Does JD pay a dividend and is it safe?

JD.com Inc. (JD) offers a 4.31% cash dividend yield ($1.11 annualized) and 4.91% total shareholder yield including buybacks. Roarable rates its payout coverage as ELEVATED PAYOUT WATCH.

Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / JD / dividends

ULTA (84) DKS (55) FCFS (57) BBWI (81) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

JD.com Inc. (JD) Dividend Safety Gauge & 10-Year DRIP Compounder

$25.68 +0.20% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $25.64

JD.com Inc. (JD) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 30/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE E • RED ALERT Cap $34.51B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on JD Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude

🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is JD stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

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As of 2026-11-03, JD.com Inc. (NASDAQ: JD) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 30/100 at a spot price of $25.68 (+0.20% 1D, market cap $34.51B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 5/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 4/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 3/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, JD ranks #871 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does JD compare to ULTA and DKS in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Other Specialty Stores), JD carries a Roarable E (30/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 111.2x, gross margin of 16.0%, and ROIC of 0.9%. By comparison, ULTA (Ulta Beauty Inc.) holds a A- grade (84/100 RQD, P/E 24.0x, ROIC 29.2%, cap $27.38B) and DKS (Dick's Sporting Goods Inc) posts a D+ grade (55/100 RQD, P/E 14.9x, ROIC 11.2%, cap $12.79B). Among the 5-stock peer group, BBWI leads on earnings multiple (7.1x) while BBWI leads on capital efficiency (64.6% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for JD?

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Per JD's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001549802), JD.com Inc. generated $187.20B in revenue (+17.9% YoY), $0 in net income, and -$5.71B in free cash flow against $99.41B in total assets and $25.83B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $25.64 (-0.15%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 5/20 (E) • 0% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (30/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-9.6% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • E

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk D-

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-12.6% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for JD)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±3.7%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (30/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY JD SCORES 30/100 (E) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+12/20 pts (40% of score)

Altman Z-Score 2.55 (WATCH ZONE (1.8–3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 6/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+6/20 pts (20% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±3.7% realized swing band)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade E$26.68-3.3% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade E$25.79-1.3% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade E$25.45+0.9% Next Q

Current

Grade E$25.68-9.6% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: E (38) → E (30)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a JD Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While JD currently carries a cautious 30/100 (E) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($26.79) and Max Pain ($26.96) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $36.02.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $JD• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “JD Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 30%NO 70%Trade / Inspect Odds →

CASH DIVIDEND + BUYBACK YIELD

4.91% Total Yield

4.31% Cash ($1.11/yr) + 0.6% Buybacks

PAYOUT SAFETY SPEEDOMETER

41/100 • ELEVATED PAYOUT WATCH

FREE CASH FLOW PAYOUT RATIO

96% of FCF

8 consecutive years of payout growth

INTERACTIVE DRIP & SHAREHOLDER-YIELD COMPOUNDER (14.8% EST. ANNUAL)

$10,000 Compounded Over 10 Years → $39,757

Est. Year-10 Shareholder Yield: $1,952/yr

Starting Investment: $10,000

Compounding Horizon: 10 Years

$11.5K

Yr 1

$13.2K

Yr 2

$15.1K

Yr 3

$17.4K

Yr 4

$19.9K

Yr 5

$22.9K

Yr 6

$26.3K

Yr 7

$30.2K

Yr 8

$34.6K

Yr 9

$39.8K

Yr 10

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring JD)

✓Walkthrough of JD's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

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JD // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -14.51%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT

2026-11-03O $25.63H $25.68L $25.63C $25.68VOL 5.80M

RES: $32.67SUP: $25.10SMA50: $26.79SMA200: $28.54

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

JD Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 JD Butterfly Map → + Track JD →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle

48.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +17.9% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on JD today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for JD. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for JD today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (JD)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #871 of 1009 ⚔️ ULTA vs JD Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (JD vs. ULTA, DKS, FCFS, BBWI)

Industry: Other Specialty Stores (42 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, JD.com Inc. (JD) ranks #871 by composite RQD confidence (30/100, grade E) and #59 by equity capitalization ($34.51B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, BBWI leads on earnings valuation at 7.1x trailing P/E, while BBWI leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 64.6% ROIC and 43.7% gross margin. ULTA currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 84/100 (A-) compared with JD at 30/100 (E).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
JD ACTIVE JD.com Inc.	E	30/100	111.2x	16.0%	0.9%	+0.20%	$34.51B	Benchmark Subject
ULTA Ulta Beauty Inc.	A-	84/100	24.0x	39.1%	29.2%	-1.21%	$27.38B	/ulta-vs-jd →
DKS Dick's Sporting Goods Inc	D+	55/100	14.9x	32.9%	11.2%	+1.30%	$12.79B	/dks-vs-jd →
FCFS FirstCash Holdings Inc.	D+	57/100	24.4x	96.0%	7.3%	-3.50%	$7.77B	/fcfs-vs-jd →
BBWI Bath & Body Works Inc.	A-	81/100	7.1x	43.7%	64.6%	-0.04%	$4.59B	/bbwi-vs-jd →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001549802 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), JD.com Inc. (JD) reported GAAP revenue of $187.20B (+17.9% vs. FY2024 revenue of $158.76B , and +22.5% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $0, operating cash flow of $2.72B, and free cash flow of -$5.71B (-800.4% YoY). On the balance sheet, JD closed FY2025 with $99.41B in total assets against $25.83B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 2.55, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$187.20B	$0	$2.72B	-$5.71B	$99.41B	$25.83B
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$158.76B	$0	$7.96B	$814.9M	$95.66B	$23.73B
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$152.77B	$0	$8.38B	$1.51B	$183.33B	$42.90B

3. JD Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is JD stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does JD compare to ULTA and DKS in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for JD?

Where is JD trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

JD last traded at $25.68 (+0.20% on volume of 5,804,954 shares), positioning the stock -4.14% below its 50-day simple moving average ($26.79) and -10.02% below its 200-day simple moving average ($28.54). Across its 52-week range of $24.51 to $34.30, JD sits at the 12.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 40.4 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±3.7% ($24.73 to $26.63).

Direct Sub-Reports: JD RQD Cockpit JD 12M Forecast JD Earnings & Move JD Dividends & DRIP JD Insiders & 13F JD Whale Options JD Profit Sankey JD News & Why

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 30/100 (E) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

JD — JD.com Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit

Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

JD.com Inc. (JD) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 30/100, corresponding to a E letter grade (Roarable Strong Sell) at a spot price of $25.68 (+0.20% 1D, market capitalization $34.51B).

Fundamental Cash Engine (5/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 0.9%, gross margin of 16.0%, operating margin of 0.2%, and free cash flow yield of -16.57%.
Whale 13F & Options Flow (6/20) + Insider Conviction (3/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
Macro Regime Fit (4/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (12/20): Incorporates a 0.88x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 2.55, Piotroski F-Score of 6/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.75x.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

JD.com Inc. (JD) is a NASDAQ-listed operating company in the Other Specialty Stores industry (Consumer Discretionary sector) with an equity market capitalization of $34.51B. The business operates with a gross margin of 16%, an operating margin of 0.2%, and a return on invested capital (ROIC) of 0.9% (free cash flow yield of -16.57%). Within the Other Specialty Stores peer group, investor evaluation centers on operating leverage, unit margin durability, and capital allocation efficiency across market cycles.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), JD.com Inc. (JD) reported $187.20B in annual revenue (up from $158.76B in FY2024, +17.9% YoY) and $0 in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($152.77B revenue, $0 net income) through FY2025, JD scaled operating cash flow to $2.72B and free cash flow to -$5.71B, backed by $99.41B in total assets against $25.83B in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

🐂 Primary Bull Case (E • RQD 30/100): Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of -16.57% and institutional whale pillar of 6/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 5/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 6/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $24.51 – $34.30 52-week range.
🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh 111.2x trailing P/E and 5.1x EV/EBITDA against 0.2% operating margins and a 0.88x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Upstream and downstream dependencies, sector correlations, and second-order bottlenecks are therefore — The only sector context in the source data is the Consumer Discretionary classification and the Other Specialty Stores industry. Per the Seeking Alpha headline, the sluggish domestic consumption theme is the one macro ripple the feed explicitly raises.

Key Question #1: Can JD sustain or expand its 0.2% operating margin and 0.9% ROIC against Other Specialty Stores peers over the next 4 quarters?
Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $187.20B and free cash flow of -$5.71B, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $25.83B in total debt?
Key Question #3: How sensitive is JD's 93.4x forward P/E multiple to Consumer Discretionary capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 0.88x)?

JD Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for JD.com Inc. (JD) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to JD Debate Forum (3) ↓

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo! Finance Canada • 1d ago

JD.com, Inc. (JD) Stock Price, News, Quote & History

Yahoo! Finance Canada report covering JD.com Inc. (JD) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Investing.com • 1d ago

Why is JD.com stock sliding today?

Investing.com report covering JD.com Inc. (JD) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Seeking Alpha • 1d ago

JD.com: China's Sluggish Domestic Consumption May Render It A Value Trap (NASDAQ:JD)

Seeking Alpha report covering JD.com Inc. (JD) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🔴 RISK WATCH Yahoo Finance • 1d ago

JD.com, Inc. (JD) Stock Falls Amid Market Uptick: What Investors Need to Know

Yahoo Finance report covering JD.com Inc. (JD) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🔴 RISK WATCH Investing.com • 1d ago

US Tiger Securities cuts JD.com stock price target on Q4 uncertainty

Investing.com report covering JD.com Inc. (JD) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 1d ago

JD.com (JD) Stock May Be Undervalued On Fresh Ceconomy Deal News

Yahoo Finance report covering JD.com Inc. (JD) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 1d ago

JD.com, Inc. (JD) Advances While Market Declines: Some Information for Investors

Yahoo Finance report covering JD.com Inc. (JD) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

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🟢 CATALYST Yahoo Finance • 1d ago

Is It Worth Investing in JD.com (JD) Based on Wall Street's Bullish Views?

Yahoo Finance report covering JD.com Inc. (JD) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

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🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

JD Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $25.68?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON JD 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION

QU QuantViper RQD DEBATE OPENER • Systematic Momentum Desk 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $31.33 (+22.0%)

📌 Pinned Debate

Debt fell from $42.90B in FY 2023 to $25.83B in FY 2025 while the Altman Z-Score of 2.55 and Piotroski F-Score of 6/9 signal a comp

Picked up a starter position in JD in my $100K Virtual Cash book at $25.68. Debt fell from $42.90B in FY 2023 to $25.83B in FY 2025 while the Altman Z-Score of 2.55 and Piotroski F-Score of 6/9 signal a comparatively sound balance sheet.. Trading inside a $24.51–$34.30 52-week range with -16.57% FCF yield gives solid downside support if Other Specialty Stores multiples expand this quarter.

RetailWhale_TX 🐂 BULL

Both sides have a point here — JD's 12/20 balance sheet score keeps downside contained, so the real swing factor next earnings call is backlog and FCF conversion.

ME MeanReversion_88 RQD DEBATE OPENER • Quantitative Statistical Arb 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $22.08 (-14.0%)

Spot @ $25.68

Free cash flow turned to -$5.71B in FY 2025 and the FCF yield is -16.57% against an ROIC of 0.9%, leaving little cash-based support f

Careful chasing JD at $25.68. Free cash flow turned to -$5.71B in FY 2025 and the FCF yield is -16.57% against an ROIC of 0.9%, leaving little cash-based support for the stock.. Gross margin is 16.0%, but operating margin is 0.2%, which shows SG&A and reinvestment are eating into bottom-line EPS. Target $22.08 on multiple compression.