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Why JBI Stock surged +5.39% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

$4.89 +5.39% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $4.93

Janus International Group Inc. (JBI) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 57/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID Cap $633.1M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is JBI stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Janus International Group Inc. (NYSE: JBI) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 57/100 at a spot price of $4.89 (+5.39% 1D, market cap $633.1M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 7/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 17/20. Across 486 tracked Industrials issuers, JBI ranks #155 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does JBI compare to BW and GFF in the Industrials sector?
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Within the Industrials sector (Building Products), JBI carries a Roarable D+ (57/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 11.6x, gross margin of 38.8%, and ROIC of 7.9%. By comparison, BW (Babcock & Wilcox Enterprises Inc.) holds a E grade (23/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 48.2%, cap $636.1M) and GFF (Griffon Corporation) posts a D grade (50/100 RQD, P/E 91.2x, ROIC 12.0%, cap $4.58B). Among the 5-stock peer group, JBI leads on earnings multiple (11.6x) while BW leads on capital efficiency (48.2% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for JBI?
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Per JBI's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-01-03, CIK 0001839839), Janus International Group Inc. generated $884.2M in revenue (-8.3% YoY), $53.8M in net income, and $114.0M in free cash flow against $1.30B in total assets and $538.8M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $4.93 (+0.78%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) • 12.9% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 57/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.2% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 52.2% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+
025507510057
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C · Rk D
Cash (12)Whales (8)SEC (13)Macro (7)CEO (17)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-0.4% Base Target
$10 Bull$5 Base$4 Bear
📬 FREE JBI RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for JBI)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±7.7%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (57/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY JBI SCORES 57/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+17/20 pts (30% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 85% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+13/20 pts (23% of score)

Altman Z-Score 2.13 (WATCH ZONE (1.8–3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit7/20 pts (-13 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (59.2) create a -13 pt regime headwind

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
49
Grade D$4.28-0.5% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
52
Grade C-$4.26+0.9% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
54
Grade C-$4.30+13.7% Next Q
Current
57
Grade D+$4.89-0.2% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: D (49) → D+ (57)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the JBI Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 57/100 (D+) score, JBI faces multiple-compression risk if 11.6x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 36.3% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($4.46) or 200D SMA ($5.33) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($4.87) toward Bear Floor ($3.80).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $JBI• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “JBI Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Jan 2, 2027) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →

Why JBI Stock surged +5.39% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

Janus International Group Inc. (JBI) surged +5.39% to $4.89, trading at 15% of its 52-week range ($4.01 – $9.81). Stretched risk/reward at 12x P/E (8% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

  • ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 15% of its 52-week range ($4.01 – $9.81) with RSI-14 at 59.2 (BULLISH MOMENTUM).
  • ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±7.7% around $4.89 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
  • ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable D+ (Sell) backed by 38.8% gross margin and $114.0M annual free cash flow.
Live JBI Headlines & Catalysts
MARKET WIRETradingKey • 1d ago
Most Active Stocks Today: U.S. Market

TradingKey report covering Janus International Group Inc. (JBI) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

MARKET WIREYahoo • 10d ago
3 out-of-favor stocks with open questions

Rock-bottom prices don’t always mean rock-bottom businesses. The stocks we’re examining today have all touched their 52-week lows, creating a classic investor’s dilemma: bargain opportunity or value trap?

CATALYSTYahoo • 15h ago
Crawford & Company B (CRD.B) Beats Q3 Earnings Estimates

Crawford & Company B (CRD.B) delivered earnings and revenue surprises of +23.33% and -1.16%, respectively, for the quarter ended September 2026. Do the numbers hold clues to what lies ahead for the stock?

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring JBI)

  • ✓Walkthrough of JBI's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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JBI // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -0.81%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-11-03O $4.56H $4.89L $4.56C $4.89VOL 2.18M
RES: $5.62SUP: $3.75SMA50: $4.46SMA200: $5.33
$7.88$6.83$5.78$4.73$3.68RES $5.62SUP $3.75$4.892026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

JBI Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
1.8%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -8.3% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on JBI today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for JBI. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for JBI today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (JBI)

Industrials Rank #155 of 486 ⚔️ BW vs JBI Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (JBI vs. BW, GFF, MTEN, BRNX)

Industry: Building Products (12 Tracked Issuers)

Across 486 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Janus International Group Inc. (JBI) ranks #155 by composite RQD confidence (57/100, grade D+) and #284 by equity capitalization ($633.1M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, JBI leads on earnings valuation at 11.6x trailing P/E, while BW leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 48.2% ROIC and 24.5% gross margin. JBI currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 57/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
JBI ACTIVE
Janus International Group Inc.
D+ 57/100 11.6x 38.8% 7.9% +5.39% $633.1M Benchmark Subject
BW
Babcock & Wilcox Enterprises Inc.
E 23/100 — 24.5% 48.2% -4.68% $636.1M /bw-vs-jbi →
GFF
Griffon Corporation
D 50/100 91.2x 42.0% 12.0% +3.01% $4.58B /gff-vs-jbi →
MTEN
Mingteng International Corporation Inc. (Class A)
E 22/100 — 22.5% -1.6% -41.37% $6.5M /mten-vs-jbi →
BRNX
BrenX Ltd.
E 29/100 — -30.0% -35.0% -6.26% $891.9K /brnx-vs-jbi →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2026-01-03 • CIK 0001839839 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2026-01-03), Janus International Group Inc. (JBI) reported GAAP revenue of $884.2M (-8.3% vs. FY2024 revenue of $963.8M , and -17.1% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $53.8M, operating cash flow of $139.5M, and free cash flow of $114.0M (-14.9% YoY). On the balance sheet, JBI closed FY2025 with $1.30B in total assets against $538.8M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 2.13, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2026-01-03 $884.2M $53.8M $139.5M $114.0M $1.30B $538.8M
FY2024 (FY) 2025-12-28 $963.8M $70.4M $154.0M $133.9M $1.30B $583.2M
FY2023 (FY) 2024-12-30 $1.07B $135.7M $215.0M $215.0M — —

3. JBI Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is JBI stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Janus International Group Inc. (NYSE: JBI) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 57/100 at a spot price of $4.89 (+5.39% 1D, market cap $633.1M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 7/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 17/20. Across 486 tracked Industrials issuers, JBI ranks #155 in composite RQD confidence.

How does JBI compare to BW and GFF in the Industrials sector?

Within the Industrials sector (Building Products), JBI carries a Roarable D+ (57/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 11.6x, gross margin of 38.8%, and ROIC of 7.9%. By comparison, BW (Babcock & Wilcox Enterprises Inc.) holds a E grade (23/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 48.2%, cap $636.1M) and GFF (Griffon Corporation) posts a D grade (50/100 RQD, P/E 91.2x, ROIC 12.0%, cap $4.58B). Among the 5-stock peer group, JBI leads on earnings multiple (11.6x) while BW leads on capital efficiency (48.2% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for JBI?

Per JBI's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-01-03, CIK 0001839839), Janus International Group Inc. generated $884.2M in revenue (-8.3% YoY), $53.8M in net income, and $114.0M in free cash flow against $1.30B in total assets and $538.8M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is JBI trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

JBI last traded at $4.89 (+5.39% on volume of 2,692,349 shares), positioning the stock +9.64% above its 50-day simple moving average ($4.46) and -8.26% below its 200-day simple moving average ($5.33). Across its 52-week range of $4.01 to $9.81, JBI sits at the 15.2% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 59.2 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±7.7% ($4.51 to $5.27).

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 57/100 (D+) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

JBI — Janus International Group Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2026-01-03

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Janus International Group Inc. (JBI) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 57/100, corresponding to a D+ letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $4.89 (+5.39% 1D, market capitalization $633.1M).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (12/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 7.9%, gross margin of 38.8%, operating margin of 12.6%, and free cash flow yield of 18.32%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (8/20) + Insider Conviction (17/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (7/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (13/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 2.13, Piotroski F-Score of 7/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.94x.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Janus International Group Inc. Is a NYSE-listed issuer in the Industrials sector and Building Products industry,.2M in FY 2025, indicating a meaningful operating scale.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2026-01-03), Janus International Group Inc. (JBI) reported $884.2M in annual revenue (up from $963.8M in FY2024, -8.3% YoY) and $53.8M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($1.07B revenue, $135.7M net income) through FY2025, JBI scaled operating cash flow to $139.5M and free cash flow to $114.0M, backed by $1.30B in total assets against $538.8M in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (D+ • RQD 57/100): Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. Free cash flow yield of 18.32% and institutional whale pillar of 8/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 12/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 8/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $4.01 – $9.81 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Investors must weigh 11.6x trailing P/E and 8.7x EV/EBITDA against 12.6% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Upstream suppliers, downstream customers, and sector correlations are therefore — The most relevant second-order watch item is the November 10, 2026 earnings report, which could reset the revenue and margin trajectory that the current rating is based on.

  • Key Question #1: Can JBI sustain or expand its 12.6% operating margin and 7.9% ROIC against Building Products peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $884.2M and free cash flow of $114.0M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $538.8M in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is JBI's 10.8x forward P/E multiple to Industrials capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

JBI Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Janus International Group Inc. (JBI) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to JBI Debate Forum (3) ↓
🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo • 10d ago
3 out-of-favor stocks with open questions

Rock-bottom prices don’t always mean rock-bottom businesses. The stocks we’re examining today have all touched their 52-week lows, creating a classic investor’s dilemma: bargain opportunity or value trap?

Read Full Source ↗
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

JBI Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $4.89?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON JBI 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on JBI:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
CA CashFlowKing RQD DEBATE OPENER • FCF Compounder Hunter 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $5.66 (+22.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Low valuation with a high 18.32% FCF yield and P/E of 11.6 leaves room for re-rating if cash generation holds.

Picked up a starter position in JBI in my $100K Virtual Cash book at $4.64. Low valuation with a high 18.32% FCF yield and P/E of 11.6 leaves room for re-rating if cash generation holds.. Trading inside a $4.01–$9.81 52-week range with 18.32% FCF yield gives solid downside support if Building Products multiples expand this quarter.

EarningsSniper 🐂 BULL

@ForensicBear Shorting a 8/20 institutional whale-flow stock at $4.64 is dangerous when funds are rotating into Industrials.

FO ForensicBear RQD DEBATE OPENER • 10-K Footnote Auditor 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $3.53 (-23.9%)
Spot @ $4.64

Revenue fell from $1.07B to $884.2M and operating income from $245.7M to $111.5M while weak institutional flow scores 8 of 20.

Fading this rally in JBI at $4.64. Revenue fell from $1.07B to $884.2M and operating income from $245.7M to $111.5M while weak institutional flow scores 8 of 20.. With a beta of 1.0 and the stock sitting at $4.64 (52-wk range $4.01–$9.81), the easy multiple expansion is already priced in.

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