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Imperial Petroleum Inc. (IMPP) Options Positioning, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$4.67 -8.25% NASDAQ β€’ Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $4.59

Imperial Petroleum Inc. (IMPP) carries a Roarable Rating of C- (Hold) with 61/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

ROARABLE C- β€’ HOLD / WATCH Cap $230.1M
πŸ“€ Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚑ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW β€’ $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on IMPP Below β€” or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
πŸ€– Mara Quenwick β€’ AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is IMPP stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
β–Ό

As of 2026-11-03, Imperial Petroleum Inc. (NASDAQ: IMPP) is rated C- (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 61/100 at a spot price of $4.67 (-8.25% 1D, market cap $230.1M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 14/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 12/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, IMPP ranks #310 in composite RQD confidence.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Ellis Vennor β€’ AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does IMPP compare to SMHI and GASS in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
β–Ό

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Marine Transportation), IMPP carries a Roarable C- (61/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 4.6x, gross margin of β€”, and ROIC of 6.0%. By comparison, SMHI (SEACOR Marine Holdings Inc.) holds a D grade (48/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 2.2%, cap $267.7M) and GASS (StealthGas Inc.) posts a C- grade (60/100 RQD, P/E 5.1x, ROIC 7.4%, cap $307.2M). Among the 5-stock peer group, IMPP leads on earnings multiple (4.6x) while GASS leads on capital efficiency (7.4% ROIC).

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Gideon Ashmere β€’ AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for IMPP?
β–Ό

Per IMPP's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001876581), Imperial Petroleum Inc. generated $111.7M in revenue (-9.6% YoY), $50.0M in net income, and $80.8M in free cash flow against $547.4M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists β€” not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
πŸ›‘οΈ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $4.59 (-1.67%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares)βš™οΈ Cash Engine: 13/20 (C) β€’ 72.3% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit β†’
πŸ“Š Historical Track Record: Scores of 61/100 (C-) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.5% avg 90D alpha vs SPY β€’ 53.9% hit rate β€” wait for RQD β‰₯ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record β†’
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH β€’ C-
025507510061
Quant Analyst Panel Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) β€” not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR RQD RADARRw D+ Β· Rk C+
Cash (13)Whales (9)SEC (13)Macro (14)CEO (12)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+1.3% Base Target
$7 Bull$5 Base$4 Bear
πŸ“¬ FREE IMPP RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot on file for IMPP)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: Β±6.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (61/100 Composite)
πŸ” WHY IMPP SCORES 61/100 (C-) β€” TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
β–² #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+14/20 pts (23% of score)

FRED Regime Γ— Technicals: 44% of 52W Range β€’ RSI-14 at 48.5 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

β–² #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+13/20 pts (21% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 72.3% FCF Margin ($80.8M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

β–Ό #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning9/20 pts (-11 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-11 pts vs max)

πŸ“ˆ PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 β†’ Q2 β†’ Q3 β†’ Current
Q1 (-3Q)
69
Grade B-$5.54-11.7% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
66
Grade B-$4.89+1.8% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
64
Grade C+$4.98-6.2% Next Q
Current
61
Grade C-$4.67+0.5% Hist 90D Ξ±
Trajectory: B- (69) β†’ C- (61)Full Audit β†’
βš”οΈ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

βš”οΈ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the IMPP Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk β†’

Even with a 61/100 (C-) score, IMPP faces multiple-compression risk if 4.6x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares) β€” any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($5.26) or 200D SMA ($4.74) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($4.73) toward Bear Floor ($3.69).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $IMPPβ€’ $2.4M Crowd Pool β€’ Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: β€œIMPP Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE
β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
Put/Call Ratio: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET
β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
No active options chain max-pain snapshot on file
HISTORICAL 20D VOLATILITY SWING
Β±6.5%
Derived from 20D OHLCV bars (No Active Options Snapshot)

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (IMPP)

β€” (No Active Options Snapshot) β€” No unusual CBOE strike concentration anomalies recorded in the current database snapshot for IMPP.

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Whale Flow & Momentum Playbook: Evaluating IMPP & AI Leaders Without Chasing Tops

  • βœ“Institutional whale strikes & implied earnings move audit on IMPP
  • βœ“How disciplined traders manage risk using pre-published trigger & invalidation levels
  • βœ“Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on tracked leaders
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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IMPP // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -7.34%πŸ“ HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-11-03O $5.08H $5.09L $4.67C $4.67VOL 186.5K
RES: $6.27SUP: $4.09SMA50: $5.26SMA200: $4.74
$6.12$5.62$5.11$4.60$4.09RES $6.27SUP $4.09$4.672026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

IMPP Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
-15.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -9.6% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on IMPP today. View full Setup Ledger β†’

πŸ¦‹ Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph β†’

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for IMPP. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for IMPP today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk β†’
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT β€’ SEC EDGAR XBRL Γ— RQD PEER BENCHMARK

πŸ“Š Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (IMPP)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #310 of 1009 βš”οΈ SMHI vs IMPP Full Matrix β†’

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (IMPP vs. SMHI, GASS, DSX, SHIP)

Industry: Marine Transportation (67 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Imperial Petroleum Inc. (IMPP) ranks #310 by composite RQD confidence (61/100, grade C-) and #674 by equity capitalization ($230.1M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, IMPP leads on earnings valuation at 4.6x trailing P/E, while GASS leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 7.4% ROIC and β€” gross margin. IMPP currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 61/100 (C-).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
IMPP ACTIVE
Imperial Petroleum Inc.
C- 61/100 4.6x β€” 6.0% -8.25% $230.1M Benchmark Subject
SMHI
SEACOR Marine Holdings Inc.
D 48/100 β€” β€” 2.2% -4.97% $267.7M /smhi-vs-impp β†’
GASS
StealthGas Inc.
C- 60/100 5.1x β€” 7.4% -3.99% $307.2M /gass-vs-impp β†’
DSX
Diana Shipping inc.
D+ 52/100 17.7x β€” 3.6% -3.20% $311.0M /dsx-vs-impp β†’
SHIP
Seanergy Maritime Holdings Corp.
D+ 56/100 16.4x β€” 7.3% -7.54% $344.7M /ship-vs-impp β†’

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K β€’ FILED 2025-12-31 β€’ CIK 0001876581 β†—

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Imperial Petroleum Inc. (IMPP) reported GAAP revenue of $111.7M (-9.6% vs. FY2024 revenue of $123.6M , and -39.6% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $50.0M, operating cash flow of $80.8M, and free cash flow of $80.8M (+4.0% YoY). On the balance sheet, IMPP closed FY2025 with $547.4M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $111.7M $50.0M $80.8M $80.8M $547.4M β€”
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $123.6M $50.2M $77.7M $77.7M $449.5M β€”
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $184.8M $71.1M $79.5M $79.5M β€” β€”

3. IMPP Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

βœ“ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is IMPP stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Imperial Petroleum Inc. (NASDAQ: IMPP) is rated C- (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 61/100 at a spot price of $4.67 (-8.25% 1D, market cap $230.1M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 14/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 12/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, IMPP ranks #310 in composite RQD confidence.

How does IMPP compare to SMHI and GASS in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Marine Transportation), IMPP carries a Roarable C- (61/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 4.6x, gross margin of β€”, and ROIC of 6.0%. By comparison, SMHI (SEACOR Marine Holdings Inc.) holds a D grade (48/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 2.2%, cap $267.7M) and GASS (StealthGas Inc.) posts a C- grade (60/100 RQD, P/E 5.1x, ROIC 7.4%, cap $307.2M). Among the 5-stock peer group, IMPP leads on earnings multiple (4.6x) while GASS leads on capital efficiency (7.4% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for IMPP?

Per IMPP's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001876581), Imperial Petroleum Inc. generated $111.7M in revenue (-9.6% YoY), $50.0M in net income, and $80.8M in free cash flow against $547.4M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is IMPP trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

IMPP last traded at $4.67 (-8.25% on volume of 476,569 shares), positioning the stock -11.22% below its 50-day simple moving average ($5.26) and -1.48% below its 200-day simple moving average ($4.74). Across its 52-week range of $3.15 to $6.57, IMPP sits at the 44.4% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 48.5 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of Β±6.5% ($4.37 to $4.97).

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF β€’ RQD 61/100 (C-) βœ“ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

IMPP β€” Imperial Petroleum Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Imperial Petroleum Inc. (IMPP) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 61/100, corresponding to a C- letter grade (Roarable Hold) at a spot price of $4.67 (-8.25% 1D, market capitalization $230.1M).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (13/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 6.0%, gross margin of β€”, operating margin of β€”, and free cash flow yield of β€”.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (9/20) + Insider Conviction (12/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (14/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (13/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of N/A, Piotroski F-Score of 5/9, and Debt/Equity of N/A.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Sector is Consumer Discretionary and industry is Marine Transportation,. The company trades on NASDAQ with a market capitalization of $0.2B. β€” for its specific products, customers, or revenue model.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Imperial Petroleum Inc. (IMPP) reported $111.7M in annual revenue (up from $123.6M in FY2024, -9.6% YoY) and $50.0M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($184.8M revenue, $71.1M net income) through FY2025, IMPP scaled operating cash flow to $80.8M and free cash flow to $80.8M, backed by $547.4M in total assets against $0 in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • πŸ‚ Primary Bull Case (C- β€’ RQD 61/100): Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of β€” and institutional whale pillar of 9/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 13/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 9/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $3.15 – $6.57 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run. Investors must weigh 4.6x trailing P/E and 5.6x EV/EBITDA against β€” operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Operating in Marine Transportation (Consumer Discretionary), IMPP carries a macro regime beta of 1.00 and gross margin of β€”.

  • Key Question #1: Can IMPP sustain or expand its β€” operating margin and 6.0% ROIC against Marine Transportation peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $111.7M and free cash flow of $80.8M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $0 in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is IMPP's 4.3x forward P/E multiple to Consumer Discretionary capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

IMPP Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Imperial Petroleum Inc. (IMPP) β€’ Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

πŸ’¬ Jump to IMPP Debate Forum (3) ↓
πŸ”₯ THE ROAR PIT β€’ LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

IMPP Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board β€” What's Your Call at $4.67?

πŸ‚ 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON IMPP 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on IMPP:
πŸ’‘ Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
MI MidwestValue RQD DEBATE OPENER β€’ Fundamental Long-Only πŸ‚ BULLISH 🎯 Target: $6.57 (+29.1%)
πŸ“Œ Pinned Debate

Per the Roarable RQD rating, a 4.6 trailing P/E paired with a 14/20 macro regime fit score and a stated fleet expansion to 24 ships sug

The street is overcomplicating Imperial Petroleum Inc. (IMPP). Per the Roarable RQD rating, a 4.6 trailing P/E paired with a 14/20 macro regime fit score and a stated fleet expansion to 24 ships suggests valuation and growth may be priced conservatively.. With an RQD score of 61/100 (C-) and Forensic Balance Sheet at 13/20, any positive earnings surprise or guidance raise forces underweight funds to chase above $5.50.

EarningsSniper πŸ‚ BULL

Both sides have a point here β€” IMPP's 13/20 balance sheet score keeps downside contained, so the real swing factor next earnings call is backlog and FCF conversion.

MU MultipleCompression RQD DEBATE OPENER β€’ Valuation Discipline 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $3.97 (-22.0%)
Spot @ $5.09

Per the SEC financials, net income fell from $71.1M in FY 2023 to $50.0M in FY 2025 while cash dropped to $5.8M, and the market data sh

Careful chasing IMPP at $5.09. Per the SEC financials, net income fell from $71.1M in FY 2023 to $50.0M in FY 2025 while cash dropped to $5.8M, and the market data shows a 0% FCF yield.. Gross margin is 0.0%, but operating margin is 0.0%, which shows SG&A and reinvestment are eating into bottom-line EPS. Target $3.97 on multiple compression.

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