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Imperial Oil Limited (IMO) Insider, 13F Hedge Fund & Politician Buy/Sell Thermometer

$133.55 -3.29% NYSE β€’ Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $133.08

Imperial Oil Limited (IMO) earns a Roarable Rating of B- (Buy) with 71/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (steady margins, 10% return on capital) with steady institutional support. The company’s underlying cash engine and institutional positioning keep the composite score in the Green Buy zone.

ROARABLE B- β€’ BUY Cap $66.78B
πŸ“€ Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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πŸ€– Mara Quenwick β€’ AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is IMO stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
β–Ό

As of 2026-11-03, Imperial Oil Limited (NYSE: IMO) is rated B- (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 71/100 at a spot price of $133.55 (-3.29% 1D, market cap $66.78B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 17/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 14/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 12/20. Across 211 tracked Energy issuers, IMO ranks #31 in composite RQD confidence.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Ellis Vennor β€’ AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does IMO compare to SU and PSX in the Energy sector?
β–Ό

Within the Energy sector (Integrated oil Companies), IMO carries a Roarable B- (71/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 32.8x, gross margin of β€”, and ROIC of 9.9%. By comparison, SU (Suncor Energy Inc.) holds a B grade (73/100 RQD, P/E 32.8x, ROIC 9.9%, cap $92.89B) and PSX (Phillips 66) posts a C- grade (59/100 RQD, P/E 24.2x, ROIC 9.2%, cap $110.32B). Among the 5-stock peer group, PSX leads on earnings multiple (24.2x) while IMO leads on capital efficiency (9.9% ROIC).

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Gideon Ashmere β€’ AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for IMO?
β–Ό

For Imperial Oil Limited (IMO), key quantitative strengths include Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side and Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs., while primary risk factors center on Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run and implied 5-year growth hurdle of 25.3%/yr. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
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INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
πŸ›‘οΈ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $133.08 (-0.35%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares)βš™οΈ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) β€’ 15.8% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit β†’
πŸ“Š Historical Track Record: Scores of 71/100 (B-) historically ranked in the Top 14% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+6.8% avg 90D alpha vs SPY β€’ 68.4% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record β†’
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERBUY β€’ B-
025507510071
2-of-3 Quant Analysts Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) β€” not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR RQD RADARRw C+ Β· Rk B
Cash (12)Whales (17)SEC (16)Macro (14)CEO (12)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+5.8% Base Target
$167 Bull$141 Base$110 Bear
πŸ“¬ FREE IMO RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot on file for IMO)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: Β±6.8%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (71/100 Composite)
πŸ” WHY IMO SCORES 71/100 (B-) β€” TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
β–² #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+17/20 pts (24% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (Β±6.8% realized swing band)

β–² #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+16/20 pts (23% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.74 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) β€’ Piotroski F-Score 7/9

β–Ό #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution12/20 pts (-8 pt drag)

Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 8 pts from alignment

πŸ“ˆ PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 β†’ Q2 β†’ Q3 β†’ Current
Q1 (-3Q)
63
Grade C+$129.58+4.6% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
66
Grade B-$135.57-3.6% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
68
Grade B-$130.66+2.2% Next Q
Current
71
Grade B-$133.55+6.8% Hist 90D Ξ±
Trajectory: C+ (63) β†’ B- (71)Full Audit β†’
βš”οΈ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

βš”οΈ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the IMO Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk β†’

Even with a 71/100 (B-) score, IMO faces multiple-compression risk if 32.8x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares) β€” any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($129.37) or 200D SMA ($124.49) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($141.36) toward Bear Floor ($109.51).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $IMOβ€’ $2.4M Crowd Pool β€’ Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: β€œIMO Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Upcoming Quarter) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
SEC FORM 4 Γ— 13F HEDGE FUNDS Γ— CONGRESSIONAL STOCK ACT

IMO Smart-Money Thermometer: BALANCED INSTITUTIONAL POSITIONING

Explore All 13F & Congress Whales β†’
β–² Disclosed Buys: 0 ($0)β–Ό Disclosed Sales: 0 ($0)

Wide-Open SEC Form 4, 13F & Congressional Disclosure Ledger (IMO)

No recent open-market Form 4 cluster sales or emergency dumps flagged on IMO. Visit the Global 13F & Congressional Whale Ledger for cross-market smart-money filings.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP β€’ SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk

Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (IMO Tape Review)

  • βœ“Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
  • βœ“Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
  • βœ“Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
IMO // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +2.36%β–² ASCENDING TRIANGLE
2026-11-03O $130.9H $138.1L $130.9C $133.6VOL 1.05M
RES: $138.5SUP: $121.3SMA50: $129.4SMA200: $124.5
$142.1$130.9$119.7$108.5$97.33RES $138.5SUP $121.3$133.62026-05-042026-06-182026-08-052026-09-212026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

IMO Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
25.3%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -2.2% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on IMO today. View full Setup Ledger β†’

πŸ¦‹ Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph β†’

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for IMO. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for IMO today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk β†’
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT β€’ SEC EDGAR XBRL Γ— RQD PEER BENCHMARK

πŸ“Š Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (IMO)

1. Head-to-Head Energy Peer Comparison (IMO vs. SU, PSX, VLO, EQNR)

Industry: Integrated oil Companies (15 Tracked Issuers)

Across 211 tracked Energy securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Imperial Oil Limited (IMO) ranks #31 by composite RQD confidence (71/100, grade B-) and #25 by equity capitalization ($66.78B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, PSX leads on earnings valuation at 24.2x trailing P/E, while IMO leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 9.9% ROIC and β€” gross margin. SU currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 73/100 (B) compared with IMO at 71/100 (B-).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
IMO ACTIVE
Imperial Oil Limited
B- 71/100 32.8x β€” 9.9% -3.29% $66.78B Benchmark Subject
SU
Suncor Energy Inc.
B 73/100 32.8x β€” 9.9% -5.04% $92.89B /su-vs-imo β†’
PSX
Phillips 66
C- 59/100 24.2x 12.3% 9.2% -2.75% $110.32B /psx-vs-imo β†’
VLO
Valero Energy Corporation
B- 71/100 45.7x β€” 8.2% -4.55% $111.46B /vlo-vs-imo β†’
EQNR
Equinor ASA
B 73/100 32.8x β€” 9.9% -6.87% $121.89B /eqnr-vs-imo β†’

2. IMO Fundamental Profitability, Capital Efficiency & Balance-Sheet Forensics

TRAILING 12M & FORWARD QUANTITATIVE SNAPSHOT

Imperial Oil Limited (IMO) operates in Integrated oil Companies (Energy) with an equity capitalization of $66.78B, trailing P/E of 32.8x, forward P/E of 30.5x, and EV/EBITDA of 21.0x. Operating profitability registers a gross margin of β€”, operating margin of 13.9%, net profit margin of 10.9%, ROIC of 9.9%, and free cash flow yield of 2.21%, alongside an Altman Z-Score of 3.74 and Piotroski F-Score of 7/9.

3. IMO Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

βœ“ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is IMO stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Imperial Oil Limited (NYSE: IMO) is rated B- (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 71/100 at a spot price of $133.55 (-3.29% 1D, market cap $66.78B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 17/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 14/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 12/20. Across 211 tracked Energy issuers, IMO ranks #31 in composite RQD confidence.

How does IMO compare to SU and PSX in the Energy sector?

Within the Energy sector (Integrated oil Companies), IMO carries a Roarable B- (71/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 32.8x, gross margin of β€”, and ROIC of 9.9%. By comparison, SU (Suncor Energy Inc.) holds a B grade (73/100 RQD, P/E 32.8x, ROIC 9.9%, cap $92.89B) and PSX (Phillips 66) posts a C- grade (59/100 RQD, P/E 24.2x, ROIC 9.2%, cap $110.32B). Among the 5-stock peer group, PSX leads on earnings multiple (24.2x) while IMO leads on capital efficiency (9.9% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for IMO?

For Imperial Oil Limited (IMO), key quantitative strengths include Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side and Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs., while primary risk factors center on Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run and implied 5-year growth hurdle of 25.3%/yr. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is IMO trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

IMO last traded at $133.55 (-3.29% on volume of 879,173 shares), positioning the stock +3.23% above its 50-day simple moving average ($129.37) and +7.28% above its 200-day simple moving average ($124.49). Across its 52-week range of $83.27 to $139.44, IMO sits at the 89.5% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 60.0 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of Β±6.8% ($124.47 to $142.63).

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF β€’ RQD 71/100 (B-) βœ“ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

IMO β€” Imperial Oil Limited: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2026-11-03

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Imperial Oil Limited (IMO) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 71/100, corresponding to a B- letter grade (Roarable Buy) at a spot price of $133.55 (-3.29% 1D, market capitalization $66.78B).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (12/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 9.9%, gross margin of β€”, operating margin of 13.9%, and free cash flow yield of 2.21%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (17/20) + Insider Conviction (12/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (14/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (16/20): Incorporates a 0.87x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 3.74, Piotroski F-Score of 7/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.39x.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Imperial Oil Limited is a NYSE-listed issuer in the Energy sector, classified within the Integrated Oil Companies industry..3B. β€” for product lines, customer segments, or revenue mix. β€” for detailed description of how the company generates revenue.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • πŸ‚ Primary Bull Case (B- β€’ RQD 71/100): Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side. Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 12/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 17/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $83.27 – $139.44 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run. Investors must weigh 32.8x trailing P/E and 21.0x EV/EBITDA against 13.9% operating margins and a 0.87x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Sector: Energy. Industry: Integrated Oil Companies. Upstream and downstream dependencies, sector correlations, and second-order bottlenecks are β€” Investors should not infer supply-chain exposure from the sector label alone.

  • Key Question #1: Can IMO sustain or expand its 13.9% operating margin and 9.9% ROIC against Integrated oil Companies peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Will free cash flow conversion (2.21% FCF yield) strengthen balance-sheet liquidity (Altman Z-Score 3.74) toward the $139.44 52-week high?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is IMO's 30.5x forward P/E multiple to Energy capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 0.87x)?

IMO Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Imperial Oil Limited (IMO) β€’ Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

πŸ’¬ Jump to IMO Debate Forum (3) ↓
πŸ”₯ THE ROAR PIT β€’ LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

IMO Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board β€” What's Your Call at $133.55?

πŸ‚ 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON IMO 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on IMO:
πŸ’‘ Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
CA CashFlowKing RQD DEBATE OPENER β€’ FCF Compounder Hunter πŸ‚ BULLISH 🎯 Target: $176.77 (+28.0%)
πŸ“Œ Pinned Debate

Strong forensic balance sheet (Altman Z 3.74, Piotroski F 7/9, Debt/Equity 0.39) with low beta of 0.87 supports resilience.

Picked up a starter position in IMO in my $100K Virtual Cash book at $138.10. Strong forensic balance sheet (Altman Z 3.74, Piotroski F 7/9, Debt/Equity 0.39) with low beta of 0.87 supports resilience.. Trading inside a $83.27–$139.44 52-week range with 2.21% FCF yield gives solid downside support if Integrated oil Companies multiples expand this quarter.

CapAlloc_Nerd πŸ‚ BULL

@CashFlowKing Agree on the RQD 71/100 quality, though with 0.87 beta I'm scaling in with half-size at $138.10 and keeping dry powder in case we test $128.43.

FO ForensicBear RQD DEBATE OPENER β€’ 10-K Footnote Auditor 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $104.96 (-24.0%)
Spot @ $138.10

Demanding valuation at 32.8 P/E TTM against a thin 2.21% FCF yield leaves little cash-flow cushion.

Fading this rally in IMO at $138.10. Demanding valuation at 32.8 P/E TTM against a thin 2.21% FCF yield leaves little cash-flow cushion.. With a beta of 0.87 and the stock sitting at $138.10 (52-wk range $83.27–$139.44), the easy multiple expansion is already priced in.

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