Yahoo Finance report covering IonQ Inc. (IONQ) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Why IONQ Stock dropped -5.30% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
IonQ Inc. (IONQ) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 28/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief)
Is IONQ stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-02, IonQ Inc. (NYSE: IONQ) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 28/100 at a spot price of $30.04 (-5.30% 1D, market cap $12.97B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 5/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, Executive Insider Alignment 7/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 5/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, IONQ ranks #632 in composite RQD confidence.
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief)
How does IONQ compare to GDDY and CACI in the Technology sector?
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Within the Technology sector (EDP Services), IONQ carries a Roarable E (28/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -12.8%. By comparison, GDDY (GoDaddy Inc.) holds a B- grade (71/100 RQD, P/E 15.3x, ROIC 29.5%, cap $13.41B) and CACI (CACI International Inc.) posts a C+ grade (69/100 RQD, P/E 30.0x, ROIC 9.1%, cap $14.98B). Among the 5-stock peer group, GDDY leads on earnings multiple (15.3x) while QNT leads on capital efficiency (58.3% ROIC).
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief)
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for IONQ?
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Per IONQ's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001824920), IonQ Inc. generated $130.0M in revenue (+201.9% YoY), -$510.0M in net income, and -$299.6M in free cash flow against $6.57B in total assets and $1.24B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
Altman Z-Score 2.71 (WATCH ZONE (1.8–3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 5/9
20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±12.5% realized swing band)
Dilution Drag (+1.92% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 15 pts from alignment
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a IONQ Turnaround Squeeze
While IONQ currently carries a cautious 28/100 (E) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (5/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.
Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.
Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($37.75) and Max Pain ($31.54) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $77.33.
Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+1.92% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.
Why IONQ Stock dropped -5.30% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
IonQ Inc. (IONQ) dropped -5.30% to $30.04, trading at 9% of its 52-week range ($25.89 – $73.65). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-13% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 9% of its 52-week range ($25.89 – $73.65) with RSI-14 at 40.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±12.5% around $30.04 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable E (Strong Sell) backed by 52% gross margin and $0 annual free cash flow.
IonQ report covering IonQ Inc. (IONQ) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Investor's Business Daily report covering IonQ Inc. (IONQ) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
The Motley Fool report covering IonQ Inc. (IONQ) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering IonQ Inc. (IONQ) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
The Motley Fool report covering IonQ Inc. (IONQ) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering IonQ Inc. (IONQ) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
The Motley Fool report covering IonQ Inc. (IONQ) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Quantum computing stocks face earnings tests after a sharp drawdown, with investors separating profitable enablers from speculative loss-makers.
For questions about this article or underlying research, email help@trefis.com.
Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring IONQ)
- ✓Walkthrough of IONQ's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
- ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
- ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
IONQ Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
vs. +180.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on IONQ today. View full Setup Ledger →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for IONQ. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (IONQ)
1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (IONQ vs. GDDY, CACI, JKHY, QNT)
Industry: EDP Services (163 Tracked Issuers)Across 714 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, IonQ Inc. (IONQ) ranks #632 by composite RQD confidence (28/100, grade E) and #133 by equity capitalization ($12.97B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, GDDY leads on earnings valuation at 15.3x trailing P/E, while QNT leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 58.3% ROIC and — gross margin. JKHY currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 82/100 (A-) compared with IONQ at 28/100 (E).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| IONQ
ACTIVE
IonQ Inc. | E | 28/100 | — | — | -12.8% | -5.30% | $12.97B | Benchmark Subject |
| GDDY GoDaddy Inc. | B- | 71/100 | 15.3x | — | 29.5% | +10.72% | $13.41B | /gddy-vs-ionq → |
| CACI CACI International Inc. | C+ | 69/100 | 30.0x | — | 9.1% | +0.19% | $14.98B | /caci-vs-ionq → |
| JKHY Jack Henry & Associates Inc. | A- | 82/100 | 24.6x | 42.7% | 20.5% | +1.08% | $11.19B | /jkhy-vs-ionq → |
| QNT Quantinuum Inc. | D+ | 52/100 | 21.7x | — | 58.3% | -10.39% | $9.96B | /qnt-vs-ionq → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001824920In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), IonQ Inc. (IONQ) reported GAAP revenue of $130.0M (+201.9% vs. FY2024 revenue of $43.1M , and +489.9% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$510.0M, operating cash flow of -$283.2M, and free cash flow of -$299.6M (-142.3% YoY). On the balance sheet, IONQ closed FY2025 with $6.57B in total assets against $1.24B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 2.71, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $130.0M | -$510.0M | -$283.2M | -$299.6M | $6.57B | $1.24B |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $43.1M | -$332.0M | -$105.7M | -$123.7M | $508.4M | $56.0M |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $22.0M | -$158.0M | -$78.8M | -$79.8M | $7.13B | $1.67B |
3. IONQ Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs IONQ stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-02, IonQ Inc. (NYSE: IONQ) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 28/100 at a spot price of $30.04 (-5.30% 1D, market cap $12.97B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 5/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, Executive Insider Alignment 7/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 5/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, IONQ ranks #632 in composite RQD confidence.
How does IONQ compare to GDDY and CACI in the Technology sector?
Within the Technology sector (EDP Services), IONQ carries a Roarable E (28/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -12.8%. By comparison, GDDY (GoDaddy Inc.) holds a B- grade (71/100 RQD, P/E 15.3x, ROIC 29.5%, cap $13.41B) and CACI (CACI International Inc.) posts a C+ grade (69/100 RQD, P/E 30.0x, ROIC 9.1%, cap $14.98B). Among the 5-stock peer group, GDDY leads on earnings multiple (15.3x) while QNT leads on capital efficiency (58.3% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for IONQ?
Per IONQ's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001824920), IonQ Inc. generated $130.0M in revenue (+201.9% YoY), -$510.0M in net income, and -$299.6M in free cash flow against $6.57B in total assets and $1.24B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is IONQ trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
IONQ last traded at $30.04 (-5.30% on volume of 23,459,235 shares), positioning the stock -20.42% below its 50-day simple moving average ($37.75) and -28.24% below its 200-day simple moving average ($41.86). Across its 52-week range of $25.89 to $73.65, IONQ sits at the 8.7% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 40.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($26.29 to $33.79).
IONQ Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is IONQ stock moving today?
Why IONQ Stock dropped -5.30% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-13% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
IONQ — IonQ Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor
Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor
Per the Roarable RQD rating, IONQ scores 28 out of 100 with a letter grade of E, labeled "Roarable Strong Sell — Forensic Risk / Avoid." Across the five pillars, the Fundamental Cash Engine scores 5 of 20, reflecting an ROIC of -12.8% and an FCF yield of -2.31%, which indicates the business is not currently generating returns on invested capital or positive free cash flow. Whale/13F Flow scores 6 of 20 for institutional accumulation and options positioning, the highest pillar but still weak. Insider Conviction scores 5 of 20 based on SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow. Macro Regime Fit scores 5 of 20, tied to a Beta of 1.33 and sector sensitivity, meaning the stock has amplified exposure to market swings. Forensic Balance Sheet scores 7 of 20, with an Altman Z-Score of 2.71, a Piotroski F-Score of 5 of 9, and a Debt/Equity of 0.3. For a prospective investor today, the rating points to a valuation that rests on future expectations rather than current cash generation. Upside drivers would need to come from revenue scaling that closes the gap between current losses and profitability; the rating frames the principal risk as the time and capital required to reach that point. The balance sheet provides some cushion, but the cash-flow and returns pillars signal that the margin of safety is thin.
Business
IonQ Inc. is a NYSE-listed issuer in the Technology sector, classified within the EDP Services industry, per the Profile section. The source data does not describe its specific products, customer base, or revenue model beyond the reported revenue figures in the financials. Its market capitalization is $13.0B per the Profile. The company's recent news flow references quantum computing and quantum security, per the news section.
Financial Trend
| Period | Revenue | Operating Income | Net Income | EPS | FCF | Cash | Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY 2025 | $130.0M | $-633.7M | $-510.0M | N/A | $-299.6M | $1030.9M | $1240.5M |
| FY 2024 | $43.1M | $-232.5M | $-332.0M | N/A | $-123.7M | $54.4M | $56.0M |
| FY 2023 | $22.0M | $-157.8M | $-158.0M | N/A | $-79.8M | N/A | $1669.3M |
Per the SEC financials, reported revenue rose from $22.0M in FY 2023 to $130.0M in FY 2025, while operating losses widened in absolute terms over the same span. Per the market data, gross margin is 0%, operating margin is -60%, and net margin is -60%, with ROIC at -12.8%. Per the Roarable RQD rating, the Altman Z-Score is 2.71 and the Piotroski F-Score is 5 of 9. The Debt/Equity ratio is 0.3 per the RQD rating, and cash of $1030.9M against debt of $1240.5M appears in the FY 2025 financials.
Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis
Per the recent news feed, the most prominent items are as follows. A report headlined "Nvidia Funding Puts IonQ Stock And US Quantum Computing Shares On Watch" is marked YELLOW (market wire). A report on IonQ acquiring Elisity for $1.3B to advance quantum security is also marked YELLOW. A report on an "IonQ Stock Falls Amid Quantum Firm's $2 Billion Equity Offering" is marked RED (risk watch), signaling dilution concern. A report "Why IonQ Stock Just Crashed" is marked YELLOW. A report that IonQ "Soars 9.3%" is marked GREEN (catalyst). A longer-horizon piece on a $5,000 investment is marked YELLOW. The Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph reports no supply-chain links and no proprietary signals.
Butterfly Effect: 2nd-Order Supply-Chain & Sector Ripples
Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, the supply chain is marked NONE, with no butterfly links and no proprietary signals. The source data therefore does not establish upstream suppliers, downstream customers, or sector correlations. Investors should watch the equity-financing thread from the news feed: a $2 Billion equity offering, if it proceeds, would bear on per-share dilution against a company with negative free cash flow of $-299.6M in FY 2025. The Elisity acquisition at $1.3B, if completed, would add a sizable cash commitment relative to the $1030.9M cash balance reported for FY 2025. Neither linkage is quantified in the source data.
Open Questions
- What is the company's revenue composition by product and customer, and which segment drives the FY 2025 jump to $130.0M?
- What is the status and funding structure of the reported $2 Billion equity offering, and what dilution would it imply?
- What is the financing and expected timing of the Elisity acquisition relative to existing cash and debt?
- What trailing P/E and EV/EBITDA apply on current earnings, given both are unavailable in the source data?
- What is the path to positive free cash flow, and what does the FY 2025 Debt of $1240.5M imply for interest burden?
IONQ Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire
Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for IonQ Inc. (IONQ) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below
Yahoo Finance report covering IonQ Inc. (IONQ) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
IonQ report covering IonQ Inc. (IONQ) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Investor's Business Daily report covering IonQ Inc. (IONQ) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
The Motley Fool report covering IonQ Inc. (IONQ) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering IonQ Inc. (IONQ) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
The Motley Fool report covering IonQ Inc. (IONQ) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering IonQ Inc. (IONQ) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
The Motley Fool report covering IonQ Inc. (IONQ) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
IONQ Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $30.04?
🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is IONQ (E • RQD 28/100) a Buy at $31.72?
Welcome to the IONQ (IonQ Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 28/100 (Roarable Strong Sell — Forensic Risk / Avoid) in EDP Services. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.
Pump the brakes on IONQ — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds
Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on IONQ, but look at what you are paying: current EV/EBITDA multiples with tightening sector spreads. Unless IonQ Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.
IONQ cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here
Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on IONQ, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in EDP Services and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $31.72 (52-wk range $25.89 - $73.65), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.