Yahoo! Finance Canada report covering Illinois Tool Works Inc. (ITW) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Why ITW Stock slipped -1.01% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Illinois Tool Works Inc. (ITW) earns a Roarable Rating of B+ (Buy) with 76/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (53% profit margin, 23% return on capital) with steady institutional support. The company’s underlying cash engine and institutional positioning keep the composite score in the Green Buy zone.
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Is ITW stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-02, Illinois Tool Works Inc. (NYSE: ITW) is rated B+ (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 76/100 at a spot price of $278.55 (-1.01% 1D, market cap $79.97B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 18/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 15/20, Executive Insider Alignment 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 15/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, ITW ranks #16 in composite RQD confidence.
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief)
How does ITW compare to NOC and CMI in the Industrials sector?
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Within the Industrials sector (Industrial Machinery/Components), ITW carries a Roarable B+ (76/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 24.3x, gross margin of 52.9%, and ROIC of 23.4%. By comparison, NOC (Northrop Grumman Corporation) holds a C+ grade (68/100 RQD, P/E 19.1x, ROIC 13.0%, cap $79.89B) and CMI (Cummins Inc.) posts a C grade (64/100 RQD, P/E 22.7x, ROIC 17.5%, cap $71.31B). Among the 5-stock peer group, NOC leads on earnings multiple (19.1x) while ITW leads on capital efficiency (23.4% ROIC).
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief)
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ITW?
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Per ITW's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000049826), Illinois Tool Works Inc. generated $16.04B in revenue (+0.9% YoY), $0 in net income, and $2.71B in free cash flow against $16.15B in total assets and $6.68B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (53% profit margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 16.9% FCF Margin ($2.71B FCF) & 52.9% Gross Margin
Altman Z-Score 10.74 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 6/9
Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (62.2) create a -8 pt regime headwind
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the ITW Bull Thesis Could Fail
Even with a 76/100 (B+) score, ITW faces multiple-compression risk if 24.3x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.
Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.
Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 50.4% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.
Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($271.32) or 200D SMA ($270.83) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($301.11) toward Bear Floor ($228.41).
Why ITW Stock slipped -1.01% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Illinois Tool Works Inc. (ITW) slipped -1.01% to $278.55, trading at 62% of its 52-week range ($238.82 – $303.16). High-quality cash engine (53% profit margin, 23% return on capital) with steady institutional support.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 62% of its 52-week range ($238.82 – $303.16) with RSI-14 at 62.2 (BULLISH MOMENTUM).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±4.7% around $278.55 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable B+ (Buy) backed by 52.9% gross margin and $2.7B annual free cash flow.
Seeking Alpha report covering Illinois Tool Works Inc. (ITW) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Investing.com report covering Illinois Tool Works Inc. (ITW) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering Illinois Tool Works Inc. (ITW) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering Illinois Tool Works Inc. (ITW) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering Illinois Tool Works Inc. (ITW) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering Illinois Tool Works Inc. (ITW) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering Illinois Tool Works Inc. (ITW) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
For questions about this article or underlying research, email help@trefis.com.
Manufacturing company Illinois Tool Works (NYSE:ITW) missed Wall Street’s revenue expectations in Q3 2026 as sales rose 4.4% year on year to $4.24 billion. Its GAAP profit of $3.00 per share was 0.8% above analysts’ cons
Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (ITW Tape Review)
- ✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
- ✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
- ✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts
ITW Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
vs. +0.9% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on ITW today. View full Setup Ledger →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for ITW. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (ITW)
1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (ITW vs. NOC, CMI, JCI, AME)
Industry: Industrial Machinery/Components (208 Tracked Issuers)Across 485 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Illinois Tool Works Inc. (ITW) ranks #16 by composite RQD confidence (76/100, grade B+) and #18 by equity capitalization ($79.97B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, NOC leads on earnings valuation at 19.1x trailing P/E, while ITW leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 23.4% ROIC and 52.9% gross margin. ITW currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 76/100 (B+).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ITW
ACTIVE
Illinois Tool Works Inc. | B+ | 76/100 | 24.3x | 52.9% | 23.4% | -1.01% | $79.97B | Benchmark Subject |
| NOC Northrop Grumman Corporation | C+ | 68/100 | 19.1x | — | 13.0% | -0.86% | $79.89B | /noc-vs-itw → |
| CMI Cummins Inc. | C | 64/100 | 22.7x | 25.3% | 17.5% | -3.46% | $71.31B | /cmi-vs-itw → |
| JCI Johnson Controls International plc Ordinary Share | B | 73/100 | 29.1x | 36.4% | 15.6% | -5.84% | $95.87B | /jci-vs-itw → |
| AME AMETEK Inc. | B+ | 76/100 | 39.0x | 36.0% | 13.4% | -4.23% | $57.72B | /ame-vs-itw → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000049826In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Illinois Tool Works Inc. (ITW) reported GAAP revenue of $16.04B (+0.9% vs. FY2024 revenue of $15.90B , and -0.4% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $0, operating cash flow of $3.13B, and free cash flow of $2.71B (-4.8% YoY). On the balance sheet, ITW closed FY2025 with $16.15B in total assets against $6.68B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 10.74, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $16.04B | $0 | $3.13B | $2.71B | $16.15B | $6.68B |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $15.90B | $0 | $3.28B | $2.84B | $15.07B | $6.31B |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $16.11B | $0 | $3.54B | $2.81B | $43.99B | $10.29B |
3. ITW Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs ITW stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-02, Illinois Tool Works Inc. (NYSE: ITW) is rated B+ (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 76/100 at a spot price of $278.55 (-1.01% 1D, market cap $79.97B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 18/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 15/20, Executive Insider Alignment 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 15/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, ITW ranks #16 in composite RQD confidence.
How does ITW compare to NOC and CMI in the Industrials sector?
Within the Industrials sector (Industrial Machinery/Components), ITW carries a Roarable B+ (76/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 24.3x, gross margin of 52.9%, and ROIC of 23.4%. By comparison, NOC (Northrop Grumman Corporation) holds a C+ grade (68/100 RQD, P/E 19.1x, ROIC 13.0%, cap $79.89B) and CMI (Cummins Inc.) posts a C grade (64/100 RQD, P/E 22.7x, ROIC 17.5%, cap $71.31B). Among the 5-stock peer group, NOC leads on earnings multiple (19.1x) while ITW leads on capital efficiency (23.4% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ITW?
Per ITW's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000049826), Illinois Tool Works Inc. generated $16.04B in revenue (+0.9% YoY), $0 in net income, and $2.71B in free cash flow against $16.15B in total assets and $6.68B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (53% profit margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is ITW trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
ITW last traded at $278.55 (-1.01% on volume of 1,715,909 shares), positioning the stock +2.66% above its 50-day simple moving average ($271.32) and +2.85% above its 200-day simple moving average ($270.83). Across its 52-week range of $238.82 to $303.16, ITW sits at the 61.8% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 62.2 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±4.7% ($265.46 to $291.64).
ITW Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is ITW stock moving today?
Why ITW Stock slipped -1.01% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. High-quality cash engine (53% profit margin, 23% return on capital) with steady institutional support.
ITW — Illinois Tool Works Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor
Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor
Per the Roarable RQD rating, ITW scores 76 out of 100, a B+ grade, labeled "Roarable Buy — Very Good Cash & Smart-Money Inflow." The five pillars are:
- Fundamental Cash Engine (18 / 20): Per the Roarable RQD rating, this pillar reflects ROIC of 23.4% and an FCF yield of 3.38%. For a prospective investor, the high ROIC indicates strong capital efficiency, while the 3.38% FCF yield signals that the stock's cash generation is meaningful but not cheap on a cash-yield basis relative to the current price of 281.4.
- Whale 13F Flow (15 / 20): Per the Roarable RQD rating, this pillar captures institutional accumulation and options positioning. The underlying 13F detail is not itemized in the source data, so the score is a summary indicator only; investors should note that holder-level confirmation is unavailable here.
- Insider Conviction (15 / 20): Per the Roarable RQD rating, this pillar reflects SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow. Individual transactions are not itemized in the source data.
- Macro Regime Fit (12 / 20): Per the Roarable RQD rating, beta is 0.92, indicating the stock has historically tracked the broader market at slightly lower volatility. This is the lowest-scoring pillar, reflecting sector sensitivity; it implies the stock may not provide strong upside leverage in a risk-on macro regime.
- Forensic Balance Sheet (16 / 20): Per the Roarable RQD rating, this pillar reflects an Altman Z of 10.74, a Piotroski F of 6/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.8. These readings point to a balance sheet with low distress signals, though the Piotroski score leaves room for improvement.
Investor implications: the composite suggests a quality-compounder profile with solid cash economics, tempered by a valuation that the market data shows at 24.3x trailing earnings, and a macro-sensitivity pillar that caps the score. Upside drivers are the cash-engine and balance-sheet pillars; valuation tradeoff is the elevated multiple relative to the cash yield. This is educational analysis, not personalized financial advice.
Snapshot
Business
Illinois Tool Works Inc. is a NYSE-listed issuer in the Industrials sector, operating in the Industrial Machinery/Components industry, per the Profile section. Per the Market Data section, the company reports a gross margin of 52.9%, an operating margin of 26.3%, and a net margin of 20.5%. Customer base and product-line detail are not available in source data. How the company monetizes its products beyond these margin figures is not available in source data.
Financial Trend
| Period | Revenue | Operating Income | Net Income | EPS | FCF | Cash | Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY 2025 | $16044.0M | $4216.0M | $0.0M | N/A | $2707.0M | $851.0M | $6683.0M |
| FY 2024 | $15898.0M | $4264.0M | $0.0M | N/A | $2844.0M | $948.0M | $6308.0M |
| FY 2023 | $16107.0M | $4040.0M | $0.0M | N/A | $2814.2M | N/A | $10292.6M |
Per the SEC financials, revenue is broadly flat across the three periods, moving from $16107.0M in FY 2023 to $16044.0M in FY 2025, while operating income has held in a range of $4040.0M to $4264.0M. Net income is reported as $0.0M and EPS as N/A in every period, so earnings trend cannot be assessed from the financials section. Per the Market Data section, ROIC is 23.4%, and per the Roarable RQD rating, the Altman Z-Score is 10.74 and the Piotroski F-Score is 6/9. Debt/Equity is 0.8 per the Roarable RQD rating, and cash declined from $948.0M in FY 2024 to $851.0M in FY 2025 while debt rose from $6308.0M to $6683.0M over the same period.
Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis
Per the recent news and catalysts section, six items are tagged to ITW:
- CATALYST (GREEN): A Seeking Alpha headline states that shares "Don't Justify An Upgrade Even With Continued Growth," which is tagged as a catalyst item.
- CATALYST (GREEN): A Yahoo Finance item on "Innovation Gains or an Industrial Upturn?" is tagged as a catalyst.
- RISK WATCH (RED): An Investing.com item reports that JPMorgan downgraded the stock rating on valuation.
- MARKET WIRE (YELLOW): Three items (a Yahoo! Finance Canada quote page, a Yahoo Finance "Mixed Signals" piece, and a Yahoo Finance earnings preview) are tagged as market wire.
Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, the supply chain is recorded as NONE, with no butterfly links and no proprietary signals.
Analyst View & Smart Money Ownership
Analyst consensus, price targets, and holder detail are not available in source data. The only analyst-related headline in the source is the JPMorgan valuation downgrade referenced in the catalysts section; the rating level and target price are not available in source data.
Open Questions
- What is the net income and EPS trajectory, given that the financials section reports $0.0M net income and N/A EPS across all periods?
- What is the basis of the JPMorgan downgrade, and what rating and price target were assigned?
- What is the detailed 13F and Form 4 holder activity behind the whale and insider pillar scores?
- Why did debt rise by roughly $375M from FY 2024 to FY 2025 while cash declined, and what is the debt maturity profile?
- What drives the 0.92 beta and the sector-sensitivity penalty in the macro pillar, given the absence of supply-chain links?
ITW Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire
Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Illinois Tool Works Inc. (ITW) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below
Yahoo! Finance Canada report covering Illinois Tool Works Inc. (ITW) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Seeking Alpha report covering Illinois Tool Works Inc. (ITW) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Investing.com report covering Illinois Tool Works Inc. (ITW) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering Illinois Tool Works Inc. (ITW) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering Illinois Tool Works Inc. (ITW) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering Illinois Tool Works Inc. (ITW) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering Illinois Tool Works Inc. (ITW) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering Illinois Tool Works Inc. (ITW) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
ITW Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $278.55?
🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is ITW (B+ • RQD 76/100) a Buy at $281.40?
Welcome to the ITW (Illinois Tool Works Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 76/100 (Roarable Buy — Very Good Cash & Smart-Money Inflow) in Industrial Machinery/Components. Bulls point to capital efficiency (23.4% ROIC), while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.
Pump the brakes on ITW — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds
Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on ITW, but look at what you are paying: 24.3x trailing P/E with 52.9% gross margins. Unless Illinois Tool Works Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.
ITW cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here
Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on ITW, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Industrial Machinery/Components and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $281.40 (52-wk range $238.82 - $303.16), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.