ROARABLE
FREE $100K
My Trading Account →
▾
Trading Profile Active
Active Trader
Verified Trader
⚡ My $100K Trading Account → ★ My Saved Watchlist →
🟢 My $100K Account → Today Screener Big Ideas Track Record 💰 $100K Arena 🎲 Predictions 🏛️ Insiders 8 Analysts
Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / JMIA / forecast
BWMX (52) HNST (48) DDL (53) HEPS (56) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

Jumia Technologies AG each representing two (JMIA) 12-Month Stock Forecast & Price Target Cone

$5.25 +1.74% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $5.26

Jumia Technologies AG each representing two (JMIA) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 43/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D- • SELL / AVOID Cap $689.5M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on JMIA Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is JMIA stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
▼

As of 2026-11-03, Jumia Technologies AG each representing two (NYSE: JMIA) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 43/100 at a spot price of $5.25 (+1.74% 1D, market cap $689.5M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 6/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 9/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, JMIA ranks #685 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does JMIA compare to BWMX and HNST in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
▼

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Catalog/Specialty Distribution), JMIA carries a Roarable D- (43/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, BWMX (Betterware de Mexico S.A.P.I. de C.V.) holds a D+ grade (52/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $664.1M) and HNST (The Honest Company Inc.) posts a D grade (48/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -18.2%, cap $447.4M). Among the 5-stock peer group, DDL leads on earnings multiple (13.8x) while DDL leads on capital efficiency (65.3% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for JMIA?
▼

For Jumia Technologies AG each representing two (JMIA), key quantitative strengths include Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity and sector rank #685 in Consumer Discretionary, while primary risk factors center on Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately and Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $5.26 (+0.12%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) • 0.5% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (43/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-6.7% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D-
025507510043
Quant Analyst Panel Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR RQD RADARRw D- · Rk D
Cash (12)Whales (3)SEC (13)Macro (6)CEO (9)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-6.7% Base Target
$15 Bull$5 Base$4 Bear
📬 FREE JMIA RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for JMIA)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±11.1%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (43/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY JMIA SCORES 43/100 (D-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+13/20 pts (30% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+12/20 pts (28% of score)

SEC XBRL Trailing 12 Months: 0.5% FCF Margin ($19.3M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-16 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
51
Grade C-$5.91-2% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
48
Grade D$5.79-4% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
46
Grade D$5.56-5.6% Next Q
Current
43
Grade D-$5.25-6.7% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C- (51) → D- (43)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a JMIA Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While JMIA currently carries a cautious 43/100 (D-) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($6.55) and Max Pain ($5.51) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $15.46.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $JMIA• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “JMIA Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Upcoming Quarter) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 43%NO 57%Trade / Inspect Odds →
INTERACTIVE 12-MONTH POSITION SIMULATOR

Drag to Test Your JMIA Position Size: $10,000

Shares at $5.25: 1904.8 sh
$1,000$10,000$25,000$50,000$100,000
12M Bear Case FloorTarget $3.82
$7,276
$-2,724 (-27.2%)
12M Consensus BaseTarget $4.90
$9,333
$-667 (-6.7%)
12M Bull Case BreakoutTarget $15.46
$29,448
+$19,448 (+194.5%)

Wall Street Analyst Breakdown & Historical Accuracy Audit (35 Desks)

Street Historical Accuracy: 64/100
● Strong Buy / Buy: 17● Hold: 9● Sell: 9
Wall Street FirmStance12M Target1Y AccuracyTrack Grade
Morgan StanleyInstitutional Equity DeskHOLD$574%A
Goldman SachsSector Coverage LeadUNDERPERFORM$1569%B
JP MorganUS Large-Cap ResearchSELL$458%C
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring JMIA)

  • ✓Walkthrough of JMIA's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena
JMIA // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -21.76%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-11-03O $5.61H $5.61L $5.16C $5.25VOL 3.15M
RES: $7.69SUP: $4.95SMA50: $6.55SMA200: $7.38
$10.21$8.79$7.37$5.95$4.53RES $7.69SUP $4.95$5.252026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

JMIA Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 JMIA Butterfly Map → + Track JMIA →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on JMIA today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for JMIA. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for JMIA today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (JMIA)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #685 of 1009 ⚔️ BWMX vs JMIA Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (JMIA vs. BWMX, HNST, DDL, HEPS)

Industry: Catalog/Specialty Distribution (29 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Jumia Technologies AG each representing two (JMIA) ranks #685 by composite RQD confidence (43/100, grade D-) and #550 by equity capitalization ($689.5M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, DDL leads on earnings valuation at 13.8x trailing P/E, while DDL leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 65.3% ROIC and — gross margin. HEPS currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 56/100 (D+) compared with JMIA at 43/100 (D-).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
JMIA ACTIVE
Jumia Technologies AG each representing two
D- 43/100 — — — +1.74% $689.5M Benchmark Subject
BWMX
Betterware de Mexico S.A.P.I. de C.V.
D+ 52/100 — — — +3.92% $664.1M /bwmx-vs-jmia →
HNST
The Honest Company Inc.
D 48/100 — 33.3% -18.2% +3.12% $447.4M /hnst-vs-jmia →
DDL
Dingdong (Cayman) Limited (each two representing three )
D+ 53/100 13.8x — 65.3% +2.13% $444.1M /ddl-vs-jmia →
HEPS
D-Market Electronic Services & Trading
D+ 56/100 — — — +0.36% $1.18B /heps-vs-jmia →

2. JMIA Fundamental Profitability, Capital Efficiency & Balance-Sheet Forensics

TRAILING 12M & FORWARD QUANTITATIVE SNAPSHOT

Jumia Technologies AG each representing two (JMIA) operates in Catalog/Specialty Distribution (Consumer Discretionary) with an equity capitalization of $689.5M, trailing P/E of N/A, forward P/E of N/A, and EV/EBITDA of N/A. Operating profitability registers a gross margin of —, operating margin of —, net profit margin of —, ROIC of —, and free cash flow yield of —, alongside an Altman Z-Score of N/A and Piotroski F-Score of N/A.

3. JMIA Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is JMIA stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Jumia Technologies AG each representing two (NYSE: JMIA) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 43/100 at a spot price of $5.25 (+1.74% 1D, market cap $689.5M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 6/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 9/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, JMIA ranks #685 in composite RQD confidence.

How does JMIA compare to BWMX and HNST in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Catalog/Specialty Distribution), JMIA carries a Roarable D- (43/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, BWMX (Betterware de Mexico S.A.P.I. de C.V.) holds a D+ grade (52/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $664.1M) and HNST (The Honest Company Inc.) posts a D grade (48/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -18.2%, cap $447.4M). Among the 5-stock peer group, DDL leads on earnings multiple (13.8x) while DDL leads on capital efficiency (65.3% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for JMIA?

For Jumia Technologies AG each representing two (JMIA), key quantitative strengths include Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity and sector rank #685 in Consumer Discretionary, while primary risk factors center on Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately and Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is JMIA trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

JMIA last traded at $5.25 (+1.74% on volume of 1,319,774 shares), positioning the stock -19.85% below its 50-day simple moving average ($6.55) and -28.86% below its 200-day simple moving average ($7.38). Across its 52-week range of $4.97 to $14.72, JMIA sits at the 2.9% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 33.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±11.1% ($4.67 to $5.83).

Direct Sub-Reports: JMIA RQD Cockpit JMIA 12M Forecast JMIA Earnings & Move JMIA Dividends & DRIP JMIA Insiders & 13F JMIA Whale Options JMIA Profit Sankey JMIA News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 43/100 (D-) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

JMIA — Jumia Technologies AG each representing two: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2026-11-03

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Jumia Technologies AG each representing two (JMIA) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 43/100, corresponding to a D- letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $5.25 (+1.74% 1D, market capitalization $689.5M).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (12/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of —, gross margin of —, operating margin of —, and free cash flow yield of —.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (3/20) + Insider Conviction (9/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (6/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (13/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of N/A, Piotroski F-Score of N/A, and Debt/Equity of N/A.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Jumia Technologies AG each representing two (JMIA) operates in the Catalog/Specialty Distribution industry (Consumer Discretionary sector) with an equity capitalization of $689.5M, gross margin of —, operating margin of —, and return on invested capital (ROIC) of —.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (D- • RQD 43/100): Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of — and institutional whale pillar of 3/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 12/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 3/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $4.97 – $14.72 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh current valuation against — operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Operating in Catalog/Specialty Distribution (Consumer Discretionary), JMIA carries a macro regime beta of 1.00 and gross margin of —.

  • Key Question #1: Can JMIA sustain or expand its — operating margin and — ROIC against Catalog/Specialty Distribution peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Will free cash flow conversion (— FCF yield) strengthen balance-sheet liquidity (Altman Z-Score N/A) toward the $14.72 52-week high?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is JMIA's equity valuation to Consumer Discretionary capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

JMIA Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Jumia Technologies AG each representing two (JMIA) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to JMIA Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

JMIA Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $5.25?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON JMIA 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on JMIA:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
CA CashFlowKing RQD DEBATE OPENER • FCF Compounder Hunter 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $6.30 (+22.1%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Forensic balance sheet pillar scores 13/20 with Altman Z of 2.5, Piotroski F of 6/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.5, the strongest pillar in th

Picked up a starter position in JMIA in my $100K Virtual Cash book at $5.16. Forensic balance sheet pillar scores 13/20 with Altman Z of 2.5, Piotroski F of 6/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.5, the strongest pillar in the rating.. Trading inside a $4.97–$14.72 52-week range with 0.0% FCF yield gives solid downside support if Catalog/Specialty Distribution multiples expand this quarter.

RetailWhale_TX 🐂 BULL

@BearTrap_Alert Shorting a 3/20 institutional whale-flow stock at $5.16 is dangerous when funds are rotating into Consumer Discretionary.

BE BearTrap_Alert RQD DEBATE OPENER • Cycle Peak Watcher 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $4.28 (-17.1%)
Spot @ $5.16

Whale 13F flow pillar scores only 3/20 and ROIC and FCF yield are both 0%, signaling weak institutional support and no measurable cash

Fading this rally in JMIA at $5.16. Whale 13F flow pillar scores only 3/20 and ROIC and FCF yield are both 0%, signaling weak institutional support and no measurable cash return.. With a beta of 1.0 and the stock sitting at $5.16 (52-wk range $4.97–$14.72), the easy multiple expansion is already priced in.

LIVE TAPE