Yahoo Finance report covering Keel Infrastructure Corp. (KEEL) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Why KEEL Stock dropped -10.82% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Keel Infrastructure Corp. (KEEL) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 22/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief)
Is KEEL stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Keel Infrastructure Corp. (NASDAQ: KEEL) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 22/100 at a spot price of $2.06 (-10.82% 1D, market cap $1.27B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 7/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 4/20, Executive Insider Alignment 5/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 3/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, KEEL ranks #1079 in composite RQD confidence.
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief)
How does KEEL compare to SECZ and WD in the Financials sector?
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Within the Financials sector (Finance: Consumer Services), KEEL carries a Roarable E (22/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -10.4%. By comparison, SECZ (Securitize Corp.) holds a D- grade (43/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $1.23B) and WD (Walker & Dunlop Inc) posts a D- grade (36/100 RQD, P/E 21.2x, ROIC 3.2%, cap $1.19B). Among the 5-stock peer group, ATLC leads on earnings multiple (12.3x) while PWP leads on capital efficiency (55.7% ROIC).
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief)
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for KEEL?
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Per KEEL's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001812477), Keel Infrastructure Corp. generated $229.3M in revenue (+72.0% YoY), -$284.5M in net income, and -$226.6M in free cash flow against $1.30B in total assets and $572.4M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0% FCF Margin ($0 FCF) & 52% Gross Margin
Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 3/9
Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a KEEL Turnaround Squeeze
While KEEL currently carries a cautious 22/100 (E) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.
Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.
Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($3.13) and Max Pain ($2.16) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $7.74.
Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.
Why KEEL Stock dropped -10.82% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Keel Infrastructure Corp. (KEEL) dropped -10.82% to $2.06, trading at 7% of its 52-week range ($1.68 – $7.37). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-10% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 7% of its 52-week range ($1.68 – $7.37) with RSI-14 at 34 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±12.5% around $2.06 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable E (Strong Sell) backed by 52% gross margin and $0 annual free cash flow.
Investing.com report covering Keel Infrastructure Corp. (KEEL) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Seeking Alpha report covering Keel Infrastructure Corp. (KEEL) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo! Finance Canada report covering Keel Infrastructure Corp. (KEEL) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Capmad report covering Keel Infrastructure Corp. (KEEL) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MarketBeat report covering Keel Infrastructure Corp. (KEEL) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Investing.com report covering Keel Infrastructure Corp. (KEEL) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Simply Wall St report covering Keel Infrastructure Corp. (KEEL) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
The fair value estimate for Keel Infrastructure has shifted from US$6.55 to US$6.14, signalling a reset in the modelled price target for the stock. Analysts link this change to a more cautious view on funding costs and e
Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring KEEL)
- ✓Walkthrough of KEEL's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
- ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
- ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
KEEL Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
vs. +72.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on KEEL today. View full Setup Ledger →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for KEEL. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (KEEL)
1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (KEEL vs. SECZ, WD, ATLC, PWP)
Industry: Finance: Consumer Services (156 Tracked Issuers)Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Keel Infrastructure Corp. (KEEL) ranks #1079 by composite RQD confidence (22/100, grade E) and #512 by equity capitalization ($1.27B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, ATLC leads on earnings valuation at 12.3x trailing P/E, while PWP leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 55.7% ROIC and — gross margin. ATLC currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 65/100 (C) compared with KEEL at 22/100 (E).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KEEL
ACTIVE
Keel Infrastructure Corp. | E | 22/100 | — | — | -10.4% | -10.82% | $1.27B | Benchmark Subject |
| SECZ Securitize Corp. | D- | 43/100 | — | — | — | -10.32% | $1.23B | /secz-vs-keel → |
| WD Walker & Dunlop Inc | D- | 36/100 | 21.2x | — | 3.2% | +0.23% | $1.19B | /wd-vs-keel → |
| ATLC Atlanticus Holdings Corporation | C | 65/100 | 12.3x | — | 19.8% | -4.78% | $1.42B | /atlc-vs-keel → |
| PWP Perella Weinberg Partners (Class A) | D | 51/100 | 28.4x | — | 55.7% | +5.21% | $1.43B | /pwp-vs-keel → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001812477In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Keel Infrastructure Corp. (KEEL) reported GAAP revenue of $229.3M (+72.0% vs. FY2024 revenue of $133.3M , and +90.4% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$284.5M, operating cash flow of -$226.6M, and free cash flow of -$226.6M (-59.9% YoY). On the balance sheet, KEEL closed FY2025 with $1.30B in total assets against $572.4M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 3/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $229.3M | -$284.5M | -$226.6M | -$226.6M | $1.30B | $572.4M |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $133.3M | -$28.4M | -$141.7M | -$141.7M | $663.1M | $1.4M |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $120.4M | -$55.5M | -$106.9M | -$106.9M | — | — |
3. KEEL Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs KEEL stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-03, Keel Infrastructure Corp. (NASDAQ: KEEL) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 22/100 at a spot price of $2.06 (-10.82% 1D, market cap $1.27B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 7/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 4/20, Executive Insider Alignment 5/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 3/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, KEEL ranks #1079 in composite RQD confidence.
How does KEEL compare to SECZ and WD in the Financials sector?
Within the Financials sector (Finance: Consumer Services), KEEL carries a Roarable E (22/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -10.4%. By comparison, SECZ (Securitize Corp.) holds a D- grade (43/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $1.23B) and WD (Walker & Dunlop Inc) posts a D- grade (36/100 RQD, P/E 21.2x, ROIC 3.2%, cap $1.19B). Among the 5-stock peer group, ATLC leads on earnings multiple (12.3x) while PWP leads on capital efficiency (55.7% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for KEEL?
Per KEEL's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001812477), Keel Infrastructure Corp. generated $229.3M in revenue (+72.0% YoY), -$284.5M in net income, and -$226.6M in free cash flow against $1.30B in total assets and $572.4M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is KEEL trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
KEEL last traded at $2.06 (-10.82% on volume of 33,791,119 shares), positioning the stock -34.19% below its 50-day simple moving average ($3.13) and -40.12% below its 200-day simple moving average ($3.44). Across its 52-week range of $1.68 to $7.37, KEEL sits at the 6.7% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 34.0 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($1.80 to $2.32).
KEEL Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is KEEL stock moving today?
Why KEEL Stock dropped -10.82% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-10% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
KEEL — Keel Infrastructure Corp.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor
Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor
Per the Roarable RQD rating, KEEL scores 22 out of 100 with a letter grade of E, labeled "Roarable Strong Sell — Forensic Risk / Avoid." The five pillars, each scored out of 20, are:
- Fundamental Cash Engine: 7 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, this reflects ROIC of -10.4% and an FCF yield of -15.88%. For a prospective investor, negative returns on invested capital and negative free-cash-flow yield mean the business is not currently converting capital into surplus cash, so valuation support must come from future operating change rather than present cash generation.
- Whale 13F Flow: 4 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, this pillar covers institutional accumulation and options positioning. The source data contains no holder detail to explain the score beyond the grade itself, so the investor implication is limited to the observation that institutional signal is weak.
- Insider Conviction: 3 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, this pillar covers SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow. A low score indicates insider flow is not providing a conviction signal in support of the stock.
- Macro Regime Fit: 3 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, beta is 1.0 with sector sensitivity noted. A beta of 1.0 means the stock is expected to move roughly with the market; the low pillar score indicates the current regime is not favorable for this profile.
- Forensic Balance Sheet: 5 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, Altman Z is 2.5, Piotroski F is 3/9, and Debt/Equity is 0.5. These figures combine to flag elevated forensic risk and weak financial-health signals.
Taken together, the investor takeaway is that the upside case depends on a turnaround in operating economics that the current numbers do not yet show, while downside risks from negative margins, negative FCF, and a weak forensic profile are prominent. Valuation tradeoffs are difficult to assess because earnings-based multiples are not available in the source data. The rating is an analytical summary and not personalized financial advice.
Business
Keel Infrastructure Corp. is a NASDAQ-listed issuer classified in the Financials sector and the Finance: Consumer Services industry, per the company profile. Revenue for FY 2025 was $229.3M per the SEC financials, indicating a business with reported top-line activity. The source data does not describe the products or services sold, the customer base, or the specific revenue model.
Financial Trend
| Period | Revenue | Operating Income | Net Income | EPS | FCF | Cash | Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY 2025 | $229.3M | $-149.6M | $-284.5M | N/A | $-226.6M | N/A | $572.4M |
| FY 2024 | $133.3M | $-28.0M | $-28.4M | N/A | $-141.7M | N/A | $1.4M |
| FY 2023 | $120.4M | $-50.0M | $-55.5M | N/A | $-106.9M | N/A | N/A |
Per the SEC financials, revenue grew from $120.4M in FY 2023 to $229.3M in FY 2025, while operating and net losses widened over the same span, with FY 2025 net loss at $-284.5M. Per the market data, the gross margin is 0%, the operating margin is -60%, and the net margin is -60%, and ROIC is -10.4%. Per the Roarable RQD rating, the Altman Z-Score is 2.5 and the Piotroski F-Score is 3/9. Debt rose from $1.4M in FY 2024 to $572.4M in FY 2025 per the SEC financials, and the Debt/Equity ratio is 0.5 per the Roarable RQD rating.
Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis
Per the recent news feed, KEEL is covered across several outlets. Headlines reference a 157% run that "lingers," a stock that is "sliding," and a Seeking Alpha piece on whether the value of its power pipeline "depends on what it can monetize." A Capmad report states that the stock slides after the company announces a 5 November Q3 earnings release. A MarketBeat report indicates the stock falls 5%. Items are tagged YELLOW except the MarketBeat item, which is tagged RED under RISK WATCH. The butterfly supply-chain graph contains no proprietary signals and no links.
Open Questions
- What is the company's specific product and customer mix that generates the reported revenue, and how does it relate to the "power pipeline" referenced in the news feed?
- What drove the widening of the FY 2025 net loss to $-284.5M and the increase in debt to $572.4M, and what is the financing structure?
- Are the cash balances for any period available, since cash is N/A across all reported periods?
- What is the basis for the 157% run referenced in news coverage, and how does it reconcile with the -10.4% ROIC?
- What are the upcoming Q3 earnings expectations and how do they compare with the reported trajectory?
KEEL Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire
Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Keel Infrastructure Corp. (KEEL) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below
Yahoo Finance report covering Keel Infrastructure Corp. (KEEL) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Investing.com report covering Keel Infrastructure Corp. (KEEL) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Seeking Alpha report covering Keel Infrastructure Corp. (KEEL) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo! Finance Canada report covering Keel Infrastructure Corp. (KEEL) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Capmad report covering Keel Infrastructure Corp. (KEEL) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MarketBeat report covering Keel Infrastructure Corp. (KEEL) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Investing.com report covering Keel Infrastructure Corp. (KEEL) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Simply Wall St report covering Keel Infrastructure Corp. (KEEL) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
KEEL Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $2.06?
🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is KEEL (E • RQD 22/100) a Buy at $2.31?
Welcome to the KEEL (Keel Infrastructure Corp.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 22/100 (Roarable Strong Sell — Forensic Risk / Avoid) in Finance: Consumer Services. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.
Pump the brakes on KEEL — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds
Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on KEEL, but look at what you are paying: current EV/EBITDA multiples with tightening sector spreads. Unless Keel Infrastructure Corp. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.
KEEL cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here
Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on KEEL, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Finance: Consumer Services and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $2.31 (52-wk range $1.68 - $7.37), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.