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Kontoor Brands Inc. (KTB) Options Positioning, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$77.30 +4.11% NYSE β€’ Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $78.06

Kontoor Brands Inc. (KTB) earns a Roarable Rating of B- (Buy) with 70/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (45.2% gross margin, 16% return on capital) with steady institutional support. The company’s underlying cash engine and institutional positioning keep the composite score in the Green Buy zone.

ROARABLE B- β€’ BUY Cap $4.06B
πŸ“€ Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚑ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW β€’ $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on KTB Below β€” or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
πŸ€– Mara Quenwick β€’ AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is KTB stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
β–Ό

As of 2026-11-03, Kontoor Brands Inc. (NYSE: KTB) is rated B- (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 70/100 at a spot price of $77.30 (+4.11% 1D, market cap $4.06B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 17/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 12/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 18/20. Across 486 tracked Industrials issuers, KTB ranks #40 in composite RQD confidence.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Ellis Vennor β€’ AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does KTB compare to PVH and VFC in the Industrials sector?
β–Ό

Within the Industrials sector (Garments and Clothing), KTB carries a Roarable B- (70/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 18.2x, gross margin of 45.2%, and ROIC of 16.4%. By comparison, PVH (PVH Corp.) holds a C+ grade (66/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 2.9%, cap $4.16B) and VFC (V.F. Corporation) posts a D+ grade (58/100 RQD, P/E 28.3x, ROIC 11.5%, cap $7.20B). Among the 5-stock peer group, KTB leads on earnings multiple (18.2x) while RL leads on capital efficiency (44.5% ROIC).

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Gideon Ashmere β€’ AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for KTB?
β–Ό

Per KTB's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-01-03, CIK 0001760965), Kontoor Brands Inc. generated $3.15B in revenue (+20.9% YoY), $227.5M in net income, and $434.8M in free cash flow against $2.58B in total assets and $1.13B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (45.2% gross margin)β€”profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists β€” not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
πŸ›‘οΈ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $78.06 (+0.98%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.92% YoY Shares)βš™οΈ Cash Engine: 17/20 (A-) β€’ 13.8% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit β†’
πŸ“Š Historical Track Record: Scores of 70/100 (B-) historically ranked in the Top 15% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+6.6% avg 90D alpha vs SPY β€’ 68.1% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record β†’
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERBUY β€’ B-
025507510070
2-of-3 Quant Analysts Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) β€” not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR RQD RADARRw B+ Β· Rk D+
Cash (17)Whales (12)SEC (13)Macro (10)CEO (18)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+5.4% Base Target
$96 Bull$81 Base$63 Bear
πŸ“¬ FREE KTB RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot on file for KTB)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: Β±7.1%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (70/100 Composite)
πŸ” WHY KTB SCORES 70/100 (B-) β€” TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
β–² #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+18/20 pts (26% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 86% Net Buy β€’ Cannibal Buyback (-2.92% YoY Shares)

β–² #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+17/20 pts (24% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 13.8% FCF Margin ($434.8M FCF) & 45.2% Gross Margin

β–Ό #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit10/20 pts (-10 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (55.5) create a -10 pt regime headwind

πŸ“ˆ PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 β†’ Q2 β†’ Q3 β†’ Current
Q1 (-3Q)
62
Grade C+$68.47+9.6% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
65
Grade C+$75.02-0.2% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
67
Grade B-$74.86+3.3% Next Q
Current
70
Grade B-$77.30+6.6% Hist 90D Ξ±
Trajectory: C+ (62) β†’ B- (70)Full Audit β†’
βš”οΈ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

βš”οΈ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the KTB Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk β†’

Even with a 70/100 (B-) score, KTB faces multiple-compression risk if 18.2x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.92% YoY Shares) β€” any gross margin slip below 42.7% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($70.30) or 200D SMA ($72.72) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($81.47) toward Bear Floor ($63.39).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $KTBβ€’ $2.4M Crowd Pool β€’ Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: β€œKTB Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Jan 2, 2027) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 70%NO 30%Trade / Inspect Odds β†’
CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE
β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
Put/Call Ratio: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET
β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
No active options chain max-pain snapshot on file
HISTORICAL 20D VOLATILITY SWING
Β±7.1%
Derived from 20D OHLCV bars (No Active Options Snapshot)

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (KTB)

β€” (No Active Options Snapshot) β€” No unusual CBOE strike concentration anomalies recorded in the current database snapshot for KTB.

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Whale Flow & Momentum Playbook: Evaluating KTB & AI Leaders Without Chasing Tops

  • βœ“Institutional whale strikes & implied earnings move audit on KTB
  • βœ“How disciplined traders manage risk using pre-published trigger & invalidation levels
  • βœ“Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on tracked leaders
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KTB // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +11.53%β–² RESISTANCE BREAKOUT
2026-11-03O $75.83H $77.30L $74.25C $77.30VOL 798.2K
RES: $76.99SUP: $58.63SMA50: $70.30SMA200: $72.72
$90.87$82.96$75.05$67.14$59.24RES $76.99SUP $58.63$77.302026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

KTB Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

πŸ¦‹ KTB Butterfly Map β†’ + Track KTB β†’
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
11.4%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +20.9% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on KTB today. View full Setup Ledger β†’

πŸ¦‹ Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph β†’

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for KTB. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for KTB today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk β†’
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT β€’ SEC EDGAR XBRL Γ— RQD PEER BENCHMARK

πŸ“Š Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (KTB)

Industrials Rank #40 of 486 βš”οΈ PVH vs KTB Full Matrix β†’

1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (KTB vs. PVH, VFC, RL, OXM)

Industry: Garments and Clothing (6 Tracked Issuers)

Across 486 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Kontoor Brands Inc. (KTB) ranks #40 by composite RQD confidence (70/100, grade B-) and #165 by equity capitalization ($4.06B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, KTB leads on earnings valuation at 18.2x trailing P/E, while RL leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 44.5% ROIC and 69.9% gross margin. RL currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 75/100 (B) compared with KTB at 70/100 (B-).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
KTB ACTIVE
Kontoor Brands Inc.
B- 70/100 18.2x 45.2% 16.4% +4.11% $4.06B Benchmark Subject
PVH
PVH Corp.
C+ 66/100 β€” 57.5% 2.9% +3.03% $4.16B /pvh-vs-ktb β†’
VFC
V.F. Corporation
D+ 58/100 28.3x 54.8% 11.5% +5.96% $7.20B /vfc-vs-ktb β†’
RL
Ralph Lauren Corporation
B 75/100 25.4x 69.9% 44.5% +1.19% $23.41B /rl-vs-ktb β†’
OXM
Oxford Industries Inc.
D 45/100 β€” 60.7% -4.0% +1.53% $422.4M /oxm-vs-ktb β†’

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K β€’ FILED 2026-01-03 β€’ CIK 0001760965 β†—

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2026-01-03), Kontoor Brands Inc. (KTB) reported GAAP revenue of $3.15B (+20.9% vs. FY2024 revenue of $2.61B , and +20.9% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $227.5M, operating cash flow of $455.8M, and free cash flow of $434.8M (+24.4% YoY). On the balance sheet, KTB closed FY2025 with $2.58B in total assets against $1.13B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 3.26, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2026-01-03 $3.15B $227.5M $455.8M $434.8M $2.58B $1.13B
FY2024 (FY) 2025-12-28 $2.61B $245.8M $368.2M $349.4M $1.65B $740.3M
FY2023 (FY) 2024-12-30 $2.61B $231.0M $356.5M $356.5M β€” β€”

3. KTB Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

βœ“ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is KTB stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Kontoor Brands Inc. (NYSE: KTB) is rated B- (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 70/100 at a spot price of $77.30 (+4.11% 1D, market cap $4.06B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 17/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 12/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 18/20. Across 486 tracked Industrials issuers, KTB ranks #40 in composite RQD confidence.

How does KTB compare to PVH and VFC in the Industrials sector?

Within the Industrials sector (Garments and Clothing), KTB carries a Roarable B- (70/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 18.2x, gross margin of 45.2%, and ROIC of 16.4%. By comparison, PVH (PVH Corp.) holds a C+ grade (66/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 2.9%, cap $4.16B) and VFC (V.F. Corporation) posts a D+ grade (58/100 RQD, P/E 28.3x, ROIC 11.5%, cap $7.20B). Among the 5-stock peer group, KTB leads on earnings multiple (18.2x) while RL leads on capital efficiency (44.5% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for KTB?

Per KTB's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-01-03, CIK 0001760965), Kontoor Brands Inc. generated $3.15B in revenue (+20.9% YoY), $227.5M in net income, and $434.8M in free cash flow against $2.58B in total assets and $1.13B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (45.2% gross margin)β€”profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is KTB trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

KTB last traded at $77.30 (+4.11% on volume of 1,194,785 shares), positioning the stock +9.96% above its 50-day simple moving average ($70.30) and +6.30% above its 200-day simple moving average ($72.72). Across its 52-week range of $56.19 to $88.96, KTB sits at the 64.4% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 55.5 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of Β±7.1% ($71.81 to $82.79).

Direct Sub-Reports: KTB RQD Cockpit KTB 12M Forecast KTB Earnings & Move KTB Dividends & DRIP KTB Insiders & 13F KTB Whale Options KTB Profit Sankey KTB News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF β€’ RQD 70/100 (B-) βœ“ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

KTB β€” Kontoor Brands Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2026-01-03

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Kontoor Brands Inc. (KTB) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 70/100, corresponding to a B- letter grade (Roarable Buy) at a spot price of $77.30 (+4.11% 1D, market capitalization $4.06B).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (17/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 16.4%, gross margin of 45.2%, operating margin of 10.7%, and free cash flow yield of 10.49%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (12/20) + Insider Conviction (18/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (10/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (13/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 3.26, Piotroski F-Score of 7/9, and Debt/Equity of 2.01x.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Kontoor Brands Inc. Is a NYSE-listed issuer in the Industrials sector, operating within the Garments and Clothing industry, per the Company Profile. The company's gross margin is 45.2% and its net margin is 7.2%, per the Market Data section.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2026-01-03), Kontoor Brands Inc. (KTB) reported $3.15B in annual revenue (up from $2.61B in FY2024, +20.9% YoY) and $227.5M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($2.61B revenue, $231.0M net income) through FY2025, KTB scaled operating cash flow to $455.8M and free cash flow to $434.8M, backed by $2.58B in total assets against $1.13B in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • πŸ‚ Primary Bull Case (B- β€’ RQD 70/100): Strong cash generator (45.2% gross margin)β€”profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks. Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 17/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 12/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $56.19 – $88.96 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Investors must weigh 18.2x trailing P/E and 14.7x EV/EBITDA against 10.7% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Operating in Garments and Clothing (Industrials), KTB carries a macro regime beta of 1.00 and gross margin of 45.2%.

  • Key Question #1: Can KTB sustain or expand its 10.7% operating margin and 16.4% ROIC against Garments and Clothing peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $3.15B and free cash flow of $434.8M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $1.13B in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is KTB's 15.3x forward P/E multiple to Industrials capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

KTB Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Kontoor Brands Inc. (KTB) β€’ Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

πŸ’¬ Jump to KTB Debate Forum (3) ↓
πŸ”₯ THE ROAR PIT β€’ LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

KTB Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board β€” What's Your Call at $77.30?

πŸ‚ 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON KTB 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on KTB:
πŸ’‘ Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
MA MacroHawk_NYC RQD DEBATE OPENER β€’ Cross-Asset Macro Desk πŸ‚ BULLISH 🎯 Target: $89.84 (+21.0%)
πŸ“Œ Pinned Debate

Insider conviction (18/20) and a 10.49% FCF yield with 16.4% ROIC point to strong cash generation and accumulation behind the stock.

Insider conviction (18/20) and a 10.49% FCF yield with 16.4% ROIC point to strong cash generation and accumulation behind the stock.. When you look under the hood at KTB, Fundamental Cash Engine is 17/20 with 45.2% gross margins and 16.4% ROIC. Bears are staring in the rearview mirror while institutional 13F flow (12/20) has been quietly accumulating below $88.96. My 12M target is $89.84.

SectorRotator πŸ‚ BULL

@RedlineAuditor Fair point on 18.2x trailing P/E, but you're ignoring the forward operating leverage in Garments and Clothing. If gross margin (45.2%) holds, EPS grows into the multiple faster than bears think.

RE RedlineAuditor RQD DEBATE OPENER β€’ Accounting Quality Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $60.14 (-19.0%)
Spot @ $74.25

Debt rose from $740.3M to $1.13B and Debt/Equity is 2.01 while net income declined in FY 2025, leaving the balance sheet more leverag

Here is the bear case nobody on the bull side wants to address on KTB: Debt rose from $740.3M to $1.13B and Debt/Equity is 2.01 while net income declined in FY 2025, leaving the balance sheet more leveraged on weaker earnings.. At 18.2x trailing P/E, even a small guidance miss in Garments and Clothing triggers a 12-15% air pocket.

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