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Ichor Holdings (ICHR) Dividend Safety Gauge & 10-Year DRIP Compounder

$36.84 -5.30% NASDAQ β€’ Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $36.42

Ichor Holdings (ICHR) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 32/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE E β€’ RED ALERT Cap $1.46B
πŸ“€ Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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πŸ€– Mara Quenwick β€’ AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is ICHR stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
β–Ό

As of 2026-11-03, Ichor Holdings (NASDAQ: ICHR) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 32/100 at a spot price of $36.84 (-5.30% 1D, market cap $1.46B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 7/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 4/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 4/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 3/20. Across 715 tracked Technology issuers, ICHR ranks #560 in composite RQD confidence.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Ellis Vennor β€’ AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does ICHR compare to PLAB and SHLS in the Technology sector?
β–Ό

Within the Technology sector (Semiconductors), ICHR carries a Roarable E (32/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 9.3%, and ROIC of -4.5%. By comparison, PLAB (Photronics Inc.) holds a D+ grade (57/100 RQD, P/E 12.6x, ROIC 24.6%, cap $1.63B) and SHLS (Shoals Technologies Group Inc. (Class A)) posts a D- grade (36/100 RQD, P/E 37.8x, ROIC 7.5%, cap $1.21B). Among the 5-stock peer group, PLAB leads on earnings multiple (12.6x) while PLAB leads on capital efficiency (24.6% ROIC).

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Gideon Ashmere β€’ AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ICHR?
β–Ό

Per ICHR's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-26, CIK 0001652535), Ichor Holdings generated $947.7M in revenue (+11.6% YoY), -$52.8M in net income, and -$6.3M in free cash flow against $942.9M in total assets and $117.3M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists β€” not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
πŸ›‘οΈ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $36.42 (-1.14%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)βš™οΈ Cash Engine: 7/20 (D-) β€’ 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit β†’
πŸ“Š Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (32/100 Β· E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-9.2% avg 90D alpha vs SPY β€’ 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record β†’
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT β€’ E
025507510032
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) β€” not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E Β· Rk D
Cash (7)Whales (4)SEC (14)Macro (4)CEO (3)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-11.7% Base Target
$119 Bull$33 Base$25 Bear
πŸ“¬ FREE ICHR RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot on file for ICHR)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: Β±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (32/100 Composite)
πŸ” WHY ICHR SCORES 32/100 (E) β€” TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
β–² #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+14/20 pts (44% of score)

Altman Z-Score 4.84 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) β€’ Piotroski F-Score 5/9

β–² #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+7/20 pts (22% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0% FCF Margin ($0 FCF) & 9.3% Gross Margin

β–Ό #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

πŸ“ˆ PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 β†’ Q2 β†’ Q3 β†’ Current
Q1 (-3Q)
40
Grade D$51.57-18.1% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
37
Grade E$42.23-3.5% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
35
Grade E$40.75-9.6% Next Q
Current
32
Grade E$36.84-9.2% Hist 90D Ξ±
Trajectory: D (40) β†’ E (32)Full Audit β†’
βš”οΈ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

βš”οΈ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a ICHR Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk β†’

While ICHR currently carries a cautious 32/100 (E) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($52.36) and Max Pain ($38.68) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $119.26.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $ICHRβ€’ $4.8M Crowd Pool β€’ Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: β€œICHR Beats Next Quarterly Revenue & EPS Consensus + Hyperscaler AI CapEx Holds Record Pace”
CASH DIVIDEND + BUYBACK YIELD
0.6% Total Yield
0% Cash ($0.00/yr) + 0.6% Buybacks
PAYOUT SAFETY SPEEDOMETER
74/100 β€’ REINVESTING IN GROWTH + BUYBACKS
FREE CASH FLOW PAYOUT RATIO
0% (100% Reinvested)
Retains cash flow for R&D and share repurchases
INTERACTIVE DRIP & SHAREHOLDER-YIELD COMPOUNDER (7% EST. ANNUAL)

$10,000 Compounded Over 10 Years β†’ $19,672

Est. Year-10 Shareholder Yield: $118/yr
$10.7K
Yr 1
$11.4K
Yr 2
$12.3K
Yr 3
$13.1K
Yr 4
$14.0K
Yr 5
$15.0K
Yr 6
$16.1K
Yr 7
$17.2K
Yr 8
$18.4K
Yr 9
$19.7K
Yr 10
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP β€’ SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring ICHR)

  • βœ“Walkthrough of ICHR's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • βœ“3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • βœ“Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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ICHR // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -47.16%πŸ›‘οΈ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-11-03O $42.43H $42.43L $36.84C $36.84VOL 932.5K
RES: $60.72SUP: $33.98SMA50: $52.36SMA200: $60.98
$119.5$95.10$70.73$46.36$22.00RES $60.72SUP $33.98$36.842026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

ICHR Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +11.6% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on ICHR today. View full Setup Ledger β†’

πŸ¦‹ Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph β†’

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for ICHR. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for ICHR today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk β†’
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT β€’ SEC EDGAR XBRL Γ— RQD PEER BENCHMARK

πŸ“Š Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (ICHR)

1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (ICHR vs. PLAB, SHLS, WOLF, AMBQ)

Industry: Semiconductors (95 Tracked Issuers)

Across 715 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Ichor Holdings (ICHR) ranks #560 by composite RQD confidence (32/100, grade E) and #325 by equity capitalization ($1.46B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, PLAB leads on earnings valuation at 12.6x trailing P/E, while PLAB leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 24.6% ROIC and 35.3% gross margin. PLAB currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 57/100 (D+) compared with ICHR at 32/100 (E).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
ICHR ACTIVE
Ichor Holdings
E 32/100 β€” 9.3% -4.5% -5.30% $1.46B Benchmark Subject
PLAB
Photronics Inc.
D+ 57/100 12.6x 35.3% 24.6% -0.65% $1.63B /plab-vs-ichr β†’
SHLS
Shoals Technologies Group Inc. (Class A)
D- 36/100 37.8x 35.0% 7.5% +5.56% $1.21B /shls-vs-ichr β†’
WOLF
Wolfspeed Inc.
D- 37/100 β€” β€” 0.7% -5.14% $1.16B /wolf-vs-ichr β†’
AMBQ
Ambiq Micro Inc.
E 33/100 β€” 44.3% -35.0% -9.34% $1.16B /ambq-vs-ichr β†’

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K β€’ FILED 2025-12-26 β€’ CIK 0001652535 β†—

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-26), Ichor Holdings (ICHR) reported GAAP revenue of $947.7M (+11.6% vs. FY2024 revenue of $849.0M , and +16.8% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$52.8M, operating cash flow of $29.9M, and free cash flow of -$6.3M (-161.3% YoY). On the balance sheet, ICHR closed FY2025 with $942.9M in total assets against $117.3M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 4.84, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-26 $947.7M -$52.8M $29.9M -$6.3M $942.9M $117.3M
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-27 $849.0M -$20.8M $27.9M $10.2M $995.6M $121.0M
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-29 $811.1M -$43.0M $57.6M $57.6M β€” β€”

3. ICHR Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

βœ“ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is ICHR stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Ichor Holdings (NASDAQ: ICHR) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 32/100 at a spot price of $36.84 (-5.30% 1D, market cap $1.46B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 7/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 4/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 4/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 3/20. Across 715 tracked Technology issuers, ICHR ranks #560 in composite RQD confidence.

How does ICHR compare to PLAB and SHLS in the Technology sector?

Within the Technology sector (Semiconductors), ICHR carries a Roarable E (32/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 9.3%, and ROIC of -4.5%. By comparison, PLAB (Photronics Inc.) holds a D+ grade (57/100 RQD, P/E 12.6x, ROIC 24.6%, cap $1.63B) and SHLS (Shoals Technologies Group Inc. (Class A)) posts a D- grade (36/100 RQD, P/E 37.8x, ROIC 7.5%, cap $1.21B). Among the 5-stock peer group, PLAB leads on earnings multiple (12.6x) while PLAB leads on capital efficiency (24.6% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ICHR?

Per ICHR's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-26, CIK 0001652535), Ichor Holdings generated $947.7M in revenue (+11.6% YoY), -$52.8M in net income, and -$6.3M in free cash flow against $942.9M in total assets and $117.3M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is ICHR trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

ICHR last traded at $36.84 (-5.30% on volume of 1,390,954 shares), positioning the stock -29.64% below its 50-day simple moving average ($52.36) and -39.59% below its 200-day simple moving average ($60.98). Across its 52-week range of $14.06 to $113.58, ICHR sits at the 22.9% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 36.1 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of Β±12.5% ($32.23 to $41.45).

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF β€’ RQD 32/100 (E) βœ“ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

ICHR β€” Ichor Holdings: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-26

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Ichor Holdings (ICHR) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 32/100, corresponding to a E letter grade (Roarable Strong Sell) at a spot price of $36.84 (-5.30% 1D, market capitalization $1.46B).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (7/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of -4.5%, gross margin of 9.3%, operating margin of -4.1%, and free cash flow yield of -0.40%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (4/20) + Insider Conviction (3/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (4/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (14/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 4.84, Piotroski F-Score of 5/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.18x.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Ichor Holdings (ICHR) is a NASDAQ-listed issuer in the Technology sector, operating in the Semiconductors industry. The profile reports a market capitalization of $1.6B. The company reported revenue of $947.7M in FY 2025.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-26), Ichor Holdings (ICHR) reported $947.7M in annual revenue (up from $849.0M in FY2024, +11.6% YoY) and -$52.8M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($811.1M revenue, -$43.0M net income) through FY2025, ICHR scaled operating cash flow to $29.9M and free cash flow to -$6.3M, backed by $942.9M in total assets against $117.3M in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • πŸ‚ Primary Bull Case (E β€’ RQD 32/100): Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of -0.40% and institutional whale pillar of 4/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 7/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 4/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $14.06 – $113.58 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh current valuation against -4.1% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

No upstream or downstream links are recorded, and no proprietary signals are present. Sector correlations and second-order bottlenecks cannot be mapped from the source data. Investors should note that the absence of mapped links means the source offers no basis for assessing ripple effects through suppliers or customers.

  • Key Question #1: Can ICHR sustain or expand its -4.1% operating margin and -4.5% ROIC against Semiconductors peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $947.7M and free cash flow of -$6.3M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $117.3M in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is ICHR's equity valuation to Technology capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

ICHR Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Ichor Holdings (ICHR) β€’ Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

πŸ’¬ Jump to ICHR Debate Forum (3) ↓
πŸ”₯ THE ROAR PIT β€’ LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

ICHR Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board β€” What's Your Call at $36.84?

πŸ‚ 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON ICHR 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on ICHR:
πŸ’‘ Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
BR BreakoutHunter RQD DEBATE OPENER β€’ Swing & Catalyst Trader πŸ‚ BULLISH 🎯 Target: $46.68 (+20.0%)
πŸ“Œ Pinned Debate

The balance sheet is comparatively sound, with an Altman Z-Score of 4.84, a Piotroski F-Score of 5/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.18, which sc

Long ICHR at $38.90 targeting $46.68. The balance sheet is comparatively sound, with an Altman Z-Score of 4.84, a Piotroski F-Score of 5/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.18, which scores 14 of 20 and is the strongest pillar.. Institutional whale score is 4/20 and the risk/reward vs. the $14.06 52-week low is skewed heavily in favor of bulls.

EarningsSniper πŸ‚ BULL

Both sides have a point here β€” ICHR's 14/20 balance sheet score keeps downside contained, so the real swing factor next earnings call is backlog and FCF conversion.

MU MultipleCompression RQD DEBATE OPENER β€’ Valuation Discipline 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $30.34 (-22.0%)
Spot @ $38.90

Cash generation is negative, with ROIC at -4.5%, FCF yield at -0.4%, and FY 2025 free cash flow of -$6.3M, which drives a 7 of 20 funda

I respect the product at Ichor Holdings, but the stock at $38.90 is a different story. Cash generation is negative, with ROIC at -4.5%, FCF yield at -0.4%, and FY 2025 free cash flow of -$6.3M, which drives a 7 of 20 fundamental score.. FCF yield is -0.4% and RQD sits at 32/100 (E) β€” why pay up here when you can wait for next quarter's numbers?

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