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Why JBGS Stock dropped -2.90% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

$11.72 -2.90% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $11.64

JBG SMITH Properties (JBGS) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 43/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D- • SELL / AVOID Cap $900.6M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is JBGS stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, JBG SMITH Properties (NYSE: JBGS) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 43/100 at a spot price of $11.72 (-2.90% 1D, market cap $900.6M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 11/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 7/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 9/20. Across 1097 tracked Financials issuers, JBGS ranks #858 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does JBGS compare to ORC and ESRT in the Financials sector?
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Within the Financials sector (Real Estate Investment Trusts), JBGS carries a Roarable D- (43/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -12.0%. By comparison, ORC (Orchid Island Capital Inc.) holds a D grade (50/100 RQD, P/E 6.1x, ROIC 11.6%, cap $932.2M) and ESRT (Empire State Realty Trust Inc. (Class A)) posts a D grade (46/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 11.6%, cap $859.1M). Among the 5-stock peer group, ORC leads on earnings multiple (6.1x) while ORC leads on capital efficiency (11.6% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for JBGS?
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Per JBGS's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001689796), JBG SMITH Properties generated $498.6M in revenue (-8.9% YoY), -$139.1M in net income, and $73.3M in free cash flow against $4.39B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $11.64 (-0.71%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 8/20 (D-) • 14.7% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (43/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-6.7% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D-
025507510043
2-of-3 Quant Analysts Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR RQD RADARRw D- · Rk D
Cash (8)Whales (8)SEC (11)Macro (7)CEO (9)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-6.7% Base Target
$20 Bull$11 Base$9 Bear
📬 FREE JBGS RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for JBGS)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±6.6%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (43/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY JBGS SCORES 43/100 (D-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+11/20 pts (26% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 4/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+9/20 pts (21% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 45% Net Buy • Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit7/20 pts (-13 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (63.7) create a -13 pt regime headwind

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
35
Grade E$10.95-2.2% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
38
Grade E$10.71+7.8% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
40
Grade D$11.55+1.5% Next Q
Current
43
Grade D-$11.72-6.7% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: E (35) → D- (43)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a JBGS Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While JBGS currently carries a cautious 43/100 (D-) rating due to Macro Regime Fit (7/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($11.24) and Max Pain ($12.31) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $20.08.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $JBGS• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “JBGS Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 43%NO 57%Trade / Inspect Odds →
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →

Why JBGS Stock dropped -2.90% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

JBG SMITH Properties (JBGS) dropped -2.90% to $11.72, trading at 19% of its 52-week range ($9.93 – $19.12). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-12% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

  • ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 19% of its 52-week range ($9.93 – $19.12) with RSI-14 at 63.7 (BULLISH MOMENTUM).
  • ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±6.6% around $11.72 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
  • ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable D- (Sell) backed by 52% gross margin and $73.3M annual free cash flow.
Live JBGS Headlines & Catalysts
MARKET WIRETradingKey • 2d ago
JBG SMITH Properties (JBGS) Cash Flow

TradingKey report covering JBG SMITH Properties (JBGS) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring JBGS)

  • ✓Walkthrough of JBGS's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
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JBGS // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -22.59%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-11-04O $11.88H $12.07L $11.72C $11.72VOL 1.28M
RES: $12.08SUP: $9.39SMA50: $11.24SMA200: $13.87
$18.71$16.33$13.95$11.57$9.19RES $12.08SUP $9.39$11.722026-05-052026-06-182026-08-052026-09-212026-11-04
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

JBGS Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 JBGS Butterfly Map → + Track JBGS →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -8.9% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on JBGS today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for JBGS. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for JBGS today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (JBGS)

Financials Rank #858 of 1097 ⚔️ ORC vs JBGS Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (JBGS vs. ORC, ESRT, SAFE, CSR)

Industry: Real Estate Investment Trusts (172 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1097 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, JBG SMITH Properties (JBGS) ranks #858 by composite RQD confidence (43/100, grade D-) and #574 by equity capitalization ($900.6M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, ORC leads on earnings valuation at 6.1x trailing P/E, while ORC leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 11.6% ROIC and — gross margin. CSR currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 55/100 (D+) compared with JBGS at 43/100 (D-).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
JBGS ACTIVE
JBG SMITH Properties
D- 43/100 — — -12.0% -2.90% $900.6M Benchmark Subject
ORC
Orchid Island Capital Inc.
D 50/100 6.1x — 11.6% -0.83% $932.2M /orc-vs-jbgs →
ESRT
Empire State Realty Trust Inc. (Class A)
D 46/100 — — 11.6% +1.20% $859.1M /esrt-vs-jbgs →
SAFE
Safehold Inc.
D 51/100 7.0x — 3.3% -2.77% $817.9M /safe-vs-jbgs →
CSR
D/B/A Centerspace
D+ 55/100 57.7x — 7.2% -3.23% $993.7M /csr-vs-jbgs →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001689796 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), JBG SMITH Properties (JBGS) reported GAAP revenue of $498.6M (-8.9% vs. FY2024 revenue of $547.3M , and -17.5% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$139.1M, operating cash flow of $73.3M, and free cash flow of $73.3M (-43.4% YoY). On the balance sheet, JBGS closed FY2025 with $4.39B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 4/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $498.6M -$139.1M $73.3M $73.3M $4.39B —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $547.3M -$143.5M $129.4M $129.4M $5.02B —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $604.2M -$80.0M $183.4M $183.4M — —

3. JBGS Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is JBGS stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, JBG SMITH Properties (NYSE: JBGS) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 43/100 at a spot price of $11.72 (-2.90% 1D, market cap $900.6M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 11/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 7/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 9/20. Across 1097 tracked Financials issuers, JBGS ranks #858 in composite RQD confidence.

How does JBGS compare to ORC and ESRT in the Financials sector?

Within the Financials sector (Real Estate Investment Trusts), JBGS carries a Roarable D- (43/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -12.0%. By comparison, ORC (Orchid Island Capital Inc.) holds a D grade (50/100 RQD, P/E 6.1x, ROIC 11.6%, cap $932.2M) and ESRT (Empire State Realty Trust Inc. (Class A)) posts a D grade (46/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 11.6%, cap $859.1M). Among the 5-stock peer group, ORC leads on earnings multiple (6.1x) while ORC leads on capital efficiency (11.6% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for JBGS?

Per JBGS's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001689796), JBG SMITH Properties generated $498.6M in revenue (-8.9% YoY), -$139.1M in net income, and $73.3M in free cash flow against $4.39B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is JBGS trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

JBGS last traded at $11.72 (-2.90% on volume of 674,775 shares), positioning the stock +4.27% above its 50-day simple moving average ($11.24) and -15.50% below its 200-day simple moving average ($13.87). Across its 52-week range of $9.93 to $19.12, JBGS sits at the 19.5% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 63.7 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±6.6% ($10.95 to $12.49).

Direct Sub-Reports: JBGS RQD Cockpit JBGS 12M Forecast JBGS Earnings & Move JBGS Dividends & DRIP JBGS Insiders & 13F JBGS Whale Options JBGS Profit Sankey JBGS News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 43/100 (D-) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

JBGS — JBG SMITH Properties: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

JBG SMITH Properties (JBGS) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 43/100, corresponding to a D- letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $11.72 (-2.90% 1D, market capitalization $900.6M).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (8/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of -12.0%, gross margin of —, operating margin of —, and free cash flow yield of 8.17%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (8/20) + Insider Conviction (9/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (7/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (11/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of N/A, Piotroski F-Score of 4/9, and Debt/Equity of N/A.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Is a NYSE-listed issuer in the Financials sector, operating within the Real Estate Investment Trusts industry. Market capitalization is listed at $0.9B.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), JBG SMITH Properties (JBGS) reported $498.6M in annual revenue (up from $547.3M in FY2024, -8.9% YoY) and -$139.1M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($604.2M revenue, -$80.0M net income) through FY2025, JBGS scaled operating cash flow to $73.3M and free cash flow to $73.3M, backed by $4.39B in total assets against $0 in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (D- • RQD 43/100): Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of 8.17% and institutional whale pillar of 8/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 8/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 8/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $9.93 – $19.12 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh current valuation against — operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

The source data therefore does not identify upstream suppliers, downstream customers, or sector correlations beyond the Financials / Real Estate Investment Trusts classification. The beta of 1.0 per the market data suggests market-level sensitivity, but no second-order bottlenecks can be mapped from the provided sources.

  • Key Question #1: Can JBGS sustain or expand its — operating margin and -12.0% ROIC against Real Estate Investment Trusts peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $498.6M and free cash flow of $73.3M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $0 in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is JBGS's equity valuation to Financials capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

JBGS Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for JBG SMITH Properties (JBGS) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to JBGS Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

JBGS Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $11.72?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON JBGS 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on JBGS:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
CA CashFlowKing RQD DEBATE OPENER • FCF Compounder Hunter 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $14.02 (+18.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Dividend yield of 5.4% and FCF yield of 8.17% with a balance sheet scored at 11 of 20 on the RQD forensic pillar.

Here is why I am bullish on JBGS here at $11.88: Dividend yield of 5.4% and FCF yield of 8.17% with a balance sheet scored at 11 of 20 on the RQD forensic pillar.. Compare JBGS's 0.0% operating margin and -12.0% ROIC against the rest of Real Estate Investment Trusts. As long as cash conversion holds up, dips toward $11.29 are getting bought.

RetailWhale_TX 🐂 BULL

@RiskArb_Desk Shorting a 8/20 institutional whale-flow stock at $11.88 is dangerous when funds are rotating into Financials.

RI RiskArb_Desk RQD DEBATE OPENER • Hedged Event Driven 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $9.98 (-16.0%)
Spot @ $11.88

Negative ROIC of -12%, net income losses in all three reported years, and an RQD score of 44 rated D.

Sitting on the sidelines or leaning short JBGS above $11.88. Negative ROIC of -12%, net income losses in all three reported years, and an RQD score of 44 rated D.. Until Fundamental Cash Engine (8/20) and FCF yield (8.17%) inflect higher, upside is capped near $19.13.

LIVE TAPE