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Kolibri Global Energy Inc. (KGEI) Options Positioning, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$6.31 -3.07% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $6.26

Kolibri Global Energy Inc. (KGEI) carries a Roarable Rating of C (Hold) with 63/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

ROARABLE C • HOLD / WATCH Cap $234.0M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on KGEI Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is KGEI stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
▼

As of 2026-11-03, Kolibri Global Energy Inc. (NASDAQ: KGEI) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 63/100 at a spot price of $6.31 (-3.07% 1D, market cap $234.0M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 15/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 14/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 9/20. Across 211 tracked Energy issuers, KGEI ranks #80 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does KGEI compare to RGCO and PED in the Energy sector?
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Within the Energy sector (Oil & Gas Production), KGEI carries a Roarable C (63/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, RGCO (RGC Resources Inc.) holds a C grade (64/100 RQD, P/E 18.0x, ROIC 5.7%, cap $240.1M) and PED (Pedevco Corp.) posts a D grade (48/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -3.0%, cap $203.2M). Among the 5-stock peer group, RGCO leads on earnings multiple (18.0x) while RGCO leads on capital efficiency (5.7% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for KGEI?
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For Kolibri Global Energy Inc. (KGEI), key quantitative strengths include Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side and sector rank #80 in Energy, while primary risk factors center on Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately and implied 5-year growth hurdle of 8.0%/yr. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $6.26 (-0.74%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) • 0.2% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 63/100 (C) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.9% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 54.8% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C
025507510063
Quant Analyst Panel Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR RQD RADARRw C- · Rk C+
Cash (12)Whales (15)SEC (13)Macro (14)CEO (9)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+2.2% Base Target
$8 Bull$6 Base$5 Bear
📬 FREE KGEI RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for KGEI)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±8.1%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (63/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY KGEI SCORES 63/100 (C) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+15/20 pts (24% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±8.1% realized swing band)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+14/20 pts (22% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 74% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 42.9 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution9/20 pts (-11 pt drag)

Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 11 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
71
Grade B$6.39+9.9% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
68
Grade B-$7.02+2.1% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
66
Grade B-$7.17-12% Next Q
Current
63
Grade C$6.31+0.9% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: B (71) → C (63)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the KGEI Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 63/100 (C) score, KGEI faces multiple-compression risk if current valuation multiples re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($6.58) or 200D SMA ($5.40) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($6.45) toward Bear Floor ($5.03).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $KGEI• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “KGEI Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Upcoming Quarter) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE
— (No Active Options Snapshot)
Put/Call Ratio: — (No Active Options Snapshot)
MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET
— (No Active Options Snapshot)
No active options chain max-pain snapshot on file
HISTORICAL 20D VOLATILITY SWING
±8.1%
Derived from 20D OHLCV bars (No Active Options Snapshot)

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (KGEI)

— (No Active Options Snapshot) — No unusual CBOE strike concentration anomalies recorded in the current database snapshot for KGEI.

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Whale Flow & Momentum Playbook: Evaluating KGEI & AI Leaders Without Chasing Tops

  • ✓Institutional whale strikes & implied earnings move audit on KGEI
  • ✓How disciplined traders manage risk using pre-published trigger & invalidation levels
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on tracked leaders
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
KGEI // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +10.70%▲ ASCENDING CHANNEL
2026-11-04O $7.18H $7.18L $6.31C $6.31VOL 289.5K
RES: $7.46SUP: $6.00SMA50: $6.58SMA200: $5.40
$7.57$6.73$5.89$5.05$4.21RES $7.46SUP $6.00$6.312026-05-052026-06-182026-08-052026-09-212026-11-04
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

KGEI Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on KGEI today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for KGEI. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for KGEI today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (KGEI)

1. Head-to-Head Energy Peer Comparison (KGEI vs. RGCO, PED, EPSN, FTW)

Industry: Oil & Gas Production (106 Tracked Issuers)

Across 211 tracked Energy securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Kolibri Global Energy Inc. (KGEI) ranks #80 by composite RQD confidence (63/100, grade C) and #171 by equity capitalization ($234.0M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, RGCO leads on earnings valuation at 18.0x trailing P/E, while RGCO leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 5.7% ROIC and — gross margin. EPSN currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 66/100 (C+) compared with KGEI at 63/100 (C).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
KGEI ACTIVE
Kolibri Global Energy Inc.
C 63/100 — — — -3.07% $234.0M Benchmark Subject
RGCO
RGC Resources Inc.
C 64/100 18.0x — 5.7% -2.08% $240.1M /rgco-vs-kgei →
PED
Pedevco Corp.
D 48/100 — — -3.0% -0.52% $203.2M /ped-vs-kgei →
EPSN
Epsilon Energy Ltd. Common Share
C+ 66/100 — — -7.2% -3.48% $182.9M /epsn-vs-kgei →
FTW
Presidio Production Company (Class A)
D 51/100 — — — -0.40% $316.9M /ftw-vs-kgei →

2. KGEI Fundamental Profitability, Capital Efficiency & Balance-Sheet Forensics

TRAILING 12M & FORWARD QUANTITATIVE SNAPSHOT

Kolibri Global Energy Inc. (KGEI) operates in Oil & Gas Production (Energy) with an equity capitalization of $234.0M, trailing P/E of N/A, forward P/E of N/A, and EV/EBITDA of N/A. Operating profitability registers a gross margin of —, operating margin of —, net profit margin of —, ROIC of —, and free cash flow yield of —, alongside an Altman Z-Score of N/A and Piotroski F-Score of N/A.

3. KGEI Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is KGEI stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Kolibri Global Energy Inc. (NASDAQ: KGEI) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 63/100 at a spot price of $6.31 (-3.07% 1D, market cap $234.0M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 15/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 14/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 9/20. Across 211 tracked Energy issuers, KGEI ranks #80 in composite RQD confidence.

How does KGEI compare to RGCO and PED in the Energy sector?

Within the Energy sector (Oil & Gas Production), KGEI carries a Roarable C (63/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, RGCO (RGC Resources Inc.) holds a C grade (64/100 RQD, P/E 18.0x, ROIC 5.7%, cap $240.1M) and PED (Pedevco Corp.) posts a D grade (48/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -3.0%, cap $203.2M). Among the 5-stock peer group, RGCO leads on earnings multiple (18.0x) while RGCO leads on capital efficiency (5.7% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for KGEI?

For Kolibri Global Energy Inc. (KGEI), key quantitative strengths include Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side and sector rank #80 in Energy, while primary risk factors center on Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately and implied 5-year growth hurdle of 8.0%/yr. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is KGEI trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

KGEI last traded at $6.31 (-3.07% on volume of 98,449 shares), positioning the stock -4.10% below its 50-day simple moving average ($6.58) and +16.85% above its 200-day simple moving average ($5.40). Across its 52-week range of $3.35 to $7.37, KGEI sits at the 73.6% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 42.9 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±8.1% ($5.80 to $6.82).

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 63/100 (C) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

KGEI — Kolibri Global Energy Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2026-11-03

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Kolibri Global Energy Inc. (KGEI) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 63/100, corresponding to a C letter grade (Roarable Hold) at a spot price of $6.31 (-3.07% 1D, market capitalization $234.0M).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (12/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of —, gross margin of —, operating margin of —, and free cash flow yield of —.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (15/20) + Insider Conviction (9/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (14/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (13/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of N/A, Piotroski F-Score of N/A, and Debt/Equity of N/A.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Kolibri Global Energy Inc. (KGEI) is a NASDAQ-listed issuer in the Energy sector, Oil & Gas Production industry. The profile does not describe its specific products, customers, or revenue model. — for the remaining business detail.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (C • RQD 63/100): Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side. Free cash flow yield of — and institutional whale pillar of 15/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 12/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 15/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $3.35 – $7.37 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh current valuation against — operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Upstream and downstream dependencies are therefore — Sector correlation beyond the stated beta of 1.0 is — The only cross-name reference in the news feed is the Murphy Oil (MUR) 52-week-high item, which suggests sector-level strength in Oil & Gas Production but does not establish a dependency. Investors should watch for any future disclosure of KGEI's production inputs, pipeline or midstream access, and commodity-price exposure, none of which appear in the source data.

  • Key Question #1: Can KGEI sustain or expand its — operating margin and — ROIC against Oil & Gas Production peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Will free cash flow conversion (— FCF yield) strengthen balance-sheet liquidity (Altman Z-Score N/A) toward the $7.37 52-week high?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is KGEI's equity valuation to Energy capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

KGEI Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Kolibri Global Energy Inc. (KGEI) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to KGEI Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

KGEI Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $6.31?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON KGEI 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on KGEI:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
DE DeltaGamma_99 RQD DEBATE OPENER • Options Flow Specialist 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $9.48 (+32.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

The balance sheet screens as steady (Altman Z 2.5, Piotroski F 6/9, Debt/Equity 0.5) while the stock trades near the upper end of its 5

Long KGEI at $7.18 targeting $9.48. The balance sheet screens as steady (Altman Z 2.5, Piotroski F 6/9, Debt/Equity 0.5) while the stock trades near the upper end of its 52-week range.. Institutional whale score is 15/20 and the risk/reward vs. the $3.35 52-week low is skewed heavily in favor of bulls.

VolSurface_Trader 🐂 BULL

@RiskArb_Desk Shorting a 15/20 institutional whale-flow stock at $7.18 is dangerous when funds are rotating into Energy.

RI RiskArb_Desk RQD DEBATE OPENER • Hedged Event Driven 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $5.74 (-20.1%)
Spot @ $7.18

The rating records 0% ROIC and 0% FCF yield with a weak insider-conviction score of 9/20, leaving no demonstrated cash return to suppor

I respect the product at Kolibri Global Energy Inc., but the stock at $7.18 is a different story. The rating records 0% ROIC and 0% FCF yield with a weak insider-conviction score of 9/20, leaving no demonstrated cash return to support the price.. FCF yield is 0.0% and RQD sits at 63/100 (C) — why pay up here when you can wait for next quarter's numbers?

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