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MYE (61) SWIM (57) NWL (40) CMT (48) ⌘ Pro Terminal β†’

Karat Packaging Inc. (KRT) Insider, 13F Hedge Fund & Politician Buy/Sell Thermometer

$53.04 -1.72% NASDAQ β€’ Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $53.00

Karat Packaging Inc. (KRT) earns a Roarable Rating of B+ (Buy) with 78/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (36.8% gross margin, 29% return on capital) with steady institutional support. The company’s underlying cash engine and institutional positioning keep the composite score in the Green Buy zone.

ROARABLE B+ β€’ BUY Cap $1.08B
πŸ“€ Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚑ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW β€’ $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on KRT Below β€” or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
πŸ€– Mara Quenwick β€’ AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is KRT stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
β–Ό

As of 2026-11-03, Karat Packaging Inc. (NASDAQ: KRT) is rated B+ (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 78/100 at a spot price of $53.04 (-1.72% 1D, market cap $1.08B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 17/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 15/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 18/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 16/20. Across 486 tracked Industrials issuers, KRT ranks #8 in composite RQD confidence.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Ellis Vennor β€’ AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does KRT compare to MYE and SWIM in the Industrials sector?
β–Ό

Within the Industrials sector (Plastic Products), KRT carries a Roarable B+ (78/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 34.4x, gross margin of 36.8%, and ROIC of 29.3%. By comparison, MYE (Myers Industries Inc.) holds a C- grade (61/100 RQD, P/E 32.7x, ROIC 10.4%, cap $1.11B) and SWIM (Latham Group Inc.) posts a D+ grade (57/100 RQD, P/E 76.8x, ROIC 3.5%, cap $860.0M). Among the 5-stock peer group, CMT leads on earnings multiple (17.8x) while KRT leads on capital efficiency (29.3% ROIC).

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Gideon Ashmere β€’ AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for KRT?
β–Ό

Per KRT's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001758021), Karat Packaging Inc. generated $467.7M in revenue (+10.7% YoY), $31.5M in net income, and $33.1M in free cash flow against $287.7M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (36.8% gross margin)β€”profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists β€” not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
πŸ›‘οΈ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $53.00 (-0.07%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)βš™οΈ Cash Engine: 17/20 (A-) β€’ 7.1% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit β†’
πŸ“Š Historical Track Record: Scores of 78/100 (B+) historically ranked in the Top 10% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+7.9% avg 90D alpha vs SPY β€’ 70.6% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record β†’
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERBUY β€’ B+
025507510078
3-of-3 Quant Analysts Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) β€” not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR RQD RADARRw B+ Β· Rk B
Cash (17)Whales (15)SEC (18)Macro (12)CEO (16)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+9% Base Target
$68 Bull$58 Base$43 Bear
πŸ“¬ FREE KRT RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot on file for KRT)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: Β±5.9%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (78/100 Composite)
πŸ” WHY KRT SCORES 78/100 (B+) β€” TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
β–² #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+18/20 pts (23% of score)

Altman Z-Score 7.75 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) β€’ Piotroski F-Score 8/9

β–² #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+17/20 pts (22% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 7.1% FCF Margin ($33.1M FCF) & 36.8% Gross Margin

β–Ό #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit12/20 pts (-8 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (54.3) create a -8 pt regime headwind

πŸ“ˆ PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 β†’ Q2 β†’ Q3 β†’ Current
Q1 (-3Q)
86
Grade A$53.86+0.2% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
83
Grade A$53.95+1% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
81
Grade A-$54.47-2.6% Next Q
Current
78
Grade B+$53.04+7.9% Hist 90D Ξ±
Trajectory: A (86) β†’ B+ (78)Full Audit β†’
βš”οΈ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

βš”οΈ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the KRT Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk β†’

Even with a 78/100 (B+) score, KRT faces multiple-compression risk if 34.4x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares) β€” any gross margin slip below 34.3% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($51.79) or 200D SMA ($36.04) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($57.81) toward Bear Floor ($43.49).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $KRTβ€’ $2.4M Crowd Pool β€’ Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: β€œKRT Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 78%NO 22%Trade / Inspect Odds β†’
SEC FORM 4 Γ— 13F HEDGE FUNDS Γ— CONGRESSIONAL STOCK ACT

KRT Smart-Money Thermometer: HEAVY INSIDER & 13F ACCUMULATION

Explore All 13F & Congress Whales β†’
β–² Disclosed Buys: 0 ($0)β–Ό Disclosed Sales: 0 ($0)

Wide-Open SEC Form 4, 13F & Congressional Disclosure Ledger (KRT)

No recent open-market Form 4 cluster sales or emergency dumps flagged on KRT. Visit the Global 13F & Congressional Whale Ledger for cross-market smart-money filings.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP β€’ SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk

Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (KRT Tape Review)

  • βœ“Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
  • βœ“Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
  • βœ“Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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KRT // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +83.34%β–Ό SUPPORT BREAKDOWN
2026-11-03O $54.39H $54.39L $53.04C $53.04VOL 106.6K
RES: $58.06SUP: $54.82SMA50: $51.79SMA200: $36.04
$58.23$49.25$40.28$31.30$22.32RES $58.06SUP $54.82$53.042026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

KRT Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

πŸ¦‹ KRT Butterfly Map β†’ + Track KRT β†’
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
26.5%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +10.7% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on KRT today. View full Setup Ledger β†’

πŸ¦‹ Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph β†’

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for KRT. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for KRT today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk β†’
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT β€’ SEC EDGAR XBRL Γ— RQD PEER BENCHMARK

πŸ“Š Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (KRT)

Industrials Rank #8 of 486 βš”οΈ MYE vs KRT Full Matrix β†’

1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (KRT vs. MYE, SWIM, NWL, CMT)

Industry: Plastic Products (9 Tracked Issuers)

Across 486 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Karat Packaging Inc. (KRT) ranks #8 by composite RQD confidence (78/100, grade B+) and #247 by equity capitalization ($1.08B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, CMT leads on earnings valuation at 17.8x trailing P/E, while KRT leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 29.3% ROIC and 36.8% gross margin. KRT currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 78/100 (B+).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
KRT ACTIVE
Karat Packaging Inc.
B+ 78/100 34.4x 36.8% 29.3% -1.72% $1.08B Benchmark Subject
MYE
Myers Industries Inc.
C- 61/100 32.7x 33.4% 10.4% -2.20% $1.11B /mye-vs-krt β†’
SWIM
Latham Group Inc.
D+ 57/100 76.8x 33.4% 3.5% +2.05% $860.0M /swim-vs-krt β†’
NWL
Newell Brands Inc.
D- 40/100 β€” 33.8% 0.5% +15.06% $2.21B /nwl-vs-krt β†’
CMT
Core Molding Technologies Inc
D 48/100 17.8x 17.4% 8.2% +0.89% $198.2M /cmt-vs-krt β†’

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K β€’ FILED 2025-12-31 β€’ CIK 0001758021 β†—

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Karat Packaging Inc. (KRT) reported GAAP revenue of $467.7M (+10.7% vs. FY2024 revenue of $422.6M , and +15.3% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $31.5M, operating cash flow of $33.8M, and free cash flow of $33.1M (-29.7% YoY). On the balance sheet, KRT closed FY2025 with $287.7M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 7.75, Piotroski F-Score: 8/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $467.7M $31.5M $33.8M $33.1M $287.7M β€”
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $422.6M $30.0M $48.0M $47.0M $294.5M β€”
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $405.7M $32.5M $53.4M $53.4M β€” β€”

3. KRT Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

βœ“ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is KRT stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Karat Packaging Inc. (NASDAQ: KRT) is rated B+ (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 78/100 at a spot price of $53.04 (-1.72% 1D, market cap $1.08B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 17/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 15/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 18/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 16/20. Across 486 tracked Industrials issuers, KRT ranks #8 in composite RQD confidence.

How does KRT compare to MYE and SWIM in the Industrials sector?

Within the Industrials sector (Plastic Products), KRT carries a Roarable B+ (78/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 34.4x, gross margin of 36.8%, and ROIC of 29.3%. By comparison, MYE (Myers Industries Inc.) holds a C- grade (61/100 RQD, P/E 32.7x, ROIC 10.4%, cap $1.11B) and SWIM (Latham Group Inc.) posts a D+ grade (57/100 RQD, P/E 76.8x, ROIC 3.5%, cap $860.0M). Among the 5-stock peer group, CMT leads on earnings multiple (17.8x) while KRT leads on capital efficiency (29.3% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for KRT?

Per KRT's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001758021), Karat Packaging Inc. generated $467.7M in revenue (+10.7% YoY), $31.5M in net income, and $33.1M in free cash flow against $287.7M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (36.8% gross margin)β€”profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is KRT trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

KRT last traded at $53.04 (-1.72% on volume of 141,141 shares), positioning the stock +2.41% above its 50-day simple moving average ($51.79) and +47.17% above its 200-day simple moving average ($36.04). Across its 52-week range of $20.61 to $56.06, KRT sits at the 91.5% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 54.3 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of Β±5.9% ($49.91 to $56.17).

Direct Sub-Reports: KRT RQD Cockpit KRT 12M Forecast KRT Earnings & Move KRT Dividends & DRIP KRT Insiders & 13F KRT Whale Options KRT Profit Sankey KRT News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF β€’ RQD 78/100 (B+) βœ“ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

KRT β€” Karat Packaging Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Karat Packaging Inc. (KRT) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 78/100, corresponding to a B+ letter grade (Roarable Buy) at a spot price of $53.04 (-1.72% 1D, market capitalization $1.08B).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (17/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 29.3%, gross margin of 36.8%, operating margin of 8.9%, and free cash flow yield of 3.05%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (15/20) + Insider Conviction (16/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (12/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (18/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 7.75, Piotroski F-Score of 8/9, and Debt/Equity of N/A.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Karat Packaging Inc. (KRT) is a NASDAQ-listed issuer.. Per the market data, the company reports a gross margin of 36.8% and a net margin of 6.7%.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Karat Packaging Inc. (KRT) reported $467.7M in annual revenue (up from $422.6M in FY2024, +10.7% YoY) and $31.5M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($405.7M revenue, $32.5M net income) through FY2025, KRT scaled operating cash flow to $33.8M and free cash flow to $33.1M, backed by $287.7M in total assets against $0 in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • πŸ‚ Primary Bull Case (B+ β€’ RQD 78/100): Strong cash generator (36.8% gross margin)β€”profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks. Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 17/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 15/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $20.61 – $56.06 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run. Investors must weigh 34.4x trailing P/E and 24.9x EV/EBITDA against 8.9% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Operating in Plastic Products (Industrials), KRT carries a macro regime beta of 1.00 and gross margin of 36.8%.

  • Key Question #1: Can KRT sustain or expand its 8.9% operating margin and 29.3% ROIC against Plastic Products peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $467.7M and free cash flow of $33.1M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $0 in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is KRT's 32.0x forward P/E multiple to Industrials capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

KRT Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Karat Packaging Inc. (KRT) β€’ Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

πŸ’¬ Jump to KRT Debate Forum (3) ↓
πŸ”₯ THE ROAR PIT β€’ LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

KRT Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board β€” What's Your Call at $53.04?

πŸ‚ 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON KRT 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on KRT:
πŸ’‘ Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
AL AlphaFlow_Cap RQD DEBATE OPENER β€’ Verified $100K Arena Trader πŸ‚ BULLISH 🎯 Target: $64.22 (+19.0%)
πŸ“Œ Pinned Debate

Per the RQD rating, the Fundamental Cash Engine (ROIC 29.3%, FCF yield 3.05%) and Forensic Balance Sheet (Altman Z 7.75, Piotroski F 8/

Don't sleep on KRT's setup in Industrials. Per the RQD rating, the Fundamental Cash Engine (ROIC 29.3%, FCF yield 3.05%) and Forensic Balance Sheet (Altman Z 7.75, Piotroski F 8/9) pillars score 17 and 18 of 20.. Beta of 1.0 means it moves fast when momentum turns, and the 5-pillar RQD gauge (78/100) backs up the fundamental quality.

SectorRotator πŸ‚ BULL

@RiskArb_Desk Fair point on 34.4x trailing P/E, but you're ignoring the forward operating leverage in Plastic Products. If gross margin (36.8%) holds, EPS grows into the multiple faster than bears think.

RI RiskArb_Desk RQD DEBATE OPENER β€’ Hedged Event Driven 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $43.72 (-19.0%)
Spot @ $53.97

Per the market data, the stock trades at a P/E (TTM) of 34.4 and EV/EBITDA of 24.9 near the top of its 52-week range, with beta of 1.0

Here is the bear case nobody on the bull side wants to address on KRT: Per the market data, the stock trades at a P/E (TTM) of 34.4 and EV/EBITDA of 24.9 near the top of its 52-week range, with beta of 1.0 and reported FCF falling from $53.4M to $33.1M.. At 34.4x trailing P/E, even a small guidance miss in Plastic Products triggers a 12-15% air pocket.

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