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Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / KLC / earnings
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KinderCare Learning Companies Inc. (KLC) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±11.9% Move

$2.05 +0.99% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $2.05

KinderCare Learning Companies Inc. (KLC) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 24/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE E • RED ALERT Cap $240.6M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is KLC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, KinderCare Learning Companies Inc. (NYSE: KLC) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 24/100 at a spot price of $2.05 (+0.99% 1D, market cap $240.6M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 9/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 5/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 5/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 3/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, KLC ranks #952 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does KLC compare to EVI and FC in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
▼

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Other Consumer Services), KLC carries a Roarable E (24/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -1.0%. By comparison, EVI (EVI Industries Inc.) holds a C- grade (59/100 RQD, P/E 37.3x, ROIC 5.4%, cap $273.7M) and FC (Franklin Covey Company) posts a D+ grade (52/100 RQD, P/E 68.0x, ROIC 12.4%, cap $204.4M). Among the 5-stock peer group, TPVG leads on earnings multiple (3.8x) while TPVG leads on capital efficiency (13.9% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for KLC?
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Per KLC's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-01-03, CIK 0001873529), KinderCare Learning Companies Inc. generated $2.73B in revenue (+2.6% YoY), -$112.9M in net income, and $110.3M in free cash flow against $3.75B in total assets and $917.9M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $2.05 (-0.01%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+1.28% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 9/20 (D) • 4% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (24/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-10.9% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • E
025507510024
3-of-3 Quant Analysts Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR RQD RADARRw E · Rk E
Cash (9)Whales (5)SEC (3)Macro (5)CEO (3)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-15.1% Base Target
$6 Bull$2 Base$1 Bear
📬 FREE KLC RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for KLC)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±11.9%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (24/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY KLC SCORES 24/100 (E) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+9/20 pts (38% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 4% FCF Margin ($110.3M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+5/20 pts (21% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±11.9% realized swing band)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+1.28% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
16
Grade E$1.84-7.6% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
19
Grade E$1.70+11.8% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
21
Grade E$1.90+7.9% Next Q
Current
24
Grade E$2.05-10.9% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: E (16) → E (24)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a KLC Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While KLC currently carries a cautious 24/100 (E) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($2.13) and Max Pain ($2.15) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $6.34.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+1.28% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $KLC• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “KLC Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Jan 2, 2027) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 24%NO 76%Trade / Inspect Odds →
NEXT EST. WINDOW: Jan 2, 2027 (~59 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±11.9% Swing Band

±$0.24 Expected Swing
$1.81 (-11.9%)Spot $2.05$2.29 (+11.9%)
MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

KLC Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 24/100

Trailing EPS: $4.25 • YoY Revenue Growth: 2.6%

Model Bullish Setup (24/100)Model Risk Weight (76/100)
Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).
LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

PeriodFiledRevenueNet ProfitFree Cash FlowGross Margin
FY 20252026-01-03$2.73B-$112.9M$110.3M52%
FY 20242025-12-28$2.66B-$92.8M-$16.4M52%
FY 20232024-12-30$2.51B$102.6M$303.5M52%
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring KLC)

  • ✓Walkthrough of KLC's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
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KLC // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -48.49%▲ RESISTANCE BREAKOUT
2026-11-03O $2.05H $2.05L $2.03C $2.05VOL 1.03M
RES: $2.02SUP: $1.42SMA50: $2.13SMA200: $3.47
$5.90$4.74$3.59$2.43$1.27RES $2.02SUP $1.42$2.052026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

KLC Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 KLC Butterfly Map → + Track KLC →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +2.6% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on KLC today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for KLC. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for KLC today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (KLC)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #952 of 1009 ⚔️ EVI vs KLC Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (KLC vs. EVI, FC, TPVG, ABLV)

Industry: Other Consumer Services (73 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, KinderCare Learning Companies Inc. (KLC) ranks #952 by composite RQD confidence (24/100, grade E) and #666 by equity capitalization ($240.6M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, TPVG leads on earnings valuation at 3.8x trailing P/E, while TPVG leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 13.9% ROIC and — gross margin. ABLV currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 66/100 (C+) compared with KLC at 24/100 (E).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
KLC ACTIVE
KinderCare Learning Companies Inc.
E 24/100 — — -1.0% +0.99% $240.6M Benchmark Subject
EVI
EVI Industries Inc.
C- 59/100 37.3x 30.4% 5.4% +4.00% $273.7M /evi-vs-klc →
FC
Franklin Covey Company
D+ 52/100 68.0x 76.2% 12.4% -4.14% $204.4M /fc-vs-klc →
TPVG
TriplePoint Venture Growth BDC Corp.
D- 40/100 3.8x — 13.9% +1.55% $184.4M /tpvg-vs-klc →
ABLV
Able View Global Inc. (Class B)
C+ 66/100 — 11.3% -5.5% -8.18% $155.2M /ablv-vs-klc →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2026-01-03 • CIK 0001873529 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2026-01-03), KinderCare Learning Companies Inc. (KLC) reported GAAP revenue of $2.73B (+2.6% vs. FY2024 revenue of $2.66B , and +8.9% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$112.9M, operating cash flow of $238.5M, and free cash flow of $110.3M (+770.9% YoY). On the balance sheet, KLC closed FY2025 with $3.75B in total assets against $917.9M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.69, Piotroski F-Score: 3/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2026-01-03 $2.73B -$112.9M $238.5M $110.3M $3.75B $917.9M
FY2024 (FY) 2025-12-28 $2.66B -$92.8M $115.9M -$16.4M $3.65B $918.7M
FY2023 (FY) 2024-12-30 $2.51B $102.6M $303.5M $303.5M — —

3. KLC Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is KLC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, KinderCare Learning Companies Inc. (NYSE: KLC) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 24/100 at a spot price of $2.05 (+0.99% 1D, market cap $240.6M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 9/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 5/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 5/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 3/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, KLC ranks #952 in composite RQD confidence.

How does KLC compare to EVI and FC in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Other Consumer Services), KLC carries a Roarable E (24/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -1.0%. By comparison, EVI (EVI Industries Inc.) holds a C- grade (59/100 RQD, P/E 37.3x, ROIC 5.4%, cap $273.7M) and FC (Franklin Covey Company) posts a D+ grade (52/100 RQD, P/E 68.0x, ROIC 12.4%, cap $204.4M). Among the 5-stock peer group, TPVG leads on earnings multiple (3.8x) while TPVG leads on capital efficiency (13.9% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for KLC?

Per KLC's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-01-03, CIK 0001873529), KinderCare Learning Companies Inc. generated $2.73B in revenue (+2.6% YoY), -$112.9M in net income, and $110.3M in free cash flow against $3.75B in total assets and $917.9M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is KLC trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

KLC last traded at $2.05 (+0.99% on volume of 713,598 shares), positioning the stock -3.76% below its 50-day simple moving average ($2.13) and -40.92% below its 200-day simple moving average ($3.47). Across its 52-week range of $1.63 to $6.04, KLC sits at the 9.5% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 52.5 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±11.9% ($1.81 to $2.29).

Direct Sub-Reports: KLC RQD Cockpit KLC 12M Forecast KLC Earnings & Move KLC Dividends & DRIP KLC Insiders & 13F KLC Whale Options KLC Profit Sankey KLC News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 24/100 (E) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

KLC — KinderCare Learning Companies Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2026-01-03

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

KinderCare Learning Companies Inc. (KLC) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 24/100, corresponding to a E letter grade (Roarable Strong Sell) at a spot price of $2.05 (+0.99% 1D, market capitalization $240.6M).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (9/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of -1.0%, gross margin of —, operating margin of -0.7%, and free cash flow yield of —.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (5/20) + Insider Conviction (3/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (5/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (3/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 0.69, Piotroski F-Score of 3/9, and Debt/Equity of 1.22x.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

KinderCare Learning Companies Inc. (KLC) is listed on the NYSE and classified under the Consumer Discretionary sector and the Other Consumer Services industry. The company's profile identifies it as a child care provider. Revenue for FY 2025 was $2.73B .

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2026-01-03), KinderCare Learning Companies Inc. (KLC) reported $2.73B in annual revenue (up from $2.66B in FY2024, +2.6% YoY) and -$112.9M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($2.51B revenue, $102.6M net income) through FY2025, KLC scaled operating cash flow to $238.5M and free cash flow to $110.3M, backed by $3.75B in total assets against $917.9M in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (E • RQD 24/100): Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of — and institutional whale pillar of 5/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 9/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 5/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $1.63 – $6.04 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh current valuation against -0.7% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

The supply chain is NONE, with no upstream or downstream links recorded and no proprietary signals. The sector and industry classification (Consumer Discretionary / Other Consumer Services) is the only structural context provided.

  • Key Question #1: Can KLC sustain or expand its -0.7% operating margin and -1.0% ROIC against Other Consumer Services peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $2.73B and free cash flow of $110.3M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $917.9M in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is KLC's equity valuation to Consumer Discretionary capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

KLC Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for KinderCare Learning Companies Inc. (KLC) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to KLC Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

KLC Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $2.05?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON KLC 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on KLC:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
AL AlphaFlow_Cap RQD DEBATE OPENER • Verified $100K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $2.33 (+14.8%)
📌 Pinned Debate

FY 2025 free cash flow of $110.3M and cash of $133.2M show the business generated cash even as it reported an operating loss.

FY 2025 free cash flow of $110.3M and cash of $133.2M show the business generated cash even as it reported an operating loss.. When you look under the hood at KLC, Fundamental Cash Engine is 9/20 with 0.0% gross margins and -1.0% ROIC. Bears are staring in the rearview mirror while institutional 13F flow (5/20) has been quietly accumulating below $6.04. My 12M target is $2.33.

ArenaChamp_24 🐂 BULL

@AlphaFlow_Cap Agree on the RQD 24/100 quality, though with 1.0 beta I'm scaling in with half-size at $2.03 and keeping dry powder in case we test $1.89.

FO ForensicBear RQD DEBATE OPENER • 10-K Footnote Auditor 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $1.71 (-15.8%)
Spot @ $2.03

A 0.69 Altman Z-Score, 3 of 9 Piotroski F-Score, and -1% ROIC point to forensic balance-sheet and returns stress.

Here is the bear case nobody on the bull side wants to address on KLC: A 0.69 Altman Z-Score, 3 of 9 Piotroski F-Score, and -1% ROIC point to forensic balance-sheet and returns stress.. At current EV/EBITDA multiples, even a small guidance miss in Other Consumer Services triggers a 12-15% air pocket.

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