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VLN (21) QUIK (24) GSIT (27) ALMU (30) ⌘ Pro Terminal β†’

Intchains Group Limited (ICG) Dividend Safety Gauge & 10-Year DRIP Compounder

$1.39 +10.32% NASDAQ β€’ Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.41

Intchains Group Limited (ICG) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 37/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D- β€’ RED ALERT Cap $167.9M
πŸ“€ Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚑ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW β€’ $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on ICG Below β€” or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
πŸ€– Mara Quenwick β€’ AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is ICG stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
β–Ό

As of 2026-11-03, Intchains Group Limited (NASDAQ: ICG) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 37/100 at a spot price of $1.39 (+10.32% 1D, market cap $167.9M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 9/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 10/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 7/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 3/20. Across 715 tracked Technology issuers, ICG ranks #499 in composite RQD confidence.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Ellis Vennor β€’ AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does ICG compare to VLN and QUIK in the Technology sector?
β–Ό

Within the Technology sector (Semiconductors), ICG carries a Roarable D- (37/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 7.2%, and ROIC of -11.0%. By comparison, VLN (Valens Semiconductor Ltd.) holds a E grade (21/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -34.9%, cap $155.8M) and QUIK (QuickLogic Corporation) posts a E grade (24/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $152.6M). Among the 5-stock peer group, ICG leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while ICG leads on capital efficiency (-11.0% ROIC).

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Gideon Ashmere β€’ AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ICG?
β–Ό

Per ICG's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001895597), Intchains Group Limited generated $31.6M in revenue (-18.2% YoY), -$6.8M in net income, and -$14.0M in free cash flow against $145.8M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists β€” not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
πŸ›‘οΈ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.41 (+1.67%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)βš™οΈ Cash Engine: 9/20 (D) β€’ 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit β†’
πŸ“Š Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (37/100 Β· D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-8.1% avg 90D alpha vs SPY β€’ 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record β†’
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT β€’ D-
025507510037
3-of-3 Quant Analysts Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) β€” not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR RQD RADARRw D- Β· Rk D-
Cash (9)Whales (10)SEC (8)Macro (7)CEO (3)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-9.4% Base Target
$2 Bull$1 Base$1 Bear
πŸ“¬ FREE ICG RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot on file for ICG)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: Β±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (37/100 Composite)
πŸ” WHY ICG SCORES 37/100 (D-) β€” TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
β–² #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+10/20 pts (27% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (Β±12.5% realized swing band)

β–² #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+9/20 pts (24% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0% FCF Margin ($0 FCF) & 7.2% Gross Margin

β–Ό #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

πŸ“ˆ PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 β†’ Q2 β†’ Q3 β†’ Current
Q1 (-3Q)
29
Grade E$1.33+3.8% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
32
Grade E$1.38+1.4% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
34
Grade E$1.40-0.7% Next Q
Current
37
Grade D-$1.39-8.1% Hist 90D Ξ±
Trajectory: E (29) β†’ D- (37)Full Audit β†’
βš”οΈ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

βš”οΈ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a ICG Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk β†’

While ICG currently carries a cautious 37/100 (D-) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($1.10) and Max Pain ($1.46) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $2.39.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $ICGβ€’ $4.8M Crowd Pool β€’ Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: β€œICG Beats Next Quarterly Revenue & EPS Consensus + Hyperscaler AI CapEx Holds Record Pace”
YES 37%NO 63%Trade / Inspect Odds β†’
CASH DIVIDEND + BUYBACK YIELD
0.6% Total Yield
0% Cash ($0.00/yr) + 0.6% Buybacks
PAYOUT SAFETY SPEEDOMETER
74/100 β€’ REINVESTING IN GROWTH + BUYBACKS
FREE CASH FLOW PAYOUT RATIO
0% (100% Reinvested)
Retains cash flow for R&D and share repurchases
INTERACTIVE DRIP & SHAREHOLDER-YIELD COMPOUNDER (5.5% EST. ANNUAL)

$10,000 Compounded Over 10 Years β†’ $17,081

Est. Year-10 Shareholder Yield: $102/yr
$10.6K
Yr 1
$11.1K
Yr 2
$11.7K
Yr 3
$12.4K
Yr 4
$13.1K
Yr 5
$13.8K
Yr 6
$14.5K
Yr 7
$15.3K
Yr 8
$16.2K
Yr 9
$17.1K
Yr 10
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP β€’ SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring ICG)

  • βœ“Walkthrough of ICG's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • βœ“3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • βœ“Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
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ICG // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +9.45%β–² ASCENDING CHANNEL
2026-11-04O $1.26H $1.39L $1.26C $1.39VOL 578.8K
RES: $1.56SUP: $0.96SMA50: $1.10SMA200: $1.14
$1.77$1.45$1.13$0.82$0.50RES $1.56SUP $0.96$1.392026-05-052026-06-182026-08-052026-09-212026-11-04
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

ICG Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

πŸ¦‹ ICG Butterfly Map β†’ + Track ICG β†’
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -18.2% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on ICG today. View full Setup Ledger β†’

πŸ¦‹ Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph β†’

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for ICG. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for ICG today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk β†’
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT β€’ SEC EDGAR XBRL Γ— RQD PEER BENCHMARK

πŸ“Š Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (ICG)

Technology Rank #499 of 715 βš”οΈ VLN vs ICG Full Matrix β†’

1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (ICG vs. VLN, QUIK, GSIT, ALMU)

Industry: Semiconductors (95 Tracked Issuers)

Across 715 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Intchains Group Limited (ICG) ranks #499 by composite RQD confidence (37/100, grade D-) and #483 by equity capitalization ($167.9M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, ICG leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while ICG leads on capital efficiency and profitability with -11.0% ROIC and 7.2% gross margin. ICG currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 37/100 (D-).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
ICG ACTIVE
Intchains Group Limited
D- 37/100 β€” 7.2% -11.0% +10.32% $167.9M Benchmark Subject
VLN
Valens Semiconductor Ltd.
E 21/100 β€” 62.4% -34.9% -1.99% $155.8M /vln-vs-icg β†’
QUIK
QuickLogic Corporation
E 24/100 β€” 22.0% -35.0% -4.80% $152.6M /quik-vs-icg β†’
GSIT
GSI Technology
E 27/100 β€” 54.5% -35.0% -3.16% $147.4M /gsit-vs-icg β†’
ALMU
Aeluma Inc.
E 30/100 β€” 59.6% -21.8% -0.26% $145.2M /almu-vs-icg β†’

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K β€’ FILED 2025-12-31 β€’ CIK 0001895597 β†—

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Intchains Group Limited (ICG) reported GAAP revenue of $31.6M (-18.2% vs. FY2024 revenue of $38.6M , and +172.7% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$6.8M, operating cash flow of -$13.3M, and free cash flow of -$14.0M (+31.3% YoY). On the balance sheet, ICG closed FY2025 with $145.8M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 17.30, Piotroski F-Score: 1/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $31.6M -$6.8M -$13.3M -$14.0M $145.8M β€”
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $38.6M $7.1M -$18.9M -$20.3M $149.3M β€”
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $11.6M -$3.8M -$665.0K -$665.0K β€” β€”

3. ICG Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

βœ“ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is ICG stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Intchains Group Limited (NASDAQ: ICG) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 37/100 at a spot price of $1.39 (+10.32% 1D, market cap $167.9M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 9/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 10/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 7/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 3/20. Across 715 tracked Technology issuers, ICG ranks #499 in composite RQD confidence.

How does ICG compare to VLN and QUIK in the Technology sector?

Within the Technology sector (Semiconductors), ICG carries a Roarable D- (37/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 7.2%, and ROIC of -11.0%. By comparison, VLN (Valens Semiconductor Ltd.) holds a E grade (21/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -34.9%, cap $155.8M) and QUIK (QuickLogic Corporation) posts a E grade (24/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $152.6M). Among the 5-stock peer group, ICG leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while ICG leads on capital efficiency (-11.0% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ICG?

Per ICG's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001895597), Intchains Group Limited generated $31.6M in revenue (-18.2% YoY), -$6.8M in net income, and -$14.0M in free cash flow against $145.8M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is ICG trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

ICG last traded at $1.39 (+10.32% on volume of 578,769 shares), positioning the stock +26.36% above its 50-day simple moving average ($1.10) and +21.93% above its 200-day simple moving average ($1.14). Across its 52-week range of $0.60 to $2.28, ICG sits at the 47.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 59.0 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of Β±12.5% ($1.22 to $1.56).

Direct Sub-Reports: ICG RQD Cockpit ICG 12M Forecast ICG Earnings & Move ICG Dividends & DRIP ICG Insiders & 13F ICG Whale Options ICG Profit Sankey ICG News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF β€’ RQD 37/100 (D-) βœ“ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

ICG β€” Intchains Group Limited: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Intchains Group Limited (ICG) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 37/100, corresponding to a D- letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $1.39 (+10.32% 1D, market capitalization $167.9M).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (9/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of -11.0%, gross margin of 7.2%, operating margin of -47.4%, and free cash flow yield of -8.56%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (10/20) + Insider Conviction (3/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (7/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (8/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 17.30, Piotroski F-Score of 1/9, and Debt/Equity of N/A.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Is a NASDAQ-listed issuer in the Technology sector and Semiconductors industry.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Intchains Group Limited (ICG) reported $31.6M in annual revenue (up from $38.6M in FY2024, -18.2% YoY) and -$6.8M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($11.6M revenue, -$3.8M net income) through FY2025, ICG scaled operating cash flow to -$13.3M and free cash flow to -$14.0M, backed by $145.8M in total assets against $0 in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • πŸ‚ Primary Bull Case (D- β€’ RQD 37/100): Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of -8.56% and institutional whale pillar of 10/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 9/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 10/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $0.60 – $2.28 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh current valuation against -47.4% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Operating in Semiconductors (Technology), ICG carries a macro regime beta of 1.00 and gross margin of 7.2%.

  • Key Question #1: Can ICG sustain or expand its -47.4% operating margin and -11.0% ROIC against Semiconductors peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $31.6M and free cash flow of -$14.0M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $0 in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is ICG's equity valuation to Technology capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

ICG Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Intchains Group Limited (ICG) β€’ Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

πŸ’¬ Jump to ICG Debate Forum (3) ↓
🟑 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance β€’ 34d ago
Total Voting Rights

ICG plc (the β€œCompany”) 1 October 2026 Total Voting Rights In accordance with the FCA's Disclosure Guidance and Transparency Rule 5.6.1R, the Company announces as follows. At the close of business on the 30 September 202

Read Full Source β†—
🟒 CATALYST Yahoo Finance β€’ 64d ago
Total Voting Rights and Transaction in Own Shares

1 September 2026 ICG plc (the β€œCompany”) Total Voting Rights and Transaction in Own Shares The Company announces that in the period from 24 August 2026 to 28 August 2026, in accordance with the terms of its share buyback

Read Full Source β†—
🟑 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance β€’ 75d ago
Intchains Group H1 Earnings Call Highlights

Intchains Group (NASDAQ:ICG) reported first-half 2026 revenue of RMB 11.1 million as demand for its products remained soft and was further affected by PRC restrictions on mining-machine sales announced in February. The c

Read Full Source β†—
πŸ”₯ THE ROAR PIT β€’ LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

ICG Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board β€” What's Your Call at $1.39?

πŸ‚ 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON ICG 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on ICG:
πŸ’‘ Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
MI MidwestValue RQD DEBATE OPENER β€’ Fundamental Long-Only πŸ‚ BULLISH 🎯 Target: $1.45 (+15.1%)
πŸ“Œ Pinned Debate

Solvency is strong on an Altman Z-Score of 17.3 and institutional flow scores 13/20, the highest of the five pillars.

Solvency is strong on an Altman Z-Score of 17.3 and institutional flow scores 13/20, the highest of the five pillars.. When you look under the hood at ICG, Fundamental Cash Engine is 9/20 with 7.2% gross margins and -11.0% ROIC. Bears are staring in the rearview mirror while institutional 13F flow (10/20) has been quietly accumulating below $2.28. My 12M target is $1.45.

ArenaChamp_24 πŸ‚ BULL

@MidwestValue Agree on the RQD 37/100 quality, though with 1.0 beta I'm scaling in with half-size at $1.26 and keeping dry powder in case we test $1.17.

MU MultipleCompression RQD DEBATE OPENER β€’ Valuation Discipline 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $1.05 (-16.7%)
Spot @ $1.26

Negative ROIC of -11% and FCF yield of -8.56% leave no cash-based support, and the Piotroski F-Score of 1/9 and insider score of 3/20 a

Fading this rally in ICG at $1.26. Negative ROIC of -11% and FCF yield of -8.56% leave no cash-based support, and the Piotroski F-Score of 1/9 and insider score of 3/20 are weak.. With a beta of 1.0 and the stock sitting at $1.26 (52-wk range $0.60–$2.28), the easy multiple expansion is already priced in.

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