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SQNS (45) NA (34) SNSC (47) FTCI (27) ⌘ Pro Terminal β†’

Ideal Power Inc. (IPWR) Options Positioning, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$2.43 -7.60% NASDAQ β€’ Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $2.39

Ideal Power Inc. (IPWR) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 24/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE E β€’ RED ALERT Cap $39.9M
πŸ“€ Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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πŸ€– Mara Quenwick β€’ AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is IPWR stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
β–Ό

As of 2026-11-03, Ideal Power Inc. (NASDAQ: IPWR) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 24/100 at a spot price of $2.43 (-7.60% 1D, market cap $39.9M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 7/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 3/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 3/20. Across 715 tracked Technology issuers, IPWR ranks #673 in composite RQD confidence.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Ellis Vennor β€’ AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does IPWR compare to SQNS and NA in the Technology sector?
β–Ό

Within the Technology sector (Semiconductors), IPWR carries a Roarable E (24/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of -30.0%, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, SQNS (Sequans Communications S.A. (each representing one hundred (100) )) holds a D grade (45/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC β€”, cap $37.1M) and NA (Nano Labs Ltd (Class A)) posts a E grade (34/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 6.2%, cap $35.1M). Among the 5-stock peer group, IPWR leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while NA leads on capital efficiency (6.2% ROIC).

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Gideon Ashmere β€’ AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for IPWR?
β–Ό

Per IPWR's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001507957), Ideal Power Inc. generated $37.7K in revenue (-56.1% YoY), -$10.6M in net income, and -$9.3M in free cash flow against $10.0M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists β€” not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
πŸ›‘οΈ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $2.39 (-1.56%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)βš™οΈ Cash Engine: 7/20 (D-) β€’ 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit β†’
πŸ“Š Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (24/100 Β· E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-10.9% avg 90D alpha vs SPY β€’ 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record β†’
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT β€’ E
025507510024
3-of-3 Quant Analysts Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) β€” not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR RQD RADARRw E Β· Rk E
Cash (7)Whales (3)SEC (8)Macro (3)CEO (3)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-15.2% Base Target
$10 Bull$2 Base$2 Bear
πŸ“¬ FREE IPWR RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot on file for IPWR)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: Β±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (24/100 Composite)
πŸ” WHY IPWR SCORES 24/100 (E) β€” TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
β–² #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+8/20 pts (33% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) β€’ Piotroski F-Score 2/9

β–² #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+7/20 pts (29% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0% FCF Margin ($0 FCF) & 0% Gross Margin

β–Ό #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

πŸ“ˆ PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 β†’ Q2 β†’ Q3 β†’ Current
Q1 (-3Q)
32
Grade E$3.16-4.1% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
29
Grade E$3.03+0.7% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
27
Grade E$3.05-20.3% Next Q
Current
24
Grade E$2.43-10.9% Hist 90D Ξ±
Trajectory: E (32) β†’ E (24)Full Audit β†’
βš”οΈ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

βš”οΈ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a IPWR Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk β†’

While IPWR currently carries a cautious 24/100 (E) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($3.82) and Max Pain ($2.55) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $9.77.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $IPWRβ€’ $4.8M Crowd Pool β€’ Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: β€œIPWR Beats Next Quarterly Revenue & EPS Consensus + Hyperscaler AI CapEx Holds Record Pace”
YES 24%NO 76%Trade / Inspect Odds β†’
CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE
β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
Put/Call Ratio: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET
β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
No active options chain max-pain snapshot on file
HISTORICAL 20D VOLATILITY SWING
Β±12.5%
Derived from 20D OHLCV bars (No Active Options Snapshot)

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (IPWR)

β€” (No Active Options Snapshot) β€” No unusual CBOE strike concentration anomalies recorded in the current database snapshot for IPWR.

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Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring IPWR)

  • βœ“Walkthrough of IPWR's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • βœ“3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • βœ“Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
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IPWR // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -50.00%β–Ό SUPPORT BREAKDOWN
2026-11-04O $2.63H $2.63L $2.43C $2.43VOL 175.1K
RES: $2.80SUP: $4.24SMA50: $3.82SMA200: $4.26
$9.78$7.79$5.80$3.80$1.81RES $2.80SUP $4.24$2.432026-05-052026-06-182026-08-052026-09-212026-11-04
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

IPWR Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

πŸ¦‹ IPWR Butterfly Map β†’ + Track IPWR β†’
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -56.1% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on IPWR today. View full Setup Ledger β†’

πŸ¦‹ Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph β†’

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for IPWR. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for IPWR today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk β†’
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT β€’ SEC EDGAR XBRL Γ— RQD PEER BENCHMARK

πŸ“Š Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (IPWR)

Technology Rank #673 of 715 βš”οΈ SQNS vs IPWR Full Matrix β†’

1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (IPWR vs. SQNS, NA, SNSC, FTCI)

Industry: Semiconductors (95 Tracked Issuers)

Across 715 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Ideal Power Inc. (IPWR) ranks #673 by composite RQD confidence (24/100, grade E) and #572 by equity capitalization ($39.9M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, IPWR leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while NA leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 6.2% ROIC and β€” gross margin. SNSC currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 47/100 (D) compared with IPWR at 24/100 (E).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
IPWR ACTIVE
Ideal Power Inc.
E 24/100 β€” -30.0% -35.0% -7.60% $39.9M Benchmark Subject
SQNS
Sequans Communications S.A. (each representing one hundred (100) )
D 45/100 β€” β€” β€” -0.80% $37.1M /sqns-vs-ipwr β†’
NA
Nano Labs Ltd (Class A)
E 34/100 β€” β€” 6.2% +1.34% $35.1M /na-vs-ipwr β†’
SNSC
SunScout Holding Limited (Class A)
D 47/100 β€” β€” β€” +5.59% $28.2M /snsc-vs-ipwr β†’
FTCI
FTC Solar Inc.
E 27/100 β€” -0.9% -35.0% +8.70% $27.4M /ftci-vs-ipwr β†’

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K β€’ FILED 2025-12-31 β€’ CIK 0001507957 β†—

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Ideal Power Inc. (IPWR) reported GAAP revenue of $37.7K (-56.1% vs. FY2024 revenue of $86.0K , and -99.9% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$10.6M, operating cash flow of -$9.1M, and free cash flow of -$9.3M (-3.5% YoY). On the balance sheet, IPWR closed FY2025 with $10.0M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 2/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $37.7K -$10.6M -$9.1M -$9.3M $10.0M β€”
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $86.0K -$10.4M -$8.7M -$8.9M $19.8M β€”
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $29.0M -$10.0M -$7.1M -$7.1M β€” β€”

3. IPWR Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

βœ“ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is IPWR stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Ideal Power Inc. (NASDAQ: IPWR) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 24/100 at a spot price of $2.43 (-7.60% 1D, market cap $39.9M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 7/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 3/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 3/20. Across 715 tracked Technology issuers, IPWR ranks #673 in composite RQD confidence.

How does IPWR compare to SQNS and NA in the Technology sector?

Within the Technology sector (Semiconductors), IPWR carries a Roarable E (24/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of -30.0%, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, SQNS (Sequans Communications S.A. (each representing one hundred (100) )) holds a D grade (45/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC β€”, cap $37.1M) and NA (Nano Labs Ltd (Class A)) posts a E grade (34/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 6.2%, cap $35.1M). Among the 5-stock peer group, IPWR leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while NA leads on capital efficiency (6.2% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for IPWR?

Per IPWR's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001507957), Ideal Power Inc. generated $37.7K in revenue (-56.1% YoY), -$10.6M in net income, and -$9.3M in free cash flow against $10.0M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is IPWR trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

IPWR last traded at $2.43 (-7.60% on volume of 175,127 shares), positioning the stock -36.39% below its 50-day simple moving average ($3.82) and -42.96% below its 200-day simple moving average ($4.26). Across its 52-week range of $2.43 to $9.30, IPWR sits at the 0.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 31.1 (OVERSOLD (<32)) and an implied next-earnings move of Β±12.5% ($2.13 to $2.73).

Direct Sub-Reports: IPWR RQD Cockpit IPWR 12M Forecast IPWR Earnings & Move IPWR Dividends & DRIP IPWR Insiders & 13F IPWR Whale Options IPWR Profit Sankey IPWR News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF β€’ RQD 24/100 (E) βœ“ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

IPWR β€” Ideal Power Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Ideal Power Inc. (IPWR) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 24/100, corresponding to a E letter grade (Roarable Strong Sell) at a spot price of $2.43 (-7.60% 1D, market capitalization $39.9M).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (7/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of -35.0%, gross margin of -30.0%, operating margin of -60.0%, and free cash flow yield of -19.09%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (3/20) + Insider Conviction (3/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (3/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (8/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of N/A, Piotroski F-Score of 2/9, and Debt/Equity of N/A.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Ideal Power Inc. (IPWR) is a NASDAQ-listed issuer classified in the Technology sector and Semiconductors industry. The financials show revenue of β€” in FY 2025, $0.1M in FY 2024, and β€” in FY 2023. Gross margin is reported at -30% per the market data section.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Ideal Power Inc. (IPWR) reported $37.7K in annual revenue (up from $86.0K in FY2024, -56.1% YoY) and -$10.6M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($29.0M revenue, -$10.0M net income) through FY2025, IPWR scaled operating cash flow to -$9.1M and free cash flow to -$9.3M, backed by $10.0M in total assets against $0 in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • πŸ‚ Primary Bull Case (E β€’ RQD 24/100): Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of -19.09% and institutional whale pillar of 3/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 7/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 3/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $2.43 – $9.30 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh current valuation against -60.0% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

The source data therefore provides no upstream or downstream dependency map. The only ripple evidence in the source is the news reference to a collaboration with Power Integrations, Inc. On 800 VDC AI data center circuit breakers, which points to a possible second-order link to data center power infrastructure. The source does not quantify that linkage. A prospective investor should watch whether the collaboration produces disclosed revenue, since FY 2025 revenue of β€” gives no current evidence of commercial traction.

  • Key Question #1: Can IPWR sustain or expand its -60.0% operating margin and -35.0% ROIC against Semiconductors peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $37.7K and free cash flow of -$9.3M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $0 in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is IPWR's equity valuation to Technology capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

IPWR Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Ideal Power Inc. (IPWR) β€’ Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

πŸ’¬ Jump to IPWR Debate Forum (3) ↓
πŸ”₯ THE ROAR PIT β€’ LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

IPWR Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board β€” What's Your Call at $2.43?

πŸ‚ 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON IPWR 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on IPWR:
πŸ’‘ Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
TA TapeReader_Pro RQD DEBATE OPENER β€’ Price Action & Volume Trader πŸ‚ BULLISH 🎯 Target: $3.47 (+31.9%)
πŸ“Œ Pinned Debate

A collaboration with Power Integrations on solid state circuit breakers for 800 VDC AI data centers offers a possible route to commerci

Long IPWR at $2.63 targeting $3.47. A collaboration with Power Integrations on solid state circuit breakers for 800 VDC AI data centers offers a possible route to commercial relevance.. Institutional whale score is 3/20 and the risk/reward vs. the $2.56 52-week low is skewed heavily in favor of bulls.

VolSurface_Trader πŸ‚ BULL

Both sides have a point here β€” IPWR's 8/20 balance sheet score keeps downside contained, so the real swing factor next earnings call is backlog and FCF conversion.

CR CreditSpread_Watch RQD DEBATE OPENER β€’ Balance Sheet Analyst 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $2.13 (-19.0%)
Spot @ $2.63

Negative cash flow of -$9.3M against $6.1M of cash and an RQD grade of E leaves limited margin for error.

I respect the product at Ideal Power Inc., but the stock at $2.63 is a different story. Negative cash flow of -$9.3M against $6.1M of cash and an RQD grade of E leaves limited margin for error.. FCF yield is -19.09% and RQD sits at 24/100 (E) β€” why pay up here when you can wait for next quarter's numbers?

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