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $99.32 (+0.81%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 13/20 (C) • 7.6% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 74/100 (B) historically ranked in the Top 12% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+7.3% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 69.4% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERBUY • B
025507510074
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw B · Rk B
Cash (13)Whales (16)SEC (13)Macro (16)CEO (16)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+7.2% Base Target
$125 Bull$106 Base$81 Bear
📬 FREE ICFI RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for ICFI)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±5.7%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (74/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY ICFI SCORES 74/100 (B) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+16/20 pts (22% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±5.7% realized swing band)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+16/20 pts (22% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 99% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 69.4 (BULLISH MOMENTUM)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk13/20 pts (-7 pt drag)

Balance-sheet & 10-K footnote risk deducts 7 pts from forensic ceiling

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
66
Grade B-$87.44+2.7% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
69
Grade B-$89.78+6.2% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
71
Grade B$95.39+3.3% Next Q
Current
74
Grade B$98.52+7.3% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: B- (66) → B (74)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the ICFI Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 74/100 (B) score, ICFI faces multiple-compression risk if 18.7x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 34.7% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($88.10) or 200D SMA ($78.83) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($105.61) toward Bear Floor ($80.79).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $ICFI• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “ICFI Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →

Why ICFI Stock surged +3.18% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

ICF International Inc. (ICFI) surged +3.18% to $98.52, trading at 99% of its 52-week range ($58.83 – $98.52). High-quality cash engine (37.2% gross margin, 8% return on capital) with steady institutional support.

  • ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 99% of its 52-week range ($58.83 – $98.52) with RSI-14 at 69.4 (BULLISH MOMENTUM).
  • ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±5.7% around $98.52 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
  • ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable B (Buy) backed by 37.2% gross margin and $141.9M annual free cash flow.
Live ICFI Headlines & Catalysts
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk

Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (ICFI Tape Review)

  • ✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
  • ✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
  • ✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
ICFI // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +34.19%▲ ASCENDING CHANNEL
2026-11-03O $95.84H $98.52L $95.48C $98.52VOL 261.3K
RES: $115.0SUP: $83.51SMA50: $88.10SMA200: $78.83
$101.3$89.79$78.28$66.77$55.26RES $115.0SUP $83.51$98.522026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

ICFI Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
12.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -7.3% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on ICFI today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for ICFI. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for ICFI today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (ICFI)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #82 of 1009 ⚔️ ASTH vs ICFI Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (ICFI vs. ASTH, AMN, NSP, EFOR)

Industry: Professional Services (48 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, ICF International Inc. (ICFI) ranks #82 by composite RQD confidence (74/100, grade B) and #433 by equity capitalization ($1.71B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, EFOR leads on earnings valuation at 13.4x trailing P/E, while ICFI leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 8.1% ROIC and 37.2% gross margin. ICFI currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 74/100 (B).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
ICFI ACTIVE
ICF International Inc.
B 74/100 18.7x 37.2% 8.1% +3.18% $1.71B Benchmark Subject
ASTH
Astrana Health Inc.
D+ 57/100 75.7x — 4.6% +0.96% $1.81B /asth-vs-icfi →
AMN
AMN Healthcare Services Inc
D+ 56/100 — 28.3% -7.2% -2.84% $1.82B /amn-vs-icfi →
NSP
Insperity Inc.
E 31/100 — 13.2% -8.9% +9.24% $1.85B /nsp-vs-icfi →
EFOR
Everforth Inc.
B- 71/100 13.4x 28.9% 6.5% -1.78% $1.57B /efor-vs-icfi →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001362004 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), ICF International Inc. (ICFI) reported GAAP revenue of $1.87B (-7.3% vs. FY2024 revenue of $2.02B , and -4.6% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $92.0M, operating cash flow of $141.9M, and free cash flow of $141.9M (-17.3% YoY). On the balance sheet, ICFI closed FY2025 with $2.05B in total assets against $401.4M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 2.87, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $1.87B $92.0M $141.9M $141.9M $2.05B $401.4M
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $2.02B $110.0M $171.5M $171.5M $2.07B $411.7M
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $1.96B $83.0M $152.4M $152.4M — —

3. ICFI Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is ICFI stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, ICF International Inc. (NASDAQ: ICFI) is rated B (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 74/100 at a spot price of $98.52 (+3.18% 1D, market cap $1.71B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 16/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 16/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 16/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, ICFI ranks #82 in composite RQD confidence.

How does ICFI compare to ASTH and AMN in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Professional Services), ICFI carries a Roarable B (74/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 18.7x, gross margin of 37.2%, and ROIC of 8.1%. By comparison, ASTH (Astrana Health Inc.) holds a D+ grade (57/100 RQD, P/E 75.7x, ROIC 4.6%, cap $1.81B) and AMN (AMN Healthcare Services Inc) posts a D+ grade (56/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -7.2%, cap $1.82B). Among the 5-stock peer group, EFOR leads on earnings multiple (13.4x) while ICFI leads on capital efficiency (8.1% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ICFI?

Per ICFI's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001362004), ICF International Inc. generated $1.87B in revenue (-7.3% YoY), $92.0M in net income, and $141.9M in free cash flow against $2.05B in total assets and $401.4M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is ICFI trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

ICFI last traded at $98.52 (+3.18% on volume of 306,917 shares), positioning the stock +11.83% above its 50-day simple moving average ($88.10) and +24.98% above its 200-day simple moving average ($78.83). Across its 52-week range of $58.83 to $98.03, ICFI sits at the 100.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 69.4 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±5.7% ($92.90 to $104.14).

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 74/100 (B) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

ICFI — ICF International Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

ICF International Inc. (ICFI) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 74/100, corresponding to a B letter grade (Roarable Buy) at a spot price of $98.52 (+3.18% 1D, market capitalization $1.71B).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (13/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 8.1%, gross margin of 37.2%, operating margin of 7.8%, and free cash flow yield of 8.25%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (16/20) + Insider Conviction (16/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (16/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (13/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 2.87, Piotroski F-Score of 7/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.39x.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Sector: Consumer Discretionary. Industry: Professional Services. Exchange: NASDAQ. ICF International Inc. Is a NASDAQ-listed issuer operating in Professional Services with a market capitalization of $1.7B. — The source does not describe the company's products, customers, or revenue model beyond this classification.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), ICF International Inc. (ICFI) reported $1.87B in annual revenue (up from $2.02B in FY2024, -7.3% YoY) and $92.0M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($1.96B revenue, $83.0M net income) through FY2025, ICFI scaled operating cash flow to $141.9M and free cash flow to $141.9M, backed by $2.05B in total assets against $401.4M in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (B • RQD 74/100): Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side. Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 13/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 16/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $58.83 – $98.03 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run. Investors must weigh 18.7x trailing P/E and 14.5x EV/EBITDA against 7.8% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

No upstream or downstream links are recorded, and no proprietary signals are present. — for upstream/downstream dependencies, sector correlations, or 2nd-order bottlenecks. A careful reader should note that the absence of recorded links reflects the limits of the source, not confirmed independence.

  • Key Question #1: Can ICFI sustain or expand its 7.8% operating margin and 8.1% ROIC against Professional Services peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $1.87B and free cash flow of $141.9M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $401.4M in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is ICFI's 17.4x forward P/E multiple to Consumer Discretionary capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

ICFI Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for ICF International Inc. (ICFI) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to ICFI Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

ICFI Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $98.52?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON ICFI 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on ICFI:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
MI MidwestValue RQD DEBATE OPENER • Fundamental Long-Only 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $109.80 (+15.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

The RQD rating of 73 (B) is supported by a 8.25% FCF yield, a forensic balance sheet score of 13/20 with Altman Z 2.87 and Piotroski F

The RQD rating of 73 (B) is supported by a 8.25% FCF yield, a forensic balance sheet score of 13/20 with Altman Z 2.87 and Piotroski F 7/9, and strong insider and whale flow scores of 16/20 each.. When you look under the hood at ICFI, Fundamental Cash Engine is 13/20 with 37.2% gross margins and 8.1% ROIC. Bears are staring in the rearview mirror while institutional 13F flow (16/20) has been quietly accumulating below $98.03. My 12M target is $109.80.

SectorRotator 🐂 BULL

@MidwestValue Agree on the RQD 74/100 quality, though with 1.0 beta I'm scaling in with half-size at $95.48 and keeping dry powder in case we test $88.80.

MU MultipleCompression RQD DEBATE OPENER • Valuation Discipline 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $76.38 (-20.0%)
Spot @ $95.48

Reported revenue fell from $2.02B in FY 2024 to $1.87B in FY 2025, operating income declined from $165.8M to $145.5M, and cash of $

Fading this rally in ICFI at $95.48. Reported revenue fell from $2.02B in FY 2024 to $1.87B in FY 2025, operating income declined from $165.8M to $145.5M, and cash of $5.3M sits against debt of $401.4M.. With a beta of 1.0 and the stock sitting at $95.48 (52-wk range $58.83–$98.03), the easy multiple expansion is already priced in.

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