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Johnson Controls International plc Ordinary Share (JCI) Insider, 13F Hedge Fund & Politician Buy/Sell Thermometer

$146.49 -1.70% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $145.76

Johnson Controls International plc Ordinary Share (JCI) carries a Roarable Rating of C+ (Hold) with 69/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

ROARABLE C+ • HOLD / WATCH Cap $90.27B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is JCI stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Johnson Controls International plc Ordinary Share (NYSE: JCI) is rated C+ (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 69/100 at a spot price of $146.49 (-1.70% 1D, market cap $90.27B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 15/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 14/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 11/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 13/20. Across 486 tracked Industrials issuers, JCI ranks #43 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does JCI compare to NOC and ITW in the Industrials sector?
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Within the Industrials sector (Industrial Machinery/Components), JCI carries a Roarable C+ (69/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 29.1x, gross margin of 36.4%, and ROIC of 15.6%. By comparison, NOC (Northrop Grumman Corporation) holds a C+ grade (67/100 RQD, P/E 19.1x, ROIC 13.0%, cap $79.21B) and ITW (Illinois Tool Works Inc.) posts a B+ grade (76/100 RQD, P/E 24.3x, ROIC 23.4%, cap $79.16B). Among the 5-stock peer group, NOC leads on earnings multiple (19.1x) while ITW leads on capital efficiency (23.4% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for JCI?
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Per JCI's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-09-30, CIK 0000833444), Johnson Controls International plc Ordinary Share generated $23.60B in revenue (+2.8% YoY), $3.29B in net income, and $0 in free cash flow against $37.98B in total assets and $8.89B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (36.4% gross margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
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INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $145.76 (-0.50%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.52% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 15/20 (B) • 10.8% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 69/100 (C+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+2.0% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 57.3% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C+
025507510069
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw B- · Rk C+
Cash (15)Whales (14)SEC (16)Macro (11)CEO (13)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+4.9% Base Target
$181 Bull$154 Base$120 Bear
📬 FREE JCI RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for JCI)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±6.4%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (69/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY JCI SCORES 69/100 (C+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+16/20 pts (23% of score)

Altman Z-Score 4.13 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+15/20 pts (22% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 10.8% FCF Margin ($2.54B FCF) & 36.4% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit11/20 pts (-9 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (47.7) create a -9 pt regime headwind

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
77
Grade B+$152.44-0.9% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
74
Grade B+$151.02+4.2% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
72
Grade B$157.35-6.9% Next Q
Current
69
Grade C+$146.49+2% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: B+ (77) → C+ (69)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the JCI Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 69/100 (C+) score, JCI faces multiple-compression risk if 29.1x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-1.52% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 33.9% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($148.14) or 200D SMA ($141.73) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($153.74) toward Bear Floor ($119.92).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $JCI• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “JCI Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 29, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 69%NO 31%Trade / Inspect Odds →
SEC FORM 4 × 13F HEDGE FUNDS × CONGRESSIONAL STOCK ACT

JCI Smart-Money Thermometer: HEAVY INSIDER & 13F ACCUMULATION

Explore All 13F & Congress Whales →
▲ Disclosed Buys: 0 ($0)▼ Disclosed Sales: 0 ($0)

Wide-Open SEC Form 4, 13F & Congressional Disclosure Ledger (JCI)

No recent open-market Form 4 cluster sales or emergency dumps flagged on JCI. Visit the Global 13F & Congressional Whale Ledger for cross-market smart-money filings.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk

Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (JCI Tape Review)

  • ✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
  • ✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
  • ✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts
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JCI // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +1.45%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-11-03O $158.3H $158.3L $146.5C $146.5VOL 4.65M
RES: $162.0SUP: $135.5SMA50: $148.1SMA200: $141.7
$163.2$151.5$139.8$128.1$116.5RES $162.0SUP $135.5$146.52026-05-042026-06-182026-08-052026-09-212026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

JCI Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 JCI Butterfly Map → + Track JCI →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
22.4%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +2.8% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on JCI today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for JCI. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for JCI today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (JCI)

Industrials Rank #43 of 486 ⚔️ NOC vs JCI Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (JCI vs. NOC, ITW, CMI, AME)

Industry: Industrial Machinery/Components (208 Tracked Issuers)

Across 486 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Johnson Controls International plc Ordinary Share (JCI) ranks #43 by composite RQD confidence (69/100, grade C+) and #15 by equity capitalization ($90.27B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, NOC leads on earnings valuation at 19.1x trailing P/E, while ITW leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 23.4% ROIC and 52.9% gross margin. ITW currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 76/100 (B+) compared with JCI at 69/100 (C+).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
JCI ACTIVE
Johnson Controls International plc Ordinary Share
C+ 69/100 29.1x 36.4% 15.6% -1.70% $90.27B Benchmark Subject
NOC
Northrop Grumman Corporation
C+ 67/100 19.1x — 13.0% -0.40% $79.21B /noc-vs-jci →
ITW
Illinois Tool Works Inc.
B+ 76/100 24.3x 52.9% 23.4% +4.13% $79.16B /itw-vs-jci →
CMI
Cummins Inc.
C 62/100 22.7x 25.3% 17.5% +0.10% $68.84B /cmi-vs-jci →
AME
AMETEK Inc.
C+ 69/100 39.0x 36.0% 13.4% +0.33% $55.28B /ame-vs-jci →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-09-30 • CIK 0000833444 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-09-30), Johnson Controls International plc Ordinary Share (JCI) reported GAAP revenue of $23.60B (+2.8% vs. FY2024 revenue of $22.95B , and +5.7% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $3.29B, operating cash flow of $0, and free cash flow of $0 . On the balance sheet, JCI closed FY2025 with $37.98B in total assets against $8.89B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 4.13, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-09-30 $23.60B $3.29B — — $37.98B $8.89B
FY2024 (FY) 2024-09-30 $22.95B $1.71B — — $42.10B $9.85B
FY2023 (FY) 2023-09-30 $22.33B $1.85B — — $52.73B $12.34B

3. JCI Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is JCI stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Johnson Controls International plc Ordinary Share (NYSE: JCI) is rated C+ (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 69/100 at a spot price of $146.49 (-1.70% 1D, market cap $90.27B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 15/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 14/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 11/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 13/20. Across 486 tracked Industrials issuers, JCI ranks #43 in composite RQD confidence.

How does JCI compare to NOC and ITW in the Industrials sector?

Within the Industrials sector (Industrial Machinery/Components), JCI carries a Roarable C+ (69/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 29.1x, gross margin of 36.4%, and ROIC of 15.6%. By comparison, NOC (Northrop Grumman Corporation) holds a C+ grade (67/100 RQD, P/E 19.1x, ROIC 13.0%, cap $79.21B) and ITW (Illinois Tool Works Inc.) posts a B+ grade (76/100 RQD, P/E 24.3x, ROIC 23.4%, cap $79.16B). Among the 5-stock peer group, NOC leads on earnings multiple (19.1x) while ITW leads on capital efficiency (23.4% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for JCI?

Per JCI's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-09-30, CIK 0000833444), Johnson Controls International plc Ordinary Share generated $23.60B in revenue (+2.8% YoY), $3.29B in net income, and $0 in free cash flow against $37.98B in total assets and $8.89B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (36.4% gross margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is JCI trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

JCI last traded at $146.49 (-1.70% on volume of 5,569,095 shares), positioning the stock -1.11% below its 50-day simple moving average ($148.14) and +3.36% above its 200-day simple moving average ($141.73). Across its 52-week range of $108.41 to $160.41, JCI sits at the 73.2% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 47.7 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±6.4% ($137.11 to $155.87).

Direct Sub-Reports: JCI RQD Cockpit JCI 12M Forecast JCI Earnings & Move JCI Dividends & DRIP JCI Insiders & 13F JCI Whale Options JCI Profit Sankey JCI News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 69/100 (C+) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

JCI — Johnson Controls International plc Ordinary Share: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-09-30

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Johnson Controls International plc Ordinary Share (JCI) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 69/100, corresponding to a C+ letter grade (Roarable Hold) at a spot price of $146.49 (-1.70% 1D, market capitalization $90.27B).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (15/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 15.6%, gross margin of 36.4%, operating margin of 17.0%, and free cash flow yield of 2.81%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (14/20) + Insider Conviction (13/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (11/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (16/20): Incorporates a 0.98x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 4.13, Piotroski F-Score of 7/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.58x.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Johnson Controls International plc Ordinary Share (JCI) is a NYSE-listed issuer in the Industrials sector, specifically Industrial Machinery/Components. —: product descriptions, customer segments, and revenue model specifics. The profile identifies the business by sector and industry classification only.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-09-30), Johnson Controls International plc Ordinary Share (JCI) reported $23.60B in annual revenue (up from $22.95B in FY2024, +2.8% YoY) and $3.29B in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($22.33B revenue, $1.85B net income) through FY2025, JCI scaled operating cash flow to $0 and free cash flow to $0, backed by $37.98B in total assets against $8.89B in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (C+ • RQD 69/100): Strong cash generator (36.4% gross margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks. Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 15/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 14/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $108.41 – $160.41 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run. Investors must weigh 29.1x trailing P/E and 20.9x EV/EBITDA against 17.0% operating margins and a 0.98x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Operating in Industrial Machinery/Components (Industrials), JCI carries a macro regime beta of 0.98 and gross margin of 36.4%.

  • Key Question #1: Can JCI sustain or expand its 17.0% operating margin and 15.6% ROIC against Industrial Machinery/Components peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $23.60B and free cash flow of $0, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $8.89B in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is JCI's 27.1x forward P/E multiple to Industrials capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 0.98x)?

JCI Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Johnson Controls International plc Ordinary Share (JCI) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to JCI Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

JCI Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $146.49?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON JCI 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on JCI:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
DE DeltaGamma_99 RQD DEBATE OPENER • Options Flow Specialist 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $184.80 (+24.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Strong institutional flow (18/20) and a healthy balance sheet (Altman Z 4.13, Piotroski F 7/9) support the RQD Buy rating.

Here is why I am bullish on JCI here at $149.03: Strong institutional flow (18/20) and a healthy balance sheet (Altman Z 4.13, Piotroski F 7/9) support the RQD Buy rating.. Compare JCI's 17.0% operating margin and 15.6% ROIC against the rest of Industrial Machinery/Components. As long as cash conversion holds up, dips toward $141.58 are getting bought.

ArenaChamp_24 🐂 BULL

@ShortSeller_Dan Fair point on 29.1x trailing P/E, but you're ignoring the forward operating leverage in Industrial Machinery/Components. If gross margin (36.4%) holds, EPS grows into the multiple faster than bears think.

SH ShortSeller_Dan RQD DEBATE OPENER • Forensic Short Bias 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $128.17 (-14.0%)
Spot @ $149.03

Elevated valuation (P/E TTM 29.1) against a thin 2.81% FCF yield leaves limited cushion if earnings growth slows.

Elevated valuation (P/E TTM 29.1) against a thin 2.81% FCF yield leaves limited cushion if earnings growth slows.. Look at the math on JCI: paying 29.1x trailing P/E for 15.6% ROIC and 17.0% operating margins leaves zero margin of safety if Industrial Machinery/Components demand softens. I'd wait for a retest of $131.15 before getting long.

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