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Kopin Corporation (KOPN) Options Positioning, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$3.44 -9.23% NASDAQ β€’ Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $3.38

Kopin Corporation (KOPN) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 28/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE E β€’ RED ALERT Cap $704.5M
πŸ“€ Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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πŸ€– Mara Quenwick β€’ AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is KOPN stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
β–Ό

As of 2026-11-03, Kopin Corporation (NASDAQ: KOPN) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 28/100 at a spot price of $3.44 (-9.23% 1D, market cap $704.5M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 5/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 7/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 3/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 3/20. Across 715 tracked Technology issuers, KOPN ranks #621 in composite RQD confidence.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Ellis Vennor β€’ AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does KOPN compare to AOSL and DQ in the Technology sector?
β–Ό

Within the Technology sector (Semiconductors), KOPN carries a Roarable E (28/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of β€”, and ROIC of -20.8%. By comparison, AOSL (Alpha and Omega Semiconductor Limited) holds a E grade (29/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -3.6%, cap $696.4M) and DQ (DAQO New Energy Corp. each representing five) posts a E grade (25/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -6.0%, cap $728.8M). Among the 5-stock peer group, KOPN leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while CSIQ leads on capital efficiency (2.4% ROIC).

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Gideon Ashmere β€’ AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for KOPN?
β–Ό

Per KOPN's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-27, CIK 0000771266), Kopin Corporation generated $39.3M in revenue (-21.9% YoY), $2.5M in net income, and -$17.0M in free cash flow against $108.4M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists β€” not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
πŸ›‘οΈ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $3.38 (-1.85%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)βš™οΈ Cash Engine: 5/20 (E) β€’ 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit β†’
πŸ“Š Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (28/100 Β· E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-10.0% avg 90D alpha vs SPY β€’ 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record β†’
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT β€’ E
025507510028
3-of-3 Quant Analysts Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) β€” not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR RQD RADARRw E Β· Rk E
Cash (5)Whales (7)SEC (10)Macro (3)CEO (3)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-13.4% Base Target
$7 Bull$3 Base$2 Bear
πŸ“¬ FREE KOPN RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot on file for KOPN)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: Β±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (28/100 Composite)
πŸ” WHY KOPN SCORES 28/100 (E) β€” TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
β–² #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+10/20 pts (36% of score)

Altman Z-Score 7.78 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) β€’ Piotroski F-Score 3/9

β–² #2 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+7/20 pts (25% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (Β±12.5% realized swing band)

β–Ό #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

πŸ“ˆ PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 β†’ Q2 β†’ Q3 β†’ Current
Q1 (-3Q)
36
Grade E$4.22-18.7% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
33
Grade E$3.43+9.6% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
31
Grade E$3.76-8.5% Next Q
Current
28
Grade E$3.44-10% Hist 90D Ξ±
Trajectory: E (36) β†’ E (28)Full Audit β†’
βš”οΈ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

βš”οΈ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a KOPN Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk β†’

While KOPN currently carries a cautious 28/100 (E) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($4.30) and Max Pain ($3.61) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $6.94.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $KOPNβ€’ $4.8M Crowd Pool β€’ Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: β€œKOPN Beats Next Quarterly Revenue & EPS Consensus + Hyperscaler AI CapEx Holds Record Pace”
CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE
β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
Put/Call Ratio: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET
β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
No active options chain max-pain snapshot on file
HISTORICAL 20D VOLATILITY SWING
Β±12.5%
Derived from 20D OHLCV bars (No Active Options Snapshot)

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (KOPN)

β€” (No Active Options Snapshot) β€” No unusual CBOE strike concentration anomalies recorded in the current database snapshot for KOPN.

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Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring KOPN)

  • βœ“Walkthrough of KOPN's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • βœ“3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • βœ“Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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KOPN // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -23.04%β–Ό DESCENDING CHANNEL
2026-11-03O $4.03H $4.03L $3.44C $3.44VOL 3.21M
RES: $4.69SUP: $2.86SMA50: $4.30SMA200: $3.80
$6.89$5.72$4.55$3.39$2.22RES $4.69SUP $2.86$3.442026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

KOPN Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -21.9% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on KOPN today. View full Setup Ledger β†’

πŸ¦‹ Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph β†’

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for KOPN. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for KOPN today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk β†’
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT β€’ SEC EDGAR XBRL Γ— RQD PEER BENCHMARK

πŸ“Š Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (KOPN)

1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (KOPN vs. AOSL, DQ, CSIQ, TE)

Industry: Semiconductors (95 Tracked Issuers)

Across 715 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Kopin Corporation (KOPN) ranks #621 by composite RQD confidence (28/100, grade E) and #390 by equity capitalization ($704.5M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, KOPN leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while CSIQ leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 2.4% ROIC and 18.3% gross margin. TE currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 35/100 (D-) compared with KOPN at 28/100 (E).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
KOPN ACTIVE
Kopin Corporation
E 28/100 β€” β€” -20.8% -9.23% $704.5M Benchmark Subject
AOSL
Alpha and Omega Semiconductor Limited
E 29/100 β€” 23.1% -3.6% -7.53% $696.4M /aosl-vs-kopn β†’
DQ
DAQO New Energy Corp. each representing five
E 25/100 β€” -20.7% -6.0% -3.25% $728.8M /dq-vs-kopn β†’
CSIQ
Canadian Solar Inc. (ON)
E 22/100 β€” 18.3% 2.4% +1.62% $628.0M /csiq-vs-kopn β†’
TE
T1 Energy Inc.
D- 35/100 β€” 7.4% -35.0% -5.18% $808.6M /te-vs-kopn β†’

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K β€’ FILED 2025-12-27 β€’ CIK 0000771266 β†—

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-27), Kopin Corporation (KOPN) reported GAAP revenue of $39.3M (-21.9% vs. FY2024 revenue of $50.3M , and -2.7% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $2.5M, operating cash flow of -$15.5M, and free cash flow of -$17.0M (-12.9% YoY). On the balance sheet, KOPN closed FY2025 with $108.4M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 7.78, Piotroski F-Score: 3/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-27 $39.3M $2.5M -$15.5M -$17.0M $108.4M β€”
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-28 $50.3M -$43.9M -$14.2M -$15.0M $70.8M β€”
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-30 $40.4M -$19.7M -$15.3M -$15.3M β€” β€”

3. KOPN Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

βœ“ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is KOPN stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Kopin Corporation (NASDAQ: KOPN) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 28/100 at a spot price of $3.44 (-9.23% 1D, market cap $704.5M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 5/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 7/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 3/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 3/20. Across 715 tracked Technology issuers, KOPN ranks #621 in composite RQD confidence.

How does KOPN compare to AOSL and DQ in the Technology sector?

Within the Technology sector (Semiconductors), KOPN carries a Roarable E (28/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of β€”, and ROIC of -20.8%. By comparison, AOSL (Alpha and Omega Semiconductor Limited) holds a E grade (29/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -3.6%, cap $696.4M) and DQ (DAQO New Energy Corp. each representing five) posts a E grade (25/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -6.0%, cap $728.8M). Among the 5-stock peer group, KOPN leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while CSIQ leads on capital efficiency (2.4% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for KOPN?

Per KOPN's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-27, CIK 0000771266), Kopin Corporation generated $39.3M in revenue (-21.9% YoY), $2.5M in net income, and -$17.0M in free cash flow against $108.4M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is KOPN trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

KOPN last traded at $3.44 (-9.23% on volume of 3,054,812 shares), positioning the stock -20.00% below its 50-day simple moving average ($4.30) and -9.47% below its 200-day simple moving average ($3.80). Across its 52-week range of $1.81 to $6.61, KOPN sits at the 34.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 46.0 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of Β±12.5% ($3.01 to $3.87).

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF β€’ RQD 28/100 (E) βœ“ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

KOPN β€” Kopin Corporation: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-27

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Kopin Corporation (KOPN) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 28/100, corresponding to a E letter grade (Roarable Strong Sell) at a spot price of $3.44 (-9.23% 1D, market capitalization $704.5M).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (5/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of -20.8%, gross margin of β€”, operating margin of -25.1%, and free cash flow yield of -2.27%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (7/20) + Insider Conviction (3/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (3/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (10/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 7.78, Piotroski F-Score of 3/9, and Debt/Equity of N/A.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Kopin Corporation is a NASDAQ-listed issuer in the Technology sector, Semiconductors industry. The profile does not describe its product lines, customers, or revenue model, so specific offerings and end markets are β€” The company's reported revenue base appears in the SEC financials section, with FY 2025 revenue of $39.3M. The supply-chain graph lists no linked entities.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-27), Kopin Corporation (KOPN) reported $39.3M in annual revenue (up from $50.3M in FY2024, -21.9% YoY) and $2.5M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($40.4M revenue, -$19.7M net income) through FY2025, KOPN scaled operating cash flow to -$15.5M and free cash flow to -$17.0M, backed by $108.4M in total assets against $0 in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • πŸ‚ Primary Bull Case (E β€’ RQD 28/100): Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of -2.27% and institutional whale pillar of 7/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 5/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 7/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $1.81 – $6.61 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh current valuation against -25.1% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Upstream suppliers, downstream customers, and sector correlations are β€” The sector is Technology and industry is Semiconductors, but the source does not map Kopin's position within that chain. A prospective investor should watch whether defense-related contract wins, such as the Army display headline, translate into sustained revenue given the negative operating income history; the source does not establish that linkage.

  • Key Question #1: Can KOPN sustain or expand its -25.1% operating margin and -20.8% ROIC against Semiconductors peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $39.3M and free cash flow of -$17.0M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $0 in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is KOPN's equity valuation to Technology capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

KOPN Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Kopin Corporation (KOPN) β€’ Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

πŸ’¬ Jump to KOPN Debate Forum (3) ↓
πŸ”₯ THE ROAR PIT β€’ LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

KOPN Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board β€” What's Your Call at $3.44?

πŸ‚ 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON KOPN 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on KOPN:
πŸ’‘ Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
MI MidwestValue RQD DEBATE OPENER β€’ Fundamental Long-Only πŸ‚ BULLISH 🎯 Target: $4.66 (+23.0%)
πŸ“Œ Pinned Debate

A reported $18.6M Army display contract win and a strong Altman Z-Score of 7.78 give the stock a defense-revenue catalyst and a healthy

The street is overcomplicating Kopin Corporation (KOPN). A reported $18.6M Army display contract win and a strong Altman Z-Score of 7.78 give the stock a defense-revenue catalyst and a healthy balance-sheet cushion.. With an RQD score of 28/100 (E) and Forensic Balance Sheet at 10/20, any positive earnings surprise or guidance raise forces underweight funds to chase above $4.09.

VolSurface_Trader πŸ‚ BULL

Both sides have a point here β€” KOPN's 10/20 balance sheet score keeps downside contained, so the real swing factor next earnings call is backlog and FCF conversion.

MU MultipleCompression RQD DEBATE OPENER β€’ Valuation Discipline 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $3.07 (-19.0%)
Spot @ $3.79

Negative ROIC of -20.8%, negative free cash flow in every reported year, and a Piotroski F-Score of 3/9 indicate the business is not ye

Careful chasing KOPN at $3.79. Negative ROIC of -20.8%, negative free cash flow in every reported year, and a Piotroski F-Score of 3/9 indicate the business is not yet generating returns on its capital.. Gross margin is 0.0%, but operating margin is -25.1%, which shows SG&A and reinvestment are eating into bottom-line EPS. Target $3.07 on multiple compression.

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