Karman Holdings Inc. (KRMN) β€” RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$39.95 -4.17% NYSE β€’ Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $39.57

Karman Holdings Inc. (KRMN) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 46/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D β€’ SELL / AVOID Cap $5.53B
πŸ“€ Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚑ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW β€’ $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on KRMN Below β€” or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
πŸ€– Mara Quenwick β€’ AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is KRMN stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
β–Ό

As of 2026-11-02, Karman Holdings Inc. (NYSE: KRMN) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 46/100 at a spot price of $39.95 (-4.17% 1D, market cap $5.53B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, Executive Insider Alignment 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 5/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 6/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, KRMN ranks #276 in composite RQD confidence.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Ellis Vennor β€’ AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does KRMN compare to GVA and ROAD in the Industrials sector?
β–Ό

Within the Industrials sector (Military/Government/Technical), KRMN carries a Roarable D (46/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 40.3%, and ROIC of 8.8%. By comparison, GVA (Granite Construction Incorporated) holds a C+ grade (67/100 RQD, P/E 27.6x, ROIC 13.8%, cap $5.33B) and ROAD (Construction Partners Inc.) posts a D grade (50/100 RQD, P/E 51.7x, ROIC 6.9%, cap $5.26B). Among the 5-stock peer group, GVA leads on earnings multiple (27.6x) while GVA leads on capital efficiency (13.8% ROIC).

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Gideon Ashmere β€’ AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for KRMN?
β–Ό

Per KRMN's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0002040127), Karman Holdings Inc. generated $471.5M in revenue (+36.6% YoY), $17.4M in net income, and -$42.5M in free cash flow against $1.10B in total assets and $324.6M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists β€” not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
πŸ›‘οΈ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $39.57 (-0.94%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+1.64% YoY Shares)βš™οΈ Cash Engine: 8/20 (D-) β€’ 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit β†’
πŸ“Š Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (46/100 Β· D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-6.1% avg 90D alpha vs SPY β€’ 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record β†’
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID β€’ D
025507510046
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) β€” not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- Β· Rk D+
Cash (8)Whales (11)SEC (16)Macro (5)CEO (6)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-5.4% Base Target
$124 Bull$38 Base$29 Bear
πŸ“¬ FREE KRMN RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot on file for KRMN)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: Β±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (46/100 Composite)
πŸ” WHY KRMN SCORES 46/100 (D) β€” TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
β–² #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+16/20 pts (35% of score)

Altman Z-Score 5.47 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) β€’ Piotroski F-Score 6/9

β–² #2 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+11/20 pts (24% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (Β±12.5% realized swing band)

β–Ό #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit5/20 pts (-15 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (65) create a -15 pt regime headwind

πŸ“ˆ PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 β†’ Q2 β†’ Q3 β†’ Current
Q1 (-3Q)
38
Grade E$30.15+16.2% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
41
Grade D$35.03+7.7% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
43
Grade D$37.73+5.9% Next Q
Current
46
Grade D$39.95-6.1% Hist 90D Ξ±
Trajectory: E (38) β†’ D (46)Full Audit β†’
βš”οΈ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

βš”οΈ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a KRMN Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk β†’

While KRMN currently carries a cautious 46/100 (D) rating due to Macro Regime Fit (5/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($36.64) and Max Pain ($41.95) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $124.30.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+1.64% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $KRMNβ€’ $2.4M Crowd Pool β€’ Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: β€œKRMN Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
RSI-14 MOMENTUMBULLISH MOMENTUM
6530 Oversold Β· 70 Hot
ALTMAN-Z SHIELDFORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)
5.47>3.0 Fortress Safe
PIOTROSKI F-SCORESOLID CORE (5–6)
6 / 99-Pt Accounting
52-WEEK LASER RANGE12% OF RANGE
L: $29$39.95H: $118
1. Money & Cash Health● WEAK
Are profits real cash in the bank?

Weak cash conversion or heavy valuation strain compared to actual cash earned.

Factor Grade: D-RQD 8 / 20
2. Big Money & Insiders● TRIMMING
Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Insiders and big institutional desks have been trimming shares rather than stepping up to buy.

Factor Grade: D-RQD 17 / 40
3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WARNING
SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

High sensitivity to tight interest rates or new risk warnings added to recent SEC annual filings.

Factor Grade: D+RQD 21 / 40
MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning on KRMN

Cash & Moat Bull AI
ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model
BEARISH (40)

8.8% ROIC with 40.3% gross margin and -0.77% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI
10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard
BULLISH (80)

Altman-Z 5.47 and Piotroski 6/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI
Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq
BEARISH (37)

17/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 5/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like KRMN
  • βœ“Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs.
Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong
  • !Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.
  • !Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP β€’ SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring KRMN)

  • βœ“Walkthrough of KRMN's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • βœ“3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • βœ“Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
KRMN // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -38.84%β–Ό DESCENDING CHANNEL
2026-11-02O $37.98H $41.69L $37.98C $39.95VOL 3.31M
RES: $57.60SUP: $26.92SMA50: $36.64SMA200: $63.14
$92.02$75.03$58.04$41.06$24.07RES $57.60SUP $26.92$39.952026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

KRMN Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
48.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +36.6% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on KRMN today. View full Setup Ledger β†’

πŸ¦‹ Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph β†’

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for KRMN. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for KRMN today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk β†’
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT β€’ SEC EDGAR XBRL Γ— RQD PEER BENCHMARK

πŸ“Š Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (KRMN)

1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (KRMN vs. GVA, ROAD, LOAR, MWH)

Industry: Military/Government/Technical (43 Tracked Issuers)

Across 485 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Karman Holdings Inc. (KRMN) ranks #276 by composite RQD confidence (46/100, grade D) and #138 by equity capitalization ($5.53B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, GVA leads on earnings valuation at 27.6x trailing P/E, while GVA leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 13.8% ROIC and 16.1% gross margin. GVA currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 67/100 (C+) compared with KRMN at 46/100 (D).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
KRMN ACTIVE
Karman Holdings Inc.
D 46/100 β€” 40.3% 8.8% -4.17% $5.53B Benchmark Subject
GVA
Granite Construction Incorporated
C+ 67/100 27.6x 16.1% 13.8% +1.59% $5.33B /gva-vs-krmn β†’
ROAD
Construction Partners Inc.
D 50/100 51.7x 15.6% 6.9% -2.08% $5.26B /road-vs-krmn β†’
LOAR
Loar Holdings Inc.
C- 60/100 β€” 52.7% 4.7% -4.17% $6.07B /loar-vs-krmn β†’
MWH
SOLV Energy Inc. (Class A)
D 44/100 β€” β€” β€” -4.12% $4.91B /mwh-vs-krmn β†’

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K β€’ FILED 2025-12-31 β€’ CIK 0002040127

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Karman Holdings Inc. (KRMN) reported GAAP revenue of $471.5M (+36.6% vs. FY2024 revenue of $345.3M , and +68.0% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $17.4M, operating cash flow of -$22.1M, and free cash flow of -$42.5M (-472.6% YoY). On the balance sheet, KRMN closed FY2025 with $1.10B in total assets against $324.6M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 5.47, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $471.5M $17.4M -$22.1M -$42.5M $1.10B $324.6M
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $345.3M $12.7M $26.6M $11.4M $774.0M $260.1M
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $280.7M $4.4M $20.3M $7.7M $3.04B $711.1M

3. KRMN Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

βœ“ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is KRMN stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, Karman Holdings Inc. (NYSE: KRMN) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 46/100 at a spot price of $39.95 (-4.17% 1D, market cap $5.53B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, Executive Insider Alignment 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 5/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 6/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, KRMN ranks #276 in composite RQD confidence.

How does KRMN compare to GVA and ROAD in the Industrials sector?

Within the Industrials sector (Military/Government/Technical), KRMN carries a Roarable D (46/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 40.3%, and ROIC of 8.8%. By comparison, GVA (Granite Construction Incorporated) holds a C+ grade (67/100 RQD, P/E 27.6x, ROIC 13.8%, cap $5.33B) and ROAD (Construction Partners Inc.) posts a D grade (50/100 RQD, P/E 51.7x, ROIC 6.9%, cap $5.26B). Among the 5-stock peer group, GVA leads on earnings multiple (27.6x) while GVA leads on capital efficiency (13.8% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for KRMN?

Per KRMN's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0002040127), Karman Holdings Inc. generated $471.5M in revenue (+36.6% YoY), $17.4M in net income, and -$42.5M in free cash flow against $1.10B in total assets and $324.6M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is KRMN trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

KRMN last traded at $39.95 (-4.17% on volume of 2,292,963 shares), positioning the stock +9.03% above its 50-day simple moving average ($36.64) and -36.73% below its 200-day simple moving average ($63.14). Across its 52-week range of $29.34 to $118.38, KRMN sits at the 11.9% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 65.0 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of Β±12.5% ($34.96 to $44.94).

KRMN Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS β€’ SEC EDGAR Γ— CBOE Γ— FRED

Should I buy, hold, or sell KRMN stock right now?

Karman Holdings Inc. (KRMN) currently earns a Roarable Rating of D (Sell β€” SELL) with 46/100 RQD Confidence. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (9% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

What is KRMN's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

KRMN's 12-month base price target is $37.79 (range $29.48 to $124.3), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF β€’ RQD 46/100 (D) βœ“ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

KRMN β€” Karman Holdings Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:20:10Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, KRMN scores 46 out of 100, grade D, labeled "Roarable Sell β€” Underperform / Distribution Warning." The five pillars are: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20 (ROIC 8.8%; FCF yield -0.77%); Whale 13F Flow 11/20 (institutional accumulation and options positioning); Insider Conviction 6/20 (SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow); Macro Regime Fit 5/20 (Beta 0.96; sector sensitivity); and Forensic Balance Sheet 16/20 (Altman Z 5.47; Piotroski F 6/9; Debt/Equity 0.79). The weakest pillars are Macro Regime Fit and Fundamental Cash Engine, which together suggest the stock's cash generation and sector positioning are not currently supporting its price. The strongest pillar is Forensic Balance Sheet, indicating that solvency-related metrics are comparatively sound. For a prospective investor, the upside case rests on balance-sheet resilience and the institutional-flow signal, while the valuation tradeoff is significant: per the market data, EV/EBITDA is 64.2 and free cash flow yield is negative, meaning the current price is not backed by present cash generation. Negative insider-conviction and macro-fit scores point to a limited set of confirming signals behind the price move.

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025$471.5M$72.9M$17.4MN/A$-42.5M$34.0M$324.6M
FY 2024$345.3M$63.6M$12.7MN/A$11.4M$11.5M$260.1M
FY 2023$280.7M$48.5M$4.4MN/A$7.7MN/A$711.1M

Per the market data, gross margin is 40.3%, operating margin 15.5%, and net margin 3.7%, with ROIC at 8.8%. Per the Roarable RQD rating, the Altman Z-Score is 5.47 and the Piotroski F-Score is 6/9, with Debt/Equity of 0.79. Reported revenue rose from $280.7M (FY 2023) to $471.5M (FY 2025), while FY 2025 free cash flow turned to $-42.5M from $11.4M in FY 2024. Debt is shown at $324.6M for FY 2025 after $711.1M in FY 2023.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Per the recent news feed, six items are tagged to KRMN, all flagged YELLOW and classed as MARKET WIRE: a Yahoo Finance report on fair value edging lower as analysts trim multiples; a Seeking Alpha report on a rally of 11% after a three-session slide; a Yahoo Finance valuation question; a Simply Wall St stock forecast and analyst prediction piece; a Globe and Mail report on a Macquarie rating; and a MarketBeat report on a consensus price target of $88.09. The headlines point to a valuation debate centered on multiple compression versus analyst target levels. Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, no supply chain is mapped and no proprietary signals are recorded.

Open Questions

  • What are KRMN's specific products, customers, and revenue model? The source data gives only sector and industry labels.
  • What drove the reported revenue growth from $280.7M to $471.5M, and what explains the FY 2025 free cash flow decline to $-42.5M?
  • What is the trailing and forward earnings base? EPS and P/E are not available in source data.
  • Which institutional holders and insiders are involved in the 13F and Form 4 flow referenced in the RQD pillars? The holders section is empty.
  • What is the FY 2023 cash balance and what drove debt from $711.1M to $324.6M across the period?

KRMN Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Karman Holdings Inc. (KRMN) β€’ Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

πŸ’¬ Jump to KRMN Debate Forum (3) ↓
πŸ”₯ THE ROAR PIT β€’ LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

KRMN Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board β€” What's Your Call at $39.95?

πŸ‚ 50% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON KRMN 🐻 50% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on KRMN:
πŸ’‘ Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk βš–οΈ DEBATE HOST 🎯 Target: $45.03 (+8.0%)
πŸ“Œ Pinned Debate

πŸ”₯ Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is KRMN (D β€’ RQD 46/100) a Buy at $41.69?

Welcome to the KRMN (Karman Holdings Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 46/100 (Roarable Sell β€” Underperform / Distribution Warning) in Military/Government/Technical. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (πŸ‚ Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

VA ValDiscipline Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $32.10 (-23.0%)
Spot @ $41.69

Pump the brakes on KRMN β€” check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on KRMN, but look at what you are paying: current EV/EBITDA multiples with 40.3% gross margins. Unless Karman Holdings Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

AL AlphaFlow_Cap Verified K Arena Trader πŸ‚ BULLISH 🎯 Target: $50.44 (+21.0%)
Spot @ $41.69

KRMN cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on KRMN, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Military/Government/Technical and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $41.69 (52-wk range $29.34 - $118.38), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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