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Jewett-Cameron Trading Company (JCTC) Options Positioning, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$2.80 +3.13% NASDAQ β€’ Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $2.81

Jewett-Cameron Trading Company (JCTC) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 34/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE E β€’ RED ALERT Cap $9.6M
πŸ“€ Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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πŸ€– Mara Quenwick β€’ AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is JCTC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
β–Ό

As of 2026-11-03, Jewett-Cameron Trading Company (NASDAQ: JCTC) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 34/100 at a spot price of $2.80 (+3.13% 1D, market cap $9.6M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 4/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 11/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 3/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, JCTC ranks #813 in composite RQD confidence.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Ellis Vennor β€’ AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does JCTC compare to SMJF and CAPS in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
β–Ό

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (RETAIL: Building Materials), JCTC carries a Roarable E (34/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 15.1%, and ROIC of -18.8%. By comparison, SMJF (SMJ International Holdings Inc. (Class A)) holds a E grade (29/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC β€”, cap $42.9M) and CAPS (Capstone Holding Corp.) posts a E grade (27/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $2.0M). Among the 5-stock peer group, JCTC leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while JCTC leads on capital efficiency (-18.8% ROIC).

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Gideon Ashmere β€’ AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for JCTC?
β–Ό

Per JCTC's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-08-31, CIK 0000885307), Jewett-Cameron Trading Company generated $41.3M in revenue (-12.4% YoY), -$4.1M in net income, and -$6.7M in free cash flow against $23.2M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
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INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
πŸ›‘οΈ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $2.81 (+0.37%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+1.28% YoY Shares)βš™οΈ Cash Engine: 4/20 (E) β€’ 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit β†’
πŸ“Š Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (34/100 Β· E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-8.7% avg 90D alpha vs SPY β€’ 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record β†’
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT β€’ E
025507510034
3-of-3 Quant Analysts Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) β€” not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR RQD RADARRw E Β· Rk D
Cash (4)Whales (8)SEC (8)Macro (11)CEO (3)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-10.7% Base Target
$3 Bull$3 Base$2 Bear
πŸ“¬ FREE JCTC RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot on file for JCTC)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: Β±6.9%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (34/100 Composite)
πŸ” WHY JCTC SCORES 34/100 (E) β€” TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
β–² #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+11/20 pts (32% of score)

FRED Regime Γ— Technicals: 71% of 52W Range β€’ RSI-14 at 41.2 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

β–² #2 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+8/20 pts (24% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (Β±6.9% realized swing band)

β–Ό #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+1.28% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

πŸ“ˆ PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 β†’ Q2 β†’ Q3 β†’ Current
Q1 (-3Q)
42
Grade D$2.90+0% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
39
Grade E$2.90-4.8% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
37
Grade E$2.76+1.4% Next Q
Current
34
Grade E$2.80-8.7% Hist 90D Ξ±
Trajectory: D (42) β†’ E (34)Full Audit β†’
βš”οΈ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

βš”οΈ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a JCTC Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk β†’

While JCTC currently carries a cautious 34/100 (E) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($2.90) and Max Pain ($2.94) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $3.49.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+1.28% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $JCTCβ€’ $2.4M Crowd Pool β€’ Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: β€œJCTC Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Nov 29, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 34%NO 66%Trade / Inspect Odds β†’
CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE
β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
Put/Call Ratio: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET
β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
No active options chain max-pain snapshot on file
HISTORICAL 20D VOLATILITY SWING
Β±6.9%
Derived from 20D OHLCV bars (No Active Options Snapshot)

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (JCTC)

β€” (No Active Options Snapshot) β€” No unusual CBOE strike concentration anomalies recorded in the current database snapshot for JCTC.

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Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring JCTC)

  • βœ“Walkthrough of JCTC's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • βœ“3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • βœ“Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
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JCTC // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +39.30%⚑ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-11-03O $2.82H $2.82L $2.72C $2.80VOL 3.4K
RES: $2.90SUP: $2.73SMA50: $2.90SMA200: $2.32
$3.43$2.99$2.54$2.10$1.66RES $2.90SUP $2.73$2.802026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

JCTC Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

πŸ¦‹ JCTC Butterfly Map β†’ + Track JCTC β†’
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -12.4% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on JCTC today. View full Setup Ledger β†’

πŸ¦‹ Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph β†’

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for JCTC. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for JCTC today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk β†’
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT β€’ SEC EDGAR XBRL Γ— RQD PEER BENCHMARK

πŸ“Š Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (JCTC)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #813 of 1009 βš”οΈ SMJF vs JCTC Full Matrix β†’

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (JCTC vs. SMJF, CAPS, OLOX, GRWG)

Industry: RETAIL: Building Materials (17 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Jewett-Cameron Trading Company (JCTC) ranks #813 by composite RQD confidence (34/100, grade E) and #924 by equity capitalization ($9.6M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, JCTC leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while JCTC leads on capital efficiency and profitability with -18.8% ROIC and 15.1% gross margin. JCTC currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 34/100 (E).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
JCTC ACTIVE
Jewett-Cameron Trading Company
E 34/100 β€” 15.1% -18.8% +3.13% $9.6M Benchmark Subject
SMJF
SMJ International Holdings Inc. (Class A)
E 29/100 β€” 34.6% β€” +1.94% $42.9M /smjf-vs-jctc β†’
CAPS
Capstone Holding Corp.
E 27/100 β€” 23.0% -35.0% -5.40% $2.0M /caps-vs-jctc β†’
OLOX
Olenox Industries Inc.
E 32/100 β€” -30.0% -35.0% -3.19% $1.3M /olox-vs-jctc β†’
GRWG
GrowGeneration Corp.
E 28/100 β€” 26.8% -30.1% +0.67% $88.4M /grwg-vs-jctc β†’

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K β€’ FILED 2025-08-31 β€’ CIK 0000885307 β†—

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-08-31), Jewett-Cameron Trading Company (JCTC) reported GAAP revenue of $41.3M (-12.4% vs. FY2024 revenue of $47.1M , and -23.9% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$4.1M, operating cash flow of -$6.6M, and free cash flow of -$6.7M (-213.7% YoY). On the balance sheet, JCTC closed FY2025 with $23.2M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 3.09, Piotroski F-Score: 1/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-08-31 $41.3M -$4.1M -$6.6M -$6.7M $23.2M β€”
FY2024 (FY) 2024-08-31 $47.1M $721.8K $6.0M $5.9M $26.7M β€”
FY2023 (FY) 2023-08-31 $54.3M -$20.6K $5.6M $5.6M β€” β€”

3. JCTC Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

βœ“ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is JCTC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Jewett-Cameron Trading Company (NASDAQ: JCTC) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 34/100 at a spot price of $2.80 (+3.13% 1D, market cap $9.6M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 4/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 11/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 3/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, JCTC ranks #813 in composite RQD confidence.

How does JCTC compare to SMJF and CAPS in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (RETAIL: Building Materials), JCTC carries a Roarable E (34/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 15.1%, and ROIC of -18.8%. By comparison, SMJF (SMJ International Holdings Inc. (Class A)) holds a E grade (29/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC β€”, cap $42.9M) and CAPS (Capstone Holding Corp.) posts a E grade (27/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $2.0M). Among the 5-stock peer group, JCTC leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while JCTC leads on capital efficiency (-18.8% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for JCTC?

Per JCTC's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-08-31, CIK 0000885307), Jewett-Cameron Trading Company generated $41.3M in revenue (-12.4% YoY), -$4.1M in net income, and -$6.7M in free cash flow against $23.2M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is JCTC trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

JCTC last traded at $2.80 (+3.13% on volume of 4,727 shares), positioning the stock -3.45% below its 50-day simple moving average ($2.90) and +20.69% above its 200-day simple moving average ($2.32). Across its 52-week range of $1.54 to $3.32, JCTC sits at the 70.8% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 41.2 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of Β±6.9% ($2.61 to $2.99).

Direct Sub-Reports: JCTC RQD Cockpit JCTC 12M Forecast JCTC Earnings & Move JCTC Dividends & DRIP JCTC Insiders & 13F JCTC Whale Options JCTC Profit Sankey JCTC News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF β€’ RQD 34/100 (E) βœ“ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

JCTC β€” Jewett-Cameron Trading Company: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-08-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Jewett-Cameron Trading Company (JCTC) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 34/100, corresponding to a E letter grade (Roarable Strong Sell) at a spot price of $2.80 (+3.13% 1D, market capitalization $9.6M).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (4/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of -18.8%, gross margin of 15.1%, operating margin of -9.1%, and free cash flow yield of β€”.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (8/20) + Insider Conviction (3/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (11/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (8/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 3.09, Piotroski F-Score of 1/9, and Debt/Equity of N/A.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Jewett-Cameron Trading Company (JCTC) is a NASDAQ-listed issuer in the Consumer Discretionary sector, operating in the RETAIL: Building Materials industry. β€” for product lines, customer base, and revenue model details beyond the sector classification. The market capitalization is listed at $0.0B in the profile, while market data shows $9.9M.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-08-31), Jewett-Cameron Trading Company (JCTC) reported $41.3M in annual revenue (up from $47.1M in FY2024, -12.4% YoY) and -$4.1M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($54.3M revenue, -$20.6K net income) through FY2025, JCTC scaled operating cash flow to -$6.6M and free cash flow to -$6.7M, backed by $23.2M in total assets against $0 in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • πŸ‚ Primary Bull Case (E β€’ RQD 34/100): Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of β€” and institutional whale pillar of 8/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 4/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 8/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $1.54 – $3.32 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh current valuation against -9.1% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

No upstream or downstream dependencies, sector correlations, or proprietary signals are mapped for JCTC. β€” for specific supplier, customer, or sector-correlation linkages.

  • Key Question #1: Can JCTC sustain or expand its -9.1% operating margin and -18.8% ROIC against RETAIL: Building Materials peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $41.3M and free cash flow of -$6.7M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $0 in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is JCTC's equity valuation to Consumer Discretionary capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

JCTC Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Jewett-Cameron Trading Company (JCTC) β€’ Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

πŸ’¬ Jump to JCTC Debate Forum (3) ↓
πŸ”₯ THE ROAR PIT β€’ LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

JCTC Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board β€” What's Your Call at $2.80?

πŸ‚ 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON JCTC 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on JCTC:
πŸ’‘ Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
QU QuantViper RQD DEBATE OPENER β€’ Systematic Momentum Desk πŸ‚ BULLISH 🎯 Target: $3.21 (+18.0%)
πŸ“Œ Pinned Debate

Balance-sheet metrics (Altman Z 3.09, Debt/Equity 0.5) and institutional accumulation signals provide some cushion while the stock trad

Here is why I am bullish on JCTC here at $2.72: Balance-sheet metrics (Altman Z 3.09, Debt/Equity 0.5) and institutional accumulation signals provide some cushion while the stock trades near the low end of its 52-week range at $2.82.. Compare JCTC's -9.1% operating margin and -18.8% ROIC against the rest of RETAIL: Building Materials. As long as cash conversion holds up, dips toward $2.58 are getting bought.

EarningsSniper πŸ‚ BULL

@ForensicBear Shorting a 8/20 institutional whale-flow stock at $2.72 is dangerous when funds are rotating into Consumer Discretionary.

FO ForensicBear RQD DEBATE OPENER β€’ 10-K Footnote Auditor 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $2.07 (-23.9%)
Spot @ $2.72

Revenue has fallen from $54.3M to $41.3M over two years, operating and net income turned negative in FY 2025, and ROIC is -18.8% with P

Revenue has fallen from $54.3M to $41.3M over two years, operating and net income turned negative in FY 2025, and ROIC is -18.8% with Piotroski F at 1/9.. Look at the math on JCTC: paying current EV/EBITDA multiples for -18.8% ROIC and -9.1% operating margins leaves zero margin of safety if RETAIL: Building Materials demand softens. I'd wait for a retest of $2.39 before getting long.

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