Why ICU Stock dropped -3.03% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

$2.24 -3.03% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $2.22

SeaStar Medical Holding Corporation (ICU) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 31/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE E • RED ALERT Cap $12.2M
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As of 2026-11-02, SeaStar Medical Holding Corporation (NASDAQ: ICU) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 31/100 at a spot price of $2.24 (-3.03% 1D, market cap $12.2M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 4/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, Executive Insider Alignment 11/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20. Across 1016 tracked Health Care issuers, ICU ranks #829 in composite RQD confidence.

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🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does ICU compare to SINT and FEMY in the Health Care sector?
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Within the Health Care sector (Medical/Dental Instruments), ICU carries a Roarable E (31/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 95.7%, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, SINT (SiNtx Technologies Inc.) holds a E grade (33/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $13.0M) and FEMY (Femasys Inc.) posts a E grade (30/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $11.3M). Among the 5-stock peer group, ICU leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while ICU leads on capital efficiency (-35.0% ROIC).

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🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ICU?
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Per ICU's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001831868), SeaStar Medical Holding Corporation generated $1.2M in revenue (+814.1% YoY), -$12.2M in net income, and -$13.6M in free cash flow against $14.2M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

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INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $2.22 (-0.74%)🧬 Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 4/20 (E) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (31/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-9.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • E
025507510031
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Cash
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Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk D
Cash (4)Whales (3)SEC (11)Macro (8)CEO (5)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-12.1% Base Target
$6 Bull$2 Base$2 Bear
📬 FREE ICU RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for ICU)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (31/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY ICU SCORES 31/100 (E) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+11/20 pts (35% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 4/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+8/20 pts (26% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 4% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 37.1 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-16 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
39
Grade E$3.85-19.2% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
36
Grade E$3.11-20.6% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
34
Grade E$2.47-9.3% Next Q
Current
31
Grade E$2.24-9.4% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: E (39) → E (31)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a ICU Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While ICU currently carries a cautious 31/100 (E) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($3.17) and Max Pain ($2.35) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $6.30.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $ICU• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “ICU Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →

Why ICU Stock dropped -3.03% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

SeaStar Medical Holding Corporation (ICU) dropped -3.03% to $2.24, trading at 4% of its 52-week range ($2.07 – $6). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-35% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

  • ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 4% of its 52-week range ($2.07 – $6) with RSI-14 at 37.1 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
  • ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±12.5% around $2.24 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
  • ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable E (Strong Sell) backed by 95.7% gross margin and $0 annual free cash flow.
Live ICU Headlines & Catalysts
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Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring ICU)

  • ✓Walkthrough of ICU's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
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ICU // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -48.27%▼ SUPPORT BREAKDOWN
2026-11-02O $2.48H $2.48L $2.24C $2.24VOL 124.4K
RES: $5.34SUP: $2.74SMA50: $3.17SMA200: $3.33
$5.61$4.67$3.73$2.79$1.85RES $5.34SUP $2.74$2.242026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-172026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

ICU Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +180.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on ICU today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for ICU. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for ICU today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (ICU)

Health Care Rank #829 of 1016 ⚔️ SINT vs ICU Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Health Care Peer Comparison (ICU vs. SINT, FEMY, GUTS, CNSY)

Industry: Medical/Dental Instruments (120 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1016 tracked Health Care securities in the Roarable RQD universe, SeaStar Medical Holding Corporation (ICU) ranks #829 by composite RQD confidence (31/100, grade E) and #878 by equity capitalization ($12.2M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, ICU leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while ICU leads on capital efficiency and profitability with -35.0% ROIC and 95.7% gross margin. GUTS currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 34/100 (E) compared with ICU at 31/100 (E).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
ICU ACTIVE
SeaStar Medical Holding Corporation
E 31/100 — 95.7% -35.0% -3.03% $12.2M Benchmark Subject
SINT
SiNtx Technologies Inc.
E 33/100 — 45.3% -35.0% -1.16% $13.0M /sint-vs-icu →
FEMY
Femasys Inc.
E 30/100 — 62.0% -35.0% +1.11% $11.3M /femy-vs-icu →
GUTS
Fractyl Health Inc.
E 34/100 — — -35.0% -1.51% $13.2M /guts-vs-icu →
CNSY
Cerenome Inc.
E 27/100 — — -35.0% -2.30% $13.2M /cnsy-vs-icu →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001831868

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), SeaStar Medical Holding Corporation (ICU) reported GAAP revenue of $1.2M (+814.1% vs. FY2024 revenue of $135.0K ) , GAAP net income of -$12.2M, operating cash flow of -$13.6M, and free cash flow of -$13.6M (+15.0% YoY). On the balance sheet, ICU closed FY2025 with $14.2M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 4/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $1.2M -$12.2M -$13.6M -$13.6M $14.2M —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $135.0K -$24.8M -$16.0M -$16.0M $4.7M —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $0 -$26.2M -$10.3M -$10.3M — —

3. ICU Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is ICU stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, SeaStar Medical Holding Corporation (NASDAQ: ICU) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 31/100 at a spot price of $2.24 (-3.03% 1D, market cap $12.2M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 4/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, Executive Insider Alignment 11/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20. Across 1016 tracked Health Care issuers, ICU ranks #829 in composite RQD confidence.

How does ICU compare to SINT and FEMY in the Health Care sector?

Within the Health Care sector (Medical/Dental Instruments), ICU carries a Roarable E (31/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 95.7%, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, SINT (SiNtx Technologies Inc.) holds a E grade (33/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $13.0M) and FEMY (Femasys Inc.) posts a E grade (30/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $11.3M). Among the 5-stock peer group, ICU leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while ICU leads on capital efficiency (-35.0% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ICU?

Per ICU's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001831868), SeaStar Medical Holding Corporation generated $1.2M in revenue (+814.1% YoY), -$12.2M in net income, and -$13.6M in free cash flow against $14.2M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is ICU trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

ICU last traded at $2.24 (-3.03% on volume of 81,711 shares), positioning the stock -29.34% below its 50-day simple moving average ($3.17) and -32.73% below its 200-day simple moving average ($3.33). Across its 52-week range of $2.07 to $6.00, ICU sits at the 4.3% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 37.1 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($1.96 to $2.52).

ICU Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Why is ICU stock moving today?

Why ICU Stock dropped -3.03% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-35% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 31/100 (E) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

ICU — SeaStar Medical Holding Corporation: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:51:18Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, the stock scores 31 out of 100, earning a letter grade of E and the verdict label "Roarable Strong Sell — Forensic Risk / Avoid." The Fundamental Cash Engine pillar scores 4 out of 20, reflecting ROIC of -35% and an FCF yield of 0%, which indicates the business is not currently generating returns on capital or free cash flow. The Whale 13F Flow pillar scores 3 out of 20 for institutional accumulation and options positioning, a weak reading on sponsorship. The Insider Conviction pillar scores 5 out of 20 based on SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow, signaling limited insider support. The Macro Regime Fit pillar scores 8 out of 20 with a Beta of 1.0 and sector sensitivity noted. The Forensic Balance Sheet pillar scores 11 out of 20, citing an Altman Z-Score of 2.5, a Piotroski F-Score of 4/9, and a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.5. For a prospective investor, the rating frames the stock as a high-risk, low-support profile: the fundamental engine is the weakest pillar, insider and institutional signals are thin, and the forensic picture is mixed rather than distressed. Any upside case would need to rest on a turnaround in cash generation that the reported financials do not yet show.

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025$1.2M$-12.2M$-12.2MN/A$-13.6MN/AN/A
FY 2024$0.1M$-17.8M$-24.8MN/A$-16.0MN/AN/A
FY 2023$0.0M$-14.2M$-26.2MN/A$-10.3MN/AN/A

Per the SEC financials, the company has reported operating losses in each of the three periods shown, with net income negative throughout. Per the market data, operating margin is -60% and net margin is -60%, with ROIC at -35%. The Roarable RQD rating cites an Altman Z-Score of 2.5, a Piotroski F-Score of 4/9, and a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.5 as forensic inputs. Cash and debt balances are not reported in the source data.

Open Questions

  • What products does the company sell, and who are its customers, given the sparse business description in the source data?
  • What are the company's cash and debt balances, which are reported as N/A in the financial data?
  • What drove the revenue increase from $0.0M in FY 2023 to $1.2M in FY 2025, and is it recurring?
  • What is the company's path to positive operating income, given losses in every reported period?
  • What institutional or insider ownership exists, since the holders and analyst sections are empty?

ICU Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for SeaStar Medical Holding Corporation (ICU) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to ICU Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

ICU Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $2.24?

🐂 33% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON ICU 🐻 67% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on ICU:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $2.03 (-12.1%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is ICU (E • RQD 31/100) a Buy at $2.31?

Welcome to the ICU (SeaStar Medical Holding Corporation) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 31/100 (Roarable Strong Sell — Forensic Risk / Avoid) in Medical/Dental Instruments. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

RE RedlineAuditor Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $1.80 (-22.1%)
Spot @ $2.31

Pump the brakes on ICU — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on ICU, but look at what you are paying: current EV/EBITDA multiples with 95.7% gross margins. Unless SeaStar Medical Holding Corporation expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

CA CashFlowKing Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $2.89 (+25.1%)
Spot @ $2.31

ICU cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on ICU, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Medical/Dental Instruments and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $2.31 (52-wk range $2.07 - $6.00), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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