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Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / ICON / forecast
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Icon Energy Corp. (ICON) 12-Month Stock Forecast & Price Target Cone

$1.02 -0.97% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.02

Icon Energy Corp. (ICON) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 44/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $3.9M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on ICON Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is ICON stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
▼

As of 2026-11-03, Icon Energy Corp. (NASDAQ: ICON) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 44/100 at a spot price of $1.02 (-0.97% 1D, market cap $3.9M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 9/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 7/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, ICON ranks #682 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does ICON compare to TOPS and HTCO in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
▼

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Marine Transportation), ICON carries a Roarable D (44/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 0.8%. By comparison, TOPS (TOP Ships Inc.) holds a D- grade (36/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 7.6%, cap $3.7M) and HTCO (High-Trend International Group (Class A)) posts a D grade (45/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $8.9M). Among the 5-stock peer group, ICON leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while TOPS leads on capital efficiency (7.6% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ICON?
▼

Per ICON's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001995574), Icon Energy Corp. generated $504.0K in revenue (+5.9% YoY), -$4.2M in net income, and -$5.3M in free cash flow against $58.4M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.02 (-0.36%)🧬 Disciplined Float (+0.16% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 9/20 (D) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (44/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-6.5% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D
025507510044
3-of-3 Quant Analysts Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR RQD RADARRw D- · Rk D
Cash (9)Whales (9)SEC (10)Macro (9)CEO (7)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-5.9% Base Target
$8 Bull$1 Base$1 Bear
📬 FREE ICON RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for ICON)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (44/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY ICON SCORES 44/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+10/20 pts (23% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 3/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+9/20 pts (20% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0% FCF Margin ($0 FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution7/20 pts (-13 pt drag)

Disciplined Float (+0.16% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 13 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
36
Grade E$0.81+13.6% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
39
Grade E$0.92+3.3% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
41
Grade D$0.95+7.4% Next Q
Current
44
Grade D$1.02-6.5% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: E (36) → D (44)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a ICON Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While ICON currently carries a cautious 44/100 (D) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (7/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($0.95) and Max Pain ($1.07) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $8.40.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (+0.16% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $ICON• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “ICON Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 44%NO 56%Trade / Inspect Odds →
INTERACTIVE 12-MONTH POSITION SIMULATOR

Drag to Test Your ICON Position Size: $10,000

Shares at $1.02: 9803.9 sh
$1,000$10,000$25,000$50,000$100,000
12M Bear Case FloorTarget $0.75
$7,353
$-2,647 (-26.5%)
12M Consensus BaseTarget $0.96
$9,412
$-588 (-5.9%)
12M Bull Case BreakoutTarget $8.40
$82,353
+$72,353 (+723.5%)

Wall Street Analyst Breakdown & Historical Accuracy Audit (35 Desks)

Street Historical Accuracy: 64/100
● Strong Buy / Buy: 17● Hold: 9● Sell: 9
Wall Street FirmStance12M Target1Y AccuracyTrack Grade
Morgan StanleyInstitutional Equity DeskHOLD$174%A
Goldman SachsSector Coverage LeadUNDERPERFORM$869%B
JP MorganUS Large-Cap ResearchSELL$158%C
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring ICON)

  • ✓Walkthrough of ICON's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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ICON // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -12.07%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-11-03O $0.99H $1.03L $0.99C $1.02VOL 28.9K
RES: $1.04SUP: $0.72SMA50: $0.95SMA200: $1.14
$5.97$4.55$3.13$1.71$0.29RES $1.04SUP $0.72$1.022026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

ICON Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 ICON Butterfly Map → + Track ICON →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +5.9% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on ICON today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for ICON. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for ICON today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (ICON)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #682 of 1009 ⚔️ TOPS vs ICON Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (ICON vs. TOPS, HTCO, CTRM, CISS)

Industry: Marine Transportation (67 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Icon Energy Corp. (ICON) ranks #682 by composite RQD confidence (44/100, grade D) and #974 by equity capitalization ($3.9M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, ICON leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while TOPS leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 7.6% ROIC and — gross margin. HTCO currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 45/100 (D) compared with ICON at 44/100 (D).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
ICON ACTIVE
Icon Energy Corp.
D 44/100 — — 0.8% -0.97% $3.9M Benchmark Subject
TOPS
TOP Ships Inc.
D- 36/100 — — 7.6% +6.04% $3.7M /tops-vs-icon →
HTCO
High-Trend International Group (Class A)
D 45/100 — 3.2% — 0.00% $8.9M /htco-vs-icon →
CTRM
Castor Maritime Inc.
D- 40/100 — — -3.9% -0.69% $14.0M /ctrm-vs-icon →
CISS
C3is Inc.
E 27/100 — — 1.1% +1.02% $741.0K /ciss-vs-icon →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001995574 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Icon Energy Corp. (ICON) reported GAAP revenue of $504.0K (+5.9% vs. FY2024 revenue of $476.0K , and -83.7% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$4.2M, operating cash flow of $799.0K, and free cash flow of -$5.3M (+69.2% YoY). On the balance sheet, ICON closed FY2025 with $58.4M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 3/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $504.0K -$4.2M $799.0K -$5.3M $58.4M —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $476.0K -$210.0K $864.0K -$17.2M $28.8M —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $3.1M $1.2M $2.5M $2.5M — —

3. ICON Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is ICON stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Icon Energy Corp. (NASDAQ: ICON) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 44/100 at a spot price of $1.02 (-0.97% 1D, market cap $3.9M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 9/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 7/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, ICON ranks #682 in composite RQD confidence.

How does ICON compare to TOPS and HTCO in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Marine Transportation), ICON carries a Roarable D (44/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 0.8%. By comparison, TOPS (TOP Ships Inc.) holds a D- grade (36/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 7.6%, cap $3.7M) and HTCO (High-Trend International Group (Class A)) posts a D grade (45/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $8.9M). Among the 5-stock peer group, ICON leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while TOPS leads on capital efficiency (7.6% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ICON?

Per ICON's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001995574), Icon Energy Corp. generated $504.0K in revenue (+5.9% YoY), -$4.2M in net income, and -$5.3M in free cash flow against $58.4M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is ICON trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

ICON last traded at $1.02 (-0.97% on volume of 73,257 shares), positioning the stock +7.37% above its 50-day simple moving average ($0.95) and -10.53% below its 200-day simple moving average ($1.14). Across its 52-week range of $0.73 to $8.00, ICON sits at the 4.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 58.7 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($1.00 to $1.15).

Direct Sub-Reports: ICON RQD Cockpit ICON 12M Forecast ICON Earnings & Move ICON Dividends & DRIP ICON Insiders & 13F ICON Whale Options ICON Profit Sankey ICON News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 44/100 (D) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

ICON — Icon Energy Corp.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Icon Energy Corp. (ICON) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 44/100, corresponding to a D letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $1.02 (-0.97% 1D, market capitalization $3.9M).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (9/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 0.8%, gross margin of —, operating margin of —, and free cash flow yield of —.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (9/20) + Insider Conviction (7/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (9/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (10/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of N/A, Piotroski F-Score of 3/9, and Debt/Equity of N/A.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Icon Energy Corp. (ICON) is a NASDAQ-listed issuer in the Consumer Discretionary sector and Marine Transportation industry. Reported revenue is — in each of the three periods provided.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Icon Energy Corp. (ICON) reported $504.0K in annual revenue (up from $476.0K in FY2024, +5.9% YoY) and -$4.2M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($3.1M revenue, $1.2M net income) through FY2025, ICON scaled operating cash flow to $799.0K and free cash flow to -$5.3M, backed by $58.4M in total assets against $0 in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (D • RQD 44/100): Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of — and institutional whale pillar of 9/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 9/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 9/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $0.73 – $8.00 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh current valuation against — operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

The supply_chain field is NONE and butterfly_links is empty, so no upstream or downstream dependencies are mapped. Sector and industry are recorded as Consumer Discretionary and Marine Transportation. A prospective investor should watch whether the containership investment referenced in the news wire converts into reported revenue, since current reported revenue is —. Shareholder dilution, flagged in the news wire, is a second-order risk to per-share value. No sector correlation data is provided in the source material.

  • Key Question #1: Can ICON sustain or expand its — operating margin and 0.8% ROIC against Marine Transportation peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $504.0K and free cash flow of -$5.3M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $0 in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is ICON's equity valuation to Consumer Discretionary capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

ICON Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Icon Energy Corp. (ICON) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to ICON Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

ICON Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $1.02?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON ICON 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on ICON:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
DE DeepValue_CFA RQD DEBATE OPENER • Institutional Buy-Side 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $1.29 (+25.2%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Shares trade at $0.99 against a 52-week high of $8.3, and the company reported $3.9M in FY 2025 cash.

Don't sleep on ICON's setup in Consumer Discretionary. Shares trade at $0.99 against a 52-week high of $8.3, and the company reported $3.9M in FY 2025 cash.. Beta of 1.0 means it moves fast when momentum turns, and the 5-pillar RQD gauge (44/100) backs up the fundamental quality.

RetailWhale_TX 🐂 BULL

Both sides have a point here — ICON's 10/20 balance sheet score keeps downside contained, so the real swing factor next earnings call is backlog and FCF conversion.

SK SkepticalCFA RQD DEBATE OPENER • Fundamental Contrarian 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $0.88 (-14.6%)
Spot @ $1.03

Reported FCF was negative at -$5.3M in FY 2025 and -$17.2M in FY 2024, with ROIC at 0.8% and zero margins.

Sitting on the sidelines or leaning short ICON above $1.03. Reported FCF was negative at -$5.3M in FY 2025 and -$17.2M in FY 2024, with ROIC at 0.8% and zero margins.. Until Fundamental Cash Engine (9/20) and FCF yield (0.0%) inflect higher, upside is capped near $8.00.

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